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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: S Mather

Crewe 3–2 Carlisle

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.90 fair 1.87
Draw 3.60 fair 3.89
Away 3.75 fair 4.79
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.75
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.15 fair 2.33

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Crewe Carlisle
18 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 8
12 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (266 league matches this season so far).
Result Crewe to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.54 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
CreweDrawCarlisle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14% 1–1 12% 2–0 10.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Crewe before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.18scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:19
Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.82points / match
0.77scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 17:34
Crewe all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 0.77
0.86 Goals conceded 1.55
2.05 Total goals 2.32
9.64 Shots 11.23
3.18 Shots on target 3.23
11.95 Shots faced 11.41
4.55 Corners 4.77
5.05 Corners against 4.73
12.36 Fouls 11.27
2.45 Yellow cards 2.86
0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

41% Wins 18%
41% Draws 27%
18% Losses 55%
91% Over 0.5 goals 86%
73% Over 1.5 goals 68%
27% Over 2.5 goals 41%
9% Over 3.5 goals 23%
5% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 45%
41% Clean sheets 27%
18% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 23%
50% Draws 32%
32% Losses 45%
59% Over 0.5 goals 73%
18% Over 1.5 goals 32%
5% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Crewe all matches
Carlisle all matches
Crewe before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.30scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:8
Carlisle before this match, away
0.90points / match
0.70scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 7:17
Crewe at home away Carlisle

Per match

1.30 Goals scored 0.70
0.80 Goals conceded 1.70
2.10 Total goals 2.40
10.20 Shots 10.30
3.30 Shots on target 2.80
12.90 Shots faced 13.00
4.30 Corners 4.10
5.80 Corners against 5.60
12.60 Fouls 11.70
2.40 Yellow cards 2.80
0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.10
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%
40% Draws 30%
10% Losses 50%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
70% Over 1.5 goals 70%
30% Over 2.5 goals 50%
20% Over 3.5 goals 30%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
30% Both teams scored 40%
60% Clean sheets 40%
30% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 10%
50% Draws 40%
10% Losses 50%
70% Over 0.5 goals 60%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Crewe at home
Carlisle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Crewe all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.30 1.98 1.88
26.12.24 Cheltenham – Crewe 2–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.50 2.20 1.65
20.12.24 Crewe – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.403.50 2.35 1.57
14.12.24 Grimsby – Crewe 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.252.70 2.15 1.67
07.12.24 Crewe – Bradford 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.303.20 2.15 1.67
30.11.24 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67
25.11.24 Port Vale – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 1.803.254.75 2.20 1.65
16.11.24 Crewe – Notts County 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.40 1.90 1.95
09.11.24 Walsall – Crewe 1–1 (0–0) 1.673.605.00 1.95 1.90
26.10.24 Crewe – Tranmere 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.10 2.15 1.67

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Carlisle – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Carlisle – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 1.93 1.93
21.12.24 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Carlisle – Chesterfield 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67
23.11.24 Carlisle – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.401.91 1.88 1.98
16.11.24 Bromley – Carlisle 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Salford – Carlisle 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.60 1.90 1.95
26.10.24 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.403.70 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Walsall – Carlisle 3–1 (1–0) 1.573.905.75 1.70 2.10

Crewe at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.24 Crewe – Colchester 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.403.50 2.35 1.57
07.12.24 Crewe – Bradford 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.303.20 2.15 1.67
16.11.24 Crewe – Notts County 2–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.40 1.90 1.95
26.10.24 Crewe – Tranmere 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.10 2.15 1.67
19.10.24 Crewe – Salford 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.203.25 2.10 1.70
05.10.24 Crewe – Gillingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.633.202.63 2.15 1.67
21.09.24 Crewe – Harrogate 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.404.50 2.05 1.80
07.09.24 Crewe – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.503.80 2.05 1.75
24.08.24 Crewe – Swindon 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Crewe – Chesterfield 0–5 (0–4) 3.003.502.25 1.75 2.05

Carlisle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
16.11.24 Bromley – Carlisle 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Salford – Carlisle 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.60 1.90 1.95
22.10.24 Walsall – Carlisle 3–1 (1–0) 1.573.905.75 1.70 2.10
12.10.24 AFC Wimbledon – Carlisle 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Colchester – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.50 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03
07.09.24 Bradford – Carlisle 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.754.33 1.88 1.98
24.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.20 1.73 2.08
10.08.24 Gillingham – Carlisle 4–1 (1–0) 1.953.703.50 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Crewe winsDrawsCarlisle wins
3matches
1.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24E3 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67
29.12.22E3 Crewe – Carlisle 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.252.20 2.10 1.70
01.10.22E3 Carlisle – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.20 2.05 1.75

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 22 15 4 3 41 19 +22 49
2 AFC Wimbledon 22 11 4 7 33 18 +15 37
3 Notts County 22 10 7 5 35 24 +11 37
4 Doncaster 23 10 7 6 32 27 +5 37
5 Port Vale 23 10 7 6 27 24 +3 37
6 Grimsby 23 12 1 10 33 34 -1 37
7 Crewe 22 9 9 4 26 19 +7 36
8 Salford 22 10 6 6 26 19 +7 36
9 Chesterfield 23 9 7 7 37 27 +10 34
10 Bradford 22 9 7 6 28 24 +4 34
11 Milton Keynes Dons 21 9 4 8 34 29 +5 31
12 Bromley 22 7 10 5 31 26 +5 31
13 Gillingham 22 9 3 10 22 21 +1 30
14 Cheltenham 23 8 6 9 34 36 -2 30
15 Colchester 22 5 12 5 26 23 +3 27
16 Fleetwood Town 21 6 9 6 27 26 +1 27
17 Barrow 22 7 6 9 21 22 -1 27
18 Newport County 22 7 5 10 29 38 -9 26
19 Tranmere 21 5 7 9 16 30 -14 22
20 Harrogate 23 6 4 13 19 35 -16 22
21 Swindon 23 4 9 10 28 37 -9 21
22 Accrington 21 4 7 10 27 38 -11 19
23 Carlisle 22 4 6 12 17 34 -17 18
24 Morecambe 23 4 5 14 20 39 -19 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 12 9 2 1 25 14 +11 29
2 AFC Wimbledon 12 7 3 2 22 9 +13 24
3 Bradford 11 7 3 1 17 9 +8 24
4 Salford 12 8 0 4 16 9 +7 24
5 Milton Keynes Dons 13 6 3 4 19 13 +6 21
6 Cheltenham 13 6 3 4 19 18 +1 21
7 Gillingham 11 6 1 4 16 10 +6 19
8 Crewe 10 5 4 1 13 8 +5 19
9 Doncaster 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19
10 Barrow 10 5 3 2 15 8 +7 18
11 Chesterfield 11 4 6 1 15 12 +3 18
12 Grimsby 12 6 0 6 19 21 -2 18
13 Colchester 12 4 5 3 16 8 +8 17
14 Notts County 9 5 2 2 13 5 +8 17
15 Newport County 9 5 2 2 18 14 +4 17
16 Port Vale 10 4 4 2 13 10 +3 16
17 Fleetwood Town 12 3 7 2 12 11 +1 16
18 Bromley 12 3 6 3 19 17 +2 15
19 Tranmere 11 3 5 3 9 11 -2 14
20 Harrogate 11 4 0 7 9 18 -9 12
21 Swindon 10 3 2 5 15 16 -1 11
22 Accrington 10 2 5 3 12 14 -2 11
23 Carlisle 12 2 3 7 10 17 -7 9
24 Morecambe 10 0 3 7 8 21 -13 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 13 6 3 4 14 14 0 21
2 Walsall 10 6 2 2 16 5 +11 20
3 Notts County 13 5 5 3 22 19 +3 20
4 Grimsby 11 6 1 4 14 13 +1 19
5 Doncaster 12 5 3 4 17 16 +1 18
6 Crewe 12 4 5 3 13 11 +2 17
7 Chesterfield 12 5 1 6 22 15 +7 16
8 Bromley 10 4 4 2 12 9 +3 16
9 Morecambe 13 4 2 7 12 18 -6 14
10 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 1 5 11 9 +2 13
11 Salford 10 2 6 2 10 10 0 12
12 Fleetwood Town 9 3 2 4 15 15 0 11
13 Gillingham 11 3 2 6 6 11 -5 11
14 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 1 4 15 16 -1 10
15 Bradford 11 2 4 5 11 15 -4 10
16 Colchester 10 1 7 2 10 15 -5 10
17 Harrogate 12 2 4 6 10 17 -7 10
18 Swindon 13 1 7 5 13 21 -8 10
19 Cheltenham 10 2 3 5 15 18 -3 9
20 Barrow 12 2 3 7 6 14 -8 9
21 Carlisle 10 2 3 5 7 17 -10 9
22 Newport County 13 2 3 8 11 24 -13 9
23 Accrington 11 2 2 7 15 24 -9 8
24 Tranmere 10 2 2 6 7 19 -12 8

Crewe   Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Grimsby 23 8 15 1.4 1.5 12 1 10 33 34 37
2 22 Accrington 21 7 14 1.3 1.8 4 7 10 27 38 19
3 9 Chesterfield 23 10 13 1.6 1.2 9 7 7 37 27 34
4 14 Cheltenham 23 10 13 1.5 1.6 8 6 9 34 36 30
5 18 Newport County 22 9 13 1.3 1.7 7 5 10 29 38 26
6 21 Swindon 23 10 13 1.2 1.6 4 9 10 28 37 21
7 10 Bradford 22 10 12 1.3 1.1 9 7 6 28 24 34
8 11 Milton Keynes Dons 21 10 11 1.6 1.4 9 4 8 34 29 31
9 1 Walsall 22 12 10 1.9 0.9 15 4 3 41 19 49
10 4 Doncaster 23 13 10 1.4 1.2 10 7 6 32 27 37
11 19 Tranmere 21 11 10 0.8 1.4 5 7 9 16 30 22
12 20 Harrogate 23 13 10 0.8 1.5 6 4 13 19 35 22
13 24 Morecambe 23 13 10 0.9 1.7 4 5 14 20 39 17
14 2 AFC Wimbledon 22 13 9 1.5 0.8 11 4 7 33 18 37
15 3 Notts County 22 13 9 1.6 1.1 10 7 5 35 24 37
16 5 Port Vale 23 14 9 1.2 1.0 10 7 6 27 24 37
17 12 Bromley 22 13 9 1.4 1.2 7 10 5 31 26 31
18 23 Carlisle 22 13 9 0.8 1.5 4 6 12 17 34 18
19 8 Salford 22 14 8 1.2 0.9 10 6 6 26 19 36
20 16 Fleetwood Town 21 13 8 1.3 1.2 6 9 6 27 26 27
21 13 Gillingham 22 15 7 1.0 1.0 9 3 10 22 21 30
22 15 Colchester 22 15 7 1.2 1.0 5 12 5 26 23 27
23 7 Crewe 22 16 6 1.2 0.9 9 9 4 26 19 36
24 17 Barrow 22 17 5 1.0 1.0 7 6 9 21 22 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Grimsby 12 3 9 1.6 1.8 6 0 6 19 21 18
2 1 Walsall 12 5 7 2.1 1.2 9 2 1 25 14 29
3 10 Bradford 11 4 7 1.5 0.8 7 3 1 17 9 24
4 18 Newport County 9 2 7 2.0 1.6 5 2 2 18 14 17
5 21 Swindon 10 3 7 1.5 1.6 3 2 5 15 16 11
6 2 AFC Wimbledon 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 3 2 22 9 24
7 11 Milton Keynes Dons 13 7 6 1.5 1.0 6 3 4 19 13 21
8 12 Bromley 12 6 6 1.6 1.4 3 6 3 19 17 15
9 8 Salford 12 7 5 1.3 0.8 8 0 4 16 9 24
10 9 Chesterfield 11 6 5 1.4 1.1 4 6 1 15 12 18
11 13 Gillingham 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 6 1 4 16 10 19
12 14 Cheltenham 13 8 5 1.5 1.4 6 3 4 19 18 21
13 20 Harrogate 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 4 0 7 9 18 12
14 22 Accrington 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 2 5 3 12 14 11
15 4 Doncaster 11 7 4 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19
16 5 Port Vale 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 4 4 2 13 10 16
17 15 Colchester 12 8 4 1.3 0.7 4 5 3 16 8 17
18 23 Carlisle 12 8 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 7 10 17 9
19 24 Morecambe 10 6 4 0.8 2.1 0 3 7 8 21 3
20 3 Notts County 9 6 3 1.4 0.6 5 2 2 13 5 17
21 7 Crewe 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 1 13 8 19
22 16 Fleetwood Town 12 9 3 1.0 0.9 3 7 2 12 11 16
23 17 Barrow 10 7 3 1.5 0.8 5 3 2 15 8 18
24 19 Tranmere 11 8 3 0.8 1.0 3 5 3 9 11 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 22 Accrington 11 2 9 1.4 2.2 2 2 7 15 24 8
2 9 Chesterfield 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 5 1 6 22 15 16
3 14 Cheltenham 10 2 8 1.5 1.8 2 3 5 15 18 9
4 19 Tranmere 10 3 7 0.7 1.9 2 2 6 7 19 8
5 3 Notts County 13 7 6 1.7 1.5 5 5 3 22 19 20
6 4 Doncaster 12 6 6 1.4 1.3 5 3 4 17 16 18
7 6 Grimsby 11 5 6 1.3 1.2 6 1 4 14 13 19
8 18 Newport County 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 8 11 24 9
9 21 Swindon 13 7 6 1.0 1.6 1 7 5 13 21 10
10 24 Morecambe 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 4 2 7 12 18 14
11 5 Port Vale 13 8 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 4 14 14 21
12 10 Bradford 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 4 5 11 15 10
13 11 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.9 2.0 3 1 4 15 16 10
14 16 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 3 2 4 15 15 11
15 20 Harrogate 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 2 4 6 10 17 10
16 23 Carlisle 10 5 5 0.7 1.7 2 3 5 7 17 9
17 1 Walsall 10 7 3 1.6 0.5 6 2 2 16 5 20
18 2 AFC Wimbledon 10 7 3 1.1 0.9 4 1 5 11 9 13
19 7 Crewe 12 9 3 1.1 0.9 4 5 3 13 11 17
20 8 Salford 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 2 6 2 10 10 12
21 12 Bromley 10 7 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 2 12 9 16
22 15 Colchester 10 7 3 1.0 1.5 1 7 2 10 15 10
23 13 Gillingham 11 9 2 0.5 1.0 3 2 6 6 11 11
24 17 Barrow 12 10 2 0.5 1.2 2 3 7 6 14 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51