Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds – England Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

Match facts

Aston Villa Leeds

16 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 2

11 Fouls 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (261 league matches this season so far).

Result Aston Villa to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.80

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.09

Home / Draw / Away

54% 23% 23%

Aston VillaDrawLeeds

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.9% 1–0 10% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches

1.92points / match

1.42scored / match

1.04conceded / match

15 5 6

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 37:27

Leeds before this match, all matches

1.15points / match

1.38scored / match

1.73conceded / match

7 9 10

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 36:45

Aston Villa all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.38

1.04 Goals conceded 1.73

2.46 Total goals 3.12

12.54 Shots 12.19

4.35 Shots on target 3.96

12.77 Shots faced 12.35

5.35 Corners 4.42

4.85 Corners against 4.38

10.08 Fouls 10.15

1.46 Yellow cards 1.58

0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.69

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

58% Wins 27%

19% Draws 35%

23% Losses 38%

88% Over 0.5 goals 92%

65% Over 1.5 goals 81%

50% Over 2.5 goals 62%

23% Over 3.5 goals 46%

12% Over 4.5 goals 19%

4% Over 5.5 goals 8%

50% Both teams scored 65%

31% Clean sheets 15%

31% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 31%

46% Draws 42%

27% Losses 27%

69% Over 0.5 goals 69%

23% Over 1.5 goals 46%

8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

4

L

3

1

W

D

1

L

2

W

1

L

1

D

1

W

Leeds all matches

4

1

W

1

D

1

D

3

4

L

1

W

1

D

4

L

3

1

W

2

D

Aston Villa before this match, at home

2.15points / match

1.46scored / match

0.77conceded / match

9 1 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:10

Leeds before this match, away

0.62points / match

1.08scored / match

2.08conceded / match

1 5 7

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 14:27

Aston Villa at home away Leeds

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.08

0.77 Goals conceded 2.08

2.23 Total goals 3.15

13.77 Shots 10.23

4.62 Shots on target 3.46

10.92 Shots faced 13.08

5.85 Corners 3.54

4.54 Corners against 4.23

10.08 Fouls 10.23

1.15 Yellow cards 1.54

0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.54

0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

69% Wins 8%

8% Draws 38%

23% Losses 54%

92% Over 0.5 goals 92%

54% Over 1.5 goals 85%

54% Over 2.5 goals 54%

23% Over 3.5 goals 46%

0% Over 4.5 goals 23%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

38% Both teams scored 62%

38% Clean sheets 8%

31% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 23%

46% Draws 31%

15% Losses 46%

69% Over 0.5 goals 77%

23% Over 1.5 goals 38%

0% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home

2

1

W

1

W

4

W

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

1

L

1

L

1

W

Leeds away

2

L

3

L

1

3

L

2

3

L

1

D

1

D

3

4

L

1

D

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.26	Aston Villa – Brighton	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.70	3.80	1.80	2.00
07.02.26	Bournemouth – Aston Villa	1–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.50	2.50	1.67	2.20
01.02.26	Aston Villa – Brentford	0–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.50	3.40	1.80	2.00
25.01.26	Newcastle – Aston Villa	0–2 (0–1)	1.95	3.70	3.70	1.67	2.20
18.01.26	Aston Villa – Everton	0–1 (0–0)	1.67	3.90	5.25	1.93	1.93
07.01.26	Crystal Palace – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.30	1.93	1.93
03.01.26	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.90	4.50	1.80	2.00
30.12.25	Arsenal – Aston Villa	4–1 (0–0)	1.42	4.75	7.00	1.67	2.20
27.12.25	Chelsea – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.20
21.12.25	Aston Villa – Man United	2–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.60	3.30	1.67	2.20

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.26	Chelsea – Leeds	2–2 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.62	2.30
06.02.26	Leeds – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.73
31.01.26	Leeds – Arsenal	0–4 (0–2)	5.75	4.20	1.55	1.98	1.88
26.01.26	Everton – Leeds	1–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
17.01.26	Leeds – Fulham	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.73
07.01.26	Newcastle – Leeds	4–3 (1–2)	1.67	3.80	5.00	1.83	2.03
04.01.26	Leeds – Man United	1–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.30	2.63	1.83	2.03
01.01.26	Liverpool – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.50	5.50	1.62	2.30
28.12.25	Sunderland – Leeds	1–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.10	2.88	2.20	1.67
20.12.25	Leeds – Crystal Palace	4–1 (2–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73

Aston Villa at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.26	Aston Villa – Brighton	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.70	3.80	1.80	2.00
01.02.26	Aston Villa – Brentford	0–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.50	3.40	1.80	2.00
18.01.26	Aston Villa – Everton	0–1 (0–0)	1.67	3.90	5.25	1.93	1.93
03.01.26	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	3–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.90	4.50	1.80	2.00
21.12.25	Aston Villa – Man United	2–1 (1–1)	2.10	3.60	3.30	1.67	2.20
06.12.25	Aston Villa – Arsenal	2–1 (1–0)	4.20	3.50	1.90	2.10	1.73
30.11.25	Aston Villa – Wolves	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.80	2.00
09.11.25	Aston Villa – Bournemouth	4–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	1.88	1.98
26.10.25	Aston Villa – Man City	1–0 (1–0)	4.33	3.80	1.80	1.73	2.10
05.10.25	Aston Villa – Burnley	2–1 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.75	1.98	1.88

Leeds away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.26	Chelsea – Leeds	2–2 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.62	2.30
26.01.26	Everton – Leeds	1–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.20	1.67
07.01.26	Newcastle – Leeds	4–3 (1–2)	1.67	3.80	5.00	1.83	2.03
01.01.26	Liverpool – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	1.55	4.50	5.50	1.62	2.30
28.12.25	Sunderland – Leeds	1–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.10	2.88	2.20	1.67
14.12.25	Brentford – Leeds	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.90	1.95
29.11.25	Man City – Leeds	3–2 (2–0)	1.22	6.50	12.00	1.53	2.50
09.11.25	Nott'm Forest – Leeds	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.73
01.11.25	Brighton – Leeds	3–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.85	2.00
18.10.25	Burnley – Leeds	2–0 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2

Aston Villa winsDrawsLeeds wins

5matches

3.00goals / match

80%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.11.25E0	Leeds – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.73
13.01.23E0	Aston Villa – Leeds	2–1 (1–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.80	2.00
02.10.22E0	Leeds – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.80	2.00
10.03.22E0	Leeds – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–1)	2.70	3.50	2.50	1.72	2.10
09.02.22E0	Aston Villa – Leeds	3–3 (3–2)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.72	2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	27	17	7	3	52	20	+32	58
2	Man City	26	16	5	5	54	24	+30	53
3	Aston Villa	26	15	5	6	37	27	+10	50
4	Man United	26	12	9	5	47	37	+10	45
5	Chelsea	26	12	8	6	47	30	+17	44
6	Liverpool	26	12	6	8	41	35	+6	42
7	Brentford	26	12	4	10	40	35	+5	40
8	Everton	26	10	7	9	29	30	-1	37
9	Bournemouth	26	9	10	7	43	45	-2	37
10	Newcastle	26	10	6	10	37	37	0	36
11	Sunderland	26	9	9	8	27	30	-3	36
12	Fulham	26	10	4	12	35	40	-5	34
13	Crystal Palace	26	8	8	10	28	32	-4	32
14	Brighton	26	7	10	9	34	34	0	31
15	Leeds	26	7	9	10	36	45	-9	30
16	Tottenham	26	7	8	11	36	37	-1	29
17	Nott'm Forest	26	7	6	13	25	38	-13	27
18	West Ham	26	6	6	14	32	49	-17	24
19	Burnley	26	4	6	16	28	51	-23	18
20	Wolves	27	1	7	19	18	50	-32	10

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	13	10	2	1	32	8	+24	32
2	Arsenal	13	10	2	1	31	8	+23	32
3	Aston Villa	13	9	1	3	19	10	+9	28
4	Man United	13	8	3	2	25	15	+10	27
5	Sunderland	13	7	5	1	21	10	+11	26
6	Brentford	13	7	4	2	24	13	+11	25
7	Liverpool	13	7	3	3	21	14	+7	24
8	Fulham	13	7	2	4	22	16	+6	23
9	Bournemouth	13	6	5	2	20	14	+6	23
10	Newcastle	13	7	2	4	24	20	+4	23
11	Chelsea	13	6	4	3	22	15	+7	22
12	Leeds	13	6	4	3	22	18	+4	22
13	Brighton	13	5	6	2	20	14	+6	21
14	Everton	13	4	4	5	16	18	-2	16
15	Nott'm Forest	13	3	4	6	13	18	-5	13
16	Crystal Palace	13	2	6	5	13	18	-5	12
17	West Ham	13	3	2	8	17	27	-10	11
18	Tottenham	13	2	4	7	16	18	-2	10
19	Burnley	13	2	4	7	12	19	-7	10
20	Wolves	14	1	3	10	13	30	-17	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	14	7	5	2	21	12	+9	26
2	Chelsea	13	6	4	3	25	15	+10	22
3	Aston Villa	13	6	4	3	18	17	+1	22
4	Man City	13	6	3	4	22	16	+6	21
5	Everton	13	6	3	4	13	12	+1	21
6	Crystal Palace	13	6	2	5	15	14	+1	20
7	Tottenham	13	5	4	4	20	19	+1	19
8	Man United	13	4	6	3	22	22	0	18
9	Liverpool	13	5	3	5	20	21	-1	18
10	Brentford	13	5	0	8	16	22	-6	15
11	Bournemouth	13	3	5	5	23	31	-8	14
12	Nott'm Forest	13	4	2	7	12	20	-8	14
13	Newcastle	13	3	4	6	13	17	-4	13
14	West Ham	13	3	4	6	15	22	-7	13
15	Fulham	13	3	2	8	13	24	-11	11
16	Brighton	13	2	4	7	14	20	-6	10
17	Sunderland	13	2	4	7	6	20	-14	10
18	Leeds	13	1	5	7	14	27	-13	8
19	Burnley	13	2	2	9	16	32	-16	8
20	Wolves	13	0	4	9	5	20	-15	4

Aston Villa Leeds

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Chelsea	26	9	17	1.8	1.2	12	8	6	47	30	44
2	16	Tottenham	26	9	17	1.4	1.4	7	8	11	36	37	29
3	18	West Ham	26	9	17	1.2	1.9	6	6	14	32	49	24
4	2	Man City	26	10	16	2.1	0.9	16	5	5	54	24	53
5	6	Liverpool	26	10	16	1.6	1.3	12	6	8	41	35	42
6	9	Bournemouth	26	10	16	1.7	1.7	9	10	7	43	45	37
7	10	Newcastle	26	10	16	1.4	1.4	10	6	10	37	37	36
8	15	Leeds	26	10	16	1.4	1.7	7	9	10	36	45	30
9	4	Man United	26	11	15	1.8	1.4	12	9	5	47	37	45
10	12	Fulham	26	11	15	1.3	1.5	10	4	12	35	40	34
11	1	Arsenal	27	13	14	1.9	0.7	17	7	3	52	20	58
12	19	Burnley	26	12	14	1.1	2.0	4	6	16	28	51	18
13	3	Aston Villa	26	13	13	1.4	1.0	15	5	6	37	27	50
14	7	Brentford	26	13	13	1.5	1.3	12	4	10	40	35	40
15	17	Nott'm Forest	26	13	13	1.0	1.5	7	6	13	25	38	27
16	13	Crystal Palace	26	14	12	1.1	1.2	8	8	10	28	32	32
17	14	Brighton	26	14	12	1.3	1.3	7	10	9	34	34	31
18	20	Wolves	27	15	12	0.7	1.9	1	7	19	18	50	10
19	11	Sunderland	26	15	11	1.0	1.2	9	9	8	27	30	36
20	8	Everton	26	17	9	1.1	1.2	10	7	9	29	30	37

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Newcastle	13	4	9	1.8	1.5	7	2	4	24	20	23
2	15	Leeds	13	4	9	1.7	1.4	6	4	3	22	18	22
3	18	West Ham	13	4	9	1.3	2.1	3	2	8	17	27	11
4	1	Arsenal	13	5	8	2.4	0.6	10	2	1	31	8	32
5	2	Man City	13	5	8	2.5	0.6	10	2	1	32	8	32
6	5	Chelsea	13	5	8	1.7	1.2	6	4	3	22	15	22
7	12	Fulham	13	5	8	1.7	1.2	7	2	4	22	16	23
8	16	Tottenham	13	5	8	1.2	1.4	2	4	7	16	18	10
9	20	Wolves	14	6	8	0.9	2.1	1	3	10	13	30	6
10	3	Aston Villa	13	6	7	1.5	0.8	9	1	3	19	10	28
11	6	Liverpool	13	6	7	1.6	1.1	7	3	3	21	14	24
12	7	Brentford	13	6	7	1.8	1.0	7	4	2	24	13	25
13	17	Nott'm Forest	13	6	7	1.0	1.4	3	4	6	13	18	13
14	8	Everton	13	7	6	1.2	1.4	4	4	5	16	18	16
15	9	Bournemouth	13	7	6	1.5	1.1	6	5	2	20	14	23
16	11	Sunderland	13	7	6	1.6	0.8	7	5	1	21	10	26
17	13	Crystal Palace	13	7	6	1.0	1.4	2	6	5	13	18	12
18	14	Brighton	13	7	6	1.5	1.1	5	6	2	20	14	21
19	4	Man United	13	8	5	1.9	1.2	8	3	2	25	15	27
20	19	Burnley	13	9	4	0.9	1.5	2	4	7	12	19	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Man United	13	3	10	1.7	1.7	4	6	3	22	22	18
2	9	Bournemouth	13	3	10	1.8	2.4	3	5	5	23	31	14
3	19	Burnley	13	3	10	1.2	2.5	2	2	9	16	32	8
4	5	Chelsea	13	4	9	1.9	1.2	6	4	3	25	15	22
5	6	Liverpool	13	4	9	1.5	1.6	5	3	5	20	21	18
6	16	Tottenham	13	4	9	1.5	1.5	5	4	4	20	19	19
7	2	Man City	13	5	8	1.7	1.2	6	3	4	22	16	21
8	18	West Ham	13	5	8	1.2	1.7	3	4	6	15	22	13
9	10	Newcastle	13	6	7	1.0	1.3	3	4	6	13	17	13
10	12	Fulham	13	6	7	1.0	1.8	3	2	8	13	24	11
11	15	Leeds	13	6	7	1.1	2.1	1	5	7	14	27	8
12	1	Arsenal	14	8	6	1.5	0.9	7	5	2	21	12	26
13	3	Aston Villa	13	7	6	1.4	1.3	6	4	3	18	17	22
14	7	Brentford	13	7	6	1.2	1.7	5	0	8	16	22	15
15	13	Crystal Palace	13	7	6	1.2	1.1	6	2	5	15	14	20
16	14	Brighton	13	7	6	1.1	1.5	2	4	7	14	20	10
17	17	Nott'm Forest	13	7	6	0.9	1.5	4	2	7	12	20	14
18	11	Sunderland	13	8	5	0.5	1.5	2	4	7	6	20	10
19	20	Wolves	13	9	4	0.4	1.5	0	4	9	5	20	4
20	8	Everton	13	10	3	1.0	0.9	6	3	4	13	12	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.