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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: Z Kennard-Kettle

Grimsby 2–1 Carlisle

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 1.96
Draw 3.40 fair 4.17
Away 3.40 fair 4.00
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Grimsby Carlisle
26 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 3
12 Corners 4
8 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (342 league matches this season so far).
Result Grimsby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
GrimsbyDrawCarlisle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Grimsby before this match, all matches
1.45points / match
1.38scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 40:45
Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
0.79scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 22:46
Grimsby all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.79
1.55 Goals conceded 1.64
2.93 Total goals 2.43
10.86 Shots 11.54
3.86 Shots on target 3.46
12.59 Shots faced 11.68
4.21 Corners 5.11
5.34 Corners against 4.79
11.55 Fouls 10.89
2.10 Yellow cards 2.68
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

45% Wins 18%
10% Draws 21%
45% Losses 61%
97% Over 0.5 goals 89%
76% Over 1.5 goals 64%
62% Over 2.5 goals 43%
31% Over 3.5 goals 25%
21% Over 4.5 goals 18%
3% Over 5.5 goals 4%
55% Both teams scored 46%
28% Clean sheets 21%
21% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 21%
31% Draws 32%
34% Losses 46%
72% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 29%
24% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby all matches
Carlisle all matches
Grimsby before this match, at home
1.43points / match
1.50scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 21:23
Carlisle before this match, away
0.86points / match
0.79scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 11:23
Grimsby at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.79
1.64 Goals conceded 1.64
3.14 Total goals 2.43
11.36 Shots 11.00
3.93 Shots on target 3.36
10.93 Shots faced 13.14
4.79 Corners 4.43
4.71 Corners against 5.36
10.21 Fouls 11.36
1.57 Yellow cards 2.79
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.21
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

43% Wins 21%
14% Draws 21%
43% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 64%
64% Over 2.5 goals 50%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
21% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 43%
14% Clean sheets 29%
21% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 14%
43% Draws 36%
21% Losses 50%
64% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 21%
21% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Grimsby at home
Carlisle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Grimsby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Bromley – Grimsby 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.303.70 1.98 1.88
28.01.25 Grimsby – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.383.302.88 2.10 1.70
25.01.25 Barrow – Grimsby 3–0 (1–0) 2.103.253.50 2.10 1.67
18.01.25 Grimsby – Chesterfield 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.402.55 1.93 1.93
04.01.25 Bradford – Grimsby 3–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.00 1.85
01.01.25 Accrington – Grimsby 3–2 (1–2) 2.353.302.90 1.90 1.95
29.12.24 Grimsby – Port Vale 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.15 2.05 1.75
26.12.24 Grimsby – Harrogate 2–1 (0–0) 1.673.804.75 1.90 1.95
21.12.24 Swindon – Grimsby 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.602.90 1.93 1.93
14.12.24 Grimsby – Crewe 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.252.70 2.15 1.67

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Carlisle – Swindon 1–5 (0–1) 2.553.252.70 2.05 1.75
28.01.25 Notts County – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.335.00 1.60 2.30
25.01.25 Fleetwood Town – Carlisle 1–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.10 2.03 1.83
18.01.25 Carlisle – Bradford 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
04.01.25 Tranmere – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.25 2.03 1.83
01.01.25 Crewe – Carlisle 3–2 (1–1) 1.903.603.75 2.15 1.67
29.12.24 Carlisle – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Carlisle – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 1.93 1.93
21.12.24 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Carlisle – Chesterfield 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 1.93 1.93

Grimsby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.25 Grimsby – Gillingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.383.302.88 2.10 1.70
18.01.25 Grimsby – Chesterfield 1–1 (1–1) 2.603.402.55 1.93 1.93
29.12.24 Grimsby – Port Vale 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.402.15 2.05 1.75
26.12.24 Grimsby – Harrogate 2–1 (0–0) 1.673.804.75 1.90 1.95
14.12.24 Grimsby – Crewe 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.252.70 2.15 1.67
03.12.24 Grimsby – Accrington 5–2 (4–0) 2.453.252.80 1.95 1.90
23.11.24 Grimsby – Colchester 0–1 (0–0) 2.353.302.90 1.98 1.88
26.10.24 Grimsby – Milton Keynes Dons 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.252.20 1.85 1.95
19.10.24 Grimsby – Walsall 1–4 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.88 1.98
05.10.24 Grimsby – Doncaster 0–3 (0–3) 2.803.402.38 1.93 1.93

Carlisle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.25 Notts County – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.335.00 1.60 2.30
25.01.25 Fleetwood Town – Carlisle 1–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.10 2.03 1.83
04.01.25 Tranmere – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.25 2.03 1.83
01.01.25 Crewe – Carlisle 3–2 (1–1) 1.903.603.75 2.15 1.67
21.12.24 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
16.11.24 Bromley – Carlisle 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Salford – Carlisle 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.60 1.90 1.95
22.10.24 Walsall – Carlisle 3–1 (1–0) 1.573.905.75 1.70 2.10
12.10.24 AFC Wimbledon – Carlisle 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Colchester – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.50 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Grimsby winsDrawsCarlisle wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24E3 Carlisle – Grimsby 2–3 (2–1) 2.053.503.25 1.93 1.93
04.03.23E3 Carlisle – Grimsby 2–0 (2–0) 1.733.755.00 2.20 1.65
27.09.22E3 Grimsby – Carlisle 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.204.00 2.15 1.66

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 28 18 5 5 54 30 +24 59
2 Doncaster 30 15 7 8 44 37 +7 52
3 Notts County 28 14 8 6 45 28 +17 50
4 Bradford 29 14 8 7 39 28 +11 50
5 Port Vale 29 13 10 6 38 32 +6 49
6 AFC Wimbledon 27 14 6 7 39 20 +19 48
7 Crewe 29 12 12 5 36 25 +11 48
8 Salford 29 12 9 8 36 29 +7 45
9 Chesterfield 29 11 9 9 48 34 +14 42
10 Grimsby 29 13 3 13 40 45 -5 42
11 Milton Keynes Dons 28 11 5 12 42 40 +2 38
12 Swindon 31 9 11 11 46 47 -1 38
13 Cheltenham 28 10 8 10 37 39 -2 38
14 Colchester 28 8 13 7 33 29 +4 37
15 Fleetwood Town 27 9 9 9 37 35 +2 36
16 Bromley 29 8 12 9 39 40 -1 36
17 Newport County 28 9 6 13 37 47 -10 33
18 Gillingham 27 9 5 13 25 29 -4 32
19 Barrow 28 8 7 13 27 32 -5 31
20 Harrogate 31 8 6 17 25 42 -17 30
21 Accrington 27 7 8 12 34 45 -11 29
22 Tranmere 28 6 8 14 21 46 -25 26
23 Morecambe 29 6 5 18 27 46 -19 23
24 Carlisle 28 5 6 17 22 46 -24 21
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 15 11 3 1 36 19 +17 36
2 Bradford 15 11 3 1 25 10 +15 36
3 AFC Wimbledon 14 9 3 2 25 9 +16 30
4 Doncaster 15 8 4 3 21 15 +6 28
5 Cheltenham 15 8 3 4 22 19 +3 27
6 Crewe 14 7 5 2 21 13 +8 26
7 Salford 15 8 2 5 20 15 +5 26
8 Chesterfield 15 6 7 2 25 17 +8 25
9 Milton Keynes Dons 16 7 4 5 21 15 +6 25
10 Notts County 13 7 3 3 18 8 +10 24
11 Port Vale 13 6 5 2 18 13 +5 23
12 Newport County 13 7 2 4 23 19 +4 23
13 Barrow 14 6 4 4 21 15 +6 22
14 Swindon 15 6 4 5 26 22 +4 22
15 Fleetwood Town 15 5 7 3 17 14 +3 22
16 Colchester 14 5 5 4 17 10 +7 20
17 Grimsby 14 6 2 6 21 23 -2 20
18 Gillingham 14 6 1 7 17 16 +1 19
19 Tranmere 14 4 6 4 12 15 -3 18
20 Harrogate 15 5 2 8 12 21 -9 17
21 Bromley 14 3 6 5 19 20 -1 15
22 Accrington 13 3 6 4 15 19 -4 15
23 Morecambe 13 2 3 8 14 24 -10 9
24 Carlisle 14 2 3 9 11 23 -12 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 15 7 5 3 27 20 +7 26
2 Port Vale 16 7 5 4 20 19 +1 26
3 Doncaster 15 7 3 5 23 22 +1 24
4 Walsall 13 7 2 4 18 11 +7 23
5 Crewe 15 5 7 3 15 12 +3 22
6 Grimsby 15 7 1 7 19 22 -3 22
7 Bromley 15 5 6 4 20 20 0 21
8 Salford 14 4 7 3 16 14 +2 19
9 AFC Wimbledon 13 5 3 5 14 11 +3 18
10 Chesterfield 14 5 2 7 23 17 +6 17
11 Colchester 14 3 8 3 16 19 -3 17
12 Swindon 16 3 7 6 20 25 -5 16
13 Fleetwood Town 12 4 2 6 20 21 -1 14
14 Bradford 14 3 5 6 14 18 -4 14
15 Accrington 14 4 2 8 19 26 -7 14
16 Morecambe 16 4 2 10 13 22 -9 14
17 Milton Keynes Dons 12 4 1 7 21 25 -4 13
18 Gillingham 13 3 4 6 8 13 -5 13
19 Harrogate 16 3 4 9 13 21 -8 13
20 Carlisle 14 3 3 8 11 23 -12 12
21 Cheltenham 13 2 5 6 15 20 -5 11
22 Newport County 15 2 4 9 14 28 -14 10
23 Barrow 14 2 3 9 6 17 -11 9
24 Tranmere 14 2 2 10 9 31 -22 8

Grimsby   Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Grimsby 29 11 18 1.4 1.6 13 3 13 40 45 42
2 12 Swindon 31 13 18 1.5 1.5 9 11 11 46 47 38
3 17 Newport County 28 11 17 1.3 1.7 9 6 13 37 47 33
4 21 Accrington 27 10 17 1.3 1.7 7 8 12 34 45 29
5 9 Chesterfield 29 13 16 1.7 1.2 11 9 9 48 34 42
6 11 Milton Keynes Dons 28 12 16 1.5 1.4 11 5 12 42 40 38
7 1 Walsall 28 13 15 1.9 1.1 18 5 5 54 30 59
8 2 Doncaster 30 15 15 1.5 1.2 15 7 8 44 37 52
9 4 Bradford 29 14 15 1.3 1.0 14 8 7 39 28 50
10 13 Cheltenham 28 14 14 1.3 1.4 10 8 10 37 39 38
11 5 Port Vale 29 16 13 1.3 1.1 13 10 6 38 32 49
12 16 Bromley 29 16 13 1.3 1.4 8 12 9 39 40 36
13 22 Tranmere 28 15 13 0.8 1.6 6 8 14 21 46 26
14 3 Notts County 28 16 12 1.6 1.0 14 8 6 45 28 50
15 15 Fleetwood Town 27 15 12 1.4 1.3 9 9 9 37 35 36
16 23 Morecambe 29 17 12 0.9 1.6 6 5 18 27 46 23
17 24 Carlisle 28 16 12 0.8 1.6 5 6 17 22 46 21
18 8 Salford 29 18 11 1.2 1.0 12 9 8 36 29 45
19 20 Harrogate 31 20 11 0.8 1.4 8 6 17 25 42 30
20 6 AFC Wimbledon 27 17 10 1.4 0.7 14 6 7 39 20 48
21 14 Colchester 28 19 9 1.2 1.0 8 13 7 33 29 37
22 18 Gillingham 27 18 9 0.9 1.1 9 5 13 25 29 32
23 7 Crewe 29 21 8 1.2 0.9 12 12 5 36 25 48
24 19 Barrow 28 20 8 1.0 1.1 8 7 13 27 32 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Walsall 15 5 10 2.4 1.3 11 3 1 36 19 36
2 12 Swindon 15 5 10 1.7 1.5 6 4 5 26 22 22
3 17 Newport County 13 3 10 1.8 1.5 7 2 4 23 19 23
4 4 Bradford 15 6 9 1.7 0.7 11 3 1 25 10 36
5 10 Grimsby 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 6 2 6 21 23 20
6 9 Chesterfield 15 7 8 1.7 1.1 6 7 2 25 17 25
7 2 Doncaster 15 8 7 1.4 1.0 8 4 3 21 15 28
8 11 Milton Keynes Dons 16 9 7 1.3 0.9 7 4 5 21 15 25
9 18 Gillingham 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 6 1 7 17 16 19
10 21 Accrington 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 15 19 15
11 5 Port Vale 13 7 6 1.4 1.0 6 5 2 18 13 23
12 6 AFC Wimbledon 14 8 6 1.8 0.6 9 3 2 25 9 30
13 8 Salford 15 9 6 1.3 1.0 8 2 5 20 15 26
14 13 Cheltenham 15 9 6 1.5 1.3 8 3 4 22 19 27
15 16 Bromley 14 8 6 1.4 1.4 3 6 5 19 20 15
16 19 Barrow 14 8 6 1.5 1.1 6 4 4 21 15 22
17 7 Crewe 14 9 5 1.5 0.9 7 5 2 21 13 26
18 15 Fleetwood Town 15 10 5 1.1 0.9 5 7 3 17 14 22
19 20 Harrogate 15 10 5 0.8 1.4 5 2 8 12 21 17
20 23 Morecambe 13 8 5 1.1 1.8 2 3 8 14 24 9
21 24 Carlisle 14 9 5 0.8 1.6 2 3 9 11 23 9
22 3 Notts County 13 9 4 1.4 0.6 7 3 3 18 8 24
23 14 Colchester 14 10 4 1.2 0.7 5 5 4 17 10 20
24 22 Tranmere 14 10 4 0.9 1.1 4 6 4 12 15 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Accrington 14 4 10 1.4 1.9 4 2 8 19 26 14
2 10 Grimsby 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 7 1 7 19 22 22
3 11 Milton Keynes Dons 12 3 9 1.8 2.1 4 1 7 21 25 13
4 22 Tranmere 14 5 9 0.6 2.2 2 2 10 9 31 8
5 2 Doncaster 15 7 8 1.5 1.5 7 3 5 23 22 24
6 3 Notts County 15 7 8 1.8 1.3 7 5 3 27 20 26
7 9 Chesterfield 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 5 2 7 23 17 17
8 12 Swindon 16 8 8 1.2 1.6 3 7 6 20 25 16
9 13 Cheltenham 13 5 8 1.2 1.5 2 5 6 15 20 11
10 5 Port Vale 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 5 4 20 19 26
11 15 Fleetwood Town 12 5 7 1.7 1.8 4 2 6 20 21 14
12 16 Bromley 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 20 20 21
13 17 Newport County 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 2 4 9 14 28 10
14 23 Morecambe 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 4 2 10 13 22 14
15 24 Carlisle 14 7 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 8 11 23 12
16 4 Bradford 14 8 6 1.0 1.3 3 5 6 14 18 14
17 20 Harrogate 16 10 6 0.8 1.3 3 4 9 13 21 13
18 1 Walsall 13 8 5 1.4 0.8 7 2 4 18 11 23
19 8 Salford 14 9 5 1.1 1.0 4 7 3 16 14 19
20 14 Colchester 14 9 5 1.1 1.4 3 8 3 16 19 17
21 6 AFC Wimbledon 13 9 4 1.1 0.8 5 3 5 14 11 18
22 7 Crewe 15 12 3 1.0 0.8 5 7 3 15 12 22
23 18 Gillingham 13 11 2 0.6 1.0 3 4 6 8 13 13
24 19 Barrow 14 12 2 0.4 1.2 2 3 9 6 17 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38