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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Man City 3–1 Chelsea

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.63
Draw 4.00 fair 4.41
Away 3.30 fair 2.55
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.52

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Chelsea
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 4
6 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (224 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.50
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.71
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 1–2 8.3% 2–1 8.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
1.73points / match
2.00scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 44:29
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.82points / match
2.00scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 44:27
Man City all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.32 Goals conceded 1.23
3.32 Total goals 3.23
17.27 Shots 16.36
6.14 Shots on target 6.18
10.00 Shots faced 10.91
7.91 Corners 6.14
3.14 Corners against 3.86
7.36 Fouls 11.86
1.86 Yellow cards 2.86
1.14 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
23% Draws 32%
27% Losses 18%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
95% Over 1.5 goals 91%
73% Over 2.5 goals 59%
41% Over 3.5 goals 27%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
5% Over 5.5 goals 18%
68% Both teams scored 73%
23% Clean sheets 18%
9% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 45%
23% Draws 36%
23% Losses 18%
95% Over 0.5 goals 77%
55% Over 1.5 goals 36%
23% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Chelsea all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.10scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 21:14
Chelsea before this match, away
1.91points / match
2.18scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 24:13
Man City at home away Chelsea

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 2.18
1.40 Goals conceded 1.18
3.50 Total goals 3.36
19.10 Shots 15.09
6.50 Shots on target 5.45
8.60 Shots faced 10.55
9.00 Corners 6.45
2.30 Corners against 4.18
7.70 Fouls 11.27
2.10 Yellow cards 2.73
1.40 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

60% Wins 55%
20% Draws 27%
20% Losses 18%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
90% Over 1.5 goals 82%
80% Over 2.5 goals 55%
50% Over 3.5 goals 27%
30% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 27%
70% Both teams scored 64%
20% Clean sheets 27%
10% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 36%
20% Draws 36%
20% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 73%
80% Over 1.5 goals 36%
30% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25 Ipswich – Man City 0–6 (0–3) 7.505.251.36 1.44 2.75
14.01.25 Brentford – Man City 2–2 (0–0) 4.754.201.62 1.40 3.00
04.01.25 Man City – West Ham 4–1 (2–0) 1.306.257.50 1.33 3.40
29.12.24 Leicester – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 7.505.501.36 1.36 3.20
26.12.24 Man City – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 1.335.507.50 1.53 2.50
21.12.24 Aston Villa – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.10 1.57 2.38
15.12.24 Man City – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
07.12.24 Crystal Palace – Man City 2–2 (1–1) 5.504.201.57 1.62 2.30
04.12.24 Man City – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
01.12.24 Liverpool – Man City 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.38

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.25 Chelsea – Wolves 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.756.50 1.36 3.20
14.01.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
04.01.25 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.57 2.38
30.12.24 Ipswich – Chelsea 2–0 (1–0) 6.504.751.42 1.44 2.75
26.12.24 Chelsea – Fulham 1–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.44 2.75
22.12.24 Everton – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.201.62 1.67 2.20
15.12.24 Chelsea – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 1.336.007.50 1.33 3.40
08.12.24 Tottenham – Chelsea 3–4 (2–1) 3.403.902.00 1.36 3.20
04.12.24 Southampton – Chelsea 1–5 (1–3) 8.505.251.33 1.44 2.75
01.12.24 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.104.50 1.53 2.50

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Man City – West Ham 4–1 (2–0) 1.306.257.50 1.33 3.40
26.12.24 Man City – Everton 1–1 (1–1) 1.335.507.50 1.53 2.50
15.12.24 Man City – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Man City – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Man City – Tottenham 0–4 (0–2) 1.484.756.00 1.30 3.50
26.10.24 Man City – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.29 3.75
05.10.24 Man City – Fulham 3–2 (1–1) 1.257.009.50 1.44 2.75
22.09.24 Man City – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 1.803.604.50 2.04 1.86
14.09.24 Man City – Brentford 2–1 (2–1) 1.188.0012.00 1.36 3.20
24.08.24 Man City – Ipswich 4–1 (3–1) 1.0812.0021.00 1.30 3.50

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.57 2.38
30.12.24 Ipswich – Chelsea 2–0 (1–0) 6.504.751.42 1.44 2.75
22.12.24 Everton – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.201.62 1.67 2.20
08.12.24 Tottenham – Chelsea 3–4 (2–1) 3.403.902.00 1.36 3.20
04.12.24 Southampton – Chelsea 1–5 (1–3) 8.505.251.33 1.44 2.75
23.11.24 Leicester – Chelsea 1–2 (0–1) 6.504.751.44 1.50 2.63
03.11.24 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.502.60 1.44 2.75
20.10.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.40 3.00
21.09.24 West Ham – Chelsea 0–3 (0–2) 3.603.901.95 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsChelsea wins
7matches
2.29goals / match
14%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.08.24E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.50 2.63
17.02.24E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
12.11.23E0 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
21.05.23E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.63
05.01.23E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
15.01.22E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.85 2.05
25.09.21E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 2.623.202.75 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 22 16 5 1 54 21 +33 53 WWDDWW
2 Arsenal 23 13 8 2 44 21 +23 47 WWDWDW
3 Nott'm Forest 23 13 5 5 33 27 +6 44 WWWDWL
4 Newcastle 23 12 5 6 41 27 +14 41 WWWWLW
5 Chelsea 22 11 7 4 44 27 +17 40 DLLDDW
6 Bournemouth 23 11 7 5 41 26 +15 40 DDWDWW
7 Man City 22 11 5 6 44 29 +15 38 LDWWDW
8 Aston Villa 22 10 6 6 33 34 -1 36 WLDWWD
9 Brighton 23 8 10 5 35 31 +4 34 DDDWWL
10 Fulham 22 8 9 5 34 30 +4 33 DWDDLW
11 Brentford 22 8 4 10 40 39 +1 28 LDLWDL
12 Crystal Palace 22 6 9 7 25 28 -3 27 LDWDWW
13 Man United 22 7 5 10 27 32 -5 26 LLLDWL
14 West Ham 22 7 5 10 27 43 -16 26 DWLLWL
15 Tottenham 22 7 3 12 45 35 +10 24 LLDLLL
16 Everton 22 5 8 9 19 28 -9 23 DLLLWW
17 Wolves 23 4 4 15 32 52 -20 16 WDLLLL
18 Ipswich 23 3 7 13 21 47 -26 16 LWDLLL
19 Leicester 22 3 5 14 23 48 -25 14 LLLLLL
20 Southampton 23 1 3 19 16 53 -37 6 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 11 8 2 1 24 9 +15 26 WWDWDW
2 Arsenal 11 7 4 0 22 9 +13 25 WWDWWD
3 Brentford 12 7 2 3 29 23 +6 23 WWLLDL
4 Aston Villa 11 6 4 1 19 13 +6 22 DWWWDW
5 Bournemouth 11 6 3 2 17 7 +10 21 LWDDWW
6 Nott'm Forest 11 6 3 2 15 10 +5 21 LWWWDW
7 Man City 10 6 2 2 21 14 +7 20 WLWLDW
8 Newcastle 11 6 2 3 19 12 +7 20 LDWWWL
9 Chelsea 11 5 4 2 20 14 +6 19 DWWLDW
10 Fulham 11 4 5 2 18 17 +1 17 LWDDDD
11 Man United 12 5 1 6 17 20 -3 16 WLLLWL
12 Brighton 11 3 6 2 14 14 0 15 WDLDDL
13 Tottenham 11 4 2 5 26 21 +5 14 LDLLDL
14 West Ham 12 4 2 6 16 26 -10 14 LWDLWL
15 Everton 11 3 4 4 12 13 -1 13 DWDLLW
16 Crystal Palace 11 2 5 4 10 17 -7 11 LDDLWD
17 Leicester 12 2 3 7 11 21 -10 9 WDLLLL
18 Wolves 11 2 1 8 14 24 -10 7 WLLWLL
19 Ipswich 12 1 4 7 8 24 -16 7 LLLWLL
20 Southampton 11 1 1 9 8 30 -22 4 LLLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 11 8 3 0 30 12 +18 27 WDWWDW
2 Nott'm Forest 12 7 2 3 18 17 +1 23 LWWWWL
3 Arsenal 12 6 4 2 22 12 +10 22 WDWWDW
4 Chelsea 11 6 3 2 24 13 +11 21 WWWDLD
5 Newcastle 12 6 3 3 22 15 +7 21 DLWWWW
6 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 24 19 +5 19 WWWDDW
7 Brighton 12 5 4 3 21 17 +4 19 LDDDWW
8 Man City 12 5 3 4 23 15 +8 18 LDLWDW
9 Crystal Palace 11 4 4 3 15 11 +4 16 DWWDWW
10 Fulham 11 4 4 3 16 13 +3 16 WDDWLW
11 Aston Villa 11 4 2 5 14 21 -7 14 LLLLWD
12 West Ham 10 3 3 4 11 17 -6 12 LWLDWL
13 Tottenham 11 3 1 7 19 14 +5 10 WLWLLL
14 Man United 10 2 4 4 10 12 -2 10 LDLWLD
15 Everton 11 2 4 5 7 15 -8 10 DLDDLW
16 Wolves 12 2 3 7 18 28 -10 9 LLWDLL
17 Ipswich 11 2 3 6 13 23 -10 9 WLWLDL
18 Brentford 10 1 2 7 11 16 -5 5 LDLLDW
19 Leicester 10 1 2 7 12 27 -15 5 DLLLLL
20 Southampton 12 0 2 10 8 23 -15 2 DLDLLL

Man City   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Wolves 23 5 18 1.4 2.3 4 4 15 32 52 16 UOOOOU
2 7 Man City 22 6 16 2.0 1.3 11 5 6 44 29 38 OUUOOO
3 8 Aston Villa 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 10 6 6 33 34 36 OOOOUO
4 11 Brentford 22 6 16 1.8 1.8 8 4 10 40 39 28 UUOOOU
5 15 Tottenham 22 6 16 2.0 1.6 7 3 12 45 35 24 OUOOOO
6 19 Leicester 22 7 15 1.0 2.2 3 5 14 23 48 14 OOUOUU
7 1 Liverpool 22 8 14 2.5 1.0 16 5 1 54 21 53 OOOUUO
8 4 Newcastle 23 9 14 1.8 1.2 12 5 6 41 27 41 OUOOOO
9 9 Brighton 23 9 14 1.5 1.3 8 10 5 35 31 34 UOUUOU
10 13 Man United 22 8 14 1.2 1.5 7 5 10 27 32 26 OUUOOO
11 5 Chelsea 22 9 13 2.0 1.2 11 7 4 44 27 40 UOUUOO
12 6 Bournemouth 23 10 13 1.8 1.1 11 7 5 41 26 40 UOUOOO
13 14 West Ham 22 9 13 1.2 2.0 7 5 10 27 43 26 UUOOOU
14 20 Southampton 23 10 13 0.7 2.3 1 3 19 16 53 6 UOOOOO
15 10 Fulham 22 10 12 1.5 1.4 8 9 5 34 30 33 UOOOOU
16 3 Nott'm Forest 23 12 11 1.4 1.2 13 5 5 33 27 44 UUOUOO
17 18 Ipswich 23 12 11 0.9 2.0 3 7 13 21 47 16 UUOUOO
18 2 Arsenal 23 13 10 1.9 0.9 13 8 2 44 21 47 UOUOOU
19 12 Crystal Palace 22 13 9 1.1 1.3 6 9 7 25 28 27 OUOUUU
20 16 Everton 22 14 8 0.9 1.3 5 8 9 19 28 23 UUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 11 Brentford 12 3 9 2.4 1.9 7 2 3 29 23 23 OOUOOU
2 13 Man United 12 3 9 1.4 1.7 5 1 6 17 20 16 OOOUOO
3 14 West Ham 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 4 2 6 16 26 14 OOUOOU
4 15 Tottenham 11 2 9 2.4 1.9 4 2 5 26 21 14 OUOOOO
5 7 Man City 10 2 8 2.1 1.4 6 2 2 21 14 20 UOOOUO
6 10 Fulham 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 4 5 2 18 17 17 OOUUOO
7 17 Wolves 11 3 8 1.3 2.2 2 1 8 14 24 7 UOOUOU
8 1 Liverpool 11 4 7 2.2 0.8 8 2 1 24 9 26 UUOOOO
9 5 Chelsea 11 4 7 1.8 1.3 5 4 2 20 14 19 UOOOOO
10 8 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 6 4 1 19 13 22 OOUOOO
11 20 Southampton 11 4 7 0.7 2.7 1 1 9 8 30 4 OOOUOO
12 2 Arsenal 11 5 6 2.0 0.8 7 4 0 22 9 25 OUUUOO
13 4 Newcastle 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 6 2 3 19 12 20 UOOOOO
14 9 Brighton 11 5 6 1.3 1.3 3 6 2 14 14 15 OUOUUU
15 19 Leicester 12 6 6 0.9 1.8 2 3 7 11 21 9 OOOUUU
16 16 Everton 11 6 5 1.1 1.2 3 4 4 12 13 13 UOUUUO
17 3 Nott'm Forest 11 7 4 1.4 0.9 6 3 2 15 10 21 OUOUUO
18 6 Bournemouth 11 7 4 1.5 0.6 6 3 2 17 7 21 OUUUUO
19 12 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 2 5 4 10 17 11 UUOOOU
20 18 Ipswich 12 8 4 0.7 2.0 1 4 7 8 24 7 UOOUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Wolves 12 2 10 1.5 2.3 2 3 7 18 28 9 OOOOOO
2 6 Bournemouth 12 3 9 2.0 1.6 5 4 3 24 19 19 OOOOOO
3 8 Aston Villa 11 2 9 1.3 1.9 4 2 5 14 21 14 UOOOUO
4 19 Leicester 10 1 9 1.2 2.7 1 2 7 12 27 5 UOOOOO
5 4 Newcastle 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 6 3 3 22 15 21 UOOUOO
6 7 Man City 12 4 8 1.9 1.2 5 3 4 23 15 18 UOOUOO
7 9 Brighton 12 4 8 1.8 1.4 5 4 3 21 17 19 OOUOUO
8 1 Liverpool 11 4 7 2.7 1.1 8 3 0 30 12 27 OOOOUU
9 3 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 7 2 3 18 17 23 OOUUOO
10 11 Brentford 10 3 7 1.1 1.6 1 2 7 11 16 5 OUOOUO
11 15 Tottenham 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 3 1 7 19 14 10 OUOUOO
12 18 Ipswich 11 4 7 1.2 2.1 2 3 6 13 23 9 OUOUOO
13 5 Chelsea 11 5 6 2.2 1.2 6 3 2 24 13 21 OOOUUU
14 20 Southampton 12 6 6 0.7 1.9 0 2 10 8 23 2 UUUOOO
15 12 Crystal Palace 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 4 4 3 15 11 16 OUOUUU
16 13 Man United 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 4 4 10 12 10 OUUOUO
17 2 Arsenal 12 8 4 1.8 1.0 6 4 2 22 12 22 OUOOUU
18 10 Fulham 11 7 4 1.5 1.2 4 4 3 16 13 16 UUOOOU
19 14 West Ham 10 6 4 1.1 1.7 3 3 4 11 17 12 OUOUUO
20 16 Everton 11 8 3 0.6 1.4 2 4 5 7 15 10 UOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10