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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

Birmingham 4–0 Millwall

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.81 fair 2.50
Draw 3.40 fair 3.76
Away 4.20 fair 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.14

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Millwall
12 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 10.5% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.15scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:15
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.85points / match
1.23scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:15
Birmingham all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.15 Goals scored 1.23
1.15 Goals conceded 1.15
2.31 Total goals 2.38
13.77 Shots 12.54
3.23 Shots on target 3.62
8.62 Shots faced 12.62
5.62 Corners 4.92
3.77 Corners against 5.46
11.85 Fouls 14.15
2.23 Yellow cards 1.92
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

38% Wins 54%
23% Draws 23%
38% Losses 23%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
62% Over 1.5 goals 77%
38% Over 2.5 goals 46%
23% Over 3.5 goals 15%
8% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 38%
31% Clean sheets 38%
31% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 46%
31% Draws 38%
46% Losses 15%
77% Over 0.5 goals 77%
15% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Millwall all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
1.83points / match
1.83scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:6
Millwall before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:6
Birmingham at home away Millwall

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.83 Total goals 2.50
19.67 Shots 12.33
5.17 Shots on target 4.00
7.67 Shots faced 15.00
6.67 Corners 5.17
3.83 Corners against 6.00
12.33 Fouls 16.00
2.17 Yellow cards 2.17
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
33% Draws 50%
17% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 83%
50% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
50% Draws 50%
17% Losses 17%
67% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.052.45 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83
03.10.25 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.102.40 2.38 1.57
30.09.25 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (1–1) 1.454.007.50 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Coventry – Birmingham 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.98 1.88
20.09.25 Birmingham – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.38 1.57
13.09.25 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62
29.08.25 Leicester – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.252.85 2.20 1.67

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Oxford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.20 1.67
25.10.25 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.65 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Millwall – Stoke 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.202.95 2.30 1.62
18.10.25 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.572.952.82 2.38 1.57
04.10.25 Millwall – West Brom 3–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.50 2.38 1.57
01.10.25 Millwall – Coventry 0–4 (0–1) 3.003.302.30 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Swansea – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.103.50 2.38 1.57
22.09.25 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.013.203.80 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Charlton – Millwall 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.103.10 2.50 1.53
30.08.25 Millwall – Wrexham 0–2 (0–0) 1.963.403.75 2.10 1.73

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83
30.09.25 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (1–1) 1.454.007.50 1.93 1.93
20.09.25 Birmingham – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.38 1.57
23.08.25 Birmingham – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.93 1.93
08.08.25 Birmingham – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.302.90 2.10 1.73
27.04.25E2 Birmingham – Mansfield 4–0 (2–0) 1.504.105.75 1.73 2.08
18.04.25E2 Birmingham – Crawley Town 0–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.53 2.40
05.04.25E2 Birmingham – Barnsley 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.007.50 1.60 2.30
29.03.25E2 Birmingham – Shrewsbury 4–1 (1–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.73 2.08

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Oxford – Millwall 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.45 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 QPR – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.572.952.82 2.38 1.57
27.09.25 Swansea – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.103.50 2.38 1.57
13.09.25 Charlton – Millwall 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.103.10 2.50 1.53
23.08.25 Sheffield United – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.403.70 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 Norwich – Millwall 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.303.80 2.10 1.73
03.05.25 Burnley – Millwall 3–1 (1–1) 1.623.705.75 2.00 1.80
18.04.25 Blackburn – Millwall 4–1 (2–1) 2.353.103.20 2.63 1.50
08.04.25 Sheffield United – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.755.25 2.30 1.62
29.03.25 Sunderland – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 1.623.755.50 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsMillwall wins
6matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.03.24E1 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
02.09.23E1 Birmingham – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.25 2.38 1.57
18.04.23E1 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
02.11.22E1 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
23.04.22E1 Birmingham – Millwall 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.66
04.12.21E1 Millwall – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.203.60 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 13 8 4 1 36 12 +24 28
2 Middlesbrough 13 7 4 2 16 11 +5 25
3 Stoke 13 7 3 3 18 9 +9 24
4 Millwall 13 7 3 3 16 15 +1 24
5 Bristol City 13 6 4 3 21 16 +5 22
6 Preston 13 6 4 3 17 12 +5 22
7 Hull 13 6 4 3 22 20 +2 22
8 Charlton 13 5 5 3 15 11 +4 20
9 Ipswich 12 5 4 3 21 14 +7 19
10 Watford 13 5 3 5 17 16 +1 18
11 Birmingham 13 5 3 5 15 15 0 18
12 West Brom 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18
13 QPR 13 5 3 5 16 21 -5 18
14 Leicester 13 4 5 4 15 14 +1 17
15 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 19 19 0 17
16 Swansea 13 4 5 4 13 13 0 17
17 Derby 13 4 5 4 16 17 -1 17
18 Oxford 13 3 4 6 15 17 -2 13
19 Blackburn 12 4 1 7 12 17 -5 13
20 Portsmouth 13 3 4 6 10 17 -7 13
21 Southampton 13 2 6 5 13 19 -6 12
22 Sheffield United 13 3 0 10 10 23 -13 9
23 Norwich 13 2 2 9 12 20 -8 8
24 Sheffield Weds 13 1 4 8 10 25 -15 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Watford 7 5 1 1 13 7 +6 16
2 Coventry 6 4 2 0 16 3 +13 14
3 Ipswich 7 4 2 1 14 8 +6 14
4 Preston 7 4 2 1 10 6 +4 14
5 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 7 3 +4 14
6 Hull 7 4 2 1 12 10 +2 14
7 Stoke 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
8 Millwall 7 4 0 3 7 9 -2 12
9 Birmingham 6 3 2 1 11 6 +5 11
10 Charlton 6 3 2 1 8 4 +4 11
11 Bristol City 7 3 2 2 11 9 +2 11
12 Leicester 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9
13 West Brom 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
14 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 11 12 -1 9
15 Derby 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
16 Swansea 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
17 QPR 6 2 2 2 7 8 -1 8
18 Portsmouth 7 2 1 4 6 9 -3 7
19 Oxford 6 1 3 2 7 8 -1 6
20 Southampton 6 1 3 2 4 6 -2 6
21 Blackburn 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4
22 Sheffield United 6 1 0 5 4 11 -7 3
23 Sheffield Weds 7 0 1 6 2 17 -15 1
24 Norwich 6 0 0 6 4 11 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 7 4 2 1 20 9 +11 14
2 Millwall 6 3 3 0 9 6 +3 12
3 Bristol City 6 3 2 1 10 7 +3 11
4 Stoke 7 3 2 2 7 5 +2 11
5 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 9 8 +1 11
6 QPR 7 3 1 3 9 13 -4 10
7 Charlton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
8 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 6 6 0 9
9 West Brom 7 3 0 4 7 10 -3 9
10 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
11 Preston 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
12 Swansea 6 2 2 2 5 4 +1 8
13 Hull 6 2 2 2 10 10 0 8
14 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
15 Derby 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
16 Norwich 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8
17 Oxford 7 2 1 4 8 9 -1 7
18 Birmingham 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7
19 Sheffield Weds 6 1 3 2 8 8 0 6
20 Southampton 7 1 3 3 9 13 -4 6
21 Portsmouth 6 1 3 2 4 8 -4 6
22 Sheffield United 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6
23 Ipswich 5 1 2 2 7 6 +1 5
24 Watford 6 0 2 4 4 9 -5 2

Birmingham   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 13 4 9 2.8 0.9 8 4 1 36 12 28
2 7 Hull 13 4 9 1.7 1.5 6 4 3 22 20 22
3 10 Watford 13 5 8 1.3 1.2 5 3 5 17 16 18
4 24 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 0.8 1.9 1 4 8 10 25 7
5 5 Bristol City 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 4 3 21 16 22
6 9 Ipswich 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 5 4 3 21 14 19
7 13 QPR 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 5 3 5 16 21 18
8 18 Oxford 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 3 4 6 15 17 13
9 21 Southampton 13 6 7 1.0 1.5 2 6 5 13 19 12
10 2 Middlesbrough 13 7 6 1.2 0.8 7 4 2 16 11 25
11 4 Millwall 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 7 3 3 16 15 24
12 15 Wrexham 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 4 5 4 19 19 17
13 19 Blackburn 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 7 12 17 13
14 22 Sheffield United 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 3 0 10 10 23 9
15 23 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 2 9 12 20 8
16 6 Preston 13 8 5 1.3 0.9 6 4 3 17 12 22
17 11 Birmingham 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 15 15 18
18 12 West Brom 13 8 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18
19 14 Leicester 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 4 15 14 17
20 20 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 3 4 6 10 17 13
21 3 Stoke 13 9 4 1.4 0.7 7 3 3 18 9 24
22 8 Charlton 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 5 5 3 15 11 20
23 16 Swansea 13 9 4 1.0 1.0 4 5 4 13 13 17
24 17 Derby 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 4 5 4 16 17 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Watford 7 1 6 1.9 1.0 5 1 1 13 7 16
2 7 Hull 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 2 1 12 10 14
3 9 Ipswich 7 2 5 2.0 1.1 4 2 1 14 8 14
4 5 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 3 2 2 11 9 11
5 15 Wrexham 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 2 3 2 11 12 9
6 19 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4
7 24 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 0.3 2.4 0 1 6 2 17 1
8 1 Coventry 6 3 3 2.7 0.5 4 2 0 16 3 14
9 4 Millwall 7 4 3 1.0 1.3 4 0 3 7 9 12
10 6 Preston 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 1 10 6 14
11 11 Birmingham 6 3 3 1.8 1.0 3 2 1 11 6 11
12 13 QPR 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 2 2 7 8 8
13 16 Swansea 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
14 18 Oxford 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 3 2 7 8 6
15 20 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 2 1 4 6 9 7
16 22 Sheffield United 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 1 0 5 4 11 3
17 23 Norwich 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 0 0 6 4 11 0
18 2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 4 2 0 7 3 14
19 3 Stoke 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
20 8 Charlton 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 3 2 1 8 4 11
21 21 Southampton 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 1 3 2 4 6 6
22 12 West Brom 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
23 14 Leicester 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9
24 17 Derby 7 6 1 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 7 1 6 2.9 1.3 4 2 1 20 9 14
2 21 Southampton 7 2 5 1.3 1.9 1 3 3 9 13 6
3 2 Middlesbrough 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 3 2 2 9 8 11
4 7 Hull 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 2 2 10 10 8
5 12 West Brom 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 3 0 4 7 10 9
6 13 QPR 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 3 1 3 9 13 10
7 14 Leicester 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
8 18 Oxford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 1 4 8 9 7
9 24 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 3 2 8 8 6
10 4 Millwall 6 3 3 1.5 1.0 3 3 0 9 6 12
11 5 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.7 1.2 3 2 1 10 7 11
12 17 Derby 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
13 22 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6
14 23 Norwich 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8
15 3 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 2 2 7 5 11
16 6 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8
17 8 Charlton 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
18 9 Ipswich 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 1 2 2 7 6 5
19 10 Watford 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 0 2 4 4 9 2
20 11 Birmingham 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7
21 15 Wrexham 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
22 19 Blackburn 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 3 6 6 9
23 20 Portsmouth 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 3 2 4 8 6
24 16 Swansea 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 2 2 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51