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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Man City 2–2 Brighton

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.67 fair 2.20
Draw ✓ 4.33 fair 4.47
Away 4.50 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.52

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Brighton
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 5
10 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (281 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.51
Expected goals 1.86 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.6% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
1.68points / match
1.89scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 53:38
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.64scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 46:40
Man City all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.64
1.36 Goals conceded 1.43
3.25 Total goals 3.07
16.25 Shots 13.82
5.89 Shots on target 4.86
9.75 Shots faced 11.14
7.04 Corners 4.93
3.50 Corners against 5.39
7.32 Fouls 11.71
1.64 Yellow cards 1.93
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

50% Wins 43%
18% Draws 36%
32% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
89% Over 1.5 goals 86%
68% Over 2.5 goals 68%
43% Over 3.5 goals 39%
18% Over 4.5 goals 11%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
61% Both teams scored 68%
25% Clean sheets 25%
14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 43%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 32%
93% Over 0.5 goals 86%
54% Over 1.5 goals 32%
21% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Brighton all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.15scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 28:17
Brighton before this match, away
1.57points / match
1.79scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 25:24
Man City at home away Brighton

Per match

2.15 Goals scored 1.79
1.31 Goals conceded 1.71
3.46 Total goals 3.50
17.92 Shots 12.50
6.38 Shots on target 5.21
8.23 Shots faced 12.36
8.15 Corners 4.71
2.77 Corners against 5.86
7.00 Fouls 11.64
1.85 Yellow cards 1.93
1.38 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

62% Wins 43%
15% Draws 29%
23% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 93%
77% Over 2.5 goals 71%
54% Over 3.5 goals 50%
23% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 14%
62% Both teams scored 64%
23% Clean sheets 29%
15% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 43%
23% Draws 29%
23% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
85% Over 1.5 goals 29%
31% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.57 2.38
26.02.25 Tottenham – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 3.254.002.00 1.36 3.20
23.02.25 Man City – Liverpool 0–2 (0–2) 2.883.802.25 1.40 3.00
15.02.25 Man City – Newcastle 4–0 (3–0) 1.954.203.30 1.44 2.75
02.02.25 Arsenal – Man City 5–1 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.73 2.10
25.01.25 Man City – Chelsea 3–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.30 1.40 3.00
19.01.25 Ipswich – Man City 0–6 (0–3) 7.505.251.36 1.44 2.75
14.01.25 Brentford – Man City 2–2 (0–0) 4.754.201.62 1.40 3.00
04.01.25 Man City – West Ham 4–1 (2–0) 1.306.257.50 1.33 3.40
29.12.24 Leicester – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 7.505.501.36 1.36 3.20

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.25 Brighton – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.73 2.10
25.02.25 Brighton – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.803.30 1.62 2.30
22.02.25 Southampton – Brighton 0–4 (0–1) 6.004.101.55 1.57 2.38
14.02.25 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.602.45 1.57 2.38
01.02.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 7–0 (3–0) 2.383.502.80 1.95 1.95
25.01.25 Brighton – Everton 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.755.50 1.89 1.89
19.01.25 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
16.01.25 Ipswich – Brighton 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.73 2.10
04.01.25 Brighton – Arsenal 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 1.73 2.10
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.25 Man City – Liverpool 0–2 (0–2) 2.883.802.25 1.40 3.00
15.02.25 Man City – Newcastle 4–0 (3–0) 1.954.203.30 1.44 2.75
25.01.25 Man City – Chelsea 3–1 (1–1) 2.054.003.30 1.40 3.00
04.01.25 Man City – West Ham 4–1 (2–0) 1.306.257.50 1.33 3.40
26.12.24 Man City – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 1.335.507.50 1.53 2.50
15.12.24 Man City – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Man City – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Man City – Tottenham 0–4 (0–2) 1.484.756.00 1.30 3.50
26.10.24 Man City – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.29 3.75
05.10.24 Man City – Fulham 3–2 (1–1) 1.257.009.50 1.44 2.75

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.25 Southampton – Brighton 0–4 (0–1) 6.004.101.55 1.57 2.38
01.02.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 7–0 (3–0) 2.383.502.80 1.95 1.95
19.01.25 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (1–1) 2.103.603.30 1.67 2.20
16.01.25 Ipswich – Brighton 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.73 2.10
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
21.12.24 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.702.35 1.50 2.63
08.12.24 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (0–1) 4.503.801.73 1.57 2.38
05.12.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–1 (1–0) 2.353.602.88 1.62 2.30
23.11.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsBrighton wins
7matches
3.43goals / match
86%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24E0 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
25.04.24E0 Brighton – Man City 0–4 (0–3) 6.505.001.40 1.50 2.63
21.10.23E0 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
24.05.23E0 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50
22.10.22E0 Man City – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
20.04.22E0 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
23.10.21E0 Brighton – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 8.004.751.40 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 +42 70 DWDWWW
2 Arsenal 28 15 10 3 52 24 +28 55 WWWLDD
3 Nott'm Forest 28 15 6 7 45 33 +12 51 LWLLDW
4 Chelsea 28 14 7 7 53 36 +17 49 LWLLWW
5 Man City 28 14 5 9 53 38 +15 47 WLWLWL
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 +9 47 WLLWLW
7 Brighton 28 12 10 6 46 40 +6 46 LLWWWW
8 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45 LDDWLW
9 Bournemouth 28 12 8 8 47 34 +13 44 WLWLLD
10 Fulham 28 11 9 8 41 38 +3 42 LWWLWL
11 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 +3 39 LWLWWW
12 Brentford 28 11 5 12 48 44 +4 38 WLWWDL
13 Tottenham 28 10 4 14 55 41 +14 34 LWWWLD
14 Man United 28 9 7 12 34 40 -6 34 WLLDWD
15 Everton 28 7 12 9 31 35 -4 33 WDWDDD
16 West Ham 28 9 6 13 32 48 -16 33 DLLWWL
17 Wolves 28 6 5 17 38 57 -19 23 LWLWLD
18 Ipswich 28 3 8 17 26 58 -32 17 LLDLLL
19 Leicester 28 4 5 19 25 62 -37 17 WLLLLL
20 Southampton 28 2 3 23 20 68 -48 9 LWLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 14 11 2 1 31 11 +20 35 WDWWWW
2 Arsenal 13 8 4 1 27 11 +16 28 DWWDWL
3 Nott'm Forest 14 8 4 2 23 10 +13 28 WDWWDW
4 Chelsea 14 8 4 2 27 15 +12 28 LDWWWW
5 Aston Villa 15 7 7 1 25 18 +7 28 DWDDDW
6 Man City 13 8 2 3 28 17 +11 26 LDWWWL
7 Brighton 14 6 6 2 21 16 +5 24 DDLWWW
8 Brentford 15 7 3 5 30 27 +3 24 LDLLDL
9 Newcastle 13 7 2 4 24 17 +7 23 WWWLLW
10 Bournemouth 13 6 3 4 17 10 +7 21 DDWWLL
11 Fulham 14 5 5 4 20 21 -1 20 DDDLWL
12 Man United 15 6 2 7 21 25 -4 20 LWLLWD
13 Tottenham 15 5 3 7 30 26 +4 18 DLLWLD
14 Everton 14 4 6 4 20 17 +3 18 LLWWDD
15 Crystal Palace 15 4 5 6 17 22 -5 17 WDLLWW
16 West Ham 15 5 2 8 18 28 -10 17 LWLLWL
17 Wolves 14 3 2 9 18 27 -9 11 WLLWLD
18 Leicester 14 2 3 9 11 27 -16 9 LLLLLL
19 Ipswich 14 1 4 9 10 30 -20 7 LWLLLL
20 Southampton 13 1 1 11 9 37 -28 4 LLLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 15 10 5 0 38 16 +22 35 DWWDDW
2 Arsenal 15 7 6 2 25 13 +12 27 WDWWDD
3 Newcastle 15 7 3 5 23 21 +2 24 WWWLLW
4 Bournemouth 15 6 5 4 30 24 +6 23 DDWWLD
5 Nott'm Forest 14 7 2 5 22 23 -1 23 WWWLLL
6 Crystal Palace 13 6 4 3 19 11 +8 22 WDWWWW
7 Fulham 14 6 4 4 21 17 +4 22 WLWWWL
8 Brighton 14 6 4 4 25 24 +1 22 DDWWLW
9 Chelsea 14 6 3 5 26 21 +5 21 DLDLLL
10 Man City 15 6 3 6 25 21 +4 21 WDWLWL
11 Aston Villa 14 5 2 7 16 27 -11 17 LWDLLW
12 Tottenham 13 5 1 7 25 15 +10 16 WLLLWW
13 West Ham 13 4 4 5 14 20 -6 16 DWLDLW
14 Everton 14 3 6 5 11 18 -7 15 DLWWDD
15 Brentford 13 4 2 7 18 17 +1 14 LDWWWW
16 Man United 13 3 5 5 13 15 -2 14 WLDWLD
17 Wolves 14 3 3 8 20 30 -10 12 WDLLLW
18 Ipswich 14 2 4 8 16 28 -12 10 LDLDLL
19 Leicester 14 2 2 10 14 35 -21 8 LLWLLL
20 Southampton 15 1 2 12 11 31 -20 5 LLLWLL

Man City   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Wolves 28 8 20 1.4 2.0 6 5 17 38 57 23 UUOUOU
2 5 Man City 28 9 19 1.9 1.4 14 5 9 53 38 47 OOOUUU
3 7 Brighton 28 9 19 1.6 1.4 12 10 6 46 40 46 UOOOOO
4 8 Aston Villa 29 10 19 1.4 1.6 12 9 8 41 45 45 UUOOOU
5 13 Tottenham 28 9 19 2.0 1.5 10 4 14 55 41 34 OUUOUO
6 1 Liverpool 29 11 18 2.4 0.9 21 7 1 69 27 70 OOOUUO
7 4 Chelsea 28 10 18 1.9 1.3 14 7 7 53 36 49 OOOOOU
8 12 Brentford 28 10 18 1.7 1.6 11 5 12 48 44 38 OUUOUU
9 19 Leicester 28 10 18 0.9 2.2 4 5 19 25 62 17 OOUOUU
10 20 Southampton 28 10 18 0.7 2.4 2 3 23 20 68 9 OOOOOO
11 6 Newcastle 28 11 17 1.7 1.4 14 5 9 47 38 47 OOOOUU
12 9 Bournemouth 28 12 16 1.7 1.2 12 8 8 47 34 44 OUOUOO
13 10 Fulham 28 12 16 1.5 1.4 11 9 8 41 38 42 UOOUOO
14 14 Man United 28 12 16 1.2 1.4 9 7 12 34 40 34 UUUOOU
15 3 Nott'm Forest 28 14 14 1.6 1.2 15 6 7 45 33 51 OOOOUU
16 16 West Ham 28 14 14 1.1 1.7 9 6 13 32 48 33 UOUUUU
17 18 Ipswich 28 14 14 0.9 2.1 3 8 17 26 58 17 OOUOOU
18 11 Crystal Palace 28 16 12 1.3 1.2 10 9 9 36 33 39 OUOUOU
19 15 Everton 28 16 12 1.1 1.2 7 12 9 31 35 33 OOOOUU
20 2 Arsenal 28 17 11 1.9 0.9 15 10 3 52 24 55 UOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 13 Tottenham 15 4 11 2.0 1.7 5 3 7 30 26 18 OOOUUO
2 5 Man City 13 3 10 2.2 1.3 8 2 3 28 17 26 OUOOOU
3 14 Man United 15 5 10 1.4 1.7 6 2 7 21 25 20 UOOUOU
4 1 Liverpool 14 5 9 2.2 0.8 11 2 1 31 11 35 OOOOUO
5 4 Chelsea 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 4 2 27 15 28 OOOOOU
6 7 Brighton 14 5 9 1.5 1.1 6 6 2 21 16 24 UUUOOO
7 8 Aston Villa 15 6 9 1.7 1.2 7 7 1 25 18 28 OOUUOO
8 10 Fulham 14 5 9 1.4 1.5 5 5 4 20 21 20 UOOUOU
9 12 Brentford 15 6 9 2.0 1.8 7 3 5 30 27 24 OOUUUU
10 16 West Ham 15 6 9 1.2 1.9 5 2 8 18 28 17 OOUUUU
11 17 Wolves 14 5 9 1.3 1.9 3 2 9 18 27 11 UOUUOU
12 20 Southampton 13 4 9 0.7 2.8 1 1 11 9 37 4 OUOOOO
13 6 Newcastle 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 7 2 4 24 17 23 OOOOOO
14 15 Everton 14 6 8 1.4 1.2 4 6 4 20 17 18 UUOOOO
15 2 Arsenal 13 6 7 2.1 0.8 8 4 1 27 11 28 UUOOOU
16 11 Crystal Palace 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 5 6 17 22 17 OUOOOU
17 19 Leicester 14 7 7 0.8 1.9 2 3 9 11 27 9 OUUUUO
18 18 Ipswich 14 8 6 0.7 2.1 1 4 9 10 30 7 OUUOOO
19 3 Nott'm Forest 14 9 5 1.6 0.7 8 4 2 23 10 28 UUOOUU
20 9 Bournemouth 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 6 3 4 17 10 21 UUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 Bournemouth 15 3 12 2.0 1.6 6 5 4 30 24 23 OOOOOO
2 17 Wolves 14 3 11 1.4 2.1 3 3 8 20 30 12 OOOOOU
3 19 Leicester 14 3 11 1.0 2.5 2 2 10 14 35 8 OOOOUU
4 7 Brighton 14 4 10 1.8 1.7 6 4 4 25 24 22 UOUOOO
5 8 Aston Villa 14 4 10 1.1 1.9 5 2 7 16 27 17 OUOUOU
6 1 Liverpool 15 6 9 2.5 1.1 10 5 0 38 16 35 UUUOOU
7 3 Nott'm Forest 14 5 9 1.6 1.6 7 2 5 22 23 23 UUOOOO
8 4 Chelsea 14 5 9 1.9 1.5 6 3 5 26 21 21 UUUOOO
9 5 Man City 15 6 9 1.7 1.4 6 3 6 25 21 21 UOOOUU
10 6 Newcastle 15 6 9 1.5 1.4 7 3 5 23 21 24 UOOOUU
11 12 Brentford 13 4 9 1.4 1.3 4 2 7 18 17 14 OUOOUO
12 20 Southampton 15 6 9 0.7 2.1 1 2 12 11 31 5 OOOOOO
13 13 Tottenham 13 5 8 1.9 1.2 5 1 7 25 15 16 OUOOUO
14 18 Ipswich 14 6 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 8 16 28 10 UOOUOU
15 10 Fulham 14 7 7 1.5 1.2 6 4 4 21 17 22 OOUOOO
16 14 Man United 13 7 6 1.0 1.2 3 5 5 13 15 14 OUOUUO
17 11 Crystal Palace 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 6 4 3 19 11 22 OUUUUU
18 16 West Ham 13 8 5 1.1 1.5 4 4 5 14 20 16 UUOUOU
19 2 Arsenal 15 11 4 1.7 0.9 7 6 2 25 13 27 OUUUUU
20 15 Everton 14 10 4 0.8 1.3 3 6 5 11 18 15 UUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11