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England League Two · ·Referee: N Hair

AFC Wimbledon 4–0 Carlisle

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.75 fair 1.84
Draw 3.60 fair 4.27
Away 4.50 fair 4.52
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

AFC Wimbledon Carlisle
13 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 2
16 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (117 league matches this season so far).
Result AFC Wimbledon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
AFC WimbledonDrawCarlisle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 1–0 10.7% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

AFC Wimbledon before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
1.29scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:5
Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.70points / match
1.00scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:19
AFC Wimbledon all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.00
0.71 Goals conceded 1.90
2.00 Total goals 2.90
11.14 Shots 12.60
3.86 Shots on target 3.80
8.00 Shots faced 11.70
5.86 Corners 5.70
4.00 Corners against 4.80
15.57 Fouls 11.30
2.57 Yellow cards 2.50
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 1.10

How often Full Time

57% Wins 20%
14% Draws 10%
29% Losses 70%
86% Over 0.5 goals 90%
43% Over 1.5 goals 80%
29% Over 2.5 goals 60%
14% Over 3.5 goals 30%
14% Over 4.5 goals 30%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
14% Both teams scored 50%
57% Clean sheets 30%
43% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 30%
43% Draws 10%
14% Losses 60%
57% Over 0.5 goals 90%
14% Over 1.5 goals 50%
14% Over 2.5 goals 30%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AFC Wimbledon all matches
Carlisle all matches
AFC Wimbledon before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.67scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:2
Carlisle before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.80scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:9
AFC Wimbledon at home away Carlisle

Per match

2.67 Goals scored 0.80
0.67 Goals conceded 1.80
3.33 Total goals 2.60
15.33 Shots 11.40
6.33 Shots on target 3.40
8.00 Shots faced 14.60
5.33 Corners 4.80
4.00 Corners against 5.40
14.67 Fouls 12.20
2.67 Yellow cards 2.00
1.67 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

100% Wins 20%
0% Draws 20%
0% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
67% Over 1.5 goals 80%
67% Over 2.5 goals 60%
33% Over 3.5 goals 20%
33% Over 4.5 goals 20%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 40%
67% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 20%
0% Draws 20%
0% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
33% Over 1.5 goals 20%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

AFC Wimbledon at home
Carlisle away

Last 10 matches before this match

AFC Wimbledon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Salford – AFC Wimbledon 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.302.25 2.08 1.73
21.09.24 Bradford – AFC Wimbledon 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.80 2.05 1.80
14.09.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.90 1.90 1.95
31.08.24 AFC Wimbledon – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.40 1.90 1.95
24.08.24 Cheltenham – AFC Wimbledon 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.252.70 2.00 1.85
17.08.24 Bromley – AFC Wimbledon 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.55 1.95 1.90
10.08.24 AFC Wimbledon – Colchester 4–2 (3–2) 1.903.503.80 1.93 1.93
27.04.24 AFC Wimbledon – Walsall 5–1 (2–1) 2.303.602.90 1.70 2.10
20.04.24 Tranmere – AFC Wimbledon 3–2 (2–0) 3.003.402.38 2.03 1.83
13.04.24 Swindon – AFC Wimbledon 3–2 (0–1) 2.883.602.38 1.80 2.00

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Colchester – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.50 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 Carlisle – Notts County 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.602.38 1.60 2.30
28.09.24 Carlisle – Grimsby 2–3 (2–1) 2.053.503.25 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03
14.09.24 Carlisle – Fleetwood Town 2–3 (1–2) 2.303.402.90 1.93 1.93
07.09.24 Bradford – Carlisle 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.754.33 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Carlisle – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.203.60 2.00 1.85
24.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.20 1.73 2.08
17.08.24 Carlisle – Barrow 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.402.90 1.98 1.88
10.08.24 Gillingham – Carlisle 4–1 (1–0) 1.953.703.50 2.00 1.85

AFC Wimbledon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.502.90 1.90 1.95
31.08.24 AFC Wimbledon – Fleetwood Town 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.40 1.90 1.95
10.08.24 AFC Wimbledon – Colchester 4–2 (3–2) 1.903.503.80 1.93 1.93
27.04.24 AFC Wimbledon – Walsall 5–1 (2–1) 2.303.602.90 1.70 2.10
06.04.24 AFC Wimbledon – Salford 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.604.20 1.90 1.95
29.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Harrogate 1–1 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.03 1.83
16.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Newport County 0–2 (0–1) 1.733.755.00 1.93 1.93
12.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Gillingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.35 1.57
05.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Grimsby 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 1.90 1.95
02.03.24 AFC Wimbledon – Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 1.93 1.93

Carlisle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Colchester – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.50 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03
07.09.24 Bradford – Carlisle 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.754.33 1.88 1.98
24.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.20 1.73 2.08
10.08.24 Gillingham – Carlisle 4–1 (1–0) 1.953.703.50 2.00 1.85
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
09.04.24E2 Cheltenham – Carlisle 0–1 (0–1) 1.673.755.00 1.98 1.88
06.04.24E2 Northampton – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.00 1.85
29.03.24E2 Peterboro – Carlisle 1–3 (0–1) 1.305.509.50 1.44 2.70
16.03.24E2 Shrewsbury – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

AFC Wimbledon winsDrawsCarlisle wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.23E3 AFC Wimbledon – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.38 2.20 1.65
17.09.22E3 Carlisle – AFC Wimbledon 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.70

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 11 5 4 2 19 11 +8 19
2 Walsall 10 6 1 3 19 12 +7 19
3 Gillingham 10 6 1 3 12 5 +7 19
4 Barrow 10 6 1 3 13 7 +6 19
5 Doncaster 10 6 1 3 15 12 +3 19
6 Port Vale 10 5 3 2 15 12 +3 18
7 Fleetwood Town 9 4 4 1 16 9 +7 16
8 Crewe 9 5 1 3 10 9 +1 16
9 Chesterfield 11 3 6 2 19 12 +7 15
10 Bradford 10 4 3 3 14 11 +3 15
11 Newport County 10 5 0 5 16 20 -4 15
12 Grimsby 10 5 0 5 13 17 -4 15
13 AFC Wimbledon 7 4 1 2 9 5 +4 13
14 Milton Keynes Dons 10 3 3 4 13 12 +1 12
15 Salford 9 3 3 3 6 9 -3 12
16 Colchester 10 2 5 3 13 15 -2 11
17 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 5 9 -4 11
18 Harrogate 10 3 2 5 9 16 -7 11
19 Bromley 10 2 4 4 12 14 -2 10
20 Cheltenham 10 3 1 6 12 16 -4 10
21 Swindon 10 1 5 4 9 13 -4 8
22 Carlisle 10 2 1 7 10 19 -9 7
23 Accrington 9 1 3 5 11 19 -8 6
24 Morecambe 10 0 4 6 8 14 -6 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barrow 5 4 1 0 10 2 +8 13
2 Gillingham 5 4 0 1 10 2 +8 12
3 Newport County 5 4 0 1 12 8 +4 12
4 Walsall 5 4 0 1 11 8 +3 12
5 Doncaster 5 4 0 1 7 4 +3 12
6 Bradford 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
7 Crewe 5 3 1 1 6 5 +1 10
8 AFC Wimbledon 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
9 Cheltenham 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
10 Grimsby 5 3 0 2 7 8 -1 9
11 Salford 5 3 0 2 4 5 -1 9
12 Colchester 5 2 2 1 6 2 +4 8
13 Milton Keynes Dons 5 2 2 1 7 4 +3 8
14 Chesterfield 6 1 5 0 9 8 +1 8
15 Port Vale 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
16 Notts County 5 2 1 2 8 5 +3 7
17 Fleetwood Town 4 1 3 0 3 2 +1 6
18 Tranmere 4 1 3 0 2 1 +1 6
19 Accrington 5 1 3 1 8 8 0 6
20 Harrogate 5 2 0 3 5 9 -4 6
21 Bromley 5 1 2 2 8 9 -1 5
22 Swindon 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
23 Morecambe 5 0 3 2 5 7 -2 3
24 Carlisle 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 6 3 3 0 11 6 +5 12
2 Fleetwood Town 5 3 1 1 13 7 +6 10
3 Port Vale 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
4 Chesterfield 5 2 1 2 10 4 +6 7
5 Walsall 5 2 1 2 8 4 +4 7
6 Doncaster 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
7 Gillingham 5 2 1 2 2 3 -1 7
8 Crewe 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
9 Barrow 5 2 0 3 3 5 -2 6
10 Grimsby 5 2 0 3 6 9 -3 6
11 Bromley 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
12 Harrogate 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
13 Tranmere 5 1 2 2 3 8 -5 5
14 Swindon 5 0 4 1 4 5 -1 4
15 Bradford 5 1 1 3 6 8 -2 4
16 Milton Keynes Dons 5 1 1 3 6 8 -2 4
17 AFC Wimbledon 4 1 1 2 1 3 -2 4
18 Carlisle 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
19 Salford 4 0 3 1 2 4 -2 3
20 Colchester 5 0 3 2 7 13 -6 3
21 Newport County 5 1 0 4 4 12 -8 3
22 Cheltenham 5 0 1 4 6 10 -4 1
23 Morecambe 5 0 1 4 3 7 -4 1
24 Accrington 4 0 0 4 3 11 -8 0

AFC Wimbledon   Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Newport County 10 2 8 1.6 2.0 5 0 5 16 20 15
2 10 Bradford 10 3 7 1.4 1.1 4 3 3 14 11 15
3 12 Grimsby 10 3 7 1.3 1.7 5 0 5 13 17 15
4 2 Walsall 10 4 6 1.9 1.2 6 1 3 19 12 19
5 9 Chesterfield 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 3 6 2 19 12 15
6 20 Cheltenham 10 4 6 1.2 1.6 3 1 6 12 16 10
7 22 Carlisle 10 4 6 1.0 1.9 2 1 7 10 19 7
8 23 Accrington 9 3 6 1.2 2.1 1 3 5 11 19 6
9 1 Notts County 11 6 5 1.7 1.0 5 4 2 19 11 19
10 5 Doncaster 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 6 1 3 15 12 19
11 6 Port Vale 10 5 5 1.5 1.2 5 3 2 15 12 18
12 7 Fleetwood Town 9 5 4 1.8 1.0 4 4 1 16 9 16
13 8 Crewe 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 5 1 3 10 9 16
14 14 Milton Keynes Dons 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 3 3 4 13 12 12
15 16 Colchester 10 6 4 1.3 1.5 2 5 3 13 15 11
16 18 Harrogate 10 6 4 0.9 1.6 3 2 5 9 16 11
17 19 Bromley 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 2 4 4 12 14 10
18 21 Swindon 10 6 4 0.9 1.3 1 5 4 9 13 8
19 4 Barrow 10 7 3 1.3 0.7 6 1 3 13 7 19
20 17 Tranmere 9 6 3 0.6 1.0 2 5 2 5 9 11
21 24 Morecambe 10 7 3 0.8 1.4 0 4 6 8 14 4
22 3 Gillingham 10 8 2 1.2 0.5 6 1 3 12 5 19
23 13 AFC Wimbledon 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 2 9 5 13
24 15 Salford 9 7 2 0.7 1.0 3 3 3 6 9 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Newport County 5 0 5 2.4 1.6 4 0 1 12 8 12
2 2 Walsall 5 1 4 2.2 1.6 4 0 1 11 8 12
3 12 Grimsby 5 1 4 1.4 1.6 3 0 2 7 8 9
4 9 Chesterfield 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 1 5 0 9 8 8
5 10 Bradford 5 2 3 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
6 19 Bromley 5 2 3 1.6 1.8 1 2 2 8 9 5
7 21 Swindon 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
8 22 Carlisle 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 4 6 10 3
9 23 Accrington 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 1 3 1 8 8 6
10 1 Notts County 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 1 2 8 5 7
11 3 Gillingham 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 4 0 1 10 2 12
12 4 Barrow 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 4 1 0 10 2 13
13 5 Doncaster 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 4 0 1 7 4 12
14 6 Port Vale 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
15 8 Crewe 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 1 6 5 10
16 13 AFC Wimbledon 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
17 14 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 2 1 7 4 8
18 18 Harrogate 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 2 0 3 5 9 6
19 20 Cheltenham 5 3 2 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
20 7 Fleetwood Town 4 3 1 0.8 0.5 1 3 0 3 2 6
21 15 Salford 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 3 0 2 4 5 9
22 16 Colchester 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 2 2 1 6 2 8
23 24 Morecambe 5 4 1 1.0 1.4 0 3 2 5 7 3
24 17 Tranmere 4 4 0 0.5 0.2 1 3 0 2 1 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Bradford 5 1 4 1.2 1.6 1 1 3 6 8 4
2 20 Cheltenham 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 0 1 4 6 10 1
3 1 Notts County 6 3 3 1.8 1.0 3 3 0 11 6 12
4 5 Doncaster 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
5 6 Port Vale 5 2 3 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
6 7 Fleetwood Town 5 2 3 2.6 1.4 3 1 1 13 7 10
7 9 Chesterfield 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 2 1 2 10 4 7
8 11 Newport County 5 2 3 0.8 2.4 1 0 4 4 12 3
9 12 Grimsby 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 2 0 3 6 9 6
10 16 Colchester 5 2 3 1.4 2.6 0 3 2 7 13 3
11 17 Tranmere 5 2 3 0.6 1.6 1 2 2 3 8 5
12 22 Carlisle 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
13 23 Accrington 4 1 3 0.8 2.8 0 0 4 3 11 0
14 2 Walsall 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 2 1 2 8 4 7
15 8 Crewe 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
16 14 Milton Keynes Dons 5 3 2 1.2 1.6 1 1 3 6 8 4
17 18 Harrogate 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 1 2 2 4 7 5
18 24 Morecambe 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 0 1 4 3 7 1
19 4 Barrow 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 2 0 3 3 5 6
20 15 Salford 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 3 1 2 4 3
21 19 Bromley 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
22 21 Swindon 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 0 4 1 4 5 4
23 3 Gillingham 5 5 0 0.4 0.6 2 1 2 2 3 7
24 13 AFC Wimbledon 4 4 0 0.2 0.8 1 1 2 1 3 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51