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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Robinson

Burnley 2–0 Leeds

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.25 fair 2.36
Draw 3.25 fair 4.03
Away 2.25 fair 3.06
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 2.19
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Leeds
4 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 5
10 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (71 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.74
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
1.00scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:15
Leeds before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.00scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:11
Burnley all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
2.14 Goals conceded 1.57
3.14 Total goals 2.57
8.00 Shots 12.14
2.57 Shots on target 3.43
18.71 Shots faced 10.71
3.00 Corners 4.00
7.14 Corners against 3.00
9.86 Fouls 10.43
1.43 Yellow cards 1.43
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

14% Wins 29%
14% Draws 29%
71% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 57%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
29% Over 3.5 goals 43%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 43%
14% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 14%
57% Draws 71%
43% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 57%
29% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Leeds all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:2
Leeds before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:7
Burnley at home away Leeds

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.67 Goals conceded 2.33
1.67 Total goals 3.33
7.33 Shots 6.33
2.33 Shots on target 2.67
17.67 Shots faced 13.00
3.00 Corners 1.67
7.00 Corners against 3.00
10.00 Fouls 11.67
0.33 Yellow cards 1.67
0.33 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 0%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 67%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
100% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
20.09.25 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.85
14.09.25 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
23.08.25 Burnley – Sunderland 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.62
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
03.05.25E1 Burnley – Millwall 3–1 (1–1) 1.623.705.75 2.00 1.80
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
21.04.25E1 Burnley – Sheffield United 2–1 (2–1) 1.953.503.90 2.50 1.53

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
18.08.25 Leeds – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.73
03.05.25E1 Plymouth – Leeds 1–2 (1–0) 9.506.251.25 1.50 2.63
28.04.25E1 Leeds – Bristol City 4–0 (1–0) 1.603.905.75 1.83 2.03
21.04.25E1 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.85
14.09.25 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
23.08.25 Burnley – Sunderland 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.62
03.05.25E1 Burnley – Millwall 3–1 (1–1) 1.623.705.75 2.00 1.80
21.04.25E1 Burnley – Sheffield United 2–1 (2–1) 1.953.503.90 2.50 1.53
11.04.25E1 Burnley – Norwich 2–1 (2–0) 1.603.905.50 2.00 1.80
29.03.25E1 Burnley – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.505.00 2.30 1.62
11.03.25E1 Burnley – West Brom 1–1 (1–1) 1.873.204.33 2.63 1.50
08.03.25E1 Burnley – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 1.623.606.00 2.38 1.57
21.02.25E1 Burnley – Sheffield Weds 4–0 (1–0) 1.773.255.00 2.38 1.57

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
03.05.25E1 Plymouth – Leeds 1–2 (1–0) 9.506.251.25 1.50 2.63
18.04.25E1 Oxford – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.83 2.03
08.04.25E1 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
05.04.25E1 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85
15.03.25E1 QPR – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.50 2.00 1.85
09.03.25E1 Portsmouth – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 7.504.501.40 1.73 2.10
24.02.25E1 Sheffield United – Leeds 1–3 (1–0) 3.903.701.85 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsLeeds wins
4matches
1.75goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.25E1 Burnley – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 2.50 1.53
14.09.24E1 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
02.01.22E0 Leeds – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 2.053.503.50 1.72 2.10
29.08.21E0 Burnley – Leeds 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 14 3 +11 16
2 Liverpool 7 5 0 2 13 9 +4 15
3 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 13 5 +8 14
4 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 16 9 +7 14
5 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 11 8 +3 14
6 Man City 7 4 1 2 15 6 +9 13
7 Crystal Palace 7 3 3 1 9 5 +4 12
8 Everton 7 3 2 2 9 7 +2 11
9 Sunderland 7 3 2 2 7 6 +1 11
10 Man United 7 3 1 3 9 11 -2 10
11 Newcastle 7 2 3 2 6 5 +1 9
12 Brighton 7 2 3 2 10 10 0 9
13 Aston Villa 7 2 3 2 6 7 -1 9
14 Fulham 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
15 Leeds 7 2 2 3 7 11 -4 8
16 Brentford 7 2 1 4 9 12 -3 7
17 Nott'm Forest 8 1 2 5 5 15 -10 5
18 Burnley 7 1 1 5 7 15 -8 4
19 West Ham 7 1 1 5 6 16 -10 4
20 Wolves 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 11 1 +10 10
2 Bournemouth 4 3 1 0 6 2 +4 10
3 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 7 3 +4 9
4 Man United 4 3 0 1 7 4 +3 9
5 Everton 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 Sunderland 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
7 Fulham 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
8 Brentford 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
9 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
10 Aston Villa 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
11 Man City 3 2 0 1 8 3 +5 6
12 Newcastle 4 2 0 2 6 5 +1 6
13 Brighton 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
14 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 3 2 +1 5
15 Leeds 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
16 Tottenham 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4
17 Burnley 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
18 Nott'm Forest 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
19 Wolves 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1
20 West Ham 3 0 0 3 2 10 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 4 3 1 0 9 3 +6 10
2 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 11 5 +6 7
3 Man City 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
4 Crystal Palace 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
5 Arsenal 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
6 Liverpool 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
7 Bournemouth 3 1 1 1 5 6 -1 4
8 Brighton 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
9 West Ham 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
10 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 1 4 -3 4
11 Newcastle 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
12 Everton 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
13 Leeds 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
14 Aston Villa 3 0 2 1 1 2 -1 2
15 Nott'm Forest 4 0 2 2 2 7 -5 2
16 Wolves 3 0 1 2 1 3 -2 1
17 Man United 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
19 Brentford 3 0 0 3 3 8 -5 0
20 Burnley 4 0 0 4 4 13 -9 0

Burnley   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Chelsea 8 2 6 2.0 1.1 4 2 2 16 9 14
2 2 Liverpool 7 2 5 1.9 1.3 5 0 2 13 9 15
3 16 Brentford 7 2 5 1.3 1.7 2 1 4 9 12 7
4 19 West Ham 7 2 5 0.9 2.3 1 1 5 6 16 4
5 3 Tottenham 7 3 4 1.9 0.7 4 2 1 13 5 14
6 5 Bournemouth 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 4 2 1 11 8 14
7 6 Man City 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 4 1 2 15 6 13
8 7 Crystal Palace 7 3 4 1.3 0.7 3 3 1 9 5 12
9 10 Man United 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 3 1 3 9 11 10
10 12 Brighton 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 3 2 10 10 9
11 15 Leeds 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 3 7 11 8
12 17 Nott'm Forest 8 4 4 0.6 1.9 1 2 5 5 15 5
13 18 Burnley 7 3 4 1.0 2.1 1 1 5 7 15 4
14 1 Arsenal 7 4 3 2.0 0.4 5 1 1 14 3 16
15 8 Everton 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 3 2 2 9 7 11
16 13 Aston Villa 7 4 3 0.9 1.0 2 3 2 6 7 9
17 14 Fulham 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
18 20 Wolves 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2
19 9 Sunderland 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 3 2 2 7 6 11
20 11 Newcastle 7 5 2 0.9 0.7 2 3 2 6 5 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Aston Villa 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
2 17 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
3 19 West Ham 3 0 3 0.7 3.3 0 0 3 2 10 0
4 20 Wolves 4 1 3 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
5 1 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.8 0.2 3 1 0 11 1 10
6 2 Liverpool 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 3 0 0 7 3 9
7 4 Chelsea 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
8 5 Bournemouth 4 2 2 1.5 0.5 3 1 0 6 2 10
9 6 Man City 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 2 0 1 8 3 6
10 9 Sunderland 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
11 10 Man United 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 3 0 1 7 4 9
12 11 Newcastle 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 2 0 2 6 5 6
13 12 Brighton 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
14 15 Leeds 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
15 16 Brentford 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
16 3 Tottenham 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4
17 7 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 1 2 0 3 2 5
18 8 Everton 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
19 14 Fulham 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
20 18 Burnley 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Chelsea 4 0 4 2.8 1.2 2 1 1 11 5 7
2 18 Burnley 4 0 4 1.0 3.2 0 0 4 4 13 0
3 2 Liverpool 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
4 3 Tottenham 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 3 1 0 9 3 10
5 7 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
6 16 Brentford 3 0 3 1.0 2.7 0 0 3 3 8 0
7 5 Bournemouth 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 1 1 1 5 6 4
8 6 Man City 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
9 8 Everton 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
10 10 Man United 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
11 12 Brighton 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
12 14 Fulham 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
13 15 Leeds 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
14 19 West Ham 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
15 1 Arsenal 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
16 17 Nott'm Forest 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 0 2 2 2 7 2
17 9 Sunderland 4 4 0 0.2 1.0 1 1 2 1 4 4
18 11 Newcastle 3 3 0 0.0 0.0 0 3 0 0 0 3
19 13 Aston Villa 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 0 2 1 1 2 2
20 20 Wolves 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 1 2 1 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51