Chelsea 1–1 Burnley – England Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

Match facts

Chelsea Burnley

12 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

9 Corners 5

13 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (261 league matches this season so far).

Result Chelsea to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.67

Expected goals 2.19 – 1.12

Home / Draw / Away

62% 20% 19%

ChelseaDrawBurnley

Under / Over 2.5 goals

36% 64%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

40% 60%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

12% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

24% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.8% 1–1 9% 2–0 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches

1.69points / match

1.81scored / match

1.15conceded / match

12 8 6

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 47:30

Burnley before this match, all matches

0.69points / match

1.08scored / match

1.96conceded / match

4 6 16

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 28:51

Chelsea all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.08

1.15 Goals conceded 1.96

2.96 Total goals 3.04

13.69 Shots 9.00

4.81 Shots on target 2.92

10.96 Shots faced 16.69

5.73 Corners 3.38

4.27 Corners against 5.81

11.08 Fouls 9.92

2.31 Yellow cards 1.65

0.77 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.54 1st-half goals conceded 1.04

How often Full Time

46% Wins 15%

31% Draws 23%

23% Losses 62%

92% Over 0.5 goals 96%

88% Over 1.5 goals 88%

65% Over 2.5 goals 54%

38% Over 3.5 goals 38%

8% Over 4.5 goals 23%

4% Over 5.5 goals 4%

65% Both teams scored 58%

35% Clean sheets 12%

8% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 12%

31% Draws 38%

23% Losses 50%

77% Over 0.5 goals 81%

35% Over 1.5 goals 46%

12% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches

2

D

1

2

L

2

D

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

3

1

W

3

2

W

3

1

W

2

D

Burnley all matches

1

D

1

3

L

2

L

2

D

1

D

2

D

3

L

2

L

3

2

W

Chelsea before this match, at home

1.69points / match

1.69scored / match

1.15conceded / match

6 4 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:15

Burnley before this match, away

0.62points / match

1.23scored / match

2.46conceded / match

2 2 9

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:32

Chelsea at home away Burnley

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 1.23

1.15 Goals conceded 2.46

2.85 Total goals 3.69

14.69 Shots 8.08

4.62 Shots on target 2.92

10.54 Shots faced 18.23

6.85 Corners 3.54

3.85 Corners against 6.31

10.69 Fouls 10.23

2.08 Yellow cards 2.08

0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.54

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 1.15

How often Full Time

46% Wins 15%

31% Draws 15%

23% Losses 69%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

92% Over 1.5 goals 100%

62% Over 2.5 goals 77%

31% Over 3.5 goals 46%

8% Over 4.5 goals 38%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

62% Both teams scored 77%

38% Clean sheets 0%

8% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 8%

38% Draws 38%

8% Losses 54%

77% Over 0.5 goals 85%

31% Over 1.5 goals 46%

8% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home

2

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

D

2

W

3

2

W

2

D

Burnley away

1

2

L

3

2

W

2

3

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

L

1

D

3

L

3

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.26	Chelsea – Leeds	2–2 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.62	2.30
07.02.26	Wolves – Chelsea	1–3 (0–3)	5.00	4.00	1.67	1.73	2.10
31.01.26	Chelsea – West Ham	3–2 (0–2)	1.50	4.50	6.00	1.53	2.50
25.01.26	Crystal Palace – Chelsea	1–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.80	2.00	1.73	2.10
17.01.26	Chelsea – Brentford	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
07.01.26	Fulham – Chelsea	2–1 (0–0)	3.40	3.60	2.05	1.80	2.00
04.01.26	Man City – Chelsea	1–1 (1–0)	1.60	4.75	4.50	1.50	2.63
30.12.25	Chelsea – Bournemouth	2–2 (2–2)	1.50	4.75	5.75	1.50	2.63
27.12.25	Chelsea – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.20
20.12.25	Newcastle – Chelsea	2–2 (2–0)	2.75	3.60	2.45	1.67	2.20

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.26	Crystal Palace – Burnley	2–3 (2–3)	1.57	4.00	6.25	1.98	1.88
07.02.26	Burnley – West Ham	0–2 (0–2)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.90	1.95
02.02.26	Sunderland – Burnley	3–0 (2–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.20	1.67
24.01.26	Burnley – Tottenham	2–2 (1–1)	3.70	3.50	2.05	2.00	1.80
17.01.26	Liverpool – Burnley	1–1 (1–0)	1.22	6.50	11.00	1.57	2.38
07.01.26	Burnley – Man United	2–2 (1–0)	4.75	4.00	1.70	1.73	2.10
03.01.26	Brighton – Burnley	2–0 (1–0)	1.48	4.33	7.00	1.73	2.10
30.12.25	Burnley – Newcastle	1–3 (1–2)	5.25	4.20	1.60	1.80	2.00
27.12.25	Burnley – Everton	0–0 (0–0)	4.10	3.40	1.95	2.20	1.67
20.12.25	Bournemouth – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	1.48	4.33	6.50	1.67	2.20

Chelsea at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.26	Chelsea – Leeds	2–2 (1–0)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.62	2.30
31.01.26	Chelsea – West Ham	3–2 (0–2)	1.50	4.50	6.00	1.53	2.50
17.01.26	Chelsea – Brentford	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
30.12.25	Chelsea – Bournemouth	2–2 (2–2)	1.50	4.75	5.75	1.50	2.63
27.12.25	Chelsea – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	1.83	3.90	4.00	1.67	2.20
13.12.25	Chelsea – Everton	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.88	1.98
30.11.25	Chelsea – Arsenal	1–1 (0–0)	3.40	3.30	2.20	1.98	1.88
08.11.25	Chelsea – Wolves	3–0 (0–0)	1.36	4.75	8.50	1.62	2.30
25.10.25	Chelsea – Sunderland	1–2 (1–1)	1.36	4.75	9.00	1.73	2.10
04.10.25	Chelsea – Liverpool	2–1 (1–0)	2.80	3.75	2.30	1.53	2.50

Burnley away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.26	Crystal Palace – Burnley	2–3 (2–3)	1.57	4.00	6.25	1.98	1.88
02.02.26	Sunderland – Burnley	3–0 (2–0)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.20	1.67
17.01.26	Liverpool – Burnley	1–1 (1–0)	1.22	6.50	11.00	1.57	2.38
03.01.26	Brighton – Burnley	2–0 (1–0)	1.48	4.33	7.00	1.73	2.10
20.12.25	Bournemouth – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	1.48	4.33	6.50	1.67	2.20
06.12.25	Newcastle – Burnley	2–1 (2–0)	1.27	6.00	9.50	1.57	2.38
29.11.25	Brentford – Burnley	3–1 (0–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.73	2.10
08.11.25	West Ham – Burnley	3–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.00	2.00	1.80
26.10.25	Wolves – Burnley	2–3 (2–2)	1.95	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
05.10.25	Aston Villa – Burnley	2–1 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.75	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2

Chelsea winsDrawsBurnley wins

5matches

3.40goals / match

60%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.11.25E0	Burnley – Chelsea	0–2 (0–1)	6.25	4.50	1.48	1.80	2.00
30.03.24E0	Chelsea – Burnley	2–2 (1–0)	1.29	6.00	9.50	1.48	2.60
07.10.23E0	Burnley – Chelsea	1–4 (1–1)	4.50	3.80	1.73	1.85	2.05
05.03.22E0	Burnley – Chelsea	0–4 (0–0)	6.50	4.33	1.50	2.10	1.72
06.11.21E0	Chelsea – Burnley	1–1 (1–0)	1.25	6.00	12.00	1.72	2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	27	17	7	3	52	20	+32	58
2	Man City	26	16	5	5	54	24	+30	53
3	Aston Villa	26	15	5	6	37	27	+10	50
4	Man United	26	12	9	5	47	37	+10	45
5	Chelsea	26	12	8	6	47	30	+17	44
6	Liverpool	26	12	6	8	41	35	+6	42
7	Brentford	26	12	4	10	40	35	+5	40
8	Everton	26	10	7	9	29	30	-1	37
9	Bournemouth	26	9	10	7	43	45	-2	37
10	Newcastle	26	10	6	10	37	37	0	36
11	Sunderland	26	9	9	8	27	30	-3	36
12	Fulham	26	10	4	12	35	40	-5	34
13	Crystal Palace	26	8	8	10	28	32	-4	32
14	Brighton	26	7	10	9	34	34	0	31
15	Leeds	26	7	9	10	36	45	-9	30
16	Tottenham	26	7	8	11	36	37	-1	29
17	Nott'm Forest	26	7	6	13	25	38	-13	27
18	West Ham	26	6	6	14	32	49	-17	24
19	Burnley	26	4	6	16	28	51	-23	18
20	Wolves	27	1	7	19	18	50	-32	10

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	13	10	2	1	32	8	+24	32
2	Arsenal	13	10	2	1	31	8	+23	32
3	Aston Villa	13	9	1	3	19	10	+9	28
4	Man United	13	8	3	2	25	15	+10	27
5	Sunderland	13	7	5	1	21	10	+11	26
6	Brentford	13	7	4	2	24	13	+11	25
7	Liverpool	13	7	3	3	21	14	+7	24
8	Fulham	13	7	2	4	22	16	+6	23
9	Bournemouth	13	6	5	2	20	14	+6	23
10	Newcastle	13	7	2	4	24	20	+4	23
11	Chelsea	13	6	4	3	22	15	+7	22
12	Leeds	13	6	4	3	22	18	+4	22
13	Brighton	13	5	6	2	20	14	+6	21
14	Everton	13	4	4	5	16	18	-2	16
15	Nott'm Forest	13	3	4	6	13	18	-5	13
16	Crystal Palace	13	2	6	5	13	18	-5	12
17	West Ham	13	3	2	8	17	27	-10	11
18	Tottenham	13	2	4	7	16	18	-2	10
19	Burnley	13	2	4	7	12	19	-7	10
20	Wolves	14	1	3	10	13	30	-17	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	14	7	5	2	21	12	+9	26
2	Chelsea	13	6	4	3	25	15	+10	22
3	Aston Villa	13	6	4	3	18	17	+1	22
4	Man City	13	6	3	4	22	16	+6	21
5	Everton	13	6	3	4	13	12	+1	21
6	Crystal Palace	13	6	2	5	15	14	+1	20
7	Tottenham	13	5	4	4	20	19	+1	19
8	Man United	13	4	6	3	22	22	0	18
9	Liverpool	13	5	3	5	20	21	-1	18
10	Brentford	13	5	0	8	16	22	-6	15
11	Bournemouth	13	3	5	5	23	31	-8	14
12	Nott'm Forest	13	4	2	7	12	20	-8	14
13	Newcastle	13	3	4	6	13	17	-4	13
14	West Ham	13	3	4	6	15	22	-7	13
15	Fulham	13	3	2	8	13	24	-11	11
16	Brighton	13	2	4	7	14	20	-6	10
17	Sunderland	13	2	4	7	6	20	-14	10
18	Leeds	13	1	5	7	14	27	-13	8
19	Burnley	13	2	2	9	16	32	-16	8
20	Wolves	13	0	4	9	5	20	-15	4

Chelsea Burnley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Chelsea	26	9	17	1.8	1.2	12	8	6	47	30	44
2	16	Tottenham	26	9	17	1.4	1.4	7	8	11	36	37	29
3	18	West Ham	26	9	17	1.2	1.9	6	6	14	32	49	24
4	2	Man City	26	10	16	2.1	0.9	16	5	5	54	24	53
5	6	Liverpool	26	10	16	1.6	1.3	12	6	8	41	35	42
6	9	Bournemouth	26	10	16	1.7	1.7	9	10	7	43	45	37
7	10	Newcastle	26	10	16	1.4	1.4	10	6	10	37	37	36
8	15	Leeds	26	10	16	1.4	1.7	7	9	10	36	45	30
9	4	Man United	26	11	15	1.8	1.4	12	9	5	47	37	45
10	12	Fulham	26	11	15	1.3	1.5	10	4	12	35	40	34
11	1	Arsenal	27	13	14	1.9	0.7	17	7	3	52	20	58
12	19	Burnley	26	12	14	1.1	2.0	4	6	16	28	51	18
13	3	Aston Villa	26	13	13	1.4	1.0	15	5	6	37	27	50
14	7	Brentford	26	13	13	1.5	1.3	12	4	10	40	35	40
15	17	Nott'm Forest	26	13	13	1.0	1.5	7	6	13	25	38	27
16	13	Crystal Palace	26	14	12	1.1	1.2	8	8	10	28	32	32
17	14	Brighton	26	14	12	1.3	1.3	7	10	9	34	34	31
18	20	Wolves	27	15	12	0.7	1.9	1	7	19	18	50	10
19	11	Sunderland	26	15	11	1.0	1.2	9	9	8	27	30	36
20	8	Everton	26	17	9	1.1	1.2	10	7	9	29	30	37

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Newcastle	13	4	9	1.8	1.5	7	2	4	24	20	23
2	15	Leeds	13	4	9	1.7	1.4	6	4	3	22	18	22
3	18	West Ham	13	4	9	1.3	2.1	3	2	8	17	27	11
4	1	Arsenal	13	5	8	2.4	0.6	10	2	1	31	8	32
5	2	Man City	13	5	8	2.5	0.6	10	2	1	32	8	32
6	5	Chelsea	13	5	8	1.7	1.2	6	4	3	22	15	22
7	12	Fulham	13	5	8	1.7	1.2	7	2	4	22	16	23
8	16	Tottenham	13	5	8	1.2	1.4	2	4	7	16	18	10
9	20	Wolves	14	6	8	0.9	2.1	1	3	10	13	30	6
10	3	Aston Villa	13	6	7	1.5	0.8	9	1	3	19	10	28
11	6	Liverpool	13	6	7	1.6	1.1	7	3	3	21	14	24
12	7	Brentford	13	6	7	1.8	1.0	7	4	2	24	13	25
13	17	Nott'm Forest	13	6	7	1.0	1.4	3	4	6	13	18	13
14	8	Everton	13	7	6	1.2	1.4	4	4	5	16	18	16
15	9	Bournemouth	13	7	6	1.5	1.1	6	5	2	20	14	23
16	11	Sunderland	13	7	6	1.6	0.8	7	5	1	21	10	26
17	13	Crystal Palace	13	7	6	1.0	1.4	2	6	5	13	18	12
18	14	Brighton	13	7	6	1.5	1.1	5	6	2	20	14	21
19	4	Man United	13	8	5	1.9	1.2	8	3	2	25	15	27
20	19	Burnley	13	9	4	0.9	1.5	2	4	7	12	19	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Man United	13	3	10	1.7	1.7	4	6	3	22	22	18
2	9	Bournemouth	13	3	10	1.8	2.4	3	5	5	23	31	14
3	19	Burnley	13	3	10	1.2	2.5	2	2	9	16	32	8
4	5	Chelsea	13	4	9	1.9	1.2	6	4	3	25	15	22
5	6	Liverpool	13	4	9	1.5	1.6	5	3	5	20	21	18
6	16	Tottenham	13	4	9	1.5	1.5	5	4	4	20	19	19
7	2	Man City	13	5	8	1.7	1.2	6	3	4	22	16	21
8	18	West Ham	13	5	8	1.2	1.7	3	4	6	15	22	13
9	10	Newcastle	13	6	7	1.0	1.3	3	4	6	13	17	13
10	12	Fulham	13	6	7	1.0	1.8	3	2	8	13	24	11
11	15	Leeds	13	6	7	1.1	2.1	1	5	7	14	27	8
12	1	Arsenal	14	8	6	1.5	0.9	7	5	2	21	12	26
13	3	Aston Villa	13	7	6	1.4	1.3	6	4	3	18	17	22
14	7	Brentford	13	7	6	1.2	1.7	5	0	8	16	22	15
15	13	Crystal Palace	13	7	6	1.2	1.1	6	2	5	15	14	20
16	14	Brighton	13	7	6	1.1	1.5	2	4	7	14	20	10
17	17	Nott'm Forest	13	7	6	0.9	1.5	4	2	7	12	20	14
18	11	Sunderland	13	8	5	0.5	1.5	2	4	7	6	20	10
19	20	Wolves	13	9	4	0.4	1.5	0	4	9	5	20	4
20	8	Everton	13	10	3	1.0	0.9	6	3	4	13	12	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.