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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Allison

Birmingham 4–0 Preston

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.51 fair 2.03
Draw 4.20 fair 4.19
Away 5.75 fair 3.71
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.25
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Preston
19 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
2.21 Expected goals (xG) 0.49
6 Corners 3
9 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (113 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawPreston
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 9.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.44scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:11
Preston before this match, all matches
0.44points / match
0.89scored / match
1.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:16
Birmingham all matches all matches Preston

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 0.89
1.22 Goals conceded 1.78
2.67 Total goals 2.67
1.76 xG created 1.31
1.33 xG allowed 1.31
13.44 Shots 12.78
4.56 Shots on target 2.89
12.33 Shots faced 15.00
6.33 Corners 5.11
4.78 Corners against 5.22
12.44 Fouls 11.56
2.22 Yellow cards 2.22
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

33% Wins 11%
56% Draws 11%
11% Losses 78%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 67%
22% Clean sheets 0%
11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 33%
44% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
44% Over 1.5 goals 33%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Preston all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.75scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:7
Preston before this match, away
0.25points / match
1.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:7
Birmingham at home away Preston

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.00
1.75 Goals conceded 1.75
3.50 Total goals 2.75
1.54 xG created 1.45
1.76 xG allowed 1.39
13.50 Shots 13.25
4.00 Shots on target 3.25
13.00 Shots faced 18.75
5.75 Corners 3.25
3.75 Corners against 5.75
13.25 Fouls 13.75
2.25 Yellow cards 2.00
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.75
1.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 25%
0% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 75%
75% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 25%
50% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Preston away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 West Brom – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.353.303.00 2.00 1.80
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
12.09.26 Derby – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 3.403.302.10 2.10 1.73
09.09.26 Norwich – Birmingham 2–1 (2–0) 1.863.503.90 1.80 2.00
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
28.08.26 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Sheffield United – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.03 1.83
02.05.26 Portsmouth – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.353.502.70 1.80 2.00

Preston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.10.26 Preston – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.823.302.35 1.80 2.00
19.09.26 QPR – Preston 2–2 (0–2) 1.683.754.75 1.80 2.00
12.09.26 Preston – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.88 1.98
08.09.26 Watford – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.40 1.93 1.93
05.09.26 Preston – Blackburn 2–1 (2–0) 2.303.253.00 2.00 1.85
01.09.26 Preston – Bristol City 1–3 (0–1) 2.823.402.32 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Charlton – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.73
22.08.26 Preston – Wolves 1–3 (0–1) 4.203.401.81 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Bolton – Preston 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.303.30 2.00 1.85
02.05.26 Preston – Southampton 1–3 (0–1) 3.104.002.01 1.57 2.38

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 2–2 (0–1) 2.753.602.30 1.67 2.20
06.09.26 Birmingham – Wolves 2–2 (2–2) 2.853.252.35 2.10 1.73
01.09.26 Birmingham – Southampton 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.302.57 1.80 2.00
22.08.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.713.754.33 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Birmingham – Bristol City 2–1 (2–0) 1.683.804.75 1.80 2.00
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.26 Birmingham – Wrexham 2–0 (0–0) 2.013.503.50 1.80 2.00
03.04.26 Birmingham – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.20 1.67
14.03.26 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.013.503.50 1.91 1.91
11.03.26 Birmingham – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.754.50 2.00 1.85

Preston away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 QPR – Preston 2–2 (0–2) 1.683.754.75 1.80 2.00
08.09.26 Watford – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.40 1.93 1.93
29.08.26 Charlton – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.60 2.10 1.73
15.08.26 Bolton – Preston 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.303.30 2.00 1.85
25.04.26 Sheffield United – Preston 2–3 (0–2) 1.574.504.33 1.67 2.20
22.04.26 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
11.04.26 Charlton – Preston 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.303.50 2.10 1.73
03.04.26 Leicester – Preston 2–2 (1–2) 1.813.604.10 1.95 1.90
14.03.26 Norwich – Preston 2–0 (2–0) 1.624.004.75 1.85 2.00
11.03.26 Coventry – Preston 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.756.00 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsPreston wins
8matches
1.75goals / match
38%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.26E1 Birmingham – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.573.504.75 1.93 1.93
21.10.25E1 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.052.45 2.20 1.67
01.04.24E1 Birmingham – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.08 1.73
19.09.23E1 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
21.01.23E1 Birmingham – Preston 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.103.20 2.63 1.50
03.09.22E1 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.663.605.75 2.20 1.66
15.01.22E1 Preston – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
25.09.21E1 Birmingham – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.204.00 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 10 7 2 1 16 7 +9 23
2 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 17 12 +5 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 20 10 +10 17
4 West Brom 10 5 2 3 12 10 +2 17
5 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23 12 +11 16
6 Stoke 9 5 1 3 15 13 +2 16
7 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 15 13 +2 15
8 QPR 9 3 5 1 11 8 +3 14
9 Wolves 9 4 2 3 16 14 +2 14
10 Birmingham 9 3 5 1 13 11 +2 14
11 Millwall 10 4 2 4 16 16 0 14
12 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 12 14 -2 14
13 Charlton 10 3 5 2 10 13 -3 14
14 Bolton 10 4 1 5 15 18 -3 13
15 Sheffield United 9 3 3 3 12 11 +1 12
16 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 11 15 -4 11
17 Lincoln 9 3 2 4 7 11 -4 11
18 Cardiff 10 2 4 4 16 15 +1 10
19 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17 19 -2 9
20 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 9 11 -2 8
21 Burnley 10 1 5 4 15 19 -4 8
22 Watford 10 2 2 6 8 19 -11 8
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8 15 -7 6
24 Preston 9 1 1 7 8 16 -8 4
  • Promotion to Premier League
  • Play-off semi-finals
  • Play-off quarter-finals
  • Relegation to League One
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 5 5 0 0 16 4 +12 15
2 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 12 7 +5 13
3 Swansea 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
4 West Ham 5 3 1 1 15 5 +10 10
5 Cardiff 5 2 3 0 12 6 +6 9
6 Stoke 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
7 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 9 7 +2 9
8 Charlton 5 2 3 0 4 2 +2 9
9 West Brom 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
10 Millwall 5 2 1 2 9 6 +3 7
11 Wolves 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
12 Sheffield United 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
13 Watford 5 2 1 2 6 9 -3 7
14 Norwich 4 2 0 2 10 8 +2 6
15 Bolton 5 2 0 3 6 7 -1 6
16 Bristol City 5 2 0 3 3 5 -2 6
17 QPR 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
18 Wrexham 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 5
19 Birmingham 4 0 4 0 7 7 0 4
20 Burnley 5 0 4 1 7 8 -1 4
21 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4
22 Preston 5 1 0 4 4 9 -5 3
23 Lincoln 4 0 2 2 3 6 -3 2
24 Derby 5 0 2 3 4 9 -5 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 5 4 0 1 9 5 +4 12
2 Birmingham 5 3 1 1 6 4 +2 10
3 QPR 5 2 3 0 7 4 +3 9
4 West Brom 5 3 0 2 6 6 0 9
5 Lincoln 5 3 0 2 4 5 -1 9
6 Bristol City 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
7 Wolves 5 2 1 2 8 8 0 7
8 Bolton 5 2 1 2 9 11 -2 7
9 Millwall 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
10 Stoke 5 2 1 2 7 10 -3 7
11 West Ham 4 1 3 0 8 7 +1 6
12 Blackburn 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
13 Wrexham 5 1 3 1 5 8 -3 6
14 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
15 Sheffield United 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
16 Charlton 5 1 2 2 6 11 -5 5
17 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 4
18 Derby 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
19 Burnley 5 1 1 3 8 11 -3 4
20 Norwich 5 1 0 4 7 11 -4 3
21 Southampton 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
22 Preston 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
23 Cardiff 5 0 1 4 4 9 -5 1
24 Watford 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1

Birmingham   Preston

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Blackburn 10 2 8 1.5 1.3 4 3 3 15 13 15
2 19 Norwich 9 1 8 1.9 2.1 3 0 6 17 19 9
3 5 West Ham 9 2 7 2.6 1.3 4 4 1 23 12 16
4 6 Stoke 9 2 7 1.7 1.4 5 1 3 15 13 16
5 11 Millwall 10 3 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 4 16 16 14
6 14 Bolton 10 3 7 1.5 1.8 4 1 5 15 18 13
7 21 Burnley 10 3 7 1.5 1.9 1 5 4 15 19 8
8 1 Swansea 10 4 6 1.6 0.7 7 2 1 16 7 23
9 2 Middlesbrough 9 3 6 1.9 1.3 5 3 1 17 12 18
10 3 Southampton 9 3 6 2.2 1.1 5 2 2 20 10 17
11 9 Wolves 9 3 6 1.8 1.6 4 2 3 16 14 14
12 10 Birmingham 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 3 5 1 13 11 14
13 15 Sheffield United 9 3 6 1.3 1.2 3 3 3 12 11 12
14 18 Cardiff 10 4 6 1.6 1.5 2 4 4 16 15 10
15 24 Preston 9 3 6 0.9 1.8 1 1 7 8 16 4
16 12 Bristol City 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 4 2 4 12 14 14
17 13 Charlton 10 5 5 1.0 1.3 3 5 2 10 13 14
18 16 Wrexham 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 2 5 3 11 15 11
19 22 Watford 10 5 5 0.8 1.9 2 2 6 8 19 8
20 23 Derby 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 1 3 5 8 15 6
21 4 West Brom 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 5 2 3 12 10 17
22 8 QPR 9 5 4 1.2 0.9 3 5 1 11 8 14
23 17 Lincoln 9 5 4 0.8 1.2 3 2 4 7 11 11
24 20 Portsmouth 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 4 9 11 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Blackburn 5 0 5 1.8 1.4 3 0 2 9 7 9
2 2 Middlesbrough 5 1 4 2.4 1.4 4 1 0 12 7 13
3 3 Southampton 5 1 4 3.2 0.8 5 0 0 16 4 15
4 5 West Ham 5 1 4 3.0 1.0 3 1 1 15 5 10
5 11 Millwall 5 1 4 1.8 1.2 2 1 2 9 6 7
6 19 Norwich 4 0 4 2.5 2.0 2 0 2 10 8 6
7 22 Watford 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 2 1 2 6 9 7
8 6 Stoke 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
9 9 Wolves 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
10 10 Birmingham 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 0 4 0 7 7 4
11 14 Bolton 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 2 0 3 6 7 6
12 15 Sheffield United 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
13 16 Wrexham 5 2 3 1.2 1.4 1 2 2 6 7 5
14 18 Cardiff 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 2 3 0 12 6 9
15 21 Burnley 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 0 4 1 7 8 4
16 23 Derby 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 2 3 4 9 2
17 24 Preston 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 0 4 4 9 3
18 1 Swansea 5 3 2 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
19 8 QPR 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
20 17 Lincoln 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 2 2 3 6 2
21 20 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4
22 4 West Brom 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
23 12 Bristol City 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 2 0 3 3 5 6
24 13 Charlton 5 4 1 0.8 0.4 2 3 0 4 2 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Swansea 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 4 0 1 9 5 12
2 6 Stoke 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
3 12 Bristol City 5 1 4 1.8 1.8 2 2 1 9 9 8
4 13 Charlton 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 1 2 2 6 11 5
5 14 Bolton 5 1 4 1.8 2.2 2 1 2 9 11 7
6 19 Norwich 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 0 4 7 11 3
7 21 Burnley 5 1 4 1.6 2.2 1 1 3 8 11 4
8 4 West Brom 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 0 2 6 6 9
9 5 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 1 3 0 8 7 6
10 7 Blackburn 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
11 9 Wolves 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 2 1 2 8 8 7
12 10 Birmingham 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 3 1 1 6 4 10
13 11 Millwall 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 2 1 2 7 10 7
14 15 Sheffield United 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
15 18 Cardiff 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 0 1 4 4 9 1
16 24 Preston 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
17 2 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
18 3 Southampton 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
19 8 QPR 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 3 0 7 4 9
20 16 Wrexham 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 3 1 5 8 6
21 17 Lincoln 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 3 0 2 4 5 9
22 20 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 2 4 4 4
23 23 Derby 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
24 22 Watford 5 4 1 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51