Brighton 2–4 Arsenal – England Premier League, 31 Dec 2022

Match facts

Brighton Arsenal

9 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 7

7 Corners 4

7 Fouls 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (163 league matches this season so far).

Result Arsenal to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.70

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.48

Home / Draw / Away

37% 25% 39%

BrightonDrawArsenal

Under / Over 2.5 goals

44% 56%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

41% 59%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.5% 1–2 8.5% 2–1 8.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.60points / match

1.73scored / match

1.33conceded / match

7 3 5

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:20

Arsenal before this match, all matches

2.67points / match

2.40scored / match

0.80conceded / match

13 1 1

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 36:12

Brighton all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 2.40

1.33 Goals conceded 0.80

3.07 Total goals 3.20

13.47 Shots 15.87

5.40 Shots on target 5.73

9.87 Shots faced 8.13

6.13 Corners 5.60

4.07 Corners against 3.80

10.93 Fouls 10.13

1.40 Yellow cards 1.53

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.93

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

47% Wins 87%

20% Draws 7%

33% Losses 7%

87% Over 0.5 goals 100%

73% Over 1.5 goals 87%

60% Over 2.5 goals 67%

40% Over 3.5 goals 40%

27% Over 4.5 goals 20%

13% Over 5.5 goals 7%

60% Both teams scored 53%

27% Clean sheets 47%

27% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 60%

47% Draws 27%

20% Losses 13%

73% Over 0.5 goals 80%

53% Over 1.5 goals 33%

27% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches

5

2

W

3

D

1

L

2

L

D

1

3

L

4

1

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

3

1

W

Arsenal all matches

1

3

L

3

W

3

1

W

3

2

W

1

W

1

D

5

W

1

W

2

W

3

1

W

Brighton before this match, at home

1.57points / match

1.57scored / match

0.86conceded / match

3 2 2

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:6

Arsenal before this match, away

2.38points / match

1.75scored / match

0.50conceded / match

6 1 1

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 14:4

Brighton at home away Arsenal

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.75

0.86 Goals conceded 0.50

2.43 Total goals 2.25

15.43 Shots 12.75

6.29 Shots on target 3.88

7.71 Shots faced 9.13

8.00 Corners 4.25

3.00 Corners against 4.50

10.43 Fouls 9.75

1.71 Yellow cards 1.88

0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.13

How often Full Time

43% Wins 75%

29% Draws 13%

29% Losses 13%

71% Over 0.5 goals 100%

43% Over 1.5 goals 75%

43% Over 2.5 goals 38%

29% Over 3.5 goals 13%

29% Over 4.5 goals 0%

14% Over 5.5 goals 0%

43% Both teams scored 25%

43% Clean sheets 75%

43% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 63%

71% Draws 25%

14% Losses 13%

57% Over 0.5 goals 75%

43% Over 1.5 goals 25%

29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home

2

D

4

W

3

1

W

D

1

W

5

2

W

1

L

D

4

1

W

1

2

L

Arsenal away

3

L

2

L

2

W

3

W

1

3

L

3

W

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.22	Southampton – Brighton	1–3 (0–2)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.94	1.96
13.11.22	Brighton – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–1)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.96	1.94
05.11.22	Wolves – Brighton	2–3 (2–2)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.10	1.72
29.10.22	Brighton – Chelsea	4–1 (3–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.72
22.10.22	Man City – Brighton	3–1 (2–0)	1.20	7.00	13.00	1.44	2.75
18.10.22	Brighton – Nott'm Forest	0–0 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.72	2.10
14.10.22	Brentford – Brighton	2–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	1.97	1.93
08.10.22	Brighton – Tottenham	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.40	2.50	1.88	2.02
01.10.22	Liverpool – Brighton	3–3 (1–2)	1.33	5.25	8.50	1.53	2.50
04.09.22	Brighton – Leicester	5–2 (2–2)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.01	1.89

Arsenal all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.22	Arsenal – West Ham	3–1 (0–1)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.73	2.10
12.11.22	Wolves – Arsenal	0–2 (0–0)	6.00	4.20	1.55	1.80	2.00
06.11.22	Chelsea – Arsenal	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	1.93	1.97
30.10.22	Arsenal – Nott'm Forest	5–0 (1–0)	1.20	7.00	12.00	1.50	2.62
23.10.22	Southampton – Arsenal	1–1 (0–1)	6.00	4.00	1.57	1.66	2.20
16.10.22	Leeds – Arsenal	0–1 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.55	1.61	2.30
09.10.22	Arsenal – Liverpool	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.60	2.62	1.57	2.37
01.10.22	Arsenal – Tottenham	3–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.75	3.30	1.72	2.10
18.09.22	Brentford – Arsenal	0–3 (0–2)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.66	2.20
04.09.22	Man United – Arsenal	3–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.66	2.20

Brighton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.11.22	Brighton – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–1)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.96	1.94
29.10.22	Brighton – Chelsea	4–1 (3–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.72
18.10.22	Brighton – Nott'm Forest	0–0 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	7.00	1.72	2.10
08.10.22	Brighton – Tottenham	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.40	2.50	1.88	2.02
04.09.22	Brighton – Leicester	5–2 (2–2)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.01	1.89
27.08.22	Brighton – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.80	3.80	1.88	2.02
13.08.22	Brighton – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.72
22.05.22	Brighton – West Ham	3–1 (0–1)	2.37	3.50	2.90	1.72	2.10
07.05.22	Brighton – Man United	4–0 (1–0)	2.80	3.50	2.45	1.95	1.95
24.04.22	Brighton – Southampton	2–2 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.02	1.88

Arsenal away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.11.22	Wolves – Arsenal	0–2 (0–0)	6.00	4.20	1.55	1.80	2.00
06.11.22	Chelsea – Arsenal	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	1.93	1.97
23.10.22	Southampton – Arsenal	1–1 (0–1)	6.00	4.00	1.57	1.66	2.20
16.10.22	Leeds – Arsenal	0–1 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.55	1.61	2.30
18.09.22	Brentford – Arsenal	0–3 (0–2)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.66	2.20
04.09.22	Man United – Arsenal	3–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.66	2.20
20.08.22	Bournemouth – Arsenal	0–3 (0–2)	8.00	4.75	1.40	1.72	2.10
05.08.22	Crystal Palace – Arsenal	0–2 (0–1)	4.20	3.60	1.85	2.10	1.72
16.05.22	Newcastle – Arsenal	2–0 (0–0)	4.33	3.60	1.83	1.90	2.00
12.05.22	Tottenham – Arsenal	3–0 (2–0)	2.05	3.75	3.50	1.80	2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1

Brighton winsDrawsArsenal wins

2matches

1.50goals / match

50%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.04.22E0	Arsenal – Brighton	1–2 (0–1)	1.61	3.80	5.75	2.04	1.86
02.10.21E0	Brighton – Arsenal	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.40	2.00	1.80

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	15	13	1	1	36	12	+24	40
2	Man City	16	11	3	2	44	16	+28	36
3	Newcastle	17	9	7	1	32	11	+21	34
4	Man United	16	10	2	4	24	20	+4	32
5	Tottenham	16	9	3	4	33	23	+10	30
6	Liverpool	16	8	4	4	33	19	+14	28
7	Fulham	17	7	4	6	29	27	+2	25
8	Brighton	15	7	3	5	26	20	+6	24
9	Chelsea	15	7	3	5	19	17	+2	24
10	Brentford	17	5	8	4	27	27	0	23
11	Crystal Palace	16	6	4	6	17	21	-4	22
12	Aston Villa	16	5	3	8	17	25	-8	18
13	Leicester	17	5	2	10	26	30	-4	17
14	Leeds	16	4	4	8	23	29	-6	16
15	Bournemouth	17	4	4	9	18	36	-18	16
16	Everton	17	3	6	8	13	20	-7	15
17	West Ham	17	4	2	11	13	22	-9	14
18	Wolves	17	3	4	10	10	26	-16	13
19	Nott'm Forest	16	3	4	9	11	33	-22	13
20	Southampton	17	3	3	11	15	32	-17	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	9	7	1	1	31	10	+21	22
2	Arsenal	7	7	0	0	22	8	+14	21
3	Liverpool	9	6	2	1	23	9	+14	20
4	Newcastle	9	5	4	0	17	5	+12	19
5	Tottenham	8	6	0	2	21	11	+10	18
6	Man United	7	5	1	1	12	4	+8	16
7	Fulham	9	4	3	2	16	14	+2	15
8	Chelsea	7	4	2	1	12	6	+6	14
9	Brentford	8	3	4	1	15	9	+6	13
10	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	12	9	+3	13
11	Crystal Palace	8	4	1	3	10	11	-1	13
12	Brighton	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
13	Leeds	8	3	2	3	13	12	+1	11
14	Nott'm Forest	8	3	2	3	10	11	-1	11
15	Bournemouth	9	3	2	4	9	10	-1	11
16	West Ham	9	3	1	5	9	12	-3	10
17	Leicester	8	2	2	4	9	9	0	8
18	Everton	8	2	2	4	7	8	-1	8
19	Wolves	9	2	2	5	5	14	-9	8
20	Southampton	8	1	3	4	9	15	-6	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	6	1	1	14	4	+10	19
2	Man United	9	5	1	3	12	16	-4	16
3	Newcastle	8	4	3	1	15	6	+9	15
4	Man City	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
5	Brighton	8	4	1	3	15	14	+1	13
6	Tottenham	8	3	3	2	12	12	0	12
7	Fulham	8	3	1	4	13	13	0	10
8	Chelsea	8	3	1	4	7	11	-4	10
9	Brentford	9	2	4	3	12	18	-6	10
10	Crystal Palace	8	2	3	3	7	10	-3	9
11	Leicester	9	3	0	6	17	21	-4	9
12	Liverpool	7	2	2	3	10	10	0	8
13	Everton	9	1	4	4	6	12	-6	7
14	Southampton	9	2	0	7	6	17	-11	6
15	Leeds	8	1	2	5	10	17	-7	5
16	Wolves	8	1	2	5	5	12	-7	5
17	Aston Villa	8	1	2	5	5	16	-11	5
18	Bournemouth	8	1	2	5	9	26	-17	5
19	West Ham	8	1	1	6	4	10	-6	4
20	Nott'm Forest	8	0	2	6	1	22	-21	2

Brighton Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Fulham	17	2	15	1.7	1.6	7	4	6	29	27	25
2	2	Man City	16	5	11	2.8	1.0	11	3	2	44	16	36
3	6	Liverpool	16	5	11	2.1	1.2	8	4	4	33	19	28
4	13	Leicester	17	6	11	1.5	1.8	5	2	10	26	30	17
5	1	Arsenal	15	5	10	2.4	0.8	13	1	1	36	12	40
6	5	Tottenham	16	6	10	2.1	1.4	9	3	4	33	23	30
7	10	Brentford	17	7	10	1.6	1.6	5	8	4	27	27	23
8	14	Leeds	16	6	10	1.4	1.8	4	4	8	23	29	16
9	20	Southampton	17	7	10	0.9	1.9	3	3	11	15	32	12
10	4	Man United	16	7	9	1.5	1.2	10	2	4	24	20	32
11	8	Brighton	15	6	9	1.7	1.3	7	3	5	26	20	24
12	12	Aston Villa	16	7	9	1.1	1.6	5	3	8	17	25	18
13	15	Bournemouth	17	8	9	1.1	2.1	4	4	9	18	36	16
14	3	Newcastle	17	9	8	1.9	0.6	9	7	1	32	11	34
15	9	Chelsea	15	7	8	1.3	1.1	7	3	5	19	17	24
16	11	Crystal Palace	16	8	8	1.1	1.3	6	4	6	17	21	22
17	18	Wolves	17	10	7	0.6	1.5	3	4	10	10	26	13
18	19	Nott'm Forest	16	9	7	0.7	2.1	3	4	9	11	33	13
19	16	Everton	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	3	6	8	13	20	15
20	17	West Ham	17	13	4	0.8	1.3	4	2	11	13	22	14

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Man City	9	1	8	3.4	1.1	7	1	1	31	10	22
2	7	Fulham	9	1	8	1.8	1.6	4	3	2	16	14	15
3	1	Arsenal	7	0	7	3.1	1.1	7	0	0	22	8	21
4	5	Tottenham	8	2	6	2.6	1.4	6	0	2	21	11	18
5	6	Liverpool	9	3	6	2.6	1.0	6	2	1	23	9	20
6	11	Crystal Palace	8	3	5	1.2	1.4	4	1	3	10	11	13
7	14	Leeds	8	3	5	1.6	1.5	3	2	3	13	12	11
8	20	Southampton	8	3	5	1.1	1.9	1	3	4	9	15	6
9	4	Man United	7	3	4	1.7	0.6	5	1	1	12	4	16
10	9	Chelsea	7	3	4	1.7	0.9	4	2	1	12	6	14
11	10	Brentford	8	4	4	1.9	1.1	3	4	1	15	9	13
12	12	Aston Villa	8	4	4	1.5	1.1	4	1	3	12	9	13
13	13	Leicester	8	4	4	1.1	1.1	2	2	4	9	9	8
14	15	Bournemouth	9	5	4	1.0	1.1	3	2	4	9	10	11
15	3	Newcastle	9	6	3	1.9	0.6	5	4	0	17	5	19
16	8	Brighton	7	4	3	1.6	0.9	3	2	2	11	6	11
17	16	Everton	8	5	3	0.9	1.0	2	2	4	7	8	8
18	18	Wolves	9	6	3	0.6	1.6	2	2	5	5	14	8
19	19	Nott'm Forest	8	5	3	1.2	1.4	3	2	3	10	11	11
20	17	West Ham	9	7	2	1.0	1.3	3	1	5	9	12	10

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Fulham	8	1	7	1.6	1.6	3	1	4	13	13	10
2	13	Leicester	9	2	7	1.9	2.3	3	0	6	17	21	9
3	8	Brighton	8	2	6	1.9	1.8	4	1	3	15	14	13
4	10	Brentford	9	3	6	1.3	2.0	2	4	3	12	18	10
5	3	Newcastle	8	3	5	1.9	0.8	4	3	1	15	6	15
6	4	Man United	9	4	5	1.3	1.8	5	1	3	12	16	16
7	6	Liverpool	7	2	5	1.4	1.4	2	2	3	10	10	8
8	12	Aston Villa	8	3	5	0.6	2.0	1	2	5	5	16	5
9	14	Leeds	8	3	5	1.2	2.1	1	2	5	10	17	5
10	15	Bournemouth	8	3	5	1.1	3.2	1	2	5	9	26	5
11	20	Southampton	9	4	5	0.7	1.9	2	0	7	6	17	6
12	5	Tottenham	8	4	4	1.5	1.5	3	3	2	12	12	12
13	9	Chelsea	8	4	4	0.9	1.4	3	1	4	7	11	10
14	18	Wolves	8	4	4	0.6	1.5	1	2	5	5	12	5
15	19	Nott'm Forest	8	4	4	0.1	2.8	0	2	6	1	22	2
16	1	Arsenal	8	5	3	1.8	0.5	6	1	1	14	4	19
17	2	Man City	7	4	3	1.9	0.9	4	2	1	13	6	14
18	11	Crystal Palace	8	5	3	0.9	1.2	2	3	3	7	10	9
19	16	Everton	9	6	3	0.7	1.3	1	4	4	6	12	7
20	17	West Ham	8	6	2	0.5	1.2	1	1	6	4	10	4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.