Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Kirk

Birmingham 3–0 QPR

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.96 fair 2.35
Draw 3.50 fair 4.02
Away 3.60 fair 3.06
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 2.18
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham QPR
11 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
1.30 Expected goals (xG) 1.15
0 Corners 4
13 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (123 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawQPR
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 2–1 9% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.70scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:11
QPR before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.50scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:9
Birmingham all matches all matches QPR

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.50
1.10 Goals conceded 0.90
2.80 Total goals 2.40
1.81 xG created 1.58
1.24 xG allowed 1.18
14.00 Shots 15.10
4.80 Shots on target 5.20
11.70 Shots faced 11.70
6.30 Corners 5.60
4.60 Corners against 3.80
12.10 Fouls 8.90
2.10 Yellow cards 1.90
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
50% Draws 50%
10% Losses 10%
90% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
70% Over 2.5 goals 50%
40% Over 3.5 goals 30%
0% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 70%
30% Clean sheets 20%
10% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 40%
40% Draws 40%
30% Losses 20%
90% Over 0.5 goals 70%
50% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
QPR all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.40points / match
2.20scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:7
QPR before this match, away
1.80points / match
1.40scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:4
Birmingham at home away QPR

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 1.40
1.40 Goals conceded 0.80
3.60 Total goals 2.20
1.67 xG created 1.27
1.51 xG allowed 1.28
14.60 Shots 11.60
4.60 Shots on target 4.00
11.60 Shots faced 12.40
5.80 Corners 4.40
3.60 Corners against 4.60
12.40 Fouls 10.40
2.00 Yellow cards 2.60
1.20 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

20% Wins 40%
80% Draws 60%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
80% Over 2.5 goals 40%
80% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 40%
40% Draws 60%
40% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 40%
40% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
QPR away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.10.26 Birmingham – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.205.75 1.73 2.10
10.10.26 West Brom – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.303.00 2.00 1.80
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Norwich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 1.863.503.90 1.80 2.00
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
28.08.26 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Sheffield United – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.03 1.83

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.10.26 QPR – Derby 4–1 (3–0) 1.663.804.50 1.80 2.00
09.10.26 West Ham – QPR 1–1 (0–1) 1.414.337.00 1.53 2.50
19.09.26 QPR – Preston 2–2 (0–2) 1.683.754.75 1.80 2.00
12.09.26 West Brom – QPR 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.303.60 1.85 2.00
09.09.26 Charlton – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.20 1.98 1.88
05.09.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.402.15 1.73 2.10
02.09.26 QPR – Cardiff 2–1 (1–0) 1.863.603.75 1.73 2.10
29.08.26 Blackburn – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 2.503.302.65 2.00 1.80
22.08.26 QPR – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 1.863.603.75 1.93 1.93
15.08.26 Portsmouth – QPR 1–3 (1–3) 2.253.403.00 2.00 1.85

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.10.26 Birmingham – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.205.75 1.73 2.10
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–1 (2–0) 1.683.804.75 1.80 2.00
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.26 Birmingham – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 Birmingham – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.20 1.67
14.03.26 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.503.50 1.91 1.91

QPR away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.10.26 West Ham – QPR 1–1 (0–1) 1.414.337.00 1.53 2.50
12.09.26 West Brom – QPR 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.303.60 1.85 2.00
09.09.26 Charlton – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.20 1.98 1.88
29.08.26 Blackburn – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 2.503.302.65 2.00 1.80
15.08.26 Portsmouth – QPR 1–3 (1–3) 2.253.403.00 2.00 1.85
02.05.26 Ipswich – QPR 3–0 (2–0) 1.255.5010.00 1.53 2.50
18.04.26 Millwall – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 1.623.754.75 1.85 2.00
06.04.26 Preston – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.323.302.82 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Leicester – QPR 1–3 (1–1) 1.913.503.80 2.00 1.80
11.03.26 Birmingham – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.754.50 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsQPR wins
8matches
1.88goals / match
38%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.26E1 Birmingham – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.754.50 2.00 1.85
09.12.25E1 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (1–0) 2.853.302.35 1.98 1.88
29.03.24E1 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 2.05 1.75
22.09.23E1 Birmingham – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.67
18.03.23E1 QPR – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.383.303.10 2.20 1.67
28.10.22E1 Birmingham – QPR 2–0 (2–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.72
02.01.22E1 Birmingham – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.75 2.20 1.66
28.09.21E1 QPR – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.93 1.93

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 7 2 1 16 7 +9 23
2 Middlesbrough 11 6 4 1 22 16 +6 22
3 Southampton 10 6 2 2 21 10 +11 20
4 West Ham 10 5 4 1 29 12 +17 19
5 Birmingham 10 4 5 1 17 11 +6 17
6 QPR 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
7 Wolves 10 5 2 3 18 15 +3 17
8 West Brom 10 5 2 3 12 10 +2 17
9 Stoke 10 5 1 4 17 16 +1 16
10 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15
11 Millwall 11 4 3 4 18 18 0 15
12 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 12 14 -2 14
13 Charlton 11 3 5 3 10 15 -5 14
14 Bolton 10 4 1 5 15 18 -3 13
15 Sheffield United 10 3 3 4 14 14 0 12
16 Lincoln 11 3 3 5 9 19 -10 12
17 Cardiff 11 2 5 4 18 17 +1 11
18 Portsmouth 9 3 2 4 12 13 -1 11
19 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 11 15 -4 11
20 Watford 11 3 2 6 10 19 -9 11
21 Norwich 10 3 0 7 17 20 -3 9
22 Burnley 11 1 5 5 16 21 -5 8
23 Derby 10 1 3 6 9 19 -10 6
24 Preston 10 1 1 8 8 20 -12 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 5 5 0 0 16 4 +12 15
2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 14 9 +5 14
3 Swansea 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
4 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
5 Watford 6 3 1 2 8 9 -1 10
6 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 12 6 +6 9
7 Stoke 5 3 0 2 10 6 +4 9
8 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
9 Charlton 5 2 3 0 4 2 +2 9
10 Millwall 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8
11 QPR 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8
12 West Brom 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
13 Birmingham 5 1 4 0 11 7 +4 7
14 Wolves 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
15 Sheffield United 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
16 Portsmouth 5 2 1 2 8 9 -1 7
17 Norwich 5 2 0 3 10 9 +1 6
18 Bolton 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
19 Bristol City 5 2 0 3 3 5 -2 6
20 Wrexham 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
21 Burnley 6 0 4 2 8 10 -2 4
22 Preston 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Derby 5 0 2 3 4 9 -5 2
24 Lincoln 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 5 4 0 1 9 5 +4 12
2 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
3 Wolves 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
4 Lincoln 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10
5 West Ham 5 2 3 0 14 7 +7 9
6 QPR 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
7 West Brom 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
8 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 8 7 +1 8
9 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
10 Bolton 5 2 1 2 9 11 -2 7
11 Millwall 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
12 Stoke 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
13 Blackburn 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
14 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
15 Sheffield United 5 1 2 2 7 8 -1 5
16 Southampton 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
17 Charlton 6 1 2 3 6 13 -7 5
18 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 4
19 Burnley 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
20 Derby 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
21 Norwich 5 1 0 4 7 11 -4 3
22 Cardiff 6 0 2 4 6 11 -5 2
23 Preston 5 0 1 4 4 11 -7 1
24 Watford 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1

Birmingham   QPR

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Middlesbrough 11 3 8 2.0 1.5 6 4 1 22 16 22
2 4 West Ham 10 2 8 2.9 1.2 5 4 1 29 12 19
3 9 Stoke 10 2 8 1.7 1.6 5 1 4 17 16 16
4 10 Blackburn 10 2 8 1.5 1.3 4 3 3 15 13 15
5 11 Millwall 11 3 8 1.6 1.6 4 3 4 18 18 15
6 21 Norwich 10 2 8 1.7 2.0 3 0 7 17 20 9
7 22 Burnley 11 3 8 1.5 1.9 1 5 5 16 21 8
8 5 Birmingham 10 3 7 1.7 1.1 4 5 1 17 11 17
9 7 Wolves 10 3 7 1.8 1.5 5 2 3 18 15 17
10 14 Bolton 10 3 7 1.5 1.8 4 1 5 15 18 13
11 15 Sheffield United 10 3 7 1.4 1.4 3 3 4 14 14 12
12 17 Cardiff 11 4 7 1.6 1.5 2 5 4 18 17 11
13 24 Preston 10 3 7 0.8 2.0 1 1 8 8 20 4
14 1 Swansea 10 4 6 1.6 0.7 7 2 1 16 7 23
15 3 Southampton 10 4 6 2.1 1.0 6 2 2 21 10 20
16 16 Lincoln 11 5 6 0.8 1.7 3 3 5 9 19 12
17 23 Derby 10 4 6 0.9 1.9 1 3 6 9 19 6
18 6 QPR 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
19 12 Bristol City 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 4 2 4 12 14 14
20 13 Charlton 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 3 5 3 10 15 14
21 18 Portsmouth 9 4 5 1.3 1.4 3 2 4 12 13 11
22 19 Wrexham 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 5 3 11 15 11
23 20 Watford 11 6 5 0.9 1.7 3 2 6 10 19 11
24 8 West Brom 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 5 2 3 12 10 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Middlesbrough 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 4 2 0 14 9 14
2 10 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
3 11 Millwall 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8
4 3 Southampton 5 1 4 3.2 0.8 5 0 0 16 4 15
5 4 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
6 5 Birmingham 5 1 4 2.2 1.4 1 4 0 11 7 7
7 9 Stoke 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 0 2 10 6 9
8 20 Watford 6 2 4 1.3 1.5 3 1 2 8 9 10
9 21 Norwich 5 1 4 2.0 1.8 2 0 3 10 9 6
10 22 Burnley 6 2 4 1.3 1.7 0 4 2 8 10 4
11 6 QPR 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8
12 7 Wolves 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
13 14 Bolton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
14 15 Sheffield United 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
15 16 Lincoln 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
16 17 Cardiff 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 2 3 0 12 6 9
17 18 Portsmouth 5 2 3 1.6 1.8 2 1 2 8 9 7
18 19 Wrexham 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
19 23 Derby 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 2 3 4 9 2
20 24 Preston 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
21 1 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
22 8 West Brom 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
23 12 Bristol City 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 2 0 3 3 5 6
24 13 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 0.4 2 3 0 4 2 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 4 0 1 9 5 12
2 4 West Ham 5 1 4 2.8 1.4 2 3 0 14 7 9
3 7 Wolves 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
4 9 Stoke 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
5 12 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
6 13 Charlton 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 2 3 6 13 5
7 14 Bolton 5 1 4 1.8 2.2 2 1 2 9 11 7
8 15 Sheffield United 5 1 4 1.4 1.6 1 2 2 7 8 5
9 17 Cardiff 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 0 2 4 6 11 2
10 21 Norwich 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 0 4 7 11 3
11 22 Burnley 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
12 24 Preston 5 1 4 0.8 2.2 0 1 4 4 11 1
13 2 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 2 1 8 7 8
14 5 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
15 8 West Brom 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
16 10 Blackburn 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
17 11 Millwall 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
18 16 Lincoln 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10
19 23 Derby 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
20 3 Southampton 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
21 6 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
22 18 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 2 4 4 4
23 19 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
24 20 Watford 5 4 1 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51