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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Southampton 1–3 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2024/2025

Home 6.00 fair 5.07
Draw 4.50 fair 4.91
Away ✓ 1.50 fair 1.67
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.76
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Bournemouth
11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
4 Corners 6
13 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (242 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.15 – 2.14
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.8% 1–1 9.2% 0–2 8.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
0.38points / match
0.75scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 18:54
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.71scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 41:28
Southampton all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.71
2.25 Goals conceded 1.17
3.00 Total goals 2.88
9.63 Shots 16.17
3.17 Shots on target 5.83
18.21 Shots faced 13.96
4.33 Corners 6.17
6.42 Corners against 5.38
12.42 Fouls 13.04
2.88 Yellow cards 2.54
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.58
1.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

8% Wins 46%
13% Draws 29%
79% Losses 25%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
71% Over 1.5 goals 79%
58% Over 2.5 goals 54%
46% Over 3.5 goals 33%
25% Over 4.5 goals 21%
4% Over 5.5 goals 4%
54% Both teams scored 58%
8% Clean sheets 25%
42% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
54% Losses 33%
79% Over 0.5 goals 71%
42% Over 1.5 goals 21%
21% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
0.36points / match
0.73scored / match
2.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 8:30
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.58points / match
2.00scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 24:19
Southampton at home away Bournemouth

Per match

0.73 Goals scored 2.00
2.73 Goals conceded 1.58
3.45 Total goals 3.58
9.55 Shots 14.83
3.64 Shots on target 5.50
19.45 Shots faced 15.67
3.27 Corners 6.08
6.64 Corners against 5.58
11.45 Fouls 12.50
2.36 Yellow cards 3.00
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.58
1.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

9% Wins 42%
9% Draws 33%
82% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 92%
64% Over 2.5 goals 75%
55% Over 3.5 goals 50%
45% Over 4.5 goals 33%
9% Over 5.5 goals 8%
45% Both teams scored 75%
9% Clean sheets 8%
45% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 25%
36% Draws 25%
45% Losses 50%
73% Over 0.5 goals 83%
55% Over 1.5 goals 33%
27% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Ipswich – Southampton 1–2 (1–1) 1.953.603.80 1.73 2.10
25.01.25 Southampton – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 6.505.251.42 1.41 2.70
19.01.25 Nott'm Forest – Southampton 3–2 (3–0) 1.384.758.00 1.73 2.10
16.01.25 Man United – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.50
04.01.25 Southampton – Brentford 0–5 (0–1) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
29.12.24 Crystal Palace – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 1.573.905.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.24 Southampton – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.67 2.20
22.12.24 Fulham – Southampton 0–0 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.57 2.38
15.12.24 Southampton – Tottenham 0–5 (0–5) 4.334.501.67 1.30 3.50
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.75
25.01.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (1–0) 2.053.703.40 1.85 2.05
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
14.01.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
04.01.25 Bournemouth – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 1.733.754.75 1.91 1.99
29.12.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.20
26.12.24 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.73 2.10
22.12.24 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.57 2.38
16.12.24 Bournemouth – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
08.12.24 Ipswich – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 3.503.752.00 1.73 2.10

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Southampton – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 6.505.251.42 1.41 2.70
04.01.25 Southampton – Brentford 0–5 (0–1) 3.003.402.40 1.67 2.20
26.12.24 Southampton – West Ham 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.20 1.67 2.20
15.12.24 Southampton – Tottenham 0–5 (0–5) 4.334.501.67 1.30 3.50
04.12.24 Southampton – Chelsea 1–5 (1–3) 8.505.251.33 1.44 2.75
24.11.24 Southampton – Liverpool 2–3 (1–1) 11.005.751.27 1.44 2.75
02.11.24 Southampton – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.84 2.06
19.10.24 Southampton – Leicester 2–3 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
21.09.24 Southampton – Ipswich 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.503.20 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Southampton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 4.504.001.70 1.62 2.30

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Newcastle – Bournemouth 1–4 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.53 2.50
14.01.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.40 3.00
29.12.24 Fulham – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.303.602.88 1.67 2.20
22.12.24 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.57 2.38
08.12.24 Ipswich – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 3.503.752.00 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Wolves – Bournemouth 2–4 (1–3) 2.803.602.40 1.67 2.20
09.11.24 Brentford – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.502.70 1.62 2.30
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
05.10.24 Leicester – Bournemouth 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.752.15 1.67 2.20
21.09.24 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.306.259.00 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Southampton winsDrawsBournemouth wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.24E0 Bournemouth – Southampton 3–1 (3–0) 1.654.105.00 1.50 2.63
27.04.23E0 Southampton – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.03 1.87
19.10.22E0 Bournemouth – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.623.302.62 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 24 17 6 1 58 23 +35 57
2 Arsenal 25 15 8 2 51 22 +29 53
3 Nott'm Forest 24 14 5 5 40 27 +13 47
4 Chelsea 25 12 7 6 47 34 +13 43
5 Man City 24 12 5 7 48 35 +13 41
6 Newcastle 24 12 5 7 42 29 +13 41
7 Bournemouth 24 11 7 6 41 28 +13 40
8 Brighton 25 9 10 6 38 38 0 37
9 Aston Villa 24 10 7 7 34 37 -3 37
10 Fulham 24 9 9 6 36 32 +4 36
11 Brentford 24 9 4 11 42 42 0 31
12 Crystal Palace 24 7 9 8 28 30 -2 30
13 Man United 24 8 5 11 28 34 -6 29
14 Tottenham 24 8 3 13 48 37 +11 27
15 Everton 24 6 9 9 25 30 -5 27
16 West Ham 24 7 6 11 29 46 -17 27
17 Wolves 24 5 4 15 34 52 -18 19
18 Leicester 25 4 5 16 25 55 -30 17
19 Ipswich 24 3 7 14 22 49 -27 16
20 Southampton 24 2 3 19 18 54 -36 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 12 8 4 0 27 10 +17 28
2 Liverpool 11 8 2 1 24 9 +15 26
3 Nott'm Forest 12 7 3 2 22 10 +12 24
4 Man City 11 7 2 2 24 15 +9 23
5 Aston Villa 12 6 5 1 20 14 +6 23
6 Brentford 13 7 2 4 29 25 +4 23
7 Chelsea 12 6 4 2 22 15 +7 22
8 Bournemouth 12 6 3 3 17 9 +8 21
9 Newcastle 12 6 2 4 20 14 +6 20
10 Brighton 12 4 6 2 17 14 +3 18
11 Everton 13 4 5 4 18 15 +3 17
12 Fulham 12 4 5 3 18 18 0 17
13 Man United 13 5 1 7 17 22 -5 16
14 Tottenham 12 4 2 6 27 23 +4 14
15 West Ham 12 4 2 6 16 26 -10 14
16 Crystal Palace 12 2 5 5 11 19 -8 11
17 Wolves 12 3 1 8 16 24 -8 10
18 Leicester 13 2 3 8 11 23 -12 9
19 Ipswich 13 1 4 8 9 26 -17 7
20 Southampton 11 1 1 9 8 30 -22 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 13 9 4 0 34 14 +20 31
2 Arsenal 13 7 4 2 24 12 +12 25
3 Nott'm Forest 12 7 2 3 18 17 +1 23
4 Newcastle 12 6 3 3 22 15 +7 21
5 Chelsea 13 6 3 4 25 19 +6 21
6 Crystal Palace 12 5 4 3 17 11 +6 19
7 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 24 19 +5 19
8 Fulham 12 5 4 3 18 14 +4 19
9 Brighton 13 5 4 4 21 24 -3 19
10 Man City 13 5 3 5 24 20 +4 18
11 Aston Villa 12 4 2 6 14 23 -9 14
12 Tottenham 12 4 1 7 21 14 +7 13
13 Man United 11 3 4 4 11 12 -1 13
14 West Ham 12 3 4 5 13 20 -7 13
15 Everton 11 2 4 5 7 15 -8 10
16 Wolves 12 2 3 7 18 28 -10 9
17 Ipswich 11 2 3 6 13 23 -10 9
18 Brentford 11 2 2 7 13 17 -4 8
19 Leicester 12 2 2 8 14 32 -18 8
20 Southampton 13 1 2 10 10 24 -14 5

Southampton   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Man City 24 6 18 2.0 1.5 12 5 7 48 35 41
2 17 Wolves 24 6 18 1.4 2.2 5 4 15 34 52 19
3 11 Brentford 24 7 17 1.8 1.8 9 4 11 42 42 31
4 14 Tottenham 24 7 17 2.0 1.5 8 3 13 48 37 27
5 18 Leicester 25 8 17 1.0 2.2 4 5 16 25 55 17
6 4 Chelsea 25 9 16 1.9 1.4 12 7 6 47 34 43
7 8 Brighton 25 9 16 1.5 1.5 9 10 6 38 38 37
8 9 Aston Villa 24 8 16 1.4 1.5 10 7 7 34 37 37
9 1 Liverpool 24 9 15 2.4 1.0 17 6 1 58 23 57
10 6 Newcastle 24 9 15 1.8 1.2 12 5 7 42 29 41
11 13 Man United 24 10 14 1.2 1.4 8 5 11 28 34 29
12 16 West Ham 24 10 14 1.2 1.9 7 6 11 29 46 27
13 20 Southampton 24 10 14 0.8 2.2 2 3 19 18 54 9
14 7 Bournemouth 24 11 13 1.7 1.2 11 7 6 41 28 40
15 10 Fulham 24 11 13 1.5 1.3 9 9 6 36 32 36
16 3 Nott'm Forest 24 12 12 1.7 1.1 14 5 5 40 27 47
17 19 Ipswich 24 12 12 0.9 2.0 3 7 14 22 49 16
18 2 Arsenal 25 14 11 2.0 0.9 15 8 2 51 22 53
19 12 Crystal Palace 24 14 10 1.2 1.2 7 9 8 28 30 30
20 15 Everton 24 14 10 1.0 1.2 6 9 9 25 30 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Tottenham 12 2 10 2.2 1.9 4 2 6 27 23 14
2 5 Man City 11 2 9 2.2 1.4 7 2 2 24 15 23
3 11 Brentford 13 4 9 2.2 1.9 7 2 4 29 25 23
4 13 Man United 13 4 9 1.3 1.7 5 1 7 17 22 16
5 16 West Ham 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 4 2 6 16 26 14
6 4 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 6 4 2 22 15 22
7 10 Fulham 12 4 8 1.5 1.5 4 5 3 18 18 17
8 17 Wolves 12 4 8 1.3 2.0 3 1 8 16 24 10
9 1 Liverpool 11 4 7 2.2 0.8 8 2 1 24 9 26
10 2 Arsenal 12 5 7 2.2 0.8 8 4 0 27 10 28
11 6 Newcastle 12 5 7 1.7 1.2 6 2 4 20 14 20
12 8 Brighton 12 5 7 1.4 1.2 4 6 2 17 14 18
13 9 Aston Villa 12 5 7 1.7 1.2 6 5 1 20 14 23
14 15 Everton 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 4 5 4 18 15 17
15 20 Southampton 11 4 7 0.7 2.7 1 1 9 8 30 4
16 18 Leicester 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 8 11 23 9
17 3 Nott'm Forest 12 7 5 1.8 0.8 7 3 2 22 10 24
18 12 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 5 11 19 11
19 19 Ipswich 13 8 5 0.7 2.0 1 4 8 9 26 7
20 7 Bournemouth 12 8 4 1.4 0.8 6 3 3 17 9 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Leicester 12 1 11 1.2 2.7 2 2 8 14 32 8
2 17 Wolves 12 2 10 1.5 2.3 2 3 7 18 28 9
3 5 Man City 13 4 9 1.8 1.5 5 3 5 24 20 18
4 7 Bournemouth 12 3 9 2.0 1.6 5 4 3 24 19 19
5 8 Brighton 13 4 9 1.6 1.8 5 4 4 21 24 19
6 9 Aston Villa 12 3 9 1.2 1.9 4 2 6 14 23 14
7 1 Liverpool 13 5 8 2.6 1.1 9 4 0 34 14 31
8 4 Chelsea 13 5 8 1.9 1.5 6 3 4 25 19 21
9 6 Newcastle 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 6 3 3 22 15 21
10 11 Brentford 11 3 8 1.2 1.5 2 2 7 13 17 8
11 3 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.5 1.4 7 2 3 18 17 23
12 14 Tottenham 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 4 1 7 21 14 13
13 19 Ipswich 11 4 7 1.2 2.1 2 3 6 13 23 9
14 20 Southampton 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 1 2 10 10 24 5
15 10 Fulham 12 7 5 1.5 1.2 5 4 3 18 14 19
16 12 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 1.4 0.9 5 4 3 17 11 19
17 13 Man United 11 6 5 1.0 1.1 3 4 4 11 12 13
18 16 West Ham 12 7 5 1.1 1.7 3 4 5 13 20 13
19 2 Arsenal 13 9 4 1.8 0.9 7 4 2 24 12 25
20 15 Everton 11 8 3 0.6 1.4 2 4 5 7 15 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51