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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Brighton 1–1 Arsenal

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 4.33 fair 3.23
Draw ✓ 3.75 fair 4.23
Away 1.80 fair 2.20
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Arsenal
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 5
17 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (195 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.70
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 1–2 9.2% 0–1 7.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.53scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 29:28
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.05points / match
2.00scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 38:17
Brighton all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 2.00
1.47 Goals conceded 0.89
3.00 Total goals 2.89
14.84 Shots 14.11
4.89 Shots on target 5.21
12.21 Shots faced 10.63
5.16 Corners 6.32
5.58 Corners against 3.16
11.68 Fouls 11.21
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.68 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

32% Wins 58%
47% Draws 32%
21% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 95%
84% Over 1.5 goals 79%
68% Over 2.5 goals 42%
42% Over 3.5 goals 37%
11% Over 4.5 goals 16%
5% Over 5.5 goals 16%
79% Both teams scored 53%
21% Clean sheets 37%
11% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 47%
21% Draws 42%
32% Losses 11%
84% Over 0.5 goals 63%
26% Over 1.5 goals 32%
11% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Arsenal all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.44scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:12
Arsenal before this match, away
1.80points / match
2.00scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 20:11
Brighton at home away Arsenal

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 2.00
1.33 Goals conceded 1.10
2.78 Total goals 3.10
16.89 Shots 10.60
5.00 Shots on target 3.80
10.44 Shots faced 13.20
6.11 Corners 4.40
4.22 Corners against 4.30
12.22 Fouls 11.40
2.11 Yellow cards 2.40
0.56 1st-half goals scored 1.10
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

33% Wins 50%
56% Draws 30%
11% Losses 20%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 80%
67% Over 2.5 goals 40%
44% Over 3.5 goals 40%
11% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
78% Both teams scored 60%
22% Clean sheets 20%
22% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 30%
22% Draws 50%
33% Losses 20%
78% Over 0.5 goals 60%
33% Over 1.5 goals 40%
11% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
27.12.24 Brighton – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.75 1.44 2.75
21.12.24 West Ham – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 2.883.702.35 1.50 2.63
15.12.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–3 (0–2) 1.853.803.90 1.73 2.10
08.12.24 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (0–1) 4.503.801.73 1.57 2.38
05.12.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–1 (1–0) 2.353.602.88 1.62 2.30
29.11.24 Brighton – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.44 2.75
23.11.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Brentford – Arsenal 1–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50
27.12.24 Arsenal – Ipswich 1–0 (1–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.40 3.00
21.12.24 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 1–5 (1–3) 6.254.201.55 1.87 2.03
14.12.24 Arsenal – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20
08.12.24 Fulham – Arsenal 1–1 (1–0) 5.004.331.60 1.80 2.00
04.12.24 Arsenal – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.00 1.62 2.30
30.11.24 West Ham – Arsenal 2–5 (2–5) 7.004.501.45 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.759.00 1.80 2.00
10.11.24 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.24 Brighton – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.75 1.44 2.75
15.12.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–3 (0–2) 1.853.803.90 1.73 2.10
29.11.24 Brighton – Southampton 1–1 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.44 2.75
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
26.10.24 Brighton – Wolves 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.504.50 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
22.09.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (2–1) 1.753.754.75 1.86 2.04
14.09.24 Brighton – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 1.385.007.50 1.53 2.50
24.08.24 Brighton – Man United 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38
19.05.24 Brighton – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 2.154.002.90 1.33 3.40

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Brentford – Arsenal 1–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50
21.12.24 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 1–5 (1–3) 6.254.201.55 1.87 2.03
08.12.24 Fulham – Arsenal 1–1 (1–0) 5.004.331.60 1.80 2.00
30.11.24 West Ham – Arsenal 2–5 (2–5) 7.004.501.45 1.73 2.10
10.11.24 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
19.10.24 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–0 (0–0) 5.003.901.65 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Man City – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 1.803.604.50 2.04 1.86
15.09.24 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 1.57 2.38
24.08.24 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsArsenal wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
57%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24E0 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
06.04.24E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.62 2.30
17.12.23E0 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
14.05.23E0 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
31.12.22E0 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
09.04.22E0 Arsenal – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 1.613.805.75 2.04 1.86
02.10.21E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 45 17 +28 45
2 Arsenal 19 11 6 2 38 17 +21 39
3 Nott'm Forest 19 11 4 4 26 19 +7 37
4 Chelsea 20 10 6 4 39 24 +15 36
5 Newcastle 20 10 5 5 34 22 +12 35
6 Man City 20 10 4 6 36 27 +9 34
7 Bournemouth 20 9 6 5 30 23 +7 33
8 Aston Villa 20 9 5 6 30 32 -2 32
9 Fulham 19 7 8 4 28 25 +3 29
10 Brentford 20 8 3 9 38 35 +3 27
11 Brighton 19 6 9 4 29 28 +1 27
12 Tottenham 20 7 3 10 42 30 +12 24
13 West Ham 20 6 5 9 24 39 -15 23
14 Man United 19 6 4 9 21 26 -5 22
15 Crystal Palace 20 4 9 7 21 28 -7 21
16 Everton 19 3 8 8 15 25 -10 17
17 Wolves 19 4 4 11 31 42 -11 16
18 Ipswich 19 3 6 10 18 33 -15 15
19 Leicester 20 3 5 12 23 44 -21 14
20 Southampton 20 1 3 16 12 44 -32 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 9 7 1 1 18 6 +12 22
2 Brentford 10 7 1 2 27 19 +8 22
3 Aston Villa 11 6 4 1 19 13 +6 22
4 Arsenal 9 6 3 0 18 6 +12 21
5 Man City 10 6 2 2 21 14 +7 20
6 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 12 7 +5 18
7 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 15 8 +7 17
8 Nott'm Forest 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
9 Fulham 10 4 4 2 16 15 +1 16
10 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 15 11 +4 15
11 Tottenham 11 4 2 5 26 21 +5 14
12 Brighton 9 3 5 1 13 12 +1 14
13 Man United 10 4 1 5 13 16 -3 13
14 Crystal Palace 11 2 5 4 10 17 -7 11
15 West Ham 10 3 2 5 13 22 -9 11
16 Everton 9 2 4 3 9 10 -1 10
17 Leicester 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9
18 Wolves 9 2 1 6 14 20 -6 7
19 Ipswich 10 1 4 5 8 16 -8 7
20 Southampton 10 1 1 8 7 27 -20 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 27 11 +16 23
2 Chelsea 11 6 3 2 24 13 +11 21
3 Nott'm Forest 10 6 2 2 15 12 +3 20
4 Arsenal 10 5 3 2 20 11 +9 18
5 Newcastle 11 5 3 3 19 14 +5 18
6 Bournemouth 10 4 3 3 18 16 +2 15
7 Man City 10 4 2 4 15 13 +2 14
8 Fulham 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
9 Brighton 10 3 4 3 16 16 0 13
10 West Ham 10 3 3 4 11 17 -6 12
11 Tottenham 9 3 1 5 16 9 +7 10
12 Crystal Palace 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
13 Aston Villa 9 3 1 5 11 19 -8 10
14 Man United 9 2 3 4 8 10 -2 9
15 Wolves 10 2 3 5 17 22 -5 9
16 Ipswich 9 2 2 5 10 17 -7 8
17 Everton 10 1 4 5 6 15 -9 7
18 Brentford 10 1 2 7 11 16 -5 5
19 Leicester 10 1 2 7 12 27 -15 5
20 Southampton 10 0 2 8 5 17 -12 2

Brighton   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Aston Villa 20 5 15 1.5 1.6 9 5 6 30 32 32
2 10 Brentford 20 5 15 1.9 1.8 8 3 9 38 35 27
3 17 Wolves 19 4 15 1.6 2.2 4 4 11 31 42 16
4 19 Leicester 20 5 15 1.1 2.2 3 5 12 23 44 14
5 6 Man City 20 6 14 1.8 1.4 10 4 6 36 27 34
6 12 Tottenham 20 6 14 2.1 1.5 7 3 10 42 30 24
7 11 Brighton 19 6 13 1.5 1.5 6 9 4 29 28 27
8 1 Liverpool 18 6 12 2.5 0.9 14 3 1 45 17 45
9 13 West Ham 20 8 12 1.2 1.9 6 5 9 24 39 23
10 4 Chelsea 20 9 11 1.9 1.2 10 6 4 39 24 36
11 5 Newcastle 20 9 11 1.7 1.1 10 5 5 34 22 35
12 14 Man United 19 8 11 1.1 1.4 6 4 9 21 26 22
13 7 Bournemouth 20 10 10 1.5 1.1 9 6 5 30 23 33
14 9 Fulham 19 9 10 1.5 1.3 7 8 4 28 25 29
15 20 Southampton 20 10 10 0.6 2.2 1 3 16 12 44 6
16 15 Crystal Palace 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 4 9 7 21 28 21
17 2 Arsenal 19 11 8 2.0 0.9 11 6 2 38 17 39
18 3 Nott'm Forest 19 11 8 1.4 1.0 11 4 4 26 19 37
19 18 Ipswich 19 11 8 0.9 1.7 3 6 10 18 33 15
20 16 Everton 19 12 7 0.8 1.3 3 8 8 15 25 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Tottenham 11 2 9 2.4 1.9 4 2 5 26 21 14
2 6 Man City 10 2 8 2.1 1.4 6 2 2 21 14 20
3 10 Brentford 10 2 8 2.7 1.9 7 1 2 27 19 22
4 13 West Ham 10 2 8 1.3 2.2 3 2 5 13 22 11
5 8 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 6 4 1 19 13 22
6 9 Fulham 10 3 7 1.6 1.5 4 4 2 16 15 16
7 14 Man United 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 4 1 5 13 16 13
8 17 Wolves 9 2 7 1.6 2.2 2 1 6 14 20 7
9 11 Brighton 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 3 5 1 13 12 14
10 19 Leicester 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9
11 20 Southampton 10 4 6 0.7 2.7 1 1 8 7 27 4
12 1 Liverpool 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 7 1 1 18 6 22
13 4 Chelsea 9 4 5 1.7 1.2 4 3 2 15 11 15
14 2 Arsenal 9 5 4 2.0 0.7 6 3 0 18 6 21
15 5 Newcastle 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 2 2 15 8 17
16 15 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 2 5 4 10 17 11
17 16 Everton 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 2 4 3 9 10 10
18 3 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
19 7 Bournemouth 10 7 3 1.2 0.7 5 3 2 12 7 18
20 18 Ipswich 10 7 3 0.8 1.6 1 4 5 8 16 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Leicester 10 1 9 1.2 2.7 1 2 7 12 27 5
2 8 Aston Villa 9 1 8 1.2 2.1 3 1 5 11 19 10
3 17 Wolves 10 2 8 1.7 2.2 2 3 5 17 22 9
4 1 Liverpool 9 2 7 3.0 1.2 7 2 0 27 11 23
5 5 Newcastle 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 5 3 3 19 14 18
6 7 Bournemouth 10 3 7 1.8 1.6 4 3 3 18 16 15
7 10 Brentford 10 3 7 1.1 1.6 1 2 7 11 16 5
8 11 Brighton 10 3 7 1.6 1.6 3 4 3 16 16 13
9 4 Chelsea 11 5 6 2.2 1.2 6 3 2 24 13 21
10 6 Man City 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 4 2 4 15 13 14
11 3 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 6 2 2 15 12 20
12 12 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.8 1.0 3 1 5 16 9 10
13 15 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
14 18 Ipswich 9 4 5 1.1 1.9 2 2 5 10 17 8
15 2 Arsenal 10 6 4 2.0 1.1 5 3 2 20 11 18
16 13 West Ham 10 6 4 1.1 1.7 3 3 4 11 17 12
17 14 Man United 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 2 3 4 8 10 9
18 20 Southampton 10 6 4 0.5 1.7 0 2 8 5 17 2
19 9 Fulham 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
20 16 Everton 10 7 3 0.6 1.5 1 4 5 6 15 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40