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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League Two · ·Referee: S Stockbridge

Tranmere 1–0 Carlisle

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.10 fair 2.34
Draw 3.40 fair 3.63
Away 3.25 fair 3.37
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 2.03 fair 2.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Tranmere Carlisle
12 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 6
14 Fouls 4
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (280 league matches this season so far).
Result Tranmere to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.32 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
TranmereDrawCarlisle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 12.3% 0–1 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Tranmere before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.73scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 16:32
Carlisle before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
0.83scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 19:37
Tranmere all matches all matches Carlisle

Per match

0.73 Goals scored 0.83
1.45 Goals conceded 1.61
2.18 Total goals 2.43
12.55 Shots 11.30
3.55 Shots on target 3.35
12.86 Shots faced 11.70
6.00 Corners 4.91
4.45 Corners against 4.83
11.59 Fouls 11.26
2.36 Yellow cards 2.91
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

23% Wins 17%
32% Draws 26%
45% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 87%
73% Over 1.5 goals 70%
45% Over 2.5 goals 43%
14% Over 3.5 goals 26%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 48%
18% Clean sheets 26%
50% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 22%
50% Draws 35%
32% Losses 43%
64% Over 0.5 goals 74%
27% Over 1.5 goals 35%
5% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tranmere all matches
Carlisle all matches
Tranmere before this match, at home
1.27points / match
0.82scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:11
Carlisle before this match, away
0.82points / match
0.82scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:20
Tranmere at home away Carlisle

Per match

0.82 Goals scored 0.82
1.00 Goals conceded 1.82
1.82 Total goals 2.64
14.64 Shots 10.55
3.64 Shots on target 3.09
11.00 Shots faced 13.45
6.73 Corners 4.45
3.73 Corners against 5.73
12.73 Fouls 11.64
2.18 Yellow cards 2.91
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.18
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

27% Wins 18%
45% Draws 27%
27% Losses 55%
82% Over 0.5 goals 82%
64% Over 1.5 goals 73%
27% Over 2.5 goals 55%
9% Over 3.5 goals 36%
0% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 45%
27% Clean sheets 36%
45% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 9%
45% Draws 45%
27% Losses 45%
73% Over 0.5 goals 64%
18% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Tranmere at home
Carlisle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Tranmere all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Morecambe – Tranmere 2–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.35 2.10 1.70
29.12.24 Tranmere – Barrow 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.55 2.20 1.65
21.12.24 Doncaster – Tranmere 3–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.85 2.00
14.12.24 Tranmere – Harrogate 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.704.75 2.05 1.75
07.12.24 Chesterfield – Tranmere 3–0 (2–0) 1.673.605.25 1.88 1.98
03.12.24 Tranmere – Morecambe 2–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.00 1.95 1.90
26.11.24 Tranmere – AFC Wimbledon 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.202.10 2.35 1.57
22.11.24 Cheltenham – Tranmere 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.00 2.20 1.65
09.11.24 Tranmere – Newport County 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.505.00 1.93 1.93
26.10.24 Crewe – Tranmere 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.303.10 2.15 1.67

Carlisle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Crewe – Carlisle 3–2 (1–1) 1.903.603.75 2.15 1.67
29.12.24 Carlisle – Accrington 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Carlisle – Morecambe 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 1.93 1.93
21.12.24 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Carlisle – Chesterfield 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 1.93 1.93
30.11.24 Carlisle – Crewe 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.50 2.15 1.67
23.11.24 Carlisle – Doncaster 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.401.91 1.88 1.98
16.11.24 Bromley – Carlisle 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Salford – Carlisle 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.60 1.90 1.95
26.10.24 Carlisle – Cheltenham 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.403.70 1.93 1.93

Tranmere at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Tranmere – Barrow 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.55 2.20 1.65
14.12.24 Tranmere – Harrogate 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.704.75 2.05 1.75
03.12.24 Tranmere – Morecambe 2–2 (0–1) 1.853.504.00 1.95 1.90
26.11.24 Tranmere – AFC Wimbledon 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.202.10 2.35 1.57
09.11.24 Tranmere – Newport County 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.505.00 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Tranmere – Grimsby 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.104.10 2.05 1.80
12.10.24 Tranmere – Bradford 0–2 (0–1) 2.553.402.55 2.05 1.75
01.10.24 Tranmere – Swindon 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.303.20 2.10 1.70
27.09.24 Tranmere – Salford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.20 2.05 1.75
24.08.24 Tranmere – Walsall 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.402.88 1.98 1.88

Carlisle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Crewe – Carlisle 3–2 (1–1) 1.903.603.75 2.15 1.67
21.12.24 Port Vale – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 1.733.504.75 2.05 1.80
16.11.24 Bromley – Carlisle 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.60 1.93 1.93
09.11.24 Salford – Carlisle 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.60 1.90 1.95
22.10.24 Walsall – Carlisle 3–1 (1–0) 1.573.905.75 1.70 2.10
12.10.24 AFC Wimbledon – Carlisle 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Colchester – Carlisle 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.50 1.90 1.95
21.09.24 Swindon – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.60 1.83 2.03
07.09.24 Bradford – Carlisle 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.754.33 1.88 1.98
24.08.24 Milton Keynes Dons – Carlisle 3–0 (2–0) 1.753.754.20 1.73 2.08

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Tranmere winsDrawsCarlisle wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24E3 Carlisle – Tranmere 1–2 (1–2) 2.103.203.60 2.00 1.85
07.04.23E3 Carlisle – Tranmere 2–0 (2–0) 1.733.505.50 2.30 1.60
29.10.22E3 Tranmere – Carlisle 0–2 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.15 1.66
02.04.22E3 Tranmere – Carlisle 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.65
16.10.21E3 Carlisle – Tranmere 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.10 1.70

England League Two table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 23 16 4 3 43 20 +23 52
2 AFC Wimbledon 23 12 4 7 35 19 +16 40
3 Notts County 24 11 7 6 38 26 +12 40
4 Doncaster 24 11 7 6 34 28 +6 40
5 Salford 23 11 6 6 28 19 +9 39
6 Crewe 23 10 9 4 29 21 +8 39
7 Bradford 24 10 8 6 33 27 +6 38
8 Port Vale 24 10 8 6 27 24 +3 38
9 Grimsby 25 12 1 12 36 40 -4 37
10 Chesterfield 24 9 7 8 38 29 +9 34
11 Bromley 23 8 10 5 34 26 +8 34
12 Milton Keynes Dons 22 10 4 8 36 30 +6 34
13 Cheltenham 24 8 7 9 34 36 -2 31
14 Gillingham 23 9 3 11 22 24 -2 30
15 Barrow 23 7 7 9 23 24 -1 28
16 Colchester 23 5 12 6 28 26 +2 27
17 Fleetwood Town 22 6 9 7 28 28 0 27
18 Newport County 23 7 5 11 30 40 -10 26
19 Swindon 25 5 9 11 31 41 -10 24
20 Accrington 22 5 7 10 30 40 -10 22
21 Tranmere 22 5 7 10 16 32 -16 22
22 Harrogate 24 6 4 14 19 37 -18 22
23 Morecambe 24 5 5 14 22 39 -17 20
24 Carlisle 23 4 6 13 19 37 -18 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 12 9 2 1 25 14 +11 29
2 Bradford 12 8 3 1 20 10 +10 27
3 AFC Wimbledon 12 7 3 2 22 9 +13 24
4 Salford 12 8 0 4 16 9 +7 24
5 Crewe 11 6 4 1 16 10 +6 22
6 Doncaster 12 6 4 2 17 12 +5 22
7 Milton Keynes Dons 13 6 3 4 19 13 +6 21
8 Cheltenham 13 6 3 4 19 18 +1 21
9 Notts County 11 6 2 3 16 7 +9 20
10 Barrow 11 5 4 2 17 10 +7 19
11 Gillingham 12 6 1 5 16 13 +3 19
12 Chesterfield 12 4 6 2 16 14 +2 18
13 Grimsby 12 6 0 6 19 21 -2 18
14 Colchester 12 4 5 3 16 8 +8 17
15 Newport County 10 5 2 3 19 16 +3 17
16 Port Vale 11 4 5 2 13 10 +3 17
17 Fleetwood Town 12 3 7 2 12 11 +1 16
18 Bromley 12 3 6 3 19 17 +2 15
19 Swindon 11 4 2 5 18 18 0 14
20 Accrington 11 3 5 3 15 16 -1 14
21 Tranmere 11 3 5 3 9 11 -2 14
22 Harrogate 12 4 0 8 9 20 -11 12
23 Carlisle 12 2 3 7 10 17 -7 9
24 Morecambe 11 1 3 7 10 21 -11 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Walsall 11 7 2 2 18 6 +12 23
2 Port Vale 13 6 3 4 14 14 0 21
3 Notts County 13 5 5 3 22 19 +3 20
4 Bromley 11 5 4 2 15 9 +6 19
5 Grimsby 13 6 1 6 17 19 -2 19
6 Doncaster 12 5 3 4 17 16 +1 18
7 Crewe 12 4 5 3 13 11 +2 17
8 Chesterfield 12 5 1 6 22 15 +7 16
9 AFC Wimbledon 11 5 1 5 13 10 +3 16
10 Salford 11 3 6 2 12 10 +2 15
11 Morecambe 13 4 2 7 12 18 -6 14
12 Milton Keynes Dons 9 4 1 4 17 17 0 13
13 Fleetwood Town 10 3 2 5 16 17 -1 11
14 Bradford 12 2 5 5 13 17 -4 11
15 Gillingham 11 3 2 6 6 11 -5 11
16 Cheltenham 11 2 4 5 15 18 -3 10
17 Colchester 11 1 7 3 12 18 -6 10
18 Harrogate 12 2 4 6 10 17 -7 10
19 Swindon 14 1 7 6 13 23 -10 10
20 Barrow 12 2 3 7 6 14 -8 9
21 Carlisle 11 2 3 6 9 20 -11 9
22 Newport County 13 2 3 8 11 24 -13 9
23 Accrington 11 2 2 7 15 24 -9 8
24 Tranmere 11 2 2 7 7 21 -14 8

Tranmere   Carlisle

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Grimsby 25 8 17 1.4 1.6 12 1 12 36 40 37
2 20 Accrington 22 7 15 1.4 1.8 5 7 10 30 40 22
3 7 Bradford 24 10 14 1.4 1.1 10 8 6 33 27 38
4 10 Chesterfield 24 10 14 1.6 1.2 9 7 8 38 29 34
5 18 Newport County 23 9 14 1.3 1.7 7 5 11 30 40 26
6 19 Swindon 25 11 14 1.2 1.6 5 9 11 31 41 24
7 13 Cheltenham 24 11 13 1.4 1.5 8 7 9 34 36 31
8 12 Milton Keynes Dons 22 10 12 1.6 1.4 10 4 8 36 30 34
9 1 Walsall 23 12 11 1.9 0.9 16 4 3 43 20 52
10 4 Doncaster 24 13 11 1.4 1.2 11 7 6 34 28 40
11 2 AFC Wimbledon 23 13 10 1.5 0.8 12 4 7 35 19 40
12 3 Notts County 24 14 10 1.6 1.1 11 7 6 38 26 40
13 11 Bromley 23 13 10 1.5 1.1 8 10 5 34 26 34
14 21 Tranmere 22 12 10 0.7 1.5 5 7 10 16 32 22
15 22 Harrogate 24 14 10 0.8 1.5 6 4 14 19 37 22
16 23 Morecambe 24 14 10 0.9 1.6 5 5 14 22 39 20
17 24 Carlisle 23 13 10 0.8 1.6 4 6 13 19 37 18
18 8 Port Vale 24 15 9 1.1 1.0 10 8 6 27 24 38
19 17 Fleetwood Town 22 13 9 1.3 1.3 6 9 7 28 28 27
20 5 Salford 23 15 8 1.2 0.8 11 6 6 28 19 39
21 14 Gillingham 23 15 8 1.0 1.0 9 3 11 22 24 30
22 16 Colchester 23 15 8 1.2 1.1 5 12 6 28 26 27
23 6 Crewe 23 16 7 1.3 0.9 10 9 4 29 21 39
24 15 Barrow 23 17 6 1.0 1.0 7 7 9 23 24 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Grimsby 12 3 9 1.6 1.8 6 0 6 19 21 18
2 7 Bradford 12 4 8 1.7 0.8 8 3 1 20 10 27
3 18 Newport County 10 2 8 1.9 1.6 5 2 3 19 16 17
4 19 Swindon 11 3 8 1.6 1.6 4 2 5 18 18 14
5 1 Walsall 12 5 7 2.1 1.2 9 2 1 25 14 29
6 2 AFC Wimbledon 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 3 2 22 9 24
7 10 Chesterfield 12 6 6 1.3 1.2 4 6 2 16 14 18
8 11 Bromley 12 6 6 1.6 1.4 3 6 3 19 17 15
9 12 Milton Keynes Dons 13 7 6 1.5 1.0 6 3 4 19 13 21
10 14 Gillingham 12 6 6 1.3 1.1 6 1 5 16 13 19
11 20 Accrington 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 5 3 15 16 14
12 4 Doncaster 12 7 5 1.4 1.0 6 4 2 17 12 22
13 5 Salford 12 7 5 1.3 0.8 8 0 4 16 9 24
14 13 Cheltenham 13 8 5 1.5 1.4 6 3 4 19 18 21
15 22 Harrogate 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 4 0 8 9 20 12
16 3 Notts County 11 7 4 1.5 0.6 6 2 3 16 7 20
17 6 Crewe 11 7 4 1.5 0.9 6 4 1 16 10 22
18 8 Port Vale 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 4 5 2 13 10 17
19 15 Barrow 11 7 4 1.5 0.9 5 4 2 17 10 19
20 16 Colchester 12 8 4 1.3 0.7 4 5 3 16 8 17
21 23 Morecambe 11 7 4 0.9 1.9 1 3 7 10 21 6
22 24 Carlisle 12 8 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 7 10 17 9
23 17 Fleetwood Town 12 9 3 1.0 0.9 3 7 2 12 11 16
24 21 Tranmere 11 8 3 0.8 1.0 3 5 3 9 11 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Accrington 11 2 9 1.4 2.2 2 2 7 15 24 8
2 9 Grimsby 13 5 8 1.3 1.5 6 1 6 17 19 19
3 10 Chesterfield 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 5 1 6 22 15 16
4 13 Cheltenham 11 3 8 1.4 1.6 2 4 5 15 18 10
5 21 Tranmere 11 4 7 0.6 1.9 2 2 7 7 21 8
6 3 Notts County 13 7 6 1.7 1.5 5 5 3 22 19 20
7 4 Doncaster 12 6 6 1.4 1.3 5 3 4 17 16 18
8 7 Bradford 12 6 6 1.1 1.4 2 5 5 13 17 11
9 12 Milton Keynes Dons 9 3 6 1.9 1.9 4 1 4 17 17 13
10 17 Fleetwood Town 10 4 6 1.6 1.7 3 2 5 16 17 11
11 18 Newport County 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 8 11 24 9
12 19 Swindon 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 1 7 6 13 23 10
13 23 Morecambe 13 7 6 0.9 1.4 4 2 7 12 18 14
14 24 Carlisle 11 5 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 6 9 20 9
15 8 Port Vale 13 8 5 1.1 1.1 6 3 4 14 14 21
16 22 Harrogate 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 2 4 6 10 17 10
17 1 Walsall 11 7 4 1.6 0.5 7 2 2 18 6 23
18 2 AFC Wimbledon 11 7 4 1.2 0.9 5 1 5 13 10 16
19 11 Bromley 11 7 4 1.4 0.8 5 4 2 15 9 19
20 16 Colchester 11 7 4 1.1 1.6 1 7 3 12 18 10
21 5 Salford 11 8 3 1.1 0.9 3 6 2 12 10 15
22 6 Crewe 12 9 3 1.1 0.9 4 5 3 13 11 17
23 14 Gillingham 11 9 2 0.5 1.0 3 2 6 6 11 11
24 15 Barrow 12 10 2 0.5 1.2 2 3 7 6 14 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51