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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: R Joyce

Carlisle 1–5 Swindon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.55 fair 2.81
Draw 3.25 fair 3.75
Away ✓ 2.70 fair 2.65
Under 2.5 1.75 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.13

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Carlisle Swindon
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 8
11 Corners 7
6 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (327 league matches this season so far).
Result Swindon to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
CarlisleDrawSwindon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 0–1 10.1% 1–0 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
0.78scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 21:41
Swindon before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.31scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 38:43
Carlisle all matches all matches Swindon

Per match

0.78 Goals scored 1.31
1.52 Goals conceded 1.48
2.30 Total goals 2.79
11.37 Shots 12.10
3.44 Shots on target 2.90
11.59 Shots faced 11.17
4.89 Corners 4.97
4.70 Corners against 5.00
11.07 Fouls 10.03
2.78 Yellow cards 1.97
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

19% Wins 28%
22% Draws 34%
59% Losses 38%
89% Over 0.5 goals 90%
63% Over 1.5 goals 86%
41% Over 2.5 goals 55%
22% Over 3.5 goals 38%
15% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 66%
22% Clean sheets 17%
44% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 21%
33% Draws 34%
44% Losses 45%
74% Over 0.5 goals 79%
30% Over 1.5 goals 45%
15% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle all matches
Swindon all matches
Carlisle before this match, at home
0.69points / match
0.77scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 10:18
Swindon before this match, away
0.87points / match
1.00scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:24
Carlisle at home away Swindon

Per match

0.77 Goals scored 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded 1.60
2.15 Total goals 2.60
11.77 Shots 10.93
3.54 Shots on target 2.47
9.92 Shots faced 13.13
5.38 Corners 4.13
4.00 Corners against 5.20
10.77 Fouls 10.60
2.77 Yellow cards 2.53
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.77 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

15% Wins 13%
23% Draws 47%
62% Losses 40%
92% Over 0.5 goals 93%
62% Over 1.5 goals 87%
31% Over 2.5 goals 47%
15% Over 3.5 goals 27%
15% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 73%
15% Clean sheets 7%
46% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 13%
31% Draws 33%
38% Losses 53%
77% Over 0.5 goals 80%
38% Over 1.5 goals 40%
23% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Carlisle at home
Swindon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.25 Notts County – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.335.00 1.60 2.30
25.01.25 Fleetwood Town – Carlisle 1–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.10 2.03 1.83
18.01.25 Carlisle – Bradford 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
04.01.25 Tranmere – Carlisle 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.25 2.03 1.83
01.01.25 Crewe – Carlisle 3–2 (1–1) 1.903.603.75 2.15 1.67
29.12.24 Carlisle – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Carlisle – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 1.93 1.93
21.12.24 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Carlisle – Chesterfield 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67

Swindon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.25 Swindon – Tranmere 3–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.20 1.95 1.90
24.01.25 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.501.95 1.83 2.03
18.01.25 Swindon – Barrow 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.303.10 2.10 1.70
11.01.25 Swindon – Crewe 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.40 2.05 1.75
04.01.25 Notts County – Swindon 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.904.50 1.65 2.20
01.01.25 Swindon – Colchester 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.402.63 1.95 1.90
29.12.24 Bromley – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.503.60 1.73 2.08
26.12.24 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 1.624.005.00 1.88 1.98
21.12.24 Swindon – Grimsby 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.602.90 1.93 1.93
14.12.24 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.804.75 1.83 2.03

Carlisle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25 Carlisle – Bradford 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
29.12.24 Carlisle – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Carlisle – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 1.93 1.93
14.12.24 Carlisle – Chesterfield 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67
23.11.24 Carlisle – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.401.91 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.403.70 1.93 1.93
19.10.24 Carlisle – Harrogate 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.504.10 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Carlisle – Notts County 0–2 (0–2) 2.703.602.38 1.60 2.30
28.09.24 Carlisle – Grimsby 2–3 (2–1) 2.053.503.25 1.93 1.93

Swindon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.25 Newport County – Swindon 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.501.95 1.83 2.03
04.01.25 Notts County – Swindon 2–0 (2–0) 1.673.904.50 1.65 2.20
29.12.24 Bromley – Swindon 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.503.60 1.73 2.08
26.12.24 AFC Wimbledon – Swindon 1–1 (0–1) 1.624.005.00 1.88 1.98
14.12.24 Bradford – Swindon 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.804.75 1.83 2.03
03.12.24 Colchester – Swindon 4–0 (4–0) 1.913.403.90 1.98 1.88
16.11.24 Accrington – Swindon 2–2 (2–1) 2.303.602.80 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Swindon 3–1 (1–1) 1.913.503.70 1.88 1.98
22.10.24 Salford – Swindon 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 2.05 1.75
12.10.24 Cheltenham – Swindon 2–3 (0–2) 2.603.252.60 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Carlisle winsDrawsSwindon wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24E3 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03
11.03.23E3 Swindon – Carlisle 1–2 (0–0) 2.903.102.55 2.05 1.75
13.08.22E3 Carlisle – Swindon 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.302.80 2.05 1.80
19.02.22E3 Carlisle – Swindon 0–3 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 2.15 1.66
14.08.21E3 Swindon – Carlisle 1–2 (1–2) 2.903.302.45 2.10 1.70

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 27 18 4 5 52 28 +24 58
2 Notts County 28 14 8 6 45 28 +17 50
3 Doncaster 28 14 7 7 40 31 +9 49
4 Bradford 27 13 8 6 38 27 +11 47
5 Crewe 28 12 11 5 35 24 +11 47
6 AFC Wimbledon 26 13 6 7 38 20 +18 45
7 Port Vale 27 12 9 6 33 28 +5 45
8 Salford 27 12 7 8 31 24 +7 43
9 Chesterfield 28 10 9 9 43 32 +11 39
10 Grimsby 28 12 3 13 38 45 -7 39
11 Milton Keynes Dons 27 11 5 11 41 38 +3 38
12 Cheltenham 28 10 8 10 37 39 -2 38
13 Fleetwood Town 26 9 9 8 35 31 +4 36
14 Bromley 27 8 11 8 36 35 +1 35
15 Colchester 27 7 13 7 30 28 +2 34
16 Swindon 29 8 10 11 38 43 -5 34
17 Gillingham 27 9 5 13 25 29 -4 32
18 Barrow 27 8 7 12 27 31 -4 31
19 Accrington 26 7 8 11 33 43 -10 29
20 Harrogate 29 8 5 16 24 40 -16 29
21 Newport County 26 7 6 13 34 46 -12 27
22 Tranmere 27 6 8 13 20 43 -23 26
23 Carlisle 27 5 6 16 21 41 -20 21
24 Morecambe 27 5 5 17 22 42 -20 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 14 11 2 1 34 17 +17 35
2 Bradford 14 10 3 1 24 10 +14 33
3 AFC Wimbledon 13 8 3 2 24 9 +15 27
4 Cheltenham 15 8 3 4 22 19 +3 27
5 Crewe 14 7 5 2 21 13 +8 26
6 Milton Keynes Dons 16 7 4 5 21 15 +6 25
7 Doncaster 14 7 4 3 19 14 +5 25
8 Salford 14 8 1 5 17 12 +5 25
9 Notts County 13 7 3 3 18 8 +10 24
10 Barrow 14 6 4 4 21 15 +6 22
11 Chesterfield 14 5 7 2 20 15 +5 22
12 Fleetwood Town 15 5 7 3 17 14 +3 22
13 Swindon 14 6 3 5 23 19 +4 21
14 Colchester 14 5 5 4 17 10 +7 20
15 Port Vale 12 5 5 2 16 12 +4 20
16 Grimsby 14 6 2 6 21 23 -2 20
17 Gillingham 14 6 1 7 17 16 +1 19
18 Tranmere 13 4 6 3 11 12 -1 18
19 Newport County 11 5 2 4 20 18 +2 17
20 Harrogate 14 5 1 8 11 20 -9 16
21 Bromley 13 3 6 4 19 18 +1 15
22 Accrington 13 3 6 4 15 19 -4 15
23 Carlisle 13 2 3 8 10 18 -8 9
24 Morecambe 12 1 3 8 10 22 -12 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Notts County 15 7 5 3 27 20 +7 26
2 Port Vale 15 7 4 4 17 16 +1 25
3 Doncaster 14 7 3 4 21 17 +4 24
4 Walsall 13 7 2 4 18 11 +7 23
5 Crewe 14 5 6 3 14 11 +3 21
6 Bromley 14 5 5 4 17 17 0 20
7 Grimsby 14 6 1 7 17 22 -5 19
8 AFC Wimbledon 13 5 3 5 14 11 +3 18
9 Salford 13 4 6 3 14 12 +2 18
10 Chesterfield 14 5 2 7 23 17 +6 17
11 Fleetwood Town 11 4 2 5 18 17 +1 14
12 Bradford 13 3 5 5 14 17 -3 14
13 Colchester 13 2 8 3 13 18 -5 14
14 Accrington 13 4 2 7 18 24 -6 14
15 Morecambe 15 4 2 9 12 20 -8 14
16 Milton Keynes Dons 11 4 1 6 20 23 -3 13
17 Gillingham 13 3 4 6 8 13 -5 13
18 Harrogate 15 3 4 8 13 20 -7 13
19 Swindon 15 2 7 6 15 24 -9 13
20 Carlisle 14 3 3 8 11 23 -12 12
21 Cheltenham 13 2 5 6 15 20 -5 11
22 Newport County 15 2 4 9 14 28 -14 10
23 Barrow 13 2 3 8 6 16 -10 9
24 Tranmere 14 2 2 10 9 31 -22 8

Carlisle   Swindon

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Grimsby 28 10 18 1.4 1.6 12 3 13 38 45 39
2 16 Swindon 29 13 16 1.3 1.5 8 10 11 38 43 34
3 19 Accrington 26 10 16 1.3 1.7 7 8 11 33 43 29
4 21 Newport County 26 10 16 1.3 1.8 7 6 13 34 46 27
5 4 Bradford 27 12 15 1.4 1.0 13 8 6 38 27 47
6 9 Chesterfield 28 13 15 1.5 1.1 10 9 9 43 32 39
7 11 Milton Keynes Dons 27 12 15 1.5 1.4 11 5 11 41 38 38
8 1 Walsall 27 13 14 1.9 1.0 18 4 5 52 28 58
9 12 Cheltenham 28 14 14 1.3 1.4 10 8 10 37 39 38
10 3 Doncaster 28 15 13 1.4 1.1 14 7 7 40 31 49
11 2 Notts County 28 16 12 1.6 1.0 14 8 6 45 28 50
12 14 Bromley 27 15 12 1.3 1.3 8 11 8 36 35 35
13 22 Tranmere 27 15 12 0.7 1.6 6 8 13 20 43 26
14 7 Port Vale 27 16 11 1.2 1.0 12 9 6 33 28 45
15 13 Fleetwood Town 26 15 11 1.3 1.2 9 9 8 35 31 36
16 20 Harrogate 29 18 11 0.8 1.4 8 5 16 24 40 29
17 23 Carlisle 27 16 11 0.8 1.5 5 6 16 21 41 21
18 6 AFC Wimbledon 26 16 10 1.5 0.8 13 6 7 38 20 45
19 24 Morecambe 27 17 10 0.8 1.6 5 5 17 22 42 20
20 8 Salford 27 18 9 1.1 0.9 12 7 8 31 24 43
21 17 Gillingham 27 18 9 0.9 1.1 9 5 13 25 29 32
22 5 Crewe 28 20 8 1.2 0.9 12 11 5 35 24 47
23 15 Colchester 27 19 8 1.1 1.0 7 13 7 30 28 34
24 18 Barrow 27 19 8 1.0 1.1 8 7 12 27 31 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Walsall 14 5 9 2.4 1.2 11 2 1 34 17 35
2 4 Bradford 14 5 9 1.7 0.7 10 3 1 24 10 33
3 10 Grimsby 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 6 2 6 21 23 20
4 16 Swindon 14 5 9 1.6 1.4 6 3 5 23 19 21
5 21 Newport County 11 2 9 1.8 1.6 5 2 4 20 18 17
6 9 Chesterfield 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 5 7 2 20 15 22
7 11 Milton Keynes Dons 16 9 7 1.3 0.9 7 4 5 21 15 25
8 17 Gillingham 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 6 1 7 17 16 19
9 19 Accrington 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 15 19 15
10 3 Doncaster 14 8 6 1.4 1.0 7 4 3 19 14 25
11 6 AFC Wimbledon 13 7 6 1.8 0.7 8 3 2 24 9 27
12 12 Cheltenham 15 9 6 1.5 1.3 8 3 4 22 19 27
13 14 Bromley 13 7 6 1.5 1.4 3 6 4 19 18 15
14 18 Barrow 14 8 6 1.5 1.1 6 4 4 21 15 22
15 5 Crewe 14 9 5 1.5 0.9 7 5 2 21 13 26
16 7 Port Vale 12 7 5 1.3 1.0 5 5 2 16 12 20
17 8 Salford 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 8 1 5 17 12 25
18 13 Fleetwood Town 15 10 5 1.1 0.9 5 7 3 17 14 22
19 20 Harrogate 14 9 5 0.8 1.4 5 1 8 11 20 16
20 2 Notts County 13 9 4 1.4 0.6 7 3 3 18 8 24
21 15 Colchester 14 10 4 1.2 0.7 5 5 4 17 10 20
22 23 Carlisle 13 9 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 8 10 18 9
23 24 Morecambe 12 8 4 0.8 1.8 1 3 8 10 22 6
24 22 Tranmere 13 10 3 0.8 0.9 4 6 3 11 12 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Grimsby 14 5 9 1.2 1.6 6 1 7 17 22 19
2 19 Accrington 13 4 9 1.4 1.8 4 2 7 18 24 14
3 22 Tranmere 14 5 9 0.6 2.2 2 2 10 9 31 8
4 2 Notts County 15 7 8 1.8 1.3 7 5 3 27 20 26
5 9 Chesterfield 14 6 8 1.6 1.2 5 2 7 23 17 17
6 11 Milton Keynes Dons 11 3 8 1.8 2.1 4 1 6 20 23 13
7 12 Cheltenham 13 5 8 1.2 1.5 2 5 6 15 20 11
8 3 Doncaster 14 7 7 1.5 1.2 7 3 4 21 17 24
9 16 Swindon 15 8 7 1.0 1.6 2 7 6 15 24 13
10 21 Newport County 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 2 4 9 14 28 10
11 23 Carlisle 14 7 7 0.8 1.6 3 3 8 11 23 12
12 4 Bradford 13 7 6 1.1 1.3 3 5 5 14 17 14
13 7 Port Vale 15 9 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 4 17 16 25
14 13 Fleetwood Town 11 5 6 1.6 1.5 4 2 5 18 17 14
15 14 Bromley 14 8 6 1.2 1.2 5 5 4 17 17 20
16 20 Harrogate 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 3 4 8 13 20 13
17 24 Morecambe 15 9 6 0.8 1.3 4 2 9 12 20 14
18 1 Walsall 13 8 5 1.4 0.8 7 2 4 18 11 23
19 6 AFC Wimbledon 13 9 4 1.1 0.8 5 3 5 14 11 18
20 8 Salford 13 9 4 1.1 0.9 4 6 3 14 12 18
21 15 Colchester 13 9 4 1.0 1.4 2 8 3 13 18 14
22 5 Crewe 14 11 3 1.0 0.8 5 6 3 14 11 21
23 17 Gillingham 13 11 2 0.6 1.0 3 4 6 8 13 13
24 18 Barrow 13 11 2 0.5 1.2 2 3 8 6 16 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51