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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.70 fair 2.26
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 4.19
Away 2.55 fair 3.14
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.41
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Arsenal
17 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 3
12 Fouls 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (109 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.66 – 1.38
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
2.00scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 20:12
Arsenal before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.70scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:11
Chelsea all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.70
1.20 Goals conceded 1.10
3.20 Total goals 2.80
13.70 Shots 14.00
5.30 Shots on target 5.10
12.80 Shots faced 13.40
6.10 Corners 6.10
3.90 Corners against 4.30
11.50 Fouls 12.80
3.80 Yellow cards 2.40
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
30% Draws 30%
20% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
20% Over 5.5 goals 10%
70% Both teams scored 50%
20% Clean sheets 30%
10% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 50%
50% Draws 40%
20% Losses 10%
70% Over 0.5 goals 60%
40% Over 1.5 goals 30%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Arsenal all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.60scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:7
Arsenal before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:5
Chelsea at home away Arsenal

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.00
1.40 Goals conceded 1.00
3.00 Total goals 2.00
15.40 Shots 7.40
6.40 Shots on target 2.60
12.40 Shots faced 16.20
6.80 Corners 3.80
3.40 Corners against 6.00
11.40 Fouls 12.80
4.00 Yellow cards 3.00
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 60%
40% Over 2.5 goals 20%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 20%
0% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
40% Draws 60%
20% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 40%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.24 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 2.603.502.60 1.44 2.75
27.10.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 2–1 (1–1) 1.734.334.20 1.44 2.75
20.10.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.40 3.00
06.10.24 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 West Ham – Chelsea 0–3 (0–2) 3.603.901.95 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.44 2.75
01.09.24 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.50 2.63
25.08.24 Wolves – Chelsea 2–6 (2–2) 4.334.001.75 1.62 2.30
18.08.24 Chelsea – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.50 2.63

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
27.10.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.252.90 1.92 1.98
19.10.24 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–0 (0–0) 5.003.901.65 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Arsenal – Southampton 3–1 (0–0) 1.149.0017.00 1.36 3.20
28.09.24 Arsenal – Leicester 4–2 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.50 2.63
22.09.24 Man City – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 1.803.604.50 2.04 1.86
15.09.24 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 1.57 2.38
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
24.08.24 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Arsenal – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.44 2.75

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 2–1 (1–1) 1.734.334.20 1.44 2.75
06.10.24 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
01.09.24 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.50 2.63
18.08.24 Chelsea – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.50 2.63
19.05.24 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.455.006.00 1.29 3.75
05.05.24 Chelsea – West Ham 5–0 (3–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
02.05.24 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.803.00 1.30 3.50
15.04.24 Chelsea – Everton 6–0 (4–0) 1.704.204.50 1.53 2.50
04.04.24 Chelsea – Man United 4–3 (2–2) 2.004.003.40 1.40 3.00

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.751.95 1.84 2.06
19.10.24 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–0 (0–0) 5.003.901.65 1.73 2.10
22.09.24 Man City – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 1.803.604.50 2.04 1.86
15.09.24 Tottenham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.502.30 1.57 2.38
24.08.24 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10
12.05.24 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.501.36 1.36 3.20
28.04.24 Tottenham – Arsenal 2–3 (0–3) 4.204.201.75 1.50 2.63
20.04.24 Wolves – Arsenal 0–2 (0–1) 8.504.501.40 1.62 2.30
06.04.24 Brighton – Arsenal 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.62 2.30
31.03.24 Man City – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsArsenal wins
6matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.24E0 Arsenal – Chelsea 5–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.50
21.10.23E0 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.98 1.92
02.05.23E0 Arsenal – Chelsea 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
06.11.22E0 Chelsea – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.70 1.93 1.97
20.04.22E0 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–4 (2–2) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.80
22.08.21E0 Arsenal – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 4.753.751.72 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 9 1 1 21 6 +15 28
2 Man City 11 7 2 2 22 13 +9 23
3 Nott'm Forest 11 5 4 2 15 10 +5 19
4 Brighton 11 5 4 2 19 15 +4 19
5 Chelsea 10 5 3 2 20 12 +8 18
6 Arsenal 10 5 3 2 17 11 +6 18
7 Fulham 11 5 3 3 16 13 +3 18
8 Newcastle 11 5 3 3 13 11 +2 18
9 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 17 17 0 18
10 Tottenham 11 5 1 5 23 13 +10 16
11 Brentford 11 5 1 5 22 22 0 16
12 Bournemouth 11 4 3 4 15 15 0 15
13 Man United 11 4 3 4 12 12 0 15
14 West Ham 11 3 3 5 13 19 -6 12
15 Leicester 11 2 4 5 14 21 -7 10
16 Everton 11 2 4 5 10 17 -7 10
17 Ipswich 11 1 5 5 12 22 -10 8
18 Crystal Palace 11 1 4 6 8 15 -7 7
19 Wolves 11 1 3 7 16 27 -11 6
20 Southampton 11 1 1 9 7 21 -14 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 6 5 1 0 18 11 +7 16
2 Liverpool 6 5 0 1 11 3 +8 15
3 Man City 5 4 1 0 12 6 +6 13
4 Tottenham 6 4 0 2 16 6 +10 12
5 Brighton 6 3 3 0 11 8 +3 12
6 Arsenal 5 3 2 0 12 6 +6 11
7 Bournemouth 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
8 Fulham 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
9 Newcastle 5 3 1 1 5 3 +2 10
10 Man United 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
11 Chelsea 5 2 2 1 8 7 +1 8
12 Aston Villa 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
13 Nott'm Forest 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
14 West Ham 6 2 1 3 8 10 -2 7
15 Leicester 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
16 Everton 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
17 Crystal Palace 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5
18 Southampton 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
19 Wolves 6 1 1 4 9 14 -5 4
20 Ipswich 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 5 4 1 0 10 3 +7 13
2 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
3 Chelsea 5 3 1 1 12 5 +7 10
4 Man City 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
5 Aston Villa 6 3 1 2 10 11 -1 10
6 Fulham 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
7 Newcastle 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
8 Brighton 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
9 Arsenal 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
10 Man United 5 1 2 2 5 4 +1 5
11 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 7 11 -4 5
12 Everton 6 1 2 3 5 9 -4 5
13 West Ham 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
14 Leicester 6 1 2 3 9 14 -5 5
15 Ipswich 6 1 2 3 8 14 -6 5
16 Tottenham 5 1 1 3 7 7 0 4
17 Crystal Palace 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2
18 Wolves 5 0 2 3 7 13 -6 2
19 Brentford 5 0 0 5 4 11 -7 0
20 Southampton 6 0 0 6 3 13 -10 0

Chelsea   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Brentford 11 2 9 2.0 2.0 5 1 5 22 22 16
2 2 Man City 11 3 8 2.0 1.2 7 2 2 22 13 23
3 4 Brighton 11 3 8 1.7 1.4 5 4 2 19 15 19
4 10 Tottenham 11 3 8 2.1 1.2 5 1 5 23 13 16
5 19 Wolves 11 3 8 1.5 2.5 1 3 7 16 27 6
6 9 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 5 3 3 17 17 18
7 13 Man United 11 4 7 1.1 1.1 4 3 4 12 12 15
8 14 West Ham 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 3 3 5 13 19 12
9 15 Leicester 11 4 7 1.3 1.9 2 4 5 14 21 10
10 1 Liverpool 11 5 6 1.9 0.5 9 1 1 21 6 28
11 5 Chelsea 10 5 5 2.0 1.2 5 3 2 20 12 18
12 7 Fulham 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 5 3 3 16 13 18
13 8 Newcastle 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 3 13 11 18
14 12 Bournemouth 11 6 5 1.4 1.4 4 3 4 15 15 15
15 16 Everton 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 4 5 10 17 10
16 17 Ipswich 11 6 5 1.1 2.0 1 5 5 12 22 8
17 20 Southampton 11 6 5 0.6 1.9 1 1 9 7 21 4
18 3 Nott'm Forest 11 7 4 1.4 0.9 5 4 2 15 10 19
19 6 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.7 1.1 5 3 2 17 11 18
20 18 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.7 1.4 1 4 6 8 15 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Brighton 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 3 3 0 11 8 12
2 10 Tottenham 6 1 5 2.7 1.0 4 0 2 16 6 12
3 11 Brentford 6 1 5 3.0 1.8 5 1 0 18 11 16
4 14 West Ham 6 1 5 1.3 1.7 2 1 3 8 10 7
5 19 Wolves 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 1 1 4 9 14 4
6 2 Man City 5 1 4 2.4 1.2 4 1 0 12 6 13
7 7 Fulham 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
8 13 Man United 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
9 1 Liverpool 6 3 3 1.8 0.5 5 0 1 11 3 15
10 6 Arsenal 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 3 2 0 12 6 11
11 16 Everton 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
12 3 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8
13 5 Chelsea 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 2 2 1 8 7 8
14 9 Aston Villa 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
15 12 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
16 15 Leicester 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
17 20 Southampton 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
18 8 Newcastle 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 3 1 1 5 3 10
19 17 Ipswich 5 4 1 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
20 18 Crystal Palace 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Aston Villa 6 1 5 1.7 1.8 3 1 2 10 11 10
2 15 Leicester 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 1 2 3 9 14 5
3 2 Man City 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
4 8 Newcastle 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
5 11 Brentford 5 1 4 0.8 2.2 0 0 5 4 11 0
6 17 Ipswich 6 2 4 1.3 2.3 1 2 3 8 14 5
7 1 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 4 1 0 10 3 13
8 4 Brighton 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
9 5 Chelsea 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 3 1 1 12 5 10
10 10 Tottenham 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 1 1 3 7 7 4
11 12 Bournemouth 6 3 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 3 7 11 5
12 13 Man United 5 2 3 1.0 0.8 1 2 2 5 4 5
13 18 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2
14 19 Wolves 5 2 3 1.4 2.6 0 2 3 7 13 2
15 20 Southampton 6 3 3 0.5 2.2 0 0 6 3 13 0
16 3 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
17 14 West Ham 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
18 16 Everton 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 2 3 5 9 5
19 6 Arsenal 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
20 7 Fulham 6 5 1 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44