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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: T Parsons

Carlisle 2–1 Accrington

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.68
Draw 3.50 fair 3.93
Away 3.00 fair 2.68
Under 2.5 1.83 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Accrington
11 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 4
12 Fouls 17
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (254 league matches this season so far).
Result Carlisle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawAccrington
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 8.7% 0–1 8.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.71points / match
0.71scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 15:33
Accrington before this match, all matches
0.95points / match
1.30scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 26:36
Carlisle all matches all matches Accrington

Per match

0.71 Goals scored 1.30
1.57 Goals conceded 1.80
2.29 Total goals 3.10
11.24 Shots 10.85
3.29 Shots on target 4.05
11.38 Shots faced 10.20
4.81 Corners 4.15
4.76 Corners against 4.90
11.24 Fouls 14.95
2.76 Yellow cards 2.85
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

14% Wins 20%
29% Draws 35%
57% Losses 45%
86% Over 0.5 goals 95%
67% Over 1.5 goals 85%
38% Over 2.5 goals 65%
24% Over 3.5 goals 35%
14% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
43% Both teams scored 70%
29% Clean sheets 15%
43% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 40%
33% Draws 35%
48% Losses 25%
71% Over 0.5 goals 75%
33% Over 1.5 goals 35%
19% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Accrington all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
0.55points / match
0.73scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 8:16
Accrington before this match, away
0.80points / match
1.40scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:22
Carlisle at home away Accrington

Per match

0.73 Goals scored 1.40
1.45 Goals conceded 2.20
2.18 Total goals 3.60
12.09 Shots 11.10
3.73 Shots on target 4.70
9.91 Shots faced 10.70
5.45 Corners 4.00
4.00 Corners against 4.60
10.82 Fouls 16.30
2.73 Yellow cards 3.40
0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.91 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

9% Wins 20%
27% Draws 20%
64% Losses 60%
91% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 100%
27% Over 2.5 goals 80%
18% Over 3.5 goals 40%
18% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
45% Both teams scored 80%
18% Clean sheets 10%
45% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 30%
27% Draws 30%
45% Losses 40%
82% Over 0.5 goals 80%
45% Over 1.5 goals 20%
27% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Accrington away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Carlisle – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 1.93 1.93
21.12.24 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Carlisle – Chesterfield 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67
23.11.24 Carlisle – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.401.91 1.88 1.98
16.11.24 Bromley – Carlisle 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Salford – Carlisle 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.60 1.90 1.95
26.10.24 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.403.70 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Walsall – Carlisle 3–1 (1–0) 1.573.905.75 1.70 2.10
19.10.24 Carlisle – Harrogate 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.504.10 1.95 1.90

Accrington all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Accrington – Salford 0–2 (0–0) 2.883.102.50 2.05 1.75
16.12.24 Fleetwood Town – Accrington 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.20 1.85 2.00
07.12.24 Accrington – Bromley 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.302.88 1.95 1.90
03.12.24 Grimsby – Accrington 5–2 (4–0) 2.453.252.80 1.95 1.90
19.11.24 AFC Wimbledon – Accrington 2–2 (0–0) 1.623.905.00 1.98 1.88
16.11.24 Accrington – Swindon 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.602.80 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Chesterfield – Accrington 0–3 (0–1) 1.573.905.75 1.67 2.15
26.10.24 Accrington – Walsall 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.501.96 1.88 1.98
22.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.62 2.25
19.10.24 Accrington – Barrow 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Carlisle – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 1.93 1.93
14.12.24 Carlisle – Chesterfield 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67
23.11.24 Carlisle – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.401.91 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.403.70 1.93 1.93
19.10.24 Carlisle – Harrogate 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.504.10 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Carlisle – Notts County 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.602.38 1.60 2.30
28.09.24 Carlisle – Grimsby 2–3 (2–1) 2.053.503.25 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Carlisle – Fleetwood Town 2–3 (1–2) 2.303.402.90 1.93 1.93
31.08.24 Carlisle – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.203.60 2.00 1.85

Accrington away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.24 Fleetwood Town – Accrington 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.20 1.85 2.00
03.12.24 Grimsby – Accrington 5–2 (4–0) 2.453.252.80 1.95 1.90
19.11.24 AFC Wimbledon – Accrington 2–2 (0–0) 1.623.905.00 1.98 1.88
09.11.24 Chesterfield – Accrington 0–3 (0–1) 1.573.905.75 1.67 2.15
22.10.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.62 2.25
12.10.24 Gillingham – Accrington 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.704.50 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Cheltenham – Accrington 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
07.09.24 Notts County – Accrington 2–0 (1–0) 1.624.005.00 1.48 2.60
24.08.24 Newport County – Accrington 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.402.90 1.73 2.08
10.08.24 Doncaster – Accrington 4–1 (1–0) 1.534.105.50 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 21 14 4 3 39 19 +20 46
2 Port Vale 22 10 7 5 27 21 +6 37
3 Doncaster 22 10 6 6 31 26 +5 36
4 Crewe 21 9 8 4 25 18 +7 35
5 AFC Wimbledon 21 10 4 7 32 18 +14 34
6 Chesterfield 22 9 7 6 36 25 +11 34
7 Notts County 21 9 7 5 30 21 +9 34
8 Grimsby 22 11 1 10 30 34 -4 34
9 Salford 21 9 6 6 25 19 +6 33
10 Bradford 21 8 7 6 26 23 +3 31
11 Milton Keynes Dons 20 9 3 8 33 28 +5 30
12 Bromley 21 7 9 5 30 25 +5 30
13 Gillingham 21 9 3 9 22 20 +2 30
14 Cheltenham 22 8 6 8 31 31 0 30
15 Colchester 21 5 11 5 25 22 +3 26
16 Fleetwood Town 20 6 8 6 26 25 +1 26
17 Barrow 21 7 5 9 20 21 -1 26
18 Newport County 21 7 5 9 29 36 -7 26
19 Tranmere 20 5 6 9 15 29 -14 21
20 Harrogate 22 6 3 13 18 34 -16 21
21 Swindon 22 4 8 10 27 36 -9 20
22 Accrington 20 4 7 9 26 36 -10 19
23 Morecambe 22 4 5 13 20 38 -18 17
24 Carlisle 21 3 6 12 15 33 -18 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 11 8 2 1 23 14 +9 26
2 AFC Wimbledon 11 6 3 2 21 9 +12 21
3 Bradford 10 6 3 1 15 8 +7 21
4 Salford 11 7 0 4 15 9 +6 21
5 Cheltenham 12 6 3 3 16 13 +3 21
6 Milton Keynes Dons 12 6 2 4 18 12 +6 20
7 Gillingham 11 6 1 4 16 10 +6 19
8 Crewe 10 5 4 1 13 8 +5 19
9 Doncaster 11 5 4 2 15 11 +4 19
10 Barrow 10 5 3 2 15 8 +7 18
11 Chesterfield 11 4 6 1 15 12 +3 18
12 Notts County 9 5 2 2 13 5 +8 17
13 Newport County 9 5 2 2 18 14 +4 17
14 Colchester 11 4 4 3 15 7 +8 16
15 Port Vale 10 4 4 2 13 10 +3 16
16 Fleetwood Town 11 3 6 2 11 10 +1 15
17 Grimsby 11 5 0 6 16 21 -5 15
18 Bromley 11 3 5 3 18 16 +2 14
19 Tranmere 10 3 4 3 8 10 -2 13
20 Harrogate 11 4 0 7 9 18 -9 12
21 Swindon 10 3 2 5 15 16 -1 11
22 Accrington 10 2 5 3 12 14 -2 11
23 Carlisle 11 1 3 7 8 16 -8 6
24 Morecambe 10 0 3 7 8 21 -13 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Port Vale 12 6 3 3 14 11 +3 21
2 Walsall 10 6 2 2 16 5 +11 20
3 Grimsby 11 6 1 4 14 13 +1 19
4 Notts County 12 4 5 3 17 16 +1 17
5 Doncaster 11 5 2 4 16 15 +1 17
6 Chesterfield 11 5 1 5 21 13 +8 16
7 Bromley 10 4 4 2 12 9 +3 16
8 Crewe 11 4 4 3 12 10 +2 16
9 Morecambe 12 4 2 6 12 17 -5 14
10 AFC Wimbledon 10 4 1 5 11 9 +2 13
11 Salford 10 2 6 2 10 10 0 12
12 Fleetwood Town 9 3 2 4 15 15 0 11
13 Gillingham 10 3 2 5 6 10 -4 11
14 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 1 4 15 16 -1 10
15 Bradford 11 2 4 5 11 15 -4 10
16 Colchester 10 1 7 2 10 15 -5 10
17 Cheltenham 10 2 3 5 15 18 -3 9
18 Harrogate 11 2 3 6 9 16 -7 9
19 Swindon 12 1 6 5 12 20 -8 9
20 Carlisle 10 2 3 5 7 17 -10 9
21 Newport County 12 2 3 7 11 22 -11 9
22 Accrington 10 2 2 6 14 22 -8 8
23 Barrow 11 2 2 7 5 13 -8 8
24 Tranmere 10 2 2 6 7 19 -12 8

Carlisle   Accrington

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Grimsby 22 8 14 1.4 1.5 11 1 10 30 34 34
2 18 Newport County 21 8 13 1.4 1.7 7 5 9 29 36 26
3 21 Swindon 22 9 13 1.2 1.6 4 8 10 27 36 20
4 22 Accrington 20 7 13 1.3 1.8 4 7 9 26 36 19
5 6 Chesterfield 22 10 12 1.6 1.1 9 7 6 36 25 34
6 14 Cheltenham 22 10 12 1.4 1.4 8 6 8 31 31 30
7 10 Bradford 21 10 11 1.2 1.1 8 7 6 26 23 31
8 11 Milton Keynes Dons 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 9 3 8 33 28 30
9 1 Walsall 21 11 10 1.9 0.9 14 4 3 39 19 46
10 3 Doncaster 22 12 10 1.4 1.2 10 6 6 31 26 36
11 19 Tranmere 20 10 10 0.8 1.4 5 6 9 15 29 21
12 20 Harrogate 22 12 10 0.8 1.5 6 3 13 18 34 21
13 23 Morecambe 22 12 10 0.9 1.7 4 5 13 20 38 17
14 5 AFC Wimbledon 21 12 9 1.5 0.9 10 4 7 32 18 34
15 12 Bromley 21 12 9 1.4 1.2 7 9 5 30 25 30
16 2 Port Vale 22 14 8 1.2 1.0 10 7 5 27 21 37
17 7 Notts County 21 13 8 1.4 1.0 9 7 5 30 21 34
18 9 Salford 21 13 8 1.2 0.9 9 6 6 25 19 33
19 16 Fleetwood Town 20 12 8 1.3 1.2 6 8 6 26 25 26
20 24 Carlisle 21 13 8 0.7 1.6 3 6 12 15 33 15
21 13 Gillingham 21 14 7 1.0 1.0 9 3 9 22 20 30
22 15 Colchester 21 14 7 1.2 1.0 5 11 5 25 22 26
23 4 Crewe 21 15 6 1.2 0.9 9 8 4 25 18 35
24 17 Barrow 21 16 5 1.0 1.0 7 5 9 20 21 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Grimsby 11 3 8 1.5 1.9 5 0 6 16 21 15
2 1 Walsall 11 4 7 2.1 1.3 8 2 1 23 14 26
3 18 Newport County 9 2 7 2.0 1.6 5 2 2 18 14 17
4 21 Swindon 10 3 7 1.5 1.6 3 2 5 15 16 11
5 5 AFC Wimbledon 11 5 6 1.9 0.8 6 3 2 21 9 21
6 10 Bradford 10 4 6 1.5 0.8 6 3 1 15 8 21
7 11 Milton Keynes Dons 12 6 6 1.5 1.0 6 2 4 18 12 20
8 12 Bromley 11 5 6 1.6 1.5 3 5 3 18 16 14
9 6 Chesterfield 11 6 5 1.4 1.1 4 6 1 15 12 18
10 9 Salford 11 6 5 1.4 0.8 7 0 4 15 9 21
11 13 Gillingham 11 6 5 1.5 0.9 6 1 4 16 10 19
12 20 Harrogate 11 6 5 0.8 1.6 4 0 7 9 18 12
13 22 Accrington 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 2 5 3 12 14 11
14 2 Port Vale 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 4 4 2 13 10 16
15 3 Doncaster 11 7 4 1.4 1.0 5 4 2 15 11 19
16 14 Cheltenham 12 8 4 1.3 1.1 6 3 3 16 13 21
17 15 Colchester 11 7 4 1.4 0.6 4 4 3 15 7 16
18 23 Morecambe 10 6 4 0.8 2.1 0 3 7 8 21 3
19 4 Crewe 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 1 13 8 19
20 7 Notts County 9 6 3 1.4 0.6 5 2 2 13 5 17
21 16 Fleetwood Town 11 8 3 1.0 0.9 3 6 2 11 10 15
22 17 Barrow 10 7 3 1.5 0.8 5 3 2 15 8 18
23 19 Tranmere 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 4 3 8 10 13
24 24 Carlisle 11 8 3 0.7 1.5 1 3 7 8 16 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Cheltenham 10 2 8 1.5 1.8 2 3 5 15 18 9
2 22 Accrington 10 2 8 1.4 2.2 2 2 6 14 22 8
3 6 Chesterfield 11 4 7 1.9 1.2 5 1 5 21 13 16
4 19 Tranmere 10 3 7 0.7 1.9 2 2 6 7 19 8
5 3 Doncaster 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 5 2 4 16 15 17
6 8 Grimsby 11 5 6 1.3 1.2 6 1 4 14 13 19
7 18 Newport County 12 6 6 0.9 1.8 2 3 7 11 22 9
8 21 Swindon 12 6 6 1.0 1.7 1 6 5 12 20 9
9 23 Morecambe 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 4 2 6 12 17 14
10 7 Notts County 12 7 5 1.4 1.3 4 5 3 17 16 17
11 10 Bradford 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 2 4 5 11 15 10
12 11 Milton Keynes Dons 8 3 5 1.9 2.0 3 1 4 15 16 10
13 16 Fleetwood Town 9 4 5 1.7 1.7 3 2 4 15 15 11
14 20 Harrogate 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 2 3 6 9 16 9
15 24 Carlisle 10 5 5 0.7 1.7 2 3 5 7 17 9
16 2 Port Vale 12 8 4 1.2 0.9 6 3 3 14 11 21
17 1 Walsall 10 7 3 1.6 0.5 6 2 2 16 5 20
18 4 Crewe 11 8 3 1.1 0.9 4 4 3 12 10 16
19 5 AFC Wimbledon 10 7 3 1.1 0.9 4 1 5 11 9 13
20 9 Salford 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 2 6 2 10 10 12
21 12 Bromley 10 7 3 1.2 0.9 4 4 2 12 9 16
22 15 Colchester 10 7 3 1.0 1.5 1 7 2 10 15 10
23 13 Gillingham 10 8 2 0.6 1.0 3 2 5 6 10 11
24 17 Barrow 11 9 2 0.5 1.2 2 2 7 5 13 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51