Carlisle 2–0 Grimsby – England League Two, 4 Mar 2023

Match facts

Carlisle Grimsby

13 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

2 Corners 1

9 Fouls 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (392 league matches this season so far).

Result Carlisle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.90

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.06

Home / Draw / Away

50% 25% 25%

CarlisleDrawGrimsby

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches

1.76points / match

1.64scored / match

1.03conceded / match

16 10 7

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 54:34

Grimsby before this match, all matches

1.27points / match

1.13scored / match

1.27conceded / match

10 8 12

WonDrawnLost 30 played · 34:38

Carlisle all matches all matches Grimsby

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.13

1.03 Goals conceded 1.27

2.67 Total goals 2.40

12.15 Shots 12.57

4.52 Shots on target 4.63

10.64 Shots faced 10.97

5.42 Corners 4.83

4.18 Corners against 4.57

9.15 Fouls 13.03

1.42 Yellow cards 1.67

0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.40

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

48% Wins 33%

30% Draws 27%

21% Losses 40%

88% Over 0.5 goals 90%

70% Over 1.5 goals 70%

48% Over 2.5 goals 50%

27% Over 3.5 goals 20%

18% Over 4.5 goals 10%

12% Over 5.5 goals 0%

52% Both teams scored 53%

39% Clean sheets 30%

21% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 17%

36% Draws 53%

21% Losses 30%

79% Over 0.5 goals 57%

33% Over 1.5 goals 27%

15% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches

1

2

L

2

W

3

1

W

1

W

5

1

W

1

L

D

4

L

1

W

5

2

W

Grimsby all matches

2

3

L

1

4

L

1

W

5

L

3

W

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

D

2

D

Carlisle before this match, at home

1.88points / match

1.53scored / match

0.94conceded / match

9 5 3

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 26:16

Grimsby before this match, away

1.47points / match

1.27scored / match

1.33conceded / match

7 1 7

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:20

Carlisle at home away Grimsby

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.27

0.94 Goals conceded 1.33

2.47 Total goals 2.60

13.41 Shots 10.73

4.94 Shots on target 4.33

8.41 Shots faced 12.40

6.12 Corners 4.53

3.59 Corners against 4.87

8.47 Fouls 13.67

1.29 Yellow cards 2.07

0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

53% Wins 47%

29% Draws 7%

18% Losses 47%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

59% Over 1.5 goals 73%

41% Over 2.5 goals 53%

29% Over 3.5 goals 20%

18% Over 4.5 goals 13%

12% Over 5.5 goals 0%

41% Both teams scored 47%

47% Clean sheets 27%

24% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 20%

41% Draws 60%

12% Losses 20%

76% Over 0.5 goals 53%

35% Over 1.5 goals 27%

18% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home

2

3

L

D

1

D

1

W

2

W

3

1

W

5

1

W

1

L

4

L

1

W

Grimsby away

1

D

3

1

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

3

L

5

L

3

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Crawley Town – Carlisle	2–5 (0–4)	4.00	3.25	2.00	2.15	1.67
18.02.23	Carlisle – Colchester	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.30	1.60
14.02.23	Carlisle – Mansfield	0–4 (0–4)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.65
11.02.23	AFC Wimbledon – Carlisle	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.20	1.65
04.02.23	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.90	1.95
31.01.23	Carlisle – Barrow	5–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
28.01.23	Rochdale – Carlisle	0–1 (0–1)	3.75	3.50	2.00	2.08	1.73
24.01.23	Carlisle – Hartlepool	3–1 (2–1)	1.60	3.60	6.50	1.98	1.88
14.01.23	Carlisle – Newport County	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.65
01.01.23	Doncaster – Carlisle	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.63	2.05	1.75

Grimsby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Grimsby – Leyton Orient	2–2 (0–1)	3.10	3.25	2.38	2.30	1.60
21.02.23	Grimsby – Harrogate	0–0 (0–0)	1.75	3.80	4.75	1.93	1.93
18.02.23	Northampton – Grimsby	1–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.15	1.67
14.02.23	Gillingham – Grimsby	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.10	3.00	2.30	1.60
11.02.23	Grimsby – Colchester	0–1 (0–1)	2.00	3.50	3.80	2.10	1.70
04.02.23	Crewe – Grimsby	0–3 (0–2)	3.60	3.25	2.15	2.08	1.73
14.01.23	Swindon – Grimsby	5–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	3.00	2.08	1.73
01.01.23	Grimsby – Stockport	1–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.50	2.10	2.05	1.75
29.12.22	Grimsby – Salford	1–4 (1–4)	2.15	3.10	3.80	2.10	1.70
26.12.22	Harrogate – Grimsby	3–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.30	2.50	2.02	1.83

Carlisle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Carlisle – Colchester	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.30	1.60
14.02.23	Carlisle – Mansfield	0–4 (0–4)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.65
04.02.23	Carlisle – Harrogate	0–1 (0–0)	1.62	4.00	5.25	1.90	1.95
31.01.23	Carlisle – Barrow	5–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
24.01.23	Carlisle – Hartlepool	3–1 (2–1)	1.60	3.60	6.50	1.98	1.88
14.01.23	Carlisle – Newport County	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.65
26.12.22	Carlisle – Bradford	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.70
03.12.22	Carlisle – Sutton	1–1 (1–1)	2.37	3.20	3.20	2.15	1.66
12.11.22	Carlisle – Walsall	0–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.25	1.61
22.10.22	Carlisle – Leyton Orient	2–3 (1–2)	2.75	3.20	2.60	2.30	1.60

Grimsby away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Northampton – Grimsby	1–2 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.15	1.67
14.02.23	Gillingham – Grimsby	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.10	3.00	2.30	1.60
04.02.23	Crewe – Grimsby	0–3 (0–2)	3.60	3.25	2.15	2.08	1.73
14.01.23	Swindon – Grimsby	5–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	3.00	2.08	1.73
26.12.22	Harrogate – Grimsby	3–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.30	2.50	2.02	1.83
03.12.22	AFC Wimbledon – Grimsby	1–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.37	2.15	1.66
29.10.22	Hartlepool – Grimsby	2–1 (0–1)	3.40	3.30	2.20	2.00	1.85
25.10.22	Barrow – Grimsby	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.10	2.87	2.15	1.66
15.10.22	Stockport – Grimsby	1–3 (1–2)	1.90	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.70
01.10.22	Salford – Grimsby	1–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Carlisle winsDrawsGrimsby wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.09.22E3	Grimsby – Carlisle	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.20	4.00	2.15	1.66

England League Two table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	34	21	8	5	45	21	+24	71
2	Stevenage	32	17	9	6	46	28	+18	60
3	Carlisle	33	16	10	7	54	34	+20	58
4	Northampton	33	15	11	7	46	32	+14	56
5	Stockport	33	16	6	11	48	31	+17	54
6	Bradford	32	15	9	8	40	29	+11	54
7	Salford	34	15	8	11	48	36	+12	53
8	Mansfield	32	15	7	10	51	42	+9	52
9	Sutton	33	14	8	11	36	38	-2	50
10	Swindon	32	13	9	10	43	35	+8	48
11	Barrow	34	14	6	14	37	41	-4	48
12	Tranmere	34	13	8	13	34	32	+2	47
13	Doncaster	32	14	4	14	36	43	-7	46
14	Walsall	31	10	13	8	35	28	+7	43
15	AFC Wimbledon	33	10	12	11	35	36	-1	42
16	Grimsby	30	10	8	12	34	38	-4	38
17	Crewe	32	8	14	10	28	39	-11	38
18	Newport County	32	9	10	13	31	36	-5	37
19	Colchester	34	9	8	17	31	40	-9	35
20	Gillingham	32	8	9	15	21	37	-16	33
21	Harrogate	33	7	10	16	38	51	-13	31
22	Hartlepool	34	6	10	18	36	62	-26	28
23	Crawley Town	31	6	8	17	34	53	-19	26
24	Rochdale	34	5	7	22	27	52	-25	22

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leyton Orient	17	13	3	1	24	5	+19	42
2	Stevenage	16	12	1	3	29	10	+19	37
3	Sutton	16	10	3	3	20	13	+7	33
4	Carlisle	17	9	5	3	26	16	+10	32
5	Stockport	16	9	4	3	24	13	+11	31
6	Barrow	17	9	2	6	21	15	+6	29
7	Tranmere	17	8	4	5	21	14	+7	28
8	Doncaster	16	9	1	6	22	18	+4	28
9	Swindon	16	7	5	4	25	15	+10	26
10	Walsall	15	7	5	3	21	13	+8	26
11	Northampton	16	7	5	4	21	15	+6	26
12	Mansfield	16	7	5	4	29	25	+4	26
13	Salford	17	7	5	5	20	17	+3	26
14	Bradford	16	6	6	4	20	15	+5	24
15	AFC Wimbledon	16	6	6	4	19	16	+3	24
16	Crewe	18	6	6	6	18	20	-2	24
17	Gillingham	16	6	4	6	11	16	-5	22
18	Crawley Town	15	6	2	7	22	26	-4	20
19	Colchester	17	4	7	6	16	18	-2	19
20	Harrogate	17	4	6	7	22	27	-5	18
21	Grimsby	15	3	7	5	15	18	-3	16
22	Newport County	16	4	4	8	15	21	-6	16
23	Hartlepool	17	3	7	7	19	29	-10	16
24	Rochdale	17	2	3	12	13	26	-13	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Northampton	17	8	6	3	25	17	+8	30
2	Bradford	16	9	3	4	20	14	+6	30
3	Leyton Orient	17	8	5	4	21	16	+5	29
4	Salford	17	8	3	6	28	19	+9	27
5	Carlisle	16	7	5	4	28	18	+10	26
6	Mansfield	16	8	2	6	22	17	+5	26
7	Stockport	17	7	2	8	24	18	+6	23
8	Stevenage	16	5	8	3	17	18	-1	23
9	Grimsby	15	7	1	7	19	20	-1	22
10	Swindon	16	6	4	6	18	20	-2	22
11	Newport County	16	5	6	5	16	15	+1	21
12	Tranmere	17	5	4	8	13	18	-5	19
13	Barrow	17	5	4	8	16	26	-10	19
14	AFC Wimbledon	17	4	6	7	16	20	-4	18
15	Doncaster	16	5	3	8	14	25	-11	18
16	Walsall	16	3	8	5	14	15	-1	17
17	Sutton	17	4	5	8	16	25	-9	17
18	Colchester	17	5	1	11	15	22	-7	16
19	Crewe	14	2	8	4	10	19	-9	14
20	Harrogate	16	3	4	9	16	24	-8	13
21	Rochdale	17	3	4	10	14	26	-12	13
22	Hartlepool	17	3	3	11	17	33	-16	12
23	Gillingham	16	2	5	9	10	21	-11	11
24	Crawley Town	16	0	6	10	12	27	-15	6

Carlisle Grimsby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	34	14	20	1.1	1.8	6	10	18	36	62	28
2	8	Mansfield	32	14	18	1.6	1.3	15	7	10	51	42	52
3	21	Harrogate	33	15	18	1.2	1.5	7	10	16	38	51	31
4	23	Crawley Town	31	14	17	1.1	1.7	6	8	17	34	53	26
5	3	Carlisle	33	17	16	1.6	1.0	16	10	7	54	34	58
6	4	Northampton	33	18	15	1.4	1.0	15	11	7	46	32	56
7	5	Stockport	33	18	15	1.5	0.9	16	6	11	48	31	54
8	10	Swindon	32	17	15	1.3	1.1	13	9	10	43	35	48
9	13	Doncaster	32	17	15	1.1	1.3	14	4	14	36	43	46
10	16	Grimsby	30	15	15	1.1	1.3	10	8	12	34	38	38
11	24	Rochdale	34	19	15	0.8	1.5	5	7	22	27	52	22
12	2	Stevenage	32	18	14	1.4	0.9	17	9	6	46	28	60
13	7	Salford	34	20	14	1.4	1.1	15	8	11	48	36	53
14	9	Sutton	33	19	14	1.1	1.2	14	8	11	36	38	50
15	6	Bradford	32	19	13	1.2	0.9	15	9	8	40	29	54
16	15	AFC Wimbledon	33	20	13	1.1	1.1	10	12	11	35	36	42
17	17	Crewe	32	19	13	0.9	1.2	8	14	10	28	39	38
18	11	Barrow	34	22	12	1.1	1.2	14	6	14	37	41	48
19	19	Colchester	34	22	12	0.9	1.2	9	8	17	31	40	35
20	14	Walsall	31	20	11	1.1	0.9	10	13	8	35	28	43
21	12	Tranmere	34	24	10	1.0	0.9	13	8	13	34	32	47
22	18	Newport County	32	22	10	1.0	1.1	9	10	13	31	36	37
23	1	Leyton Orient	34	25	9	1.3	0.6	21	8	5	45	21	71
24	20	Gillingham	32	26	6	0.7	1.2	8	9	15	21	37	33

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Mansfield	16	6	10	1.8	1.6	7	5	4	29	25	26
2	21	Harrogate	17	7	10	1.3	1.6	4	6	7	22	27	18
3	22	Hartlepool	17	7	10	1.1	1.7	3	7	7	19	29	16
4	4	Northampton	16	7	9	1.3	0.9	7	5	4	21	15	26
5	23	Crawley Town	15	6	9	1.5	1.7	6	2	7	22	26	20
6	2	Stevenage	16	8	8	1.8	0.6	12	1	3	29	10	37
7	10	Swindon	16	8	8	1.6	0.9	7	5	4	25	15	26
8	24	Rochdale	17	9	8	0.8	1.5	2	3	12	13	26	9
9	3	Carlisle	17	10	7	1.5	0.9	9	5	3	26	16	32
10	13	Doncaster	16	9	7	1.4	1.1	9	1	6	22	18	28
11	16	Grimsby	15	8	7	1.0	1.2	3	7	5	15	18	16
12	17	Crewe	18	11	7	1.0	1.1	6	6	6	18	20	24
13	5	Stockport	16	10	6	1.5	0.8	9	4	3	24	13	31
14	6	Bradford	16	10	6	1.2	0.9	6	6	4	20	15	24
15	7	Salford	17	11	6	1.2	1.0	7	5	5	20	17	26
16	9	Sutton	16	10	6	1.2	0.8	10	3	3	20	13	33
17	11	Barrow	17	11	6	1.2	0.9	9	2	6	21	15	29
18	12	Tranmere	17	11	6	1.2	0.8	8	4	5	21	14	28
19	14	Walsall	15	9	6	1.4	0.9	7	5	3	21	13	26
20	18	Newport County	16	10	6	0.9	1.3	4	4	8	15	21	16
21	15	AFC Wimbledon	16	11	5	1.2	1.0	6	6	4	19	16	24
22	19	Colchester	17	12	5	0.9	1.1	4	7	6	16	18	19
23	1	Leyton Orient	17	13	4	1.4	0.3	13	3	1	24	5	42
24	20	Gillingham	16	13	3	0.7	1.0	6	4	6	11	16	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	22	Hartlepool	17	7	10	1.0	1.9	3	3	11	17	33	12
2	3	Carlisle	16	7	9	1.8	1.1	7	5	4	28	18	26
3	5	Stockport	17	8	9	1.4	1.1	7	2	8	24	18	23
4	7	Salford	17	9	8	1.6	1.1	8	3	6	28	19	27
5	8	Mansfield	16	8	8	1.4	1.1	8	2	6	22	17	26
6	9	Sutton	17	9	8	0.9	1.5	4	5	8	16	25	17
7	13	Doncaster	16	8	8	0.9	1.6	5	3	8	14	25	18
8	15	AFC Wimbledon	17	9	8	0.9	1.2	4	6	7	16	20	18
9	16	Grimsby	15	7	8	1.3	1.3	7	1	7	19	20	22
10	21	Harrogate	16	8	8	1.0	1.5	3	4	9	16	24	13
11	23	Crawley Town	16	8	8	0.8	1.7	0	6	10	12	27	6
12	6	Bradford	16	9	7	1.2	0.9	9	3	4	20	14	30
13	10	Swindon	16	9	7	1.1	1.2	6	4	6	18	20	22
14	19	Colchester	17	10	7	0.9	1.3	5	1	11	15	22	16
15	24	Rochdale	17	10	7	0.8	1.5	3	4	10	14	26	13
16	2	Stevenage	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	5	8	3	17	18	23
17	4	Northampton	17	11	6	1.5	1.0	8	6	3	25	17	30
18	11	Barrow	17	11	6	0.9	1.5	5	4	8	16	26	19
19	17	Crewe	14	8	6	0.7	1.4	2	8	4	10	19	14
20	1	Leyton Orient	17	12	5	1.2	0.9	8	5	4	21	16	29
21	14	Walsall	16	11	5	0.9	0.9	3	8	5	14	15	17
22	12	Tranmere	17	13	4	0.8	1.1	5	4	8	13	18	19
23	18	Newport County	16	12	4	1.0	0.9	5	6	5	16	15	21
24	20	Gillingham	16	13	3	0.6	1.3	2	5	9	10	21	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.