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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Allison

Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 2.32
Draw 3.25 fair 3.59
Away 2.65 fair 3.44
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 1.70
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 2.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Birmingham
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 5
9 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (171 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 12.8% 0–1 10%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
1.21scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:12
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.36scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:15
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.36
0.86 Goals conceded 1.07
2.07 Total goals 2.43
12.64 Shots 13.64
3.93 Shots on target 3.43
10.50 Shots faced 8.29
5.29 Corners 5.36
4.79 Corners against 3.71
9.43 Fouls 11.21
2.00 Yellow cards 2.07
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

50% Wins 43%
36% Draws 21%
14% Losses 36%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 64%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
7% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 36%
36% Clean sheets 36%
21% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
36% Draws 29%
36% Losses 43%
64% Over 0.5 goals 79%
14% Over 1.5 goals 21%
0% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Birmingham all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
2.33points / match
1.17scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:3
Birmingham before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.57scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 4:9
Middlesbrough at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 0.57
0.50 Goals conceded 1.29
1.67 Total goals 1.86
11.83 Shots 8.71
4.33 Shots on target 1.57
11.17 Shots faced 9.43
4.67 Corners 4.71
5.83 Corners against 3.71
8.50 Fouls 11.43
1.17 Yellow cards 2.29
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

67% Wins 29%
33% Draws 14%
0% Losses 57%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 57%
33% Over 2.5 goals 29%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 29%
50% Clean sheets 14%
17% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 14%
50% Draws 14%
17% Losses 71%
50% Over 0.5 goals 86%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.403.20 1.98 1.88
01.11.25 Watford – Middlesbrough 3–0 (2–0) 2.653.402.45 2.05 1.80
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Portsmouth – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 2.03 1.83
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
19.09.25 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.25 Birmingham – Millwall 4–0 (2–0) 1.813.404.20 2.20 1.67
01.11.25 Birmingham – Portsmouth 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.604.50 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.052.45 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Birmingham – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 1.713.754.50 2.03 1.83
03.10.25 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.102.40 2.38 1.57
30.09.25 Birmingham – Sheffield Weds 2–2 (1–1) 1.454.007.50 1.93 1.93
27.09.25 Coventry – Birmingham 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.98 1.88
20.09.25 Birmingham – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.38 1.57
13.09.25 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
19.09.25 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.90 1.95
09.08.25 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.98 1.88
26.04.25 Middlesbrough – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.335.25 1.53 2.50
18.04.25 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.007.00 1.57 2.38
08.04.25 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
29.03.25 Middlesbrough – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.603.905.50 1.88 1.98

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Bristol City – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
21.10.25 Preston – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.823.052.45 2.20 1.67
03.10.25 Wrexham – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 3.103.102.40 2.38 1.57
27.09.25 Coventry – Birmingham 3–0 (1–0) 1.963.503.60 1.98 1.88
13.09.25 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62
29.08.25 Leicester – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.252.85 2.20 1.67
16.08.25 Blackburn – Birmingham 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.252.30 2.30 1.62
03.05.25E2 Cambridge – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 5.504.501.48 1.70 2.10
30.04.25E2 Blackpool – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.751.90 1.90 1.95
24.04.25E2 Stevenage – Birmingham 0–1 (0–0) 3.903.601.85 2.15 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsBirmingham wins
6matches
1.83goals / match
17%over 2.5
17%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.24E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
21.10.23E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
02.01.23E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–0) 3.103.402.30 2.10 1.73
05.10.22E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.755.75 2.02 1.83
15.03.22E1 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.05 2.10 1.72
30.10.21E1 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 9 4 1 39 13 +26 31
2 Stoke 14 8 3 3 21 9 +12 27
3 Preston 15 7 5 3 20 14 +6 26
4 Middlesbrough 14 7 5 2 17 12 +5 26
5 Hull 15 7 4 4 26 24 +2 25
6 Millwall 15 7 4 4 17 20 -3 25
7 Charlton 14 6 5 3 16 11 +5 23
8 Bristol City 15 6 5 4 22 18 +4 23
9 Derby 15 6 5 4 20 19 +1 23
10 Birmingham 14 6 3 5 19 15 +4 21
11 Ipswich 13 5 5 3 22 15 +7 20
12 Watford 15 5 5 5 19 18 +1 20
13 Leicester 14 4 6 4 16 15 +1 18
14 Wrexham 14 4 6 4 19 19 0 18
15 West Brom 14 5 3 6 12 15 -3 18
16 QPR 14 5 3 6 17 23 -6 18
17 Swansea 14 4 5 5 14 15 -1 17
18 Blackburn 14 5 1 8 14 19 -5 16
19 Southampton 14 3 6 5 15 20 -5 15
20 Portsmouth 15 3 5 7 12 20 -8 14
21 Oxford 14 3 4 7 15 20 -5 13
22 Norwich 14 2 3 9 13 21 -8 9
23 Sheffield United 14 3 0 11 11 26 -15 9
24 Sheffield Weds 14 1 5 8 11 26 -15 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 7 5 2 0 19 4 +15 17
2 Watford 8 5 2 1 14 8 +6 17
3 Preston 8 5 2 1 12 7 +5 17
4 Hull 8 5 2 1 15 12 +3 17
5 Ipswich 8 4 3 1 15 9 +6 15
6 Birmingham 7 4 2 1 15 6 +9 14
7 Charlton 7 4 2 1 9 4 +5 14
8 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 7 3 +4 14
9 Stoke 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
10 Millwall 8 4 1 3 8 10 -2 13
11 Derby 8 3 3 2 10 10 0 12
12 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
13 Leicester 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10
14 West Brom 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
15 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 11 12 -1 9
16 Swansea 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
17 QPR 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
18 Portsmouth 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
19 Southampton 6 1 3 2 4 6 -2 6
20 Oxford 7 1 3 3 7 11 -4 6
21 Blackburn 7 1 1 5 7 13 -6 4
22 Sheffield United 6 1 0 5 4 11 -7 3
23 Sheffield Weds 8 0 2 6 3 18 -15 2
24 Norwich 6 0 0 6 4 11 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 7 4 2 1 20 9 +11 14
2 Stoke 8 4 2 2 10 5 +5 14
3 Bristol City 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12
4 Middlesbrough 8 3 3 2 10 9 +1 12
5 Blackburn 7 4 0 3 7 6 +1 12
6 Millwall 7 3 3 1 9 10 -1 12
7 Derby 7 3 2 2 10 9 +1 11
8 QPR 7 3 1 3 9 13 -4 10
9 Preston 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
10 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9
11 Charlton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
12 Norwich 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
13 Southampton 8 2 3 3 11 14 -3 9
14 West Brom 8 3 0 5 7 11 -4 9
15 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
16 Swansea 7 2 2 3 6 6 0 8
17 Hull 7 2 2 3 11 12 -1 8
18 Oxford 7 2 1 4 8 9 -1 7
19 Birmingham 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7
20 Sheffield Weds 6 1 3 2 8 8 0 6
21 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 11 -5 6
22 Sheffield United 8 2 0 6 7 15 -8 6
23 Ipswich 5 1 2 2 7 6 +1 5
24 Watford 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3

Middlesbrough   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 15 4 11 1.7 1.6 7 4 4 26 24 25
2 1 Coventry 14 4 10 2.8 0.9 9 4 1 39 13 31
3 12 Watford 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 5 5 5 19 18 20
4 16 QPR 14 6 8 1.2 1.6 5 3 6 17 23 18
5 19 Southampton 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 3 6 5 15 20 15
6 21 Oxford 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 3 4 7 15 20 13
7 24 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 0.8 1.9 1 5 8 11 26 8
8 6 Millwall 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 7 4 4 17 20 25
9 8 Bristol City 15 8 7 1.5 1.2 6 5 4 22 18 23
10 11 Ipswich 13 6 7 1.7 1.2 5 5 3 22 15 20
11 18 Blackburn 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 5 1 8 14 19 16
12 23 Sheffield United 14 7 7 0.8 1.9 3 0 11 11 26 9
13 3 Preston 15 9 6 1.3 0.9 7 5 3 20 14 26
14 4 Middlesbrough 14 8 6 1.2 0.9 7 5 2 17 12 26
15 9 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 6 5 4 20 19 23
16 10 Birmingham 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 6 3 5 19 15 21
17 14 Wrexham 14 8 6 1.4 1.4 4 6 4 19 19 18
18 20 Portsmouth 15 9 6 0.8 1.3 3 5 7 12 20 14
19 22 Norwich 14 8 6 0.9 1.5 2 3 9 13 21 9
20 2 Stoke 14 9 5 1.5 0.6 8 3 3 21 9 27
21 13 Leicester 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 4 6 4 16 15 18
22 15 West Brom 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 12 15 18
23 17 Swansea 14 9 5 1.0 1.1 4 5 5 14 15 17
24 7 Charlton 14 10 4 1.1 0.8 6 5 3 16 11 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 5 2 1 15 12 17
2 12 Watford 8 2 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 1 14 8 17
3 11 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.9 1.1 4 3 1 15 9 15
4 18 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.0 1.9 1 1 5 7 13 4
5 1 Coventry 7 3 4 2.7 0.6 5 2 0 19 4 17
6 3 Preston 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 5 2 1 12 7 17
7 8 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
8 10 Birmingham 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 4 2 1 15 6 14
9 14 Wrexham 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 2 3 2 11 12 9
10 16 QPR 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
11 21 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 3 3 7 11 6
12 24 Sheffield Weds 8 4 4 0.4 2.2 0 2 6 3 18 2
13 6 Millwall 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 4 1 3 8 10 13
14 17 Swansea 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
15 20 Portsmouth 8 5 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
16 22 Norwich 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 0 0 6 4 11 0
17 23 Sheffield United 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 1 0 5 4 11 3
18 2 Stoke 6 4 2 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
19 4 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 4 2 0 7 3 14
20 7 Charlton 7 5 2 1.3 0.6 4 2 1 9 4 14
21 9 Derby 8 6 2 1.2 1.2 3 3 2 10 10 12
22 19 Southampton 6 4 2 0.7 1.0 1 3 2 4 6 6
23 13 Leicester 7 6 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10
24 15 West Brom 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 7 1 6 2.9 1.3 4 2 1 20 9 14
2 19 Southampton 8 2 6 1.4 1.8 2 3 3 11 14 9
3 5 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.7 2 2 3 11 12 8
4 4 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 3 3 2 10 9 12
5 6 Millwall 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 3 3 1 9 10 12
6 9 Derby 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 2 2 10 9 11
7 13 Leicester 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
8 15 West Brom 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 3 0 5 7 11 9
9 16 QPR 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 3 1 3 9 13 10
10 21 Oxford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 1 4 8 9 7
11 23 Sheffield United 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 2 0 6 7 15 6
12 24 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 3 2 8 8 6
13 2 Stoke 8 5 3 1.2 0.6 4 2 2 10 5 14
14 8 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12
15 20 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 1 3 3 6 11 6
16 22 Norwich 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
17 3 Preston 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
18 7 Charlton 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
19 10 Birmingham 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7
20 11 Ipswich 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 1 2 2 7 6 5
21 12 Watford 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3
22 14 Wrexham 7 5 2 1.1 1.0 2 3 2 8 7 9
23 17 Swansea 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 2 2 3 6 6 8
24 18 Blackburn 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 4 0 3 7 6 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51