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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Brentford 1–3 Arsenal

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 6.50 fair 2.90
Draw 4.75 fair 4.45
Away ✓ 1.44 fair 2.32
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.51

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brentford Arsenal
5 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 3
6 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (188 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.50
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.81
Home / Draw / Away
BrentfordDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.5% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Brentford before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.78scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 32:32
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.94scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 35:16
Brentford all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 1.94
1.78 Goals conceded 0.89
3.56 Total goals 2.83
10.50 Shots 14.11
4.78 Shots on target 5.22
18.50 Shots faced 10.94
4.67 Corners 6.50
7.22 Corners against 3.11
8.22 Fouls 11.39
1.67 Yellow cards 2.00
1.06 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

39% Wins 56%
17% Draws 33%
44% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 94%
89% Over 1.5 goals 78%
72% Over 2.5 goals 39%
44% Over 3.5 goals 33%
28% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 17%
78% Both teams scored 50%
11% Clean sheets 39%
22% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 50%
28% Draws 39%
33% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 61%
44% Over 1.5 goals 28%
39% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford all matches
Arsenal all matches
Brentford before this match, at home
2.44points / match
2.89scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 26:16
Arsenal before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.89scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:10
Brentford at home away Arsenal

Per match

2.89 Goals scored 1.89
1.78 Goals conceded 1.11
4.67 Total goals 3.00
13.22 Shots 10.22
6.56 Shots on target 3.67
14.11 Shots faced 14.11
5.67 Corners 4.56
5.22 Corners against 4.33
7.78 Fouls 11.78
1.78 Yellow cards 2.44
1.67 1st-half goals scored 1.11
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

78% Wins 44%
11% Draws 33%
11% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 78%
78% Over 2.5 goals 33%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
56% Over 4.5 goals 22%
33% Over 5.5 goals 22%
89% Both teams scored 56%
0% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 33%
33% Draws 44%
11% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 56%
56% Over 1.5 goals 33%
44% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brentford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.24 Brighton – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.334.75 1.44 2.75
21.12.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
15.12.24 Chelsea – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 1.336.007.50 1.33 3.40
07.12.24 Brentford – Newcastle 4–2 (2–2) 2.883.752.30 1.57 2.38
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
30.11.24 Brentford – Leicester 4–1 (3–1) 1.654.204.75 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Everton – Brentford 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.402.88 1.86 2.04
09.11.24 Brentford – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.502.70 1.62 2.30
04.11.24 Fulham – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.703.50 1.67 2.20
26.10.24 Brentford – Ipswich 4–3 (2–2) 1.654.334.75 1.67 2.20

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.24 Arsenal – Ipswich 1–0 (1–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.40 3.00
21.12.24 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 1–5 (1–3) 6.254.201.55 1.87 2.03
14.12.24 Arsenal – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20
08.12.24 Fulham – Arsenal 1–1 (1–0) 5.004.331.60 1.80 2.00
04.12.24 Arsenal – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.00 1.62 2.30
30.11.24 West Ham – Arsenal 2–5 (2–5) 7.004.501.45 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.759.00 1.80 2.00
10.11.24 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
27.10.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.252.90 1.92 1.98

Brentford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
07.12.24 Brentford – Newcastle 4–2 (2–2) 2.883.752.30 1.57 2.38
30.11.24 Brentford – Leicester 4–1 (3–1) 1.654.204.75 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Brentford – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.502.70 1.62 2.30
26.10.24 Brentford – Ipswich 4–3 (2–2) 1.654.334.75 1.67 2.20
05.10.24 Brentford – Wolves 5–3 (4–2) 2.053.603.40 1.73 2.10
28.09.24 Brentford – West Ham 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.503.20 1.67 2.20
31.08.24 Brentford – Southampton 3–1 (1–0) 1.753.904.33 1.73 2.10
18.08.24 Brentford – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.402.90 1.80 2.00
19.05.24 Brentford – Newcastle 2–4 (0–3) 2.903.902.20 1.36 3.20

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 1–5 (1–3) 6.254.201.55 1.87 2.03
08.12.24 Fulham – Arsenal 1–1 (1–0) 5.004.331.60 1.80 2.00
30.11.24 West Ham – Arsenal 2–5 (2–5) 7.004.501.45 1.73 2.10
10.11.24 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 2.703.402.55 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
19.10.24 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–0 (0–0) 5.003.901.65 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Man City – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 1.803.604.50 2.04 1.86
15.09.24 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 1.57 2.38
24.08.24 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10
12.05.24 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.501.36 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brentford winsDrawsArsenal wins
6matches
2.33goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24E0 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.70
25.11.23E0 Brentford – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.90 2.00
11.02.23E0 Arsenal – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.73 2.10
18.09.22E0 Brentford – Arsenal 0–3 (0–2) 4.203.801.80 1.66 2.20
19.02.22E0 Arsenal – Brentford 2–1 (0–0) 1.444.208.00 1.97 1.93
13.08.21E0 Brentford – Arsenal 2–0 (1–0) 4.003.401.95 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 45 17 +28 45
2 Nott'm Forest 19 11 4 4 26 19 +7 37
3 Arsenal 18 10 6 2 35 16 +19 36
4 Chelsea 19 10 5 4 38 23 +15 35
5 Newcastle 19 9 5 5 32 21 +11 32
6 Man City 19 9 4 6 32 26 +6 31
7 Bournemouth 19 8 6 5 29 23 +6 30
8 Fulham 19 7 8 4 28 25 +3 29
9 Aston Villa 19 8 5 6 28 31 -3 29
10 Brighton 19 6 9 4 29 28 +1 27
11 Tottenham 19 7 3 9 41 28 +13 24
12 Brentford 18 7 3 8 32 32 0 24
13 West Ham 19 6 5 8 23 35 -12 23
14 Man United 19 6 4 9 21 26 -5 22
15 Crystal Palace 19 4 8 7 20 27 -7 20
16 Everton 18 3 8 7 15 24 -9 17
17 Wolves 19 4 4 11 31 42 -11 16
18 Ipswich 19 3 6 10 18 33 -15 15
19 Leicester 19 3 5 11 22 42 -20 14
20 Southampton 19 1 3 15 12 39 -27 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 9 7 1 1 18 6 +12 22
2 Brentford 9 7 1 1 26 16 +10 22
3 Arsenal 9 6 3 0 18 6 +12 21
4 Aston Villa 10 5 4 1 17 12 +5 19
5 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 15 8 +7 17
6 Man City 9 5 2 2 17 13 +4 17
7 Nott'm Forest 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
8 Fulham 10 4 4 2 16 15 +1 16
9 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 15 11 +4 15
10 Bournemouth 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
11 Tottenham 10 4 2 4 25 19 +6 14
12 Brighton 9 3 5 1 13 12 +1 14
13 Man United 10 4 1 5 13 16 -3 13
14 West Ham 10 3 2 5 13 22 -9 11
15 Everton 9 2 4 3 9 10 -1 10
16 Crystal Palace 10 2 4 4 9 16 -7 10
17 Leicester 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9
18 Wolves 9 2 1 6 14 20 -6 7
19 Ipswich 10 1 4 5 8 16 -8 7
20 Southampton 9 1 1 7 7 22 -15 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 27 11 +16 23
2 Chelsea 10 6 2 2 23 12 +11 20
3 Nott'm Forest 10 6 2 2 15 12 +3 20
4 Arsenal 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
5 Newcastle 10 4 3 3 17 13 +4 15
6 Bournemouth 10 4 3 3 18 16 +2 15
7 Man City 10 4 2 4 15 13 +2 14
8 Fulham 9 3 4 2 12 10 +2 13
9 Brighton 10 3 4 3 16 16 0 13
10 West Ham 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
11 Tottenham 9 3 1 5 16 9 +7 10
12 Crystal Palace 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
13 Aston Villa 9 3 1 5 11 19 -8 10
14 Man United 9 2 3 4 8 10 -2 9
15 Wolves 10 2 3 5 17 22 -5 9
16 Ipswich 9 2 2 5 10 17 -7 8
17 Everton 9 1 4 4 6 14 -8 7
18 Leicester 9 1 2 6 11 25 -14 5
19 Brentford 9 0 2 7 6 16 -10 2
20 Southampton 10 0 2 8 5 17 -12 2

Brentford   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 19 4 15 1.6 2.2 4 4 11 31 42 16
2 9 Aston Villa 19 5 14 1.5 1.6 8 5 6 28 31 29
3 19 Leicester 19 5 14 1.2 2.2 3 5 11 22 42 14
4 6 Man City 19 6 13 1.7 1.4 9 4 6 32 26 31
5 10 Brighton 19 6 13 1.5 1.5 6 9 4 29 28 27
6 11 Tottenham 19 6 13 2.2 1.5 7 3 9 41 28 24
7 12 Brentford 18 5 13 1.8 1.8 7 3 8 32 32 24
8 1 Liverpool 18 6 12 2.5 0.9 14 3 1 45 17 45
9 4 Chelsea 19 8 11 2.0 1.2 10 5 4 38 23 35
10 13 West Ham 19 8 11 1.2 1.8 6 5 8 23 35 23
11 14 Man United 19 8 11 1.1 1.4 6 4 9 21 26 22
12 5 Newcastle 19 9 10 1.7 1.1 9 5 5 32 21 32
13 7 Bournemouth 19 9 10 1.5 1.2 8 6 5 29 23 30
14 8 Fulham 19 9 10 1.5 1.3 7 8 4 28 25 29
15 15 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 8 7 20 27 20
16 20 Southampton 19 10 9 0.6 2.1 1 3 15 12 39 6
17 2 Nott'm Forest 19 11 8 1.4 1.0 11 4 4 26 19 37
18 18 Ipswich 19 11 8 0.9 1.7 3 6 10 18 33 15
19 3 Arsenal 18 11 7 1.9 0.9 10 6 2 35 16 36
20 16 Everton 18 11 7 0.8 1.3 3 8 7 15 24 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Tottenham 10 2 8 2.5 1.9 4 2 4 25 19 14
2 13 West Ham 10 2 8 1.3 2.2 3 2 5 13 22 11
3 6 Man City 9 2 7 1.9 1.4 5 2 2 17 13 17
4 8 Fulham 10 3 7 1.6 1.5 4 4 2 16 15 16
5 12 Brentford 9 2 7 2.9 1.8 7 1 1 26 16 22
6 14 Man United 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 4 1 5 13 16 13
7 17 Wolves 9 2 7 1.6 2.2 2 1 6 14 20 7
8 9 Aston Villa 10 4 6 1.7 1.2 5 4 1 17 12 19
9 10 Brighton 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 3 5 1 13 12 14
10 19 Leicester 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9
11 1 Liverpool 9 4 5 2.0 0.7 7 1 1 18 6 22
12 4 Chelsea 9 4 5 1.7 1.2 4 3 2 15 11 15
13 20 Southampton 9 4 5 0.8 2.4 1 1 7 7 22 4
14 3 Arsenal 9 5 4 2.0 0.7 6 3 0 18 6 21
15 5 Newcastle 9 5 4 1.7 0.9 5 2 2 15 8 17
16 15 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 4 9 16 10
17 16 Everton 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 2 4 3 9 10 10
18 2 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
19 7 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
20 18 Ipswich 10 7 3 0.8 1.6 1 4 5 8 16 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Aston Villa 9 1 8 1.2 2.1 3 1 5 11 19 10
2 17 Wolves 10 2 8 1.7 2.2 2 3 5 17 22 9
3 19 Leicester 9 1 8 1.2 2.8 1 2 6 11 25 5
4 1 Liverpool 9 2 7 3.0 1.2 7 2 0 27 11 23
5 7 Bournemouth 10 3 7 1.8 1.6 4 3 3 18 16 15
6 10 Brighton 10 3 7 1.6 1.6 3 4 3 16 16 13
7 4 Chelsea 10 4 6 2.3 1.2 6 2 2 23 12 20
8 5 Newcastle 10 4 6 1.7 1.3 4 3 3 17 13 15
9 6 Man City 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 4 2 4 15 13 14
10 12 Brentford 9 3 6 0.7 1.8 0 2 7 6 16 2
11 2 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 6 2 2 15 12 20
12 11 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.8 1.0 3 1 5 16 9 10
13 15 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
14 18 Ipswich 9 4 5 1.1 1.9 2 2 5 10 17 8
15 14 Man United 9 5 4 0.9 1.1 2 3 4 8 10 9
16 20 Southampton 10 6 4 0.5 1.7 0 2 8 5 17 2
17 3 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
18 8 Fulham 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 3 4 2 12 10 13
19 13 West Ham 9 6 3 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
20 16 Everton 9 6 3 0.7 1.6 1 4 4 6 14 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06