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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Southampton 3–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.60 fair 2.43
Draw 4.00 fair 4.03
Away 5.50 fair 2.94
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Southampton Birmingham
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 4
8 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (155 league matches this season so far).
Result Southampton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
SouthamptonDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 8.8% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Southampton before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.62scored / match
1.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:24
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.15scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:14
Southampton all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.15
1.85 Goals conceded 1.08
3.46 Total goals 2.23
16.31 Shots 12.08
5.92 Shots on target 3.85
12.77 Shots faced 13.00
7.69 Corners 4.23
4.85 Corners against 6.46
10.23 Fouls 13.77
2.85 Yellow cards 2.31
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.54
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.23

How often Full Time

46% Wins 38%
23% Draws 23%
31% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
85% Over 1.5 goals 77%
77% Over 2.5 goals 31%
38% Over 3.5 goals 15%
23% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
77% Both teams scored 46%
8% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
31% Draws 46%
31% Losses 15%
92% Over 0.5 goals 54%
54% Over 1.5 goals 15%
31% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton all matches
Birmingham all matches
Southampton before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.83scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:12
Birmingham before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.67scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:8
Southampton at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 0.67
2.00 Goals conceded 1.33
3.83 Total goals 2.00
17.00 Shots 11.33
6.67 Shots on target 3.83
11.83 Shots faced 14.17
8.67 Corners 2.67
3.83 Corners against 7.00
10.33 Fouls 13.17
3.50 Yellow cards 2.67
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
1.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
33% Draws 17%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
67% Over 2.5 goals 17%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
17% Draws 67%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 33%
67% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Southampton at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Southampton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.23 Preston – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Hull – Southampton 1–2 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
23.09.23 Middlesbrough – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.73 2.10
19.09.23 Southampton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.67 2.20
15.09.23 Southampton – Leicester 1–4 (1–3) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Sunderland – Southampton 5–0 (3–0) 2.803.602.40 1.80 2.00
26.08.23 Southampton – QPR 2–1 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.30

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.23 Birmingham – Hull 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.253.20 2.05 1.80
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
06.10.23 Birmingham – West Brom 3–1 (2–1) 2.753.202.63 2.25 1.62
03.10.23 Birmingham – Huddersfield 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
22.09.23 Birmingham – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.67
19.09.23 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Birmingham – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.203.25 2.38 1.57
26.08.23 Birmingham – Plymouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.33 2.00 1.80

Southampton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23 Southampton – Rotherham 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
19.09.23 Southampton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.10 1.67 2.20
15.09.23 Southampton – Leicester 1–4 (1–3) 2.453.402.80 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 Southampton – QPR 2–1 (1–1) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.30
12.08.23 Southampton – Norwich 4–4 (2–3) 1.833.754.00 1.88 1.98
28.05.23E0 Southampton – Liverpool 4–4 (2–2) 6.504.751.44 1.40 3.00
13.05.23E0 Southampton – Fulham 0–2 (0–0) 2.753.302.50 1.91 1.99
27.04.23E0 Southampton – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.03 1.87
15.04.23E0 Southampton – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–0) 2.803.102.70 2.30 1.62

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 1.90 1.95
30.09.23 Norwich – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 1.93 1.93
19.09.23 Preston – Birmingham 2–1 (0–0) 2.383.103.30 2.30 1.62
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
05.08.23 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93
29.04.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.93 1.93
18.04.23 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
15.04.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
07.04.23 Reading – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.002.63 2.63 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 13 12 0 1 27 7 +20 36 WWWWWW
2 Ipswich 12 10 1 1 26 13 +13 31 WWDWWW
3 Leeds 13 6 4 3 20 14 +6 22 WLWWWL
4 Preston 13 6 4 3 18 20 -2 22 DLLLDD
5 Southampton 13 6 3 4 21 24 -3 21 LWWDWD
6 West Brom 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20 DWWLDW
7 Cardiff 13 6 2 5 21 16 +5 20 WWLDLW
8 Hull 13 5 5 3 19 16 +3 20 WDLDLW
9 Middlesbrough 13 6 2 5 19 18 +1 20 WWWWWW
10 Sunderland 13 6 1 6 21 15 +6 19 LWWLLL
11 Blackburn 13 6 1 6 20 22 -2 19 LLLWWW
12 Birmingham 13 5 3 5 15 14 +1 18 DLWWLL
13 Bristol City 13 5 3 5 15 14 +1 18 LLWLWL
14 Norwich 13 5 2 6 24 24 0 17 LWLDLL
15 Watford 13 4 4 5 16 16 0 16 LLLDWW
16 Millwall 13 4 4 5 13 16 -3 16 DLWDDL
17 Stoke 13 5 1 7 14 18 -4 16 LWLLWW
18 Plymouth 13 4 3 6 21 19 +2 15 WDLLDW
19 Swansea 13 4 3 6 19 18 +1 15 WWWWLL
20 Coventry 13 3 6 4 17 16 +1 15 DWWDLL
21 Huddersfield 13 3 5 5 13 23 -10 14 DDLDWL
22 Rotherham 12 2 3 7 12 22 -10 9 LDLLDW
23 QPR 13 2 2 9 9 24 -15 8 DLLLLL
24 Sheffield Weds 13 0 3 10 5 22 -17 3 LLLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 7 6 0 1 11 3 +8 18 WLWWWW
2 Ipswich 6 5 0 1 19 11 +8 15 WLWWWW
3 Birmingham 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14 WDDWWL
4 West Brom 7 4 2 1 11 6 +5 14 WLDWDW
5 Preston 7 4 2 1 11 11 0 14 WWWLDD
6 Cardiff 6 4 1 1 11 6 +5 13 LWWWWD
7 Plymouth 7 4 0 3 17 10 +7 12 LWWLLW
8 Leeds 6 3 3 0 9 4 +5 12 DDDWWW
9 Norwich 7 4 0 3 11 9 +2 12 WWLWLL
10 Stoke 7 4 0 3 9 8 +1 12 WLLLWW
11 Watford 7 3 2 2 11 6 +5 11 DLWDLW
12 Coventry 6 2 4 0 9 5 +4 10 WDDDWD
13 Middlesbrough 6 3 1 2 6 5 +1 10 LDLWWW
14 Sunderland 6 3 0 3 10 8 +2 9 LWWLWL
15 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 8 11 -3 9 WLWLLW
16 Rotherham 6 2 2 2 9 8 +1 8 DLWDLW
17 Swansea 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8 DLWWLL
18 Bristol City 7 2 2 3 8 8 0 8 LDWLWL
19 Southampton 6 2 2 2 11 12 -1 8 DWLLWD
20 Huddersfield 7 2 2 3 7 13 -6 8 LWDDWL
21 Hull 6 1 4 1 8 7 +1 7 WDDDDL
22 Millwall 7 2 1 4 7 11 -4 7 WLWLDL
23 Sheffield Weds 6 0 2 4 2 8 -6 2 LLLDLD
24 QPR 5 0 1 4 3 12 -9 1 LLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 6 6 0 0 16 4 +12 18 WWWWWW
2 Ipswich 6 5 1 0 7 2 +5 16 WWWWDW
3 Hull 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13 WWWLDW
4 Southampton 7 4 1 2 10 12 -2 13 WLLWWD
5 Sunderland 7 3 1 3 11 7 +4 10 DWWWLL
6 Blackburn 7 3 1 3 12 11 +1 10 WLLLWW
7 Leeds 7 3 1 3 11 10 +1 10 WWDLWL
8 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10 WDWLWL
9 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 13 13 0 10 LLDWWW
10 Millwall 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9 WLDDWD
11 Preston 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 8 DWWDLL
12 Swansea 6 2 1 3 10 9 +1 7 LLLDWW
13 Cardiff 7 2 1 4 10 10 0 7 LLWLLW
14 QPR 8 2 1 5 6 12 -6 7 LWDLLL
15 West Brom 6 1 3 2 9 8 +1 6 LDDDWL
16 Huddersfield 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6 LDWDLD
17 Norwich 6 1 2 3 13 15 -2 5 DWLLLD
18 Coventry 7 1 2 4 8 11 -3 5 DDLWLL
19 Watford 6 1 2 3 5 10 -5 5 LDLLDW
20 Birmingham 6 1 1 4 4 8 -4 4 DWLLLL
21 Stoke 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4 LLLDWL
22 Plymouth 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3 DLLLDD
23 Rotherham 6 0 1 5 3 14 -11 1 LLLLLD
24 Sheffield Weds 7 0 1 6 3 14 -11 1 LDLLLL

Southampton   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Southampton 13 3 10 1.6 1.8 6 3 4 21 24 21 OOUUOO
2 11 Blackburn 13 3 10 1.5 1.7 6 1 6 20 22 19 OOUOUO
3 10 Sunderland 13 4 9 1.6 1.2 6 1 6 21 15 19 UOUOOU
4 14 Norwich 13 4 9 1.8 1.8 5 2 6 24 24 17 OUOUOO
5 18 Plymouth 13 4 9 1.6 1.5 4 3 6 21 19 15 OUUOUO
6 4 Preston 13 5 8 1.4 1.5 6 4 3 18 20 22 UOOOUO
7 19 Swansea 13 5 8 1.5 1.4 4 3 6 19 18 15 OOOOOU
8 1 Leicester 13 6 7 2.1 0.5 12 0 1 27 7 36 UOOUOU
9 3 Leeds 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 6 4 3 20 14 22 OOUOOU
10 6 West Brom 13 6 7 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20 UOUOUU
11 7 Cardiff 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 2 5 21 16 20 UUUUUO
12 8 Hull 13 6 7 1.5 1.2 5 5 3 19 16 20 OUOOOU
13 9 Middlesbrough 13 6 7 1.5 1.4 6 2 5 19 18 20 OOUOUO
14 21 Huddersfield 13 6 7 1.0 1.8 3 5 5 13 23 14 UUOUOO
15 22 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 2 3 7 12 22 9 OUUOUU
16 23 QPR 13 6 7 0.7 1.8 2 2 9 9 24 8 UOUOOU
17 2 Ipswich 12 6 6 2.2 1.1 10 1 1 26 13 31 UOUOOU
18 16 Millwall 13 7 6 1.0 1.2 4 4 5 13 16 16 UOUOUO
19 24 Sheffield Weds 13 7 6 0.4 1.7 0 3 10 5 22 3 OOUUUO
20 13 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 5 3 5 15 14 18 UOOOUU
21 15 Watford 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 4 4 5 16 16 16 OOUUUU
22 17 Stoke 13 8 5 1.1 1.4 5 1 7 14 18 16 OOUUOU
23 20 Coventry 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 3 6 4 17 16 15 UOUUUU
24 12 Birmingham 13 9 4 1.2 1.1 5 3 5 15 14 18 UUOOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Preston 7 1 6 1.6 1.6 4 2 1 11 11 14 OOOOUO
2 18 Plymouth 7 1 6 2.4 1.4 4 0 3 17 10 12 OOOUOO
3 2 Ipswich 6 1 5 3.2 1.8 5 0 1 19 11 15 UOOOOO
4 11 Blackburn 6 1 5 1.3 1.8 3 0 3 8 11 9 OOOOOU
5 16 Millwall 7 2 5 1.0 1.6 2 1 4 7 11 7 UOOOOO
6 5 Southampton 6 2 4 1.8 2.0 2 2 2 11 12 8 OOOUOU
7 10 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 0 3 10 8 9 OOOUUO
8 14 Norwich 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 4 0 3 11 9 12 OUUUOO
9 19 Swansea 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8 UOOOOU
10 21 Huddersfield 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 2 2 3 7 13 8 OUOUOO
11 22 Rotherham 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 2 2 9 8 8 OOOUOU
12 1 Leicester 7 4 3 1.6 0.4 6 0 1 11 3 18 OUUOUU
13 3 Leeds 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 3 3 0 9 4 12 OUUOUO
14 6 West Brom 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14 OOUUUU
15 7 Cardiff 6 3 3 1.8 1.0 4 1 1 11 6 13 OOUOUU
16 12 Birmingham 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 4 2 1 11 6 14 OUUOOU
17 15 Watford 7 4 3 1.6 0.9 3 2 2 11 6 11 UUUOOU
18 17 Stoke 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 4 0 3 9 8 12 UUOUOU
19 23 QPR 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 0 1 4 3 12 1 UOUOO
20 8 Hull 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 1 4 1 8 7 7 OUUUUO
21 13 Bristol City 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 2 2 3 8 8 8 UUOOUU
22 20 Coventry 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 2 4 0 9 5 10 OUOUUU
23 24 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 0.3 1.3 0 2 4 2 8 2 OUUUOU
24 9 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 3 1 2 6 5 10 UUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Southampton 7 1 6 1.4 1.7 4 1 2 10 12 13 OOOUOO
2 9 Middlesbrough 7 1 6 1.9 1.9 3 1 3 13 13 10 OOUOOO
3 8 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13 OUOOOU
4 10 Sunderland 7 2 5 1.6 1.0 3 1 3 11 7 10 UOOOOU
5 11 Blackburn 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 1 3 12 11 10 UOOUOO
6 14 Norwich 6 1 5 2.2 2.5 1 2 3 13 15 5 OOOOOU
7 1 Leicester 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 6 0 0 16 4 18 UOOUOO
8 3 Leeds 7 3 4 1.6 1.4 3 1 3 11 10 10 OOUOOU
9 6 West Brom 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 1 3 2 9 8 6 OUUOOO
10 7 Cardiff 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 1 4 10 10 7 OOUUUO
11 19 Swansea 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 2 1 3 10 9 7 OOUUOO
12 23 QPR 8 4 4 0.8 1.5 2 1 5 6 12 7 OUUUOU
13 24 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 0.4 2.0 0 1 6 3 14 1 OUOUUO
14 13 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10 UUOUOO
15 18 Plymouth 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3 UOOOUU
16 20 Coventry 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 1 2 4 8 11 5 UUOOUU
17 21 Huddersfield 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6 OUOUOU
18 22 Rotherham 6 3 3 0.5 2.3 0 1 5 3 14 1 OOUOUU
19 4 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 1.5 2 2 2 7 9 8 UUUUOO
20 15 Watford 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 2 3 5 10 5 UOOUUU
21 17 Stoke 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4 UUUOOU
22 2 Ipswich 6 5 1 1.2 0.3 5 1 0 7 2 16 OUUUUU
23 12 Birmingham 6 5 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 4 4 8 4 UUUOUU
24 16 Millwall 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9 UOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47