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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Man United 1–3 Brighton

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.10 fair 2.76
Draw 3.60 fair 4.11
Away ✓ 3.30 fair 2.53
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.35
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.74

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Brighton
10 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 2
13 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (214 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.53
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.24scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:29
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.48points / match
1.52scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 32:29
Man United all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 1.52
1.38 Goals conceded 1.38
2.62 Total goals 2.90
13.71 Shots 14.48
4.86 Shots on target 4.86
11.33 Shots faced 11.71
5.05 Corners 5.19
4.57 Corners against 5.33
11.62 Fouls 12.05
2.24 Yellow cards 2.00
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
24% Draws 48%
43% Losses 19%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
62% Over 2.5 goals 62%
19% Over 3.5 goals 38%
5% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
43% Both teams scored 76%
29% Clean sheets 24%
38% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 43%
48% Draws 24%
38% Losses 33%
62% Over 0.5 goals 81%
33% Over 1.5 goals 24%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Brighton all matches
Man United before this match, at home
1.45points / match
1.45scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:17
Brighton before this match, away
1.45points / match
1.64scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:16
Man United at home away Brighton

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.64
1.55 Goals conceded 1.45
3.00 Total goals 3.09
14.91 Shots 12.82
5.09 Shots on target 4.82
11.36 Shots faced 13.00
5.27 Corners 4.73
3.73 Corners against 6.27
11.82 Fouls 11.45
2.18 Yellow cards 1.91
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

45% Wins 36%
9% Draws 36%
45% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 91%
73% Over 2.5 goals 64%
27% Over 3.5 goals 36%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
36% Both teams scored 73%
27% Clean sheets 27%
36% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 45%
27% Draws 27%
55% Losses 27%
82% Over 0.5 goals 82%
45% Over 1.5 goals 18%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.25 Man United – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.50
05.01.25 Liverpool – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 1.296.258.00 1.44 2.75
30.12.24 Man United – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.55 1.62 2.30
26.12.24 Wolves – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.67 2.20
22.12.24 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.57 2.38
15.12.24 Man City – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
07.12.24 Man United – Nott'm Forest 2–3 (1–1) 1.653.905.25 1.80 2.00
04.12.24 Arsenal – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.00 1.62 2.30
01.12.24 Man United – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.534.206.00 1.73 2.10
24.11.24 Ipswich – Man United 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.001.62 1.57 2.38

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.25 Ipswich – Brighton 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.73 2.10
04.01.25 Brighton – Arsenal 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 1.73 2.10
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
27.12.24 Brighton – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.75 1.44 2.75
21.12.24 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.702.35 1.50 2.63
15.12.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–3 (0–2) 1.853.803.90 1.73 2.10
08.12.24 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (0–1) 4.503.801.73 1.57 2.38
05.12.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–1 (1–0) 2.353.602.88 1.62 2.30
29.11.24 Brighton – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.44 2.75
23.11.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.25 Man United – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.50
30.12.24 Man United – Newcastle 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.55 1.62 2.30
22.12.24 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.57 2.38
07.12.24 Man United – Nott'm Forest 2–3 (1–1) 1.653.905.25 1.80 2.00
01.12.24 Man United – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.534.206.00 1.73 2.10
10.11.24 Man United – Leicester 3–0 (2–0) 1.385.506.50 1.44 2.75
03.11.24 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.502.60 1.44 2.75
19.10.24 Man United – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.704.204.50 1.50 2.63
29.09.24 Man United – Tottenham 0–3 (0–1) 2.353.752.75 1.44 2.75
01.09.24 Man United – Liverpool 0–3 (0–2) 3.704.201.85 1.44 2.75

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.25 Ipswich – Brighton 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.701.91 1.73 2.10
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
21.12.24 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.702.35 1.50 2.63
08.12.24 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (0–1) 4.503.801.73 1.57 2.38
05.12.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–1 (1–0) 2.353.602.88 1.62 2.30
23.11.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsBrighton wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
57%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24E0 Brighton – Man United 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38
19.05.24E0 Brighton – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 2.154.002.90 1.33 3.40
16.09.23E0 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (0–1) 2.154.002.88 1.44 2.75
04.05.23E0 Brighton – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.57 2.38
07.08.22E0 Man United – Brighton 1–2 (0–2) 1.604.205.25 1.92 1.98
07.05.22E0 Brighton – Man United 4–0 (1–0) 2.803.502.45 1.95 1.95
15.02.22E0 Man United – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.723.754.75 1.92 1.98

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 21 15 5 1 50 20 +30 50
2 Arsenal 22 12 8 2 43 21 +22 44
3 Nott'm Forest 21 12 5 4 30 20 +10 41
4 Newcastle 22 11 5 6 38 26 +12 38
5 Chelsea 21 10 7 4 41 26 +15 37
6 Bournemouth 22 10 7 5 36 26 +10 37
7 Aston Villa 22 10 6 6 33 34 -1 36
8 Man City 21 10 5 6 38 29 +9 35
9 Fulham 22 8 9 5 34 30 +4 33
10 Brighton 21 7 10 4 32 29 +3 31
11 Brentford 22 8 4 10 40 39 +1 28
12 Crystal Palace 22 6 9 7 25 28 -3 27
13 Man United 21 7 5 9 26 29 -3 26
14 West Ham 22 7 5 10 27 43 -16 26
15 Tottenham 21 7 3 11 43 32 +11 24
16 Everton 20 3 8 9 15 26 -11 17
17 Wolves 21 4 4 13 31 48 -17 16
18 Ipswich 21 3 7 11 20 37 -17 16
19 Leicester 22 3 5 14 23 48 -25 14
20 Southampton 21 1 3 17 13 47 -34 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 7 4 0 22 9 +13 25
2 Liverpool 10 7 2 1 20 8 +12 23
3 Brentford 12 7 2 3 29 23 +6 23
4 Aston Villa 11 6 4 1 19 13 +6 22
5 Man City 10 6 2 2 21 14 +7 20
6 Newcastle 11 6 2 3 19 12 +7 20
7 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 12 7 +5 18
8 Nott'm Forest 10 5 3 2 12 8 +4 18
9 Fulham 11 4 5 2 18 17 +1 17
10 Chelsea 10 4 4 2 17 13 +4 16
11 Man United 11 5 1 5 16 17 -1 16
12 Brighton 10 3 6 1 14 13 +1 15
13 Tottenham 11 4 2 5 26 21 +5 14
14 West Ham 12 4 2 6 16 26 -10 14
15 Crystal Palace 11 2 5 4 10 17 -7 11
16 Everton 10 2 4 4 9 11 -2 10
17 Leicester 12 2 3 7 11 21 -10 9
18 Wolves 10 2 1 7 14 23 -9 7
19 Ipswich 11 1 4 6 8 18 -10 7
20 Southampton 10 1 1 8 7 27 -20 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 8 3 0 30 12 +18 27
2 Nott'm Forest 11 7 2 2 18 12 +6 23
3 Chelsea 11 6 3 2 24 13 +11 21
4 Arsenal 11 5 4 2 21 12 +9 19
5 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 24 19 +5 19
6 Newcastle 11 5 3 3 19 14 +5 18
7 Crystal Palace 11 4 4 3 15 11 +4 16
8 Fulham 11 4 4 3 16 13 +3 16
9 Brighton 11 4 4 3 18 16 +2 16
10 Man City 11 4 3 4 17 15 +2 15
11 Aston Villa 11 4 2 5 14 21 -7 14
12 West Ham 10 3 3 4 11 17 -6 12
13 Tottenham 10 3 1 6 17 11 +6 10
14 Man United 10 2 4 4 10 12 -2 10
15 Ipswich 10 2 3 5 12 19 -7 9
16 Wolves 11 2 3 6 17 25 -8 9
17 Everton 10 1 4 5 6 15 -9 7
18 Brentford 10 1 2 7 11 16 -5 5
19 Leicester 10 1 2 7 12 27 -15 5
20 Southampton 11 0 2 9 6 20 -14 2

Man United   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 21 4 17 1.5 2.3 4 4 13 31 48 16
2 7 Aston Villa 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 10 6 6 33 34 36
3 11 Brentford 22 6 16 1.8 1.8 8 4 10 40 39 28
4 8 Man City 21 6 15 1.8 1.4 10 5 6 38 29 35
5 15 Tottenham 21 6 15 2.0 1.5 7 3 11 43 32 24
6 19 Leicester 22 7 15 1.0 2.2 3 5 14 23 48 14
7 1 Liverpool 21 8 13 2.4 1.0 15 5 1 50 20 50
8 4 Newcastle 22 9 13 1.7 1.2 11 5 6 38 26 38
9 10 Brighton 21 8 13 1.5 1.4 7 10 4 32 29 31
10 13 Man United 21 8 13 1.2 1.4 7 5 9 26 29 26
11 14 West Ham 22 9 13 1.2 2.0 7 5 10 27 43 26
12 5 Chelsea 21 9 12 2.0 1.2 10 7 4 41 26 37
13 6 Bournemouth 22 10 12 1.6 1.2 10 7 5 36 26 37
14 9 Fulham 22 10 12 1.5 1.4 8 9 5 34 30 33
15 20 Southampton 21 10 11 0.6 2.2 1 3 17 13 47 6
16 2 Arsenal 22 12 10 2.0 1.0 12 8 2 43 21 44
17 3 Nott'm Forest 21 12 9 1.4 1.0 12 5 4 30 20 41
18 12 Crystal Palace 22 13 9 1.1 1.3 6 9 7 25 28 27
19 18 Ipswich 21 12 9 1.0 1.8 3 7 11 20 37 16
20 16 Everton 20 13 7 0.8 1.3 3 8 9 15 26 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Brentford 12 3 9 2.4 1.9 7 2 3 29 23 23
2 14 West Ham 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 4 2 6 16 26 14
3 15 Tottenham 11 2 9 2.4 1.9 4 2 5 26 21 14
4 8 Man City 10 2 8 2.1 1.4 6 2 2 21 14 20
5 9 Fulham 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 4 5 2 18 17 17
6 13 Man United 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 5 1 5 16 17 16
7 17 Wolves 10 2 8 1.4 2.3 2 1 7 14 23 7
8 7 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 6 4 1 19 13 22
9 1 Liverpool 10 4 6 2.0 0.8 7 2 1 20 8 23
10 2 Arsenal 11 5 6 2.0 0.8 7 4 0 22 9 25
11 4 Newcastle 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 6 2 3 19 12 20
12 5 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.7 1.3 4 4 2 17 13 16
13 10 Brighton 10 4 6 1.4 1.3 3 6 1 14 13 15
14 19 Leicester 12 6 6 0.9 1.8 2 3 7 11 21 9
15 20 Southampton 10 4 6 0.7 2.7 1 1 8 7 27 4
16 12 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 2 5 4 10 17 11
17 16 Everton 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 2 4 4 9 11 10
18 3 Nott'm Forest 10 7 3 1.2 0.8 5 3 2 12 8 18
19 6 Bournemouth 10 7 3 1.2 0.7 5 3 2 12 7 18
20 18 Ipswich 11 8 3 0.7 1.6 1 4 6 8 18 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Bournemouth 12 3 9 2.0 1.6 5 4 3 24 19 19
2 7 Aston Villa 11 2 9 1.3 1.9 4 2 5 14 21 14
3 17 Wolves 11 2 9 1.5 2.3 2 3 6 17 25 9
4 19 Leicester 10 1 9 1.2 2.7 1 2 7 12 27 5
5 1 Liverpool 11 4 7 2.7 1.1 8 3 0 30 12 27
6 4 Newcastle 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 5 3 3 19 14 18
7 8 Man City 11 4 7 1.5 1.4 4 3 4 17 15 15
8 10 Brighton 11 4 7 1.6 1.5 4 4 3 18 16 16
9 11 Brentford 10 3 7 1.1 1.6 1 2 7 11 16 5
10 3 Nott'm Forest 11 5 6 1.6 1.1 7 2 2 18 12 23
11 5 Chelsea 11 5 6 2.2 1.2 6 3 2 24 13 21
12 15 Tottenham 10 4 6 1.7 1.1 3 1 6 17 11 10
13 18 Ipswich 10 4 6 1.2 1.9 2 3 5 12 19 9
14 12 Crystal Palace 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 4 4 3 15 11 16
15 13 Man United 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 4 4 10 12 10
16 20 Southampton 11 6 5 0.5 1.8 0 2 9 6 20 2
17 2 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.9 1.1 5 4 2 21 12 19
18 9 Fulham 11 7 4 1.5 1.2 4 4 3 16 13 16
19 14 West Ham 10 6 4 1.1 1.7 3 3 4 11 17 12
20 16 Everton 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 1 4 5 6 15 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40