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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Brighton 1–1 Southampton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.38 fair 1.81
Draw ✓ 5.00 fair 4.54
Away 7.50 fair 4.39
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.75 fair 2.51
Over 2.5 1.44 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Southampton
22 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 6
20 Fouls 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (120 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.94 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawSouthampton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.83points / match
1.75scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:16
Southampton before this match, all matches
0.33points / match
0.75scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 9:24
Brighton all matches all matches Southampton

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 0.75
1.33 Goals conceded 2.00
3.08 Total goals 2.75
13.75 Shots 10.00
4.67 Shots on target 3.25
12.83 Shots faced 17.75
5.00 Corners 4.75
5.17 Corners against 7.25
11.08 Fouls 11.75
2.17 Yellow cards 3.33
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

50% Wins 8%
33% Draws 8%
17% Losses 83%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 42%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 50%
25% Clean sheets 8%
8% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 17%
8% Draws 33%
33% Losses 50%
92% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Southampton all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.83scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:8
Southampton before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.50scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 3:13
Brighton at home away Southampton

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 0.50
1.33 Goals conceded 2.17
3.17 Total goals 2.67
14.83 Shots 11.33
4.67 Shots on target 2.83
10.50 Shots faced 16.00
5.83 Corners 5.83
4.00 Corners against 6.33
12.17 Fouls 10.83
2.67 Yellow cards 3.33
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
83% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 50%
17% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
17% Draws 17%
33% Losses 83%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Southampton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00
26.10.24 Brighton – Wolves 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.504.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
22.09.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (2–1) 1.753.754.75 1.86 2.04
14.09.24 Brighton – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 1.385.007.50 1.53 2.50
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Southampton – Liverpool 2–3 (1–1) 11.005.751.27 1.44 2.75
09.11.24 Wolves – Southampton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Southampton – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 1.84 2.06
26.10.24 Man City – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.29 3.75
19.10.24 Southampton – Leicester 2–3 (2–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Arsenal – Southampton 3–1 (0–0) 1.149.0017.00 1.36 3.20
30.09.24 Bournemouth – Southampton 3–1 (3–0) 1.654.105.00 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Southampton – Ipswich 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.503.20 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Southampton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 4.504.001.70 1.62 2.30
31.08.24 Brentford – Southampton 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.33 1.73 2.10

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
26.10.24 Brighton – Wolves 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.504.50 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
22.09.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (2–1) 1.753.754.75 1.86 2.04
14.09.24 Brighton – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 1.385.007.50 1.53 2.50
24.08.24 Brighton – Man United 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38
19.05.24 Brighton – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 2.154.002.90 1.33 3.40
15.05.24 Brighton – Chelsea 1–2 (0–1) 3.304.001.95 1.40 3.00
05.05.24 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.752.45 1.50 2.63
25.04.24 Brighton – Man City 0–4 (0–3) 6.505.001.40 1.50 2.63

Southampton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Wolves – Southampton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.67 2.20
26.10.24 Man City – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.29 3.75
05.10.24 Arsenal – Southampton 3–1 (0–0) 1.149.0017.00 1.36 3.20
30.09.24 Bournemouth – Southampton 3–1 (3–0) 1.654.105.00 1.50 2.63
31.08.24 Brentford – Southampton 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.33 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Newcastle – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.40 3.00
04.05.24E1 Leeds – Southampton 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.50 2.63
23.04.24E1 Leicester – Southampton 5–0 (1–0) 2.053.803.20 1.50 2.63
20.04.24E1 Cardiff – Southampton 2–1 (0–1) 8.004.501.40 1.62 2.30
06.04.24E1 Blackburn – Southampton 0–0 (0–0) 4.004.001.80 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsSouthampton wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.05.23E0 Brighton – Southampton 3–1 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
26.12.22E0 Southampton – Brighton 1–3 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.94 1.96
24.04.22E0 Brighton – Southampton 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.60 2.02 1.88
04.12.21E0 Southampton – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 12 10 1 1 24 8 +16 31
2 Man City 12 7 2 3 22 17 +5 23
3 Chelsea 12 6 4 2 23 14 +9 22
4 Arsenal 12 6 4 2 21 12 +9 22
5 Brighton 12 6 4 2 21 16 +5 22
6 Tottenham 12 6 1 5 27 13 +14 19
7 Nott'm Forest 12 5 4 3 15 13 +2 19
8 Aston Villa 12 5 4 3 19 19 0 19
9 Fulham 12 5 3 4 17 17 0 18
10 Newcastle 12 5 3 4 13 13 0 18
11 Brentford 12 5 2 5 22 22 0 17
12 Man United 12 4 4 4 13 13 0 16
13 Bournemouth 12 4 3 5 16 17 -1 15
14 West Ham 12 4 3 5 15 19 -4 15
15 Everton 12 2 5 5 10 17 -7 11
16 Leicester 12 2 4 6 15 23 -8 10
17 Wolves 12 2 3 7 20 28 -8 9
18 Ipswich 12 1 6 5 13 23 -10 9
19 Crystal Palace 12 1 5 6 10 17 -7 8
20 Southampton 12 1 1 10 9 24 -15 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 6 5 1 0 18 11 +7 16
2 Liverpool 6 5 0 1 11 3 +8 15
3 Arsenal 6 4 2 0 15 6 +9 14
4 Man City 6 4 1 1 12 10 +2 13
5 Tottenham 6 4 0 2 16 6 +10 12
6 Brighton 6 3 3 0 11 8 +3 12
7 Bournemouth 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
8 Newcastle 6 3 1 2 5 5 0 10
9 Fulham 6 3 1 2 10 11 -1 10
10 Man United 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
11 Aston Villa 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
12 Chelsea 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
13 Nott'm Forest 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
14 West Ham 6 2 1 3 8 10 -2 7
15 Everton 6 1 3 2 5 8 -3 6
16 Leicester 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5
17 Crystal Palace 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5
18 Ipswich 6 0 4 2 5 9 -4 4
19 Wolves 6 1 1 4 9 14 -5 4
20 Southampton 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 6 5 1 0 13 5 +8 16
2 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 14 6 +8 13
3 Nott'm Forest 6 3 2 1 8 7 +1 11
4 Man City 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
5 Brighton 6 3 1 2 10 8 +2 10
6 Aston Villa 6 3 1 2 10 11 -1 10
7 Fulham 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
8 Newcastle 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
9 Arsenal 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
10 West Ham 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 8
11 Tottenham 6 2 1 3 11 7 +4 7
12 Man United 6 1 3 2 6 5 +1 6
13 Wolves 6 1 2 3 11 14 -3 5
14 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 7 11 -4 5
15 Everton 6 1 2 3 5 9 -4 5
16 Leicester 6 1 2 3 9 14 -5 5
17 Ipswich 6 1 2 3 8 14 -6 5
18 Crystal Palace 6 0 3 3 7 10 -3 3
19 Brentford 6 0 1 5 4 11 -7 1
20 Southampton 6 0 0 6 3 13 -10 0

Brighton   Southampton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 12 3 9 1.8 1.4 7 2 3 22 17 23
2 5 Brighton 12 3 9 1.8 1.3 6 4 2 21 16 22
3 6 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.1 6 1 5 27 13 19
4 11 Brentford 12 3 9 1.8 1.8 5 2 5 22 22 17
5 17 Wolves 12 3 9 1.7 2.3 2 3 7 20 28 9
6 8 Aston Villa 12 4 8 1.6 1.6 5 4 3 19 19 19
7 16 Leicester 12 4 8 1.2 1.9 2 4 6 15 23 10
8 1 Liverpool 12 5 7 2.0 0.7 10 1 1 24 8 31
9 12 Man United 12 5 7 1.1 1.1 4 4 4 13 13 16
10 14 West Ham 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 4 3 5 15 19 15
11 3 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.9 1.2 6 4 2 23 14 22
12 9 Fulham 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 5 3 4 17 17 18
13 13 Bournemouth 12 6 6 1.3 1.4 4 3 5 16 17 15
14 20 Southampton 12 6 6 0.8 2.0 1 1 10 9 24 4
15 4 Arsenal 12 7 5 1.8 1.0 6 4 2 21 12 22
16 7 Nott'm Forest 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 5 4 3 15 13 19
17 10 Newcastle 12 7 5 1.1 1.1 5 3 4 13 13 18
18 15 Everton 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 2 5 5 10 17 11
19 18 Ipswich 12 7 5 1.1 1.9 1 6 5 13 23 9
20 19 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 1 5 6 10 17 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 6 1 5 2.0 1.7 4 1 1 12 10 13
2 5 Brighton 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 3 3 0 11 8 12
3 6 Tottenham 6 1 5 2.7 1.0 4 0 2 16 6 12
4 9 Fulham 6 1 5 1.7 1.8 3 1 2 10 11 10
5 11 Brentford 6 1 5 3.0 1.8 5 1 0 18 11 16
6 14 West Ham 6 1 5 1.3 1.7 2 1 3 8 10 7
7 17 Wolves 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 1 1 4 9 14 4
8 4 Arsenal 6 2 4 2.5 1.0 4 2 0 15 6 14
9 12 Man United 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
10 1 Liverpool 6 3 3 1.8 0.5 5 0 1 11 3 15
11 8 Aston Villa 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
12 13 Bournemouth 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
13 15 Everton 6 3 3 0.8 1.3 1 3 2 5 8 6
14 16 Leicester 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5
15 20 Southampton 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4
16 3 Chelsea 6 4 2 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
17 7 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8
18 10 Newcastle 6 5 1 0.8 0.8 3 1 2 5 5 10
19 18 Ipswich 6 5 1 0.8 1.5 0 4 2 5 9 4
20 19 Crystal Palace 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Aston Villa 6 1 5 1.7 1.8 3 1 2 10 11 10
2 16 Leicester 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 1 2 3 9 14 5
3 1 Liverpool 6 2 4 2.2 0.8 5 1 0 13 5 16
4 2 Man City 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
5 3 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.3 1.0 4 1 1 14 6 13
6 5 Brighton 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 1 2 10 8 10
7 6 Tottenham 6 2 4 1.8 1.2 2 1 3 11 7 7
8 10 Newcastle 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
9 11 Brentford 6 2 4 0.7 1.8 0 1 5 4 11 1
10 17 Wolves 6 2 4 1.8 2.3 1 2 3 11 14 5
11 18 Ipswich 6 2 4 1.3 2.3 1 2 3 8 14 5
12 19 Crystal Palace 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 0 3 3 7 10 3
13 7 Nott'm Forest 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 2 1 8 7 11
14 12 Man United 6 3 3 1.0 0.8 1 3 2 6 5 6
15 13 Bournemouth 6 3 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 3 7 11 5
16 20 Southampton 6 3 3 0.5 2.2 0 0 6 3 13 0
17 14 West Ham 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 2 2 7 9 8
18 15 Everton 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 2 3 5 9 5
19 4 Arsenal 6 5 1 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
20 9 Fulham 6 5 1 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51