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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Brighton 0–4 Man City

Full time · half time 0–3 · season 2023/2024

Home 6.50 fair 3.14
Draw 5.00 fair 4.43
Away ✓ 1.40 fair 2.19
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.85
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Man City
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 4
10 Fouls 3
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (335 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.84
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 1–2 9% 2–1 7.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.63scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 52:50
Man City before this match, all matches
2.28points / match
2.38scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 76:32
Brighton all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 2.38
1.56 Goals conceded 1.00
3.19 Total goals 3.38
15.09 Shots 18.53
5.84 Shots on target 7.16
12.31 Shots faced 8.03
5.56 Corners 7.66
4.16 Corners against 3.59
10.69 Fouls 7.94
2.38 Yellow cards 1.50
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

34% Wins 69%
34% Draws 22%
31% Losses 9%
91% Over 0.5 goals 97%
88% Over 1.5 goals 81%
63% Over 2.5 goals 63%
44% Over 3.5 goals 44%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
6% Over 5.5 goals 19%
72% Both teams scored 66%
16% Clean sheets 28%
22% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 50%
28% Draws 28%
34% Losses 22%
81% Over 0.5 goals 81%
41% Over 1.5 goals 38%
19% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Man City all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.80points / match
1.87scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 28:19
Man City before this match, away
2.13points / match
2.20scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 33:18
Brighton at home away Man City

Per match

1.87 Goals scored 2.20
1.27 Goals conceded 1.20
3.13 Total goals 3.40
16.80 Shots 18.47
6.47 Shots on target 8.27
10.53 Shots faced 10.00
7.47 Corners 7.13
3.47 Corners against 4.60
11.47 Fouls 7.53
1.93 Yellow cards 1.73
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

47% Wins 67%
40% Draws 13%
13% Losses 20%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
87% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 73%
47% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
7% Over 5.5 goals 13%
80% Both teams scored 67%
13% Clean sheets 20%
13% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 27%
27% Draws 40%
27% Losses 33%
87% Over 0.5 goals 80%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
06.04.24 Brighton – Arsenal 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.62 2.30
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.804.20 1.65 2.20
18.02.24 Sheffield United – Brighton 0–5 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.40 2.88
03.02.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 4–1 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Man City – Luton 5–1 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.75
06.04.24 Crystal Palace – Man City 2–4 (1–1) 9.505.251.33 1.67 2.20
03.04.24 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
31.03.24 Man City – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
10.03.24 Liverpool – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.752.20 1.50 2.50
03.03.24 Man City – Man United 3–1 (0–1) 1.255.7511.00 1.36 3.10
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
20.02.24 Man City – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
10.02.24 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Brighton – Arsenal 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.62 2.30
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.804.20 1.65 2.20
03.02.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 4–1 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08
22.01.24 Brighton – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.335.00 1.62 2.25
28.12.23 Brighton – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.60 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
12.11.23 Brighton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.40 2.88
29.10.23 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.50 2.50

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Crystal Palace – Man City 2–4 (1–1) 9.505.251.33 1.67 2.20
10.03.24 Liverpool – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.752.20 1.50 2.50
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
05.02.24 Brentford – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 7.004.751.40 1.57 2.35
13.01.24 Newcastle – Man City 2–3 (2–1) 5.504.331.55 1.60 2.30
27.12.23 Everton – Man City 1–3 (1–0) 5.754.001.57 1.73 2.08
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsMan City wins
5matches
3.40goals / match
80%over 2.5
80%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23E0 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
24.05.23E0 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50
22.10.22E0 Man City – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
20.04.22E0 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
23.10.21E0 Brighton – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 8.004.751.40 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 34 24 5 5 82 26 +56 77
2 Liverpool 34 22 8 4 75 34 +41 74
3 Man City 32 22 7 3 76 32 +44 73
4 Aston Villa 34 20 6 8 71 50 +21 66
5 Tottenham 32 18 6 8 65 49 +16 60
6 Man United 33 16 5 12 51 50 +1 53
7 Newcastle 33 15 5 13 69 54 +15 50
8 West Ham 34 13 9 12 54 63 -9 48
9 Chelsea 32 13 8 11 61 57 +4 47
10 Bournemouth 34 12 9 13 49 60 -11 45
11 Brighton 32 11 11 10 52 50 +2 44
12 Wolves 34 12 7 15 46 54 -8 43
13 Fulham 34 12 6 16 50 54 -4 42
14 Everton 34 11 8 15 36 48 -12 41
15 Crystal Palace 34 10 9 15 44 56 -12 39
16 Brentford 34 9 8 17 52 59 -7 35
17 Nott'm Forest 34 7 9 18 42 60 -18 30
18 Luton 34 6 7 21 47 75 -28 25
19 Burnley 34 5 8 21 37 69 -32 23
20 Sheffield United 34 3 7 24 33 92 -59 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 17 13 3 1 43 15 +28 42
2 Man City 17 12 5 0 43 14 +29 41
3 Arsenal 17 13 2 2 43 15 +28 41
4 Aston Villa 17 12 2 3 43 23 +20 38
5 Newcastle 17 11 3 3 43 20 +23 36
6 Tottenham 16 12 0 4 34 21 +13 36
7 Man United 16 9 2 5 27 24 +3 29
8 Fulham 17 9 1 7 30 19 +11 28
9 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 35 25 +10 28
10 Brighton 15 7 6 2 28 19 +9 27
11 West Ham 17 6 7 4 26 25 +1 25
12 Bournemouth 17 6 6 5 23 26 -3 24
13 Wolves 17 7 3 7 23 26 -3 24
14 Crystal Palace 17 6 4 7 28 26 +2 22
15 Everton 17 6 4 7 20 18 +2 22
16 Brentford 17 5 6 6 27 30 -3 21
17 Nott'm Forest 17 5 5 7 25 25 0 20
18 Luton 17 4 3 10 25 32 -7 15
19 Burnley 17 2 4 11 17 37 -20 10
20 Sheffield United 17 2 4 11 18 51 -33 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 11 3 3 39 11 +28 36
2 Man City 15 10 2 3 33 18 +15 32
3 Liverpool 17 9 5 3 32 19 +13 32
4 Aston Villa 17 8 4 5 28 27 +1 28
5 Tottenham 16 6 6 4 31 28 +3 24
6 Man United 17 7 3 7 24 26 -2 24
7 West Ham 17 7 2 8 28 38 -10 23
8 Bournemouth 17 6 3 8 26 34 -8 21
9 Wolves 17 5 4 8 23 28 -5 19
10 Chelsea 16 5 4 7 26 32 -6 19
11 Everton 17 5 4 8 16 30 -14 19
12 Brighton 17 4 5 8 24 31 -7 17
13 Crystal Palace 17 4 5 8 16 30 -14 17
14 Brentford 17 4 2 11 25 29 -4 14
15 Newcastle 16 4 2 10 26 34 -8 14
16 Fulham 17 3 5 9 20 35 -15 14
17 Burnley 17 3 4 10 20 32 -12 13
18 Nott'm Forest 17 2 4 11 17 35 -18 10
19 Luton 17 2 4 11 22 43 -21 10
20 Sheffield United 17 1 3 13 15 41 -26 6

Brighton   Man City

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 32 6 26 2.0 1.5 18 6 8 65 49 60
2 4 Aston Villa 34 10 24 2.1 1.5 20 6 8 71 50 66
3 18 Luton 34 10 24 1.4 2.2 6 7 21 47 75 25
4 20 Sheffield United 34 10 24 1.0 2.7 3 7 24 33 92 16
5 7 Newcastle 33 10 23 2.1 1.6 15 5 13 69 54 50
6 10 Bournemouth 34 11 23 1.4 1.8 12 9 13 49 60 45
7 16 Brentford 34 11 23 1.5 1.7 9 8 17 52 59 35
8 2 Liverpool 34 12 22 2.2 1.0 22 8 4 75 34 74
9 6 Man United 33 11 22 1.5 1.5 16 5 12 51 50 53
10 8 West Ham 34 12 22 1.6 1.9 13 9 12 54 63 48
11 9 Chelsea 32 10 22 1.9 1.8 13 8 11 61 57 47
12 13 Fulham 34 12 22 1.5 1.6 12 6 16 50 54 42
13 1 Arsenal 34 13 21 2.4 0.8 24 5 5 82 26 77
14 12 Wolves 34 13 21 1.4 1.6 12 7 15 46 54 43
15 3 Man City 32 12 20 2.4 1.0 22 7 3 76 32 73
16 11 Brighton 32 12 20 1.6 1.6 11 11 10 52 50 44
17 19 Burnley 34 14 20 1.1 2.0 5 8 21 37 69 23
18 15 Crystal Palace 34 16 18 1.3 1.6 10 9 15 44 56 39
19 17 Nott'm Forest 34 16 18 1.2 1.8 7 9 18 42 60 30
20 14 Everton 34 19 15 1.1 1.4 11 8 15 36 48 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 16 2 14 2.1 1.3 12 0 4 34 21 36
2 20 Sheffield United 17 3 14 1.1 3.0 2 4 11 18 51 10
3 4 Aston Villa 17 4 13 2.5 1.4 12 2 3 43 23 38
4 1 Arsenal 17 5 12 2.5 0.9 13 2 2 43 15 41
5 2 Liverpool 17 5 12 2.5 0.9 13 3 1 43 15 42
6 6 Man United 16 4 12 1.7 1.5 9 2 5 27 24 29
7 7 Newcastle 17 5 12 2.5 1.2 11 3 3 43 20 36
8 16 Brentford 17 5 12 1.6 1.8 5 6 6 27 30 21
9 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.5 1.9 4 3 10 25 32 15
10 13 Fulham 17 6 11 1.8 1.1 9 1 7 30 19 28
11 9 Chelsea 16 6 10 2.2 1.6 8 4 4 35 25 28
12 10 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 6 6 5 23 26 24
13 12 Wolves 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 23 26 24
14 15 Crystal Palace 17 7 10 1.6 1.5 6 4 7 28 26 22
15 3 Man City 17 8 9 2.5 0.8 12 5 0 43 14 41
16 11 Brighton 15 6 9 1.9 1.3 7 6 2 28 19 27
17 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.5 1.5 5 5 7 25 25 20
18 19 Burnley 17 8 9 1.0 2.2 2 4 11 17 37 10
19 8 West Ham 17 9 8 1.5 1.5 6 7 4 26 25 25
20 14 Everton 17 10 7 1.2 1.1 6 4 7 20 18 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 West Ham 17 3 14 1.6 2.2 7 2 8 28 38 23
2 10 Bournemouth 17 4 13 1.5 2.0 6 3 8 26 34 21
3 5 Tottenham 16 4 12 1.9 1.8 6 6 4 31 28 24
4 9 Chelsea 16 4 12 1.6 2.0 5 4 7 26 32 19
5 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.3 2.5 2 4 11 22 43 10
6 3 Man City 15 4 11 2.2 1.2 10 2 3 33 18 32
7 4 Aston Villa 17 6 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 5 28 27 28
8 7 Newcastle 16 5 11 1.6 2.1 4 2 10 26 34 14
9 11 Brighton 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 4 5 8 24 31 17
10 12 Wolves 17 6 11 1.4 1.6 5 4 8 23 28 19
11 13 Fulham 17 6 11 1.2 2.1 3 5 9 20 35 14
12 16 Brentford 17 6 11 1.5 1.7 4 2 11 25 29 14
13 19 Burnley 17 6 11 1.2 1.9 3 4 10 20 32 13
14 2 Liverpool 17 7 10 1.9 1.1 9 5 3 32 19 32
15 6 Man United 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 24 26 24
16 20 Sheffield United 17 7 10 0.9 2.4 1 3 13 15 41 6
17 1 Arsenal 17 8 9 2.3 0.6 11 3 3 39 11 36
18 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.0 2.1 2 4 11 17 35 10
19 14 Everton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 5 4 8 16 30 19
20 15 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 4 5 8 16 30 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44