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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Arsenal 0–3 Brighton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.73 fair 1.76
Draw 4.20 fair 5.08
Away ✓ 4.20 fair 4.25
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 3.62
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.38

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Brighton
14 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 2
13 Fouls 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (355 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.45
Expected goals 2.31 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9% 1–1 7.8% 3–1 6.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.31points / match
2.37scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 83:39
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.91scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 63:45
Arsenal all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

2.37 Goals scored 1.91
1.11 Goals conceded 1.36
3.49 Total goals 3.27
15.83 Shots 16.30
5.46 Shots on target 6.18
9.06 Shots faced 9.76
5.83 Corners 6.61
3.77 Corners against 3.55
9.71 Fouls 10.70
1.37 Yellow cards 1.36
1.09 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

71% Wins 48%
17% Draws 21%
11% Losses 30%
97% Over 0.5 goals 94%
86% Over 1.5 goals 76%
69% Over 2.5 goals 64%
54% Over 3.5 goals 45%
31% Over 4.5 goals 27%
11% Over 5.5 goals 18%
60% Both teams scored 58%
37% Clean sheets 33%
6% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

54% Wins 30%
29% Draws 55%
17% Losses 15%
80% Over 0.5 goals 73%
51% Over 1.5 goals 52%
20% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Brighton all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.47points / match
2.82scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 48:22
Brighton before this match, away
1.56points / match
1.88scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 30:26
Arsenal at home away Brighton

Per match

2.82 Goals scored 1.88
1.29 Goals conceded 1.63
4.12 Total goals 3.50
19.18 Shots 14.56
6.65 Shots on target 5.31
7.24 Shots faced 10.88
7.06 Corners 5.25
2.94 Corners against 4.19
9.53 Fouls 10.56
0.94 Yellow cards 1.06
1.06 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

76% Wins 44%
18% Draws 25%
6% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
94% Over 1.5 goals 100%
88% Over 2.5 goals 75%
76% Over 3.5 goals 50%
47% Over 4.5 goals 19%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
82% Both teams scored 81%
18% Clean sheets 13%
6% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 38%
35% Draws 50%
18% Losses 13%
82% Over 0.5 goals 88%
53% Over 1.5 goals 63%
18% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.752.63 1.62 2.30
02.05.23 Arsenal – Chelsea 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.04.23 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
21.04.23 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63
16.04.23 West Ham – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 6.004.201.55 1.80 2.00
09.04.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
19.03.23 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 1.255.5015.00 1.73 2.10
12.03.23 Fulham – Arsenal 0–3 (0–3) 6.004.001.57 1.85 2.08
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.05.23 Brighton – Everton 1–5 (0–3) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.38
04.05.23 Brighton – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.503.75 1.57 2.38
29.04.23 Brighton – Wolves 6–0 (4–0) 1.504.336.50 1.85 2.05
26.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 3–1 (1–1) 6.004.201.53 1.73 2.10
15.04.23 Chelsea – Brighton 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.94 1.96
08.04.23 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.70 1.85 2.05
04.04.23 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
01.04.23 Brighton – Brentford 3–3 (2–2) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
15.03.23 Brighton – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.208.00 1.93 1.97
11.03.23 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.23 Arsenal – Chelsea 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
21.04.23 Arsenal – Southampton 3–3 (1–2) 1.207.0013.00 1.50 2.63
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
19.03.23 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 4–1 (2–0) 1.255.5015.00 1.73 2.10
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
01.03.23 Arsenal – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.7510.00 1.85 2.05
15.02.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.35 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Arsenal – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.444.757.00 1.73 2.10
22.01.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–2 (1–1) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
03.01.23 Arsenal – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.33 1.80 2.00

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 3–1 (1–1) 6.004.201.53 1.73 2.10
15.04.23 Chelsea – Brighton 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.94 1.96
08.04.23 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.70 1.85 2.05
04.04.23 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
11.03.23 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04
11.02.23 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.502.00 2.00 1.80
21.01.23 Leicester – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.603.502.05 1.86 2.04
03.01.23 Everton – Brighton 1–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.02 1.88
26.12.22 Southampton – Brighton 1–3 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.94 1.96
05.11.22 Wolves – Brighton 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsBrighton wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.12.22E0 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
09.04.22E0 Arsenal – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 1.613.805.75 2.04 1.86
02.10.21E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 35 27 4 4 92 31 +61 85
2 Arsenal 35 25 6 4 83 39 +44 81
3 Newcastle 35 18 12 5 63 31 +32 66
4 Man United 35 20 6 9 51 41 +10 66
5 Liverpool 35 18 8 9 67 42 +25 62
6 Tottenham 36 17 6 13 65 59 +6 57
7 Aston Villa 36 17 6 13 48 44 +4 57
8 Brighton 33 16 7 10 63 45 +18 55
9 Brentford 36 13 14 9 54 45 +9 53
10 Fulham 36 15 6 15 52 49 +3 51
11 Chelsea 35 11 10 14 36 41 -5 43
12 Crystal Palace 36 11 10 15 37 46 -9 43
13 Wolves 36 11 7 18 30 52 -22 40
14 Bournemouth 36 11 6 19 37 69 -32 39
15 West Ham 36 10 7 19 38 52 -14 37
16 Nott'm Forest 36 8 10 18 36 67 -31 34
17 Everton 36 7 11 18 32 56 -24 32
18 Leeds 36 7 10 19 46 71 -25 31
19 Leicester 35 8 6 21 49 64 -15 30
20 Southampton 36 6 6 24 31 66 -35 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 18 16 1 1 59 17 +42 49
2 Liverpool 18 13 4 1 45 16 +29 43
3 Arsenal 17 13 3 1 48 22 +26 42
4 Man United 17 13 3 1 30 8 +22 42
5 Tottenham 18 12 1 5 36 22 +14 37
6 Newcastle 17 10 5 2 32 13 +19 35
7 Aston Villa 18 11 2 5 31 20 +11 35
8 Brentford 18 9 7 2 34 18 +16 34
9 Brighton 17 9 3 5 33 19 +14 30
10 Wolves 18 9 2 7 18 19 -1 29
11 Fulham 18 8 4 6 29 27 +2 28
12 Nott'm Forest 18 7 6 5 26 24 +2 27
13 Crystal Palace 18 7 6 5 20 22 -2 27
14 West Ham 18 7 4 7 23 23 0 25
15 Chelsea 18 6 6 6 19 18 +1 24
16 Bournemouth 18 6 4 8 20 27 -7 22
17 Leeds 18 5 7 6 25 33 -8 22
18 Everton 18 5 3 10 15 27 -12 18
19 Leicester 17 4 4 9 21 23 -2 16
20 Southampton 18 2 4 12 15 33 -18 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 18 12 3 3 35 17 +18 39
2 Man City 17 11 3 3 33 14 +19 36
3 Newcastle 18 8 7 3 31 18 +13 31
4 Brighton 16 7 4 5 30 26 +4 25
5 Man United 18 7 3 8 21 33 -12 24
6 Fulham 18 7 2 9 23 22 +1 23
7 Aston Villa 18 6 4 8 17 24 -7 22
8 Tottenham 18 5 5 8 29 37 -8 20
9 Liverpool 17 5 4 8 22 26 -4 19
10 Chelsea 17 5 4 8 17 23 -6 19
11 Brentford 18 4 7 7 20 27 -7 19
12 Bournemouth 18 5 2 11 17 42 -25 17
13 Crystal Palace 18 4 4 10 17 24 -7 16
14 Everton 18 2 8 8 17 29 -12 14
15 Leicester 18 4 2 12 28 41 -13 14
16 Southampton 18 4 2 12 16 33 -17 14
17 West Ham 18 3 3 12 15 29 -14 12
18 Wolves 18 2 5 11 12 33 -21 11
19 Leeds 18 2 3 13 21 38 -17 9
20 Nott'm Forest 18 1 4 13 10 43 -33 7

Arsenal   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 35 10 25 2.6 0.9 27 4 4 92 31 85
2 2 Arsenal 35 11 24 2.4 1.1 25 6 4 83 39 81
3 10 Fulham 36 13 23 1.4 1.4 15 6 15 52 49 51
4 18 Leeds 36 13 23 1.3 2.0 7 10 19 46 71 31
5 19 Leicester 35 13 22 1.4 1.8 8 6 21 49 64 30
6 5 Liverpool 35 14 21 1.9 1.2 18 8 9 67 42 62
7 6 Tottenham 36 15 21 1.8 1.6 17 6 13 65 59 57
8 8 Brighton 33 12 21 1.9 1.4 16 7 10 63 45 55
9 14 Bournemouth 36 18 18 1.0 1.9 11 6 19 37 69 39
10 20 Southampton 36 18 18 0.9 1.8 6 6 24 31 66 24
11 3 Newcastle 35 18 17 1.8 0.9 18 12 5 63 31 66
12 4 Man United 35 18 17 1.5 1.2 20 6 9 51 41 66
13 7 Aston Villa 36 19 17 1.3 1.2 17 6 13 48 44 57
14 16 Nott'm Forest 36 19 17 1.0 1.9 8 10 18 36 67 34
15 9 Brentford 36 20 16 1.5 1.2 13 14 9 54 45 53
16 17 Everton 36 20 16 0.9 1.6 7 11 18 32 56 32
17 11 Chelsea 35 20 15 1.0 1.2 11 10 14 36 41 43
18 12 Crystal Palace 36 22 14 1.0 1.3 11 10 15 37 46 43
19 13 Wolves 36 22 14 0.8 1.4 11 7 18 30 52 40
20 15 West Ham 36 23 13 1.1 1.4 10 7 19 38 52 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 18 2 16 3.3 0.9 16 1 1 59 17 49
2 2 Arsenal 17 2 15 2.8 1.3 13 3 1 48 22 42
3 10 Fulham 18 5 13 1.6 1.5 8 4 6 29 27 28
4 18 Leeds 18 7 11 1.4 1.8 5 7 6 25 33 22
5 5 Liverpool 18 8 10 2.5 0.9 13 4 1 45 16 43
6 6 Tottenham 18 8 10 2.0 1.2 12 1 5 36 22 37
7 7 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.7 1.1 11 2 5 31 20 35
8 19 Leicester 17 7 10 1.2 1.4 4 4 9 21 23 16
9 4 Man United 17 8 9 1.8 0.5 13 3 1 30 8 42
10 8 Brighton 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 9 3 5 33 19 30
11 9 Brentford 18 9 9 1.9 1.0 9 7 2 34 18 34
12 14 Bournemouth 18 9 9 1.1 1.5 6 4 8 20 27 22
13 12 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 7 6 5 20 22 27
14 17 Everton 18 10 8 0.8 1.5 5 3 10 15 27 18
15 20 Southampton 18 10 8 0.8 1.8 2 4 12 15 33 10
16 11 Chelsea 18 11 7 1.1 1.0 6 6 6 19 18 24
17 16 Nott'm Forest 18 11 7 1.4 1.3 7 6 5 26 24 27
18 3 Newcastle 17 11 6 1.9 0.8 10 5 2 32 13 35
19 15 West Ham 18 12 6 1.3 1.3 7 4 7 23 23 25
20 13 Wolves 18 13 5 1.0 1.1 9 2 7 18 19 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brighton 16 4 12 1.9 1.6 7 4 5 30 26 25
2 18 Leeds 18 6 12 1.2 2.1 2 3 13 21 38 9
3 19 Leicester 18 6 12 1.6 2.3 4 2 12 28 41 14
4 3 Newcastle 18 7 11 1.7 1.0 8 7 3 31 18 31
5 5 Liverpool 17 6 11 1.3 1.5 5 4 8 22 26 19
6 6 Tottenham 18 7 11 1.6 2.1 5 5 8 29 37 20
7 10 Fulham 18 8 10 1.3 1.2 7 2 9 23 22 23
8 16 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 0.6 2.4 1 4 13 10 43 7
9 20 Southampton 18 8 10 0.9 1.8 4 2 12 16 33 14
10 1 Man City 17 8 9 1.9 0.8 11 3 3 33 14 36
11 2 Arsenal 18 9 9 1.9 0.9 12 3 3 35 17 39
12 13 Wolves 18 9 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 11 12 33 11
13 14 Bournemouth 18 9 9 0.9 2.3 5 2 11 17 42 17
14 4 Man United 18 10 8 1.2 1.8 7 3 8 21 33 24
15 11 Chelsea 17 9 8 1.0 1.4 5 4 8 17 23 19
16 17 Everton 18 10 8 0.9 1.6 2 8 8 17 29 14
17 7 Aston Villa 18 11 7 0.9 1.3 6 4 8 17 24 22
18 9 Brentford 18 11 7 1.1 1.5 4 7 7 20 27 19
19 15 West Ham 18 11 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 12 15 29 12
20 12 Crystal Palace 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 10 17 24 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40