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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Jones

Birmingham 2–1 Bristol City

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.68 fair 2.27
Draw 3.80 fair 3.83
Away 4.75 fair 3.35
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.09

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Bristol City
11 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 5
10 Fouls 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (532 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawBristol City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.23scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 54:54
Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.34points / match
1.27scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 56:57
Birmingham all matches all matches Bristol City

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.27
1.23 Goals conceded 1.30
2.45 Total goals 2.57
13.70 Shots 12.23
4.07 Shots on target 4.11
10.82 Shots faced 13.20
5.68 Corners 4.91
4.16 Corners against 4.80
11.75 Fouls 9.64
1.77 Yellow cards 1.75
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

36% Wins 36%
27% Draws 25%
36% Losses 39%
98% Over 0.5 goals 91%
77% Over 1.5 goals 70%
45% Over 2.5 goals 45%
18% Over 3.5 goals 27%
7% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
55% Both teams scored 45%
23% Clean sheets 30%
25% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 36%
27% Draws 32%
43% Losses 32%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
39% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Bristol City all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.68scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 37:21
Bristol City before this match, away
1.41points / match
1.14scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 25:26
Birmingham at home away Bristol City

Per match

1.68 Goals scored 1.14
0.95 Goals conceded 1.18
2.64 Total goals 2.32
17.64 Shots 11.73
5.64 Shots on target 4.27
9.23 Shots faced 12.45
6.59 Corners 5.05
3.82 Corners against 5.18
11.05 Fouls 10.36
1.73 Yellow cards 2.00
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

50% Wins 36%
36% Draws 32%
14% Losses 32%
95% Over 0.5 goals 86%
77% Over 1.5 goals 68%
45% Over 2.5 goals 41%
32% Over 3.5 goals 18%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
64% Both teams scored 50%
32% Clean sheets 27%
9% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 32%
41% Draws 41%
14% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 73%
45% Over 1.5 goals 45%
18% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Bristol City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
18.04.26 Hull – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.502.70 1.85 2.00
12.04.26 Birmingham – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
06.04.26 Ipswich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.755.50 1.88 1.98
03.04.26 Birmingham – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.20 1.67
21.03.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 1.98 1.88
14.03.26 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.503.50 1.91 1.91
11.03.26 Birmingham – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.754.50 2.00 1.85
07.03.26 Charlton – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.05 2.10 1.73
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.26 Southampton – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.394.338.00 1.73 2.10
18.04.26 Bristol City – Norwich 2–4 (1–0) 2.573.402.50 1.91 1.91
11.04.26 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.10 1.98 1.88
06.04.26 Bristol City – Sheffield United 1–0 (1–0) 2.853.402.30 1.83 2.03
03.04.26 Charlton – Bristol City 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.202.82 2.20 1.67
21.03.26 Bristol City – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.302.75 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.336.50 1.67 2.20
10.03.26 Leicester – Bristol City 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.503.00 1.93 1.93
07.03.26 Bristol City – Coventry 0–2 (0–2) 3.703.601.91 1.73 2.10
27.02.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.402.65 2.05 1.80

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.26 Birmingham – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 Birmingham – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.20 1.67
14.03.26 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.503.50 1.91 1.91
11.03.26 Birmingham – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.754.50 2.00 1.85
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
10.02.26 Birmingham – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.404.33 2.10 1.73
07.02.26 Birmingham – Leicester 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.804.50 1.91 1.91
24.01.26 Birmingham – Stoke 1–1 (1–0) 1.813.604.00 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Birmingham – Coventry 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.402.65 1.83 2.03

Bristol City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.26 Southampton – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.394.338.00 1.73 2.10
11.04.26 QPR – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.10 1.98 1.88
03.04.26 Charlton – Bristol City 1–2 (1–1) 2.453.202.82 2.20 1.67
14.03.26 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.336.50 1.67 2.20
10.03.26 Leicester – Bristol City 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.503.00 1.93 1.93
24.02.26 Blackburn – Bristol City 1–2 (1–2) 2.323.203.00 2.20 1.67
21.02.26 Swansea – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.00 1.85
07.02.26 Hull – Bristol City 2–3 (1–2) 2.303.303.00 2.00 1.80
20.01.26 Ipswich – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 2.00 1.85
17.01.26 Oxford – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.10 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsBristol City wins
7matches
2.57goals / match
57%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25E1 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
29.12.23E1 Birmingham – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.55 2.05 1.75
19.08.23E1 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
14.01.23E1 Bristol City – Birmingham 4–2 (2–1) 2.253.303.30 2.10 1.73
08.10.22E1 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (2–0) 2.703.252.60 1.95 1.90
05.03.22E1 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–2 (0–2) 2.373.303.10 1.93 1.93
02.11.21E1 Birmingham – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.604.20 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 44 26 11 7 90 44 +46 89
2 Ipswich 44 22 14 8 75 45 +30 80
3 Millwall 45 23 11 11 62 49 +13 80
4 Middlesbrough 45 22 13 10 70 45 +25 79
5 Southampton 44 21 13 10 77 53 +24 76
6 Wrexham 44 19 13 12 66 60 +6 70
7 Hull 45 20 10 15 68 65 +3 70
8 Derby 44 19 9 16 63 55 +8 66
9 Norwich 44 19 7 18 61 53 +8 64
10 Birmingham 44 16 12 16 54 54 0 60
11 Swansea 44 17 9 18 53 57 -4 60
12 Bristol City 44 16 11 17 56 57 -1 59
13 QPR 44 16 10 18 59 67 -8 58
14 Sheffield United 44 17 6 21 62 62 0 57
15 Preston 44 14 15 15 51 57 -6 57
16 Watford 45 14 15 16 53 61 -8 57
17 Stoke 44 15 10 19 50 51 -1 55
18 West Brom 45 13 14 18 47 56 -9 53
19 Charlton 45 13 14 18 43 55 -12 53
20 Blackburn 45 13 13 19 42 55 -13 52
21 Portsmouth 44 13 12 19 45 62 -17 51
22 Leicester 45 11 16 18 57 68 -11 49
23 Oxford 44 10 14 20 41 56 -15 44
24 Sheffield Weds 44 1 12 31 26 84 -58 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 22 16 4 2 48 18 +30 52
2 Ipswich 22 13 8 1 40 17 +23 47
3 Southampton 22 12 7 3 36 17 +19 43
4 Middlesbrough 23 12 6 5 34 18 +16 42
5 Birmingham 22 11 8 3 37 21 +16 41
6 Millwall 22 12 3 7 31 25 +6 39
7 Watford 22 10 7 5 30 23 +7 37
8 Swansea 22 10 6 6 31 26 +5 36
9 Derby 22 10 6 6 30 25 +5 36
10 Wrexham 22 10 6 6 39 35 +4 36
11 Hull 22 10 5 7 33 33 0 35
12 West Brom 23 8 10 5 28 25 +3 34
13 Stoke 22 9 6 7 33 25 +8 33
14 QPR 22 10 3 9 38 34 +4 33
15 Sheffield United 22 9 4 9 36 30 +6 31
16 Preston 22 8 7 7 27 27 0 31
17 Charlton 23 9 4 10 23 26 -3 31
18 Portsmouth 22 8 5 9 24 22 +2 29
19 Norwich 22 9 2 11 26 27 -1 29
20 Bristol City 22 8 4 10 31 31 0 28
21 Leicester 23 7 7 9 31 34 -3 28
22 Oxford 22 6 8 8 20 26 -6 26
23 Blackburn 22 4 9 9 19 26 -7 21
24 Sheffield Weds 22 0 7 15 12 43 -31 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Millwall 23 11 8 4 31 24 +7 41
2 Coventry 22 10 7 5 42 26 +16 37
3 Middlesbrough 22 10 7 5 36 27 +9 37
4 Norwich 22 10 5 7 35 26 +9 35
5 Hull 23 10 5 8 35 32 +3 35
6 Wrexham 22 9 7 6 27 25 +2 34
7 Ipswich 22 9 6 7 35 28 +7 33
8 Southampton 22 9 6 7 41 36 +5 33
9 Bristol City 22 8 7 7 25 26 -1 31
10 Blackburn 23 9 4 10 23 29 -6 31
11 Derby 22 9 3 10 33 30 +3 30
12 Sheffield United 22 8 2 12 26 32 -6 26
13 Preston 22 6 8 8 24 30 -6 26
14 QPR 22 6 7 9 21 33 -12 25
15 Swansea 22 7 3 12 22 31 -9 24
16 Charlton 22 4 10 8 20 29 -9 22
17 Stoke 22 6 4 12 17 26 -9 22
18 Portsmouth 22 5 7 10 21 40 -19 22
19 Leicester 22 4 9 9 26 34 -8 21
20 Watford 23 4 8 11 23 38 -15 20
21 West Brom 22 5 4 13 19 31 -12 19
22 Birmingham 22 5 4 13 17 33 -16 19
23 Oxford 22 4 6 12 21 30 -9 18
24 Sheffield Weds 22 1 5 16 14 41 -27 8

Birmingham   Bristol City

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Hull 45 16 29 1.5 1.4 20 10 15 68 65 70
2 1 Coventry 44 17 27 2.0 1.0 26 11 7 90 44 89
3 5 Southampton 44 17 27 1.8 1.2 21 13 10 77 53 76
4 13 QPR 44 17 27 1.3 1.5 16 10 18 59 67 58
5 14 Sheffield United 44 19 25 1.4 1.4 17 6 21 62 62 57
6 22 Leicester 45 20 25 1.3 1.5 11 16 18 57 68 49
7 4 Middlesbrough 45 21 24 1.6 1.0 22 13 10 70 45 79
8 2 Ipswich 44 22 22 1.7 1.0 22 14 8 75 45 80
9 3 Millwall 45 23 22 1.4 1.1 23 11 11 62 49 80
10 8 Derby 44 22 22 1.4 1.2 19 9 16 63 55 66
11 11 Swansea 44 22 22 1.2 1.3 17 9 18 53 57 60
12 24 Sheffield Weds 44 22 22 0.6 1.9 1 12 31 26 84 15
13 6 Wrexham 44 23 21 1.5 1.4 19 13 12 66 60 70
14 9 Norwich 44 23 21 1.4 1.2 19 7 18 61 53 64
15 16 Watford 45 24 21 1.2 1.4 14 15 16 53 61 57
16 10 Birmingham 44 24 20 1.2 1.2 16 12 16 54 54 60
17 12 Bristol City 44 24 20 1.3 1.3 16 11 17 56 57 59
18 15 Preston 44 24 20 1.2 1.3 14 15 15 51 57 57
19 18 West Brom 45 25 20 1.0 1.2 13 14 18 47 56 53
20 23 Oxford 44 24 20 0.9 1.3 10 14 20 41 56 44
21 17 Stoke 44 25 19 1.1 1.2 15 10 19 50 51 55
22 21 Portsmouth 44 25 19 1.0 1.4 13 12 19 45 62 51
23 20 Blackburn 45 27 18 0.9 1.2 13 13 19 42 55 52
24 19 Charlton 45 28 17 1.0 1.2 13 14 18 43 55 53
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 QPR 22 5 17 1.7 1.5 10 3 9 38 34 33
2 14 Sheffield United 22 6 16 1.6 1.4 9 4 9 36 30 31
3 1 Coventry 22 8 14 2.2 0.8 16 4 2 48 18 52
4 7 Hull 22 9 13 1.5 1.5 10 5 7 33 33 35
5 2 Ipswich 22 10 12 1.8 0.8 13 8 1 40 17 47
6 3 Millwall 22 10 12 1.4 1.1 12 3 7 31 25 39
7 6 Wrexham 22 10 12 1.8 1.6 10 6 6 39 35 36
8 17 Stoke 22 10 12 1.5 1.1 9 6 7 33 25 33
9 22 Leicester 23 11 12 1.3 1.5 7 7 9 31 34 28
10 5 Southampton 22 11 11 1.6 0.8 12 7 3 36 17 43
11 11 Swansea 22 11 11 1.4 1.2 10 6 6 31 26 36
12 12 Bristol City 22 11 11 1.4 1.4 8 4 10 31 31 28
13 4 Middlesbrough 23 13 10 1.5 0.8 12 6 5 34 18 42
14 9 Norwich 22 12 10 1.2 1.2 9 2 11 26 27 29
15 10 Birmingham 22 12 10 1.7 1.0 11 8 3 37 21 41
16 15 Preston 22 12 10 1.2 1.2 8 7 7 27 27 31
17 18 West Brom 23 13 10 1.2 1.1 8 10 5 28 25 34
18 19 Charlton 23 13 10 1.0 1.1 9 4 10 23 26 31
19 24 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 0.5 2.0 0 7 15 12 43 7
20 16 Watford 22 13 9 1.4 1.0 10 7 5 30 23 37
21 21 Portsmouth 22 13 9 1.1 1.0 8 5 9 24 22 29
22 23 Oxford 22 13 9 0.9 1.2 6 8 8 20 26 26
23 8 Derby 22 14 8 1.4 1.1 10 6 6 30 25 36
24 20 Blackburn 22 15 7 0.9 1.2 4 9 9 19 26 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Southampton 22 6 16 1.9 1.6 9 6 7 41 36 33
2 7 Hull 23 7 16 1.5 1.4 10 5 8 35 32 35
3 4 Middlesbrough 22 8 14 1.6 1.2 10 7 5 36 27 37
4 8 Derby 22 8 14 1.5 1.4 9 3 10 33 30 30
5 1 Coventry 22 9 13 1.9 1.2 10 7 5 42 26 37
6 22 Leicester 22 9 13 1.2 1.5 4 9 9 26 34 21
7 16 Watford 23 11 12 1.0 1.7 4 8 11 23 38 20
8 24 Sheffield Weds 22 10 12 0.6 1.9 1 5 16 14 41 8
9 9 Norwich 22 11 11 1.6 1.2 10 5 7 35 26 35
10 11 Swansea 22 11 11 1.0 1.4 7 3 12 22 31 24
11 20 Blackburn 23 12 11 1.0 1.3 9 4 10 23 29 31
12 23 Oxford 22 11 11 1.0 1.4 4 6 12 21 30 18
13 2 Ipswich 22 12 10 1.6 1.3 9 6 7 35 28 33
14 3 Millwall 23 13 10 1.3 1.0 11 8 4 31 24 41
15 10 Birmingham 22 12 10 0.8 1.5 5 4 13 17 33 19
16 13 QPR 22 12 10 1.0 1.5 6 7 9 21 33 25
17 15 Preston 22 12 10 1.1 1.4 6 8 8 24 30 26
18 18 West Brom 22 12 10 0.9 1.4 5 4 13 19 31 19
19 21 Portsmouth 22 12 10 1.0 1.8 5 7 10 21 40 22
20 6 Wrexham 22 13 9 1.2 1.1 9 7 6 27 25 34
21 12 Bristol City 22 13 9 1.1 1.2 8 7 7 25 26 31
22 14 Sheffield United 22 13 9 1.2 1.5 8 2 12 26 32 26
23 17 Stoke 22 15 7 0.8 1.2 6 4 12 17 26 22
24 19 Charlton 22 15 7 0.9 1.3 4 10 8 20 29 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51