Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 1–0 Lecce

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 2.31
Draw 3.75 fair 3.66
Away 5.75 fair 3.40
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.75
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.33

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Lecce
18 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 3
14 Fouls 21
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (266 league matches this season so far).
Result Fiorentina to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 12.2% 0–1 9.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.19scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 31:31
Lecce before this match, all matches
1.04points / match
0.92scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 24:31
Fiorentina all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 0.92
1.19 Goals conceded 1.19
2.38 Total goals 2.12
15.81 Shots 10.23
4.96 Shots on target 2.65
9.77 Shots faced 11.88
6.65 Corners 4.38
3.08 Corners against 5.73
12.88 Fouls 13.88
2.50 Yellow cards 2.31
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

35% Wins 23%
27% Draws 35%
38% Losses 42%
92% Over 0.5 goals 96%
77% Over 1.5 goals 81%
42% Over 2.5 goals 31%
12% Over 3.5 goals 4%
8% Over 4.5 goals 0%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 58%
23% Clean sheets 12%
31% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 27%
38% Draws 35%
35% Losses 38%
77% Over 0.5 goals 85%
31% Over 1.5 goals 38%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Lecce all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
1.46points / match
1.38scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:19
Lecce before this match, away
1.15points / match
0.85scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 11:14
Fiorentina at home away Lecce

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.85
1.46 Goals conceded 1.08
2.85 Total goals 1.92
18.23 Shots 9.38
6.00 Shots on target 2.69
9.23 Shots faced 13.69
7.15 Corners 3.92
2.69 Corners against 6.08
12.23 Fouls 12.38
2.15 Yellow cards 1.92
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

38% Wins 31%
31% Draws 23%
31% Losses 46%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
85% Over 1.5 goals 77%
54% Over 2.5 goals 23%
23% Over 3.5 goals 0%
15% Over 4.5 goals 0%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 38%
15% Clean sheets 23%
23% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 31%
38% Draws 31%
31% Losses 38%
77% Over 0.5 goals 85%
38% Over 1.5 goals 23%
15% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.23 Cremonese – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–1) 4.333.601.85 2.03 1.90
04.03.23 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
27.02.23 Verona – Fiorentina 0–3 (0–2) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
19.02.23 Fiorentina – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 1.604.005.75 1.87 2.03
12.02.23 Juventus – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.07 1.83
05.02.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
29.01.23 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 2.04 1.86
21.01.23 Fiorentina – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.67
15.01.23 Roma – Fiorentina 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80
07.01.23 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.23 Lecce – Torino 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.002.63 2.75 1.44
05.03.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.50 1.94 1.96
25.02.23 Lecce – Sassuolo 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.90 2.10 1.73
19.02.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Lecce – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 4.333.251.95 2.50 1.53
04.02.23 Cremonese – Lecce 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.102.80 2.38 1.57
27.01.23 Lecce – Salernitana 1–2 (1–2) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67
21.01.23 Verona – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.103.20 2.38 1.57
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
08.01.23 Spezia – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.90 2.20 1.67

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
19.02.23 Fiorentina – Empoli 1–1 (0–1) 1.604.005.75 1.87 2.03
05.02.23 Fiorentina – Bologna 1–2 (1–1) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
21.01.23 Fiorentina – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.67
07.01.23 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.23 Fiorentina – Monza 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.804.75 1.91 1.99
09.11.22 Fiorentina – Salernitana 2–1 (1–0) 1.534.206.25 1.72 2.10
22.10.22 Fiorentina – Inter 3–4 (1–2) 3.603.502.05 1.80 2.00
10.10.22 Fiorentina – Lazio 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.502.80 1.91 1.99
18.09.22 Fiorentina – Verona 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.804.50 1.80 2.00

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.03.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.50 1.94 1.96
19.02.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
04.02.23 Cremonese – Lecce 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.102.80 2.38 1.57
21.01.23 Verona – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.103.20 2.38 1.57
08.01.23 Spezia – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.90 2.20 1.67
12.11.22 Sampdoria – Lecce 0–2 (0–1) 2.623.003.00 2.50 1.53
04.11.22 Udinese – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.613.905.50 1.99 1.91
23.10.22 Bologna – Lecce 2–0 (2–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.66
09.10.22 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.258.50 1.84 2.06
16.09.22 Salernitana – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 2.06 1.84

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina winsDrawsLecce wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.10.22I1 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.402.05 2.10 1.72

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 26 22 2 2 60 16 +44 68
2 Juventus 26 16 5 5 44 22 +22 53
3 Inter 26 16 2 8 47 30 +17 50
4 Lazio 26 14 7 5 41 19 +22 49
5 Milan 27 14 6 7 44 36 +8 48
6 Roma 26 14 5 7 35 25 +10 47
7 Atalanta 27 13 6 8 44 31 +13 45
8 Udinese 27 9 11 7 37 31 +6 38
9 Torino 26 10 7 9 29 29 0 37
10 Bologna 27 10 7 10 33 36 -3 37
11 Sassuolo 27 10 6 11 35 40 -5 36
12 Fiorentina 26 9 7 10 31 31 0 34
13 Monza 27 9 7 11 32 37 -5 34
14 Empoli 27 6 10 11 24 36 -12 28
15 Lecce 26 6 9 11 24 31 -7 27
16 Salernitana 27 6 9 12 31 47 -16 27
17 Spezia 27 5 9 13 23 43 -20 24
18 Verona 27 4 7 16 22 41 -19 19
19 Sampdoria 27 3 6 18 16 44 -28 15
20 Cremonese 27 1 10 16 22 49 -27 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 13 11 1 1 33 9 +24 34
2 Juventus 14 10 3 1 33 12 +21 33
3 Inter 13 11 0 2 27 6 +21 33
4 Milan 13 9 2 2 28 17 +11 29
5 Roma 13 8 1 4 17 9 +8 25
6 Lazio 13 7 3 3 22 12 +10 24
7 Bologna 14 6 5 3 17 10 +7 23
8 Atalanta 13 6 3 4 24 16 +8 21
9 Sassuolo 13 6 2 5 17 15 +2 20
10 Udinese 13 4 7 2 22 15 +7 19
11 Monza 14 5 4 5 19 16 +3 19
12 Torino 12 5 4 3 11 8 +3 19
13 Fiorentina 13 5 4 4 18 19 -1 19
14 Salernitana 14 4 4 6 19 20 -1 16
15 Empoli 13 4 4 5 12 15 -3 16
16 Spezia 14 3 7 4 15 20 -5 16
17 Verona 14 4 2 8 15 22 -7 14
18 Lecce 13 2 6 5 13 17 -4 12
19 Sampdoria 14 1 4 9 6 19 -13 7
20 Cremonese 13 1 3 9 7 22 -15 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 13 11 1 1 27 7 +20 34
2 Lazio 13 7 4 2 19 7 +12 25
3 Atalanta 14 7 3 4 20 15 +5 24
4 Roma 13 6 4 3 18 16 +2 22
5 Juventus 12 6 2 4 11 10 +1 20
6 Udinese 14 5 4 5 15 16 -1 19
7 Milan 14 5 4 5 16 19 -3 19
8 Torino 14 5 3 6 18 21 -3 18
9 Inter 13 5 2 6 20 24 -4 17
10 Sassuolo 14 4 4 6 18 25 -7 16
11 Fiorentina 13 4 3 6 13 12 +1 15
12 Lecce 13 4 3 6 11 14 -3 15
13 Monza 13 4 3 6 13 21 -8 15
14 Bologna 13 4 2 7 16 26 -10 14
15 Empoli 14 2 6 6 12 21 -9 12
16 Salernitana 13 2 5 6 12 27 -15 11
17 Sampdoria 13 2 2 9 10 25 -15 8
18 Spezia 13 2 2 9 8 23 -15 8
19 Cremonese 14 0 7 7 15 27 -12 7
20 Verona 13 0 5 8 7 19 -12 5

Fiorentina   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Milan 27 10 17 1.6 1.3 14 6 7 44 36 48
2 3 Inter 26 10 16 1.8 1.2 16 2 8 47 30 50
3 16 Salernitana 27 11 16 1.1 1.7 6 9 12 31 47 27
4 11 Sassuolo 27 12 15 1.3 1.5 10 6 11 35 40 36
5 1 Napoli 26 12 14 2.3 0.6 22 2 2 60 16 68
6 8 Udinese 27 13 14 1.4 1.1 9 11 7 37 31 38
7 10 Bologna 27 13 14 1.2 1.3 10 7 10 33 36 37
8 17 Spezia 27 13 14 0.9 1.6 5 9 13 23 43 24
9 13 Monza 27 14 13 1.2 1.4 9 7 11 32 37 34
10 20 Cremonese 27 14 13 0.8 1.8 1 10 16 22 49 13
11 7 Atalanta 27 15 12 1.6 1.1 13 6 8 44 31 45
12 4 Lazio 26 15 11 1.6 0.7 14 7 5 41 19 49
13 12 Fiorentina 26 15 11 1.2 1.2 9 7 10 31 31 34
14 19 Sampdoria 27 16 11 0.6 1.6 3 6 18 16 44 15
15 2 Juventus 26 16 10 1.7 0.8 16 5 5 44 22 53
16 6 Roma 26 16 10 1.3 1.0 14 5 7 35 25 47
17 9 Torino 26 16 10 1.1 1.1 10 7 9 29 29 37
18 18 Verona 27 17 10 0.8 1.5 4 7 16 22 41 19
19 14 Empoli 27 18 9 0.9 1.3 6 10 11 24 36 28
20 15 Lecce 26 18 8 0.9 1.2 6 9 11 24 31 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Salernitana 14 5 9 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 20 16
2 1 Napoli 13 5 8 2.5 0.7 11 1 1 33 9 34
3 2 Juventus 14 6 8 2.4 0.9 10 3 1 33 12 33
4 5 Milan 13 5 8 2.2 1.3 9 2 2 28 17 29
5 8 Udinese 13 5 8 1.7 1.2 4 7 2 22 15 19
6 17 Spezia 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 3 7 4 15 20 16
7 4 Lazio 13 6 7 1.7 0.9 7 3 3 22 12 24
8 7 Atalanta 13 6 7 1.8 1.2 6 3 4 24 16 21
9 12 Fiorentina 13 6 7 1.4 1.5 5 4 4 18 19 19
10 13 Monza 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 5 4 5 19 16 19
11 18 Verona 14 7 7 1.1 1.6 4 2 8 15 22 14
12 3 Inter 13 7 6 2.1 0.5 11 0 2 27 6 33
13 11 Sassuolo 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 6 2 5 17 15 20
14 20 Cremonese 13 7 6 0.5 1.7 1 3 9 7 22 6
15 15 Lecce 13 8 5 1.0 1.3 2 6 5 13 17 12
16 10 Bologna 14 10 4 1.2 0.7 6 5 3 17 10 23
17 14 Empoli 13 9 4 0.9 1.2 4 4 5 12 15 16
18 19 Sampdoria 14 10 4 0.4 1.4 1 4 9 6 19 7
19 6 Roma 13 10 3 1.3 0.7 8 1 4 17 9 25
20 9 Torino 12 10 2 0.9 0.7 5 4 3 11 8 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Inter 13 3 10 1.5 1.8 5 2 6 20 24 17
2 10 Bologna 13 3 10 1.2 2.0 4 2 7 16 26 14
3 5 Milan 14 5 9 1.1 1.4 5 4 5 16 19 19
4 11 Sassuolo 14 5 9 1.3 1.8 4 4 6 18 25 16
5 9 Torino 14 6 8 1.3 1.5 5 3 6 18 21 18
6 6 Roma 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 6 4 3 18 16 22
7 16 Salernitana 13 6 7 0.9 2.1 2 5 6 12 27 11
8 19 Sampdoria 13 6 7 0.8 1.9 2 2 9 10 25 8
9 20 Cremonese 14 7 7 1.1 1.9 0 7 7 15 27 7
10 1 Napoli 13 7 6 2.1 0.5 11 1 1 27 7 34
11 8 Udinese 14 8 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 16 19
12 13 Monza 13 7 6 1.0 1.6 4 3 6 13 21 15
13 17 Spezia 13 7 6 0.6 1.8 2 2 9 8 23 8
14 7 Atalanta 14 9 5 1.4 1.1 7 3 4 20 15 24
15 14 Empoli 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 6 6 12 21 12
16 4 Lazio 13 9 4 1.5 0.5 7 4 2 19 7 25
17 12 Fiorentina 13 9 4 1.0 0.9 4 3 6 13 12 15
18 15 Lecce 13 10 3 0.8 1.1 4 3 6 11 14 15
19 18 Verona 13 10 3 0.5 1.5 0 5 8 7 19 5
20 2 Juventus 12 10 2 0.9 0.8 6 2 4 11 10 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38