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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Birmingham 1–0 Swansea

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.81 fair 2.60
Draw 3.30 fair 3.64
Away 4.50 fair 2.94
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.77
Over 2.5 2.38 fair 2.30

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Swansea
23 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 2
13 Fouls 11
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (61 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 11.2% 0–1 10.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
0.80scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:5
Swansea before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:4
Birmingham all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.20
1.00 Goals conceded 0.80
1.80 Total goals 2.00
10.60 Shots 10.60
1.80 Shots on target 3.40
6.20 Shots faced 9.40
4.00 Corners 5.00
2.80 Corners against 4.20
13.40 Fouls 11.40
1.60 Yellow cards 2.40
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
20% Draws 40%
40% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%
0% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 40%
20% Clean sheets 40%
40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
40% Draws 80%
40% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 40%
0% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Swansea all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Swansea before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Birmingham at home away Swansea

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded 0.50
1.50 Total goals 1.50
13.50 Shots 10.00
2.00 Shots on target 4.50
6.50 Shots faced 7.50
2.50 Corners 4.50
2.50 Corners against 4.50
13.50 Fouls 12.50
1.00 Yellow cards 3.50
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 0%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
50% Over 0.5 goals 0%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62
29.08.25 Leicester – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.252.85 2.20 1.67
23.08.25 Birmingham – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.93 1.93
16.08.25 Blackburn – Birmingham 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.252.30 2.30 1.62
08.08.25 Birmingham – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.302.90 2.10 1.73
03.05.25E2 Cambridge – Birmingham 1–2 (1–1) 5.504.501.48 1.70 2.10
30.04.25E2 Blackpool – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 3.603.751.90 1.90 1.95
27.04.25E2 Birmingham – Mansfield 4–0 (2–0) 1.504.105.75 1.73 2.08
24.04.25E2 Stevenage – Birmingham 0–1 (0–0) 3.903.601.85 2.15 1.67
21.04.25E2 Burton – Birmingham 1–2 (0–2) 4.004.001.75 1.93 1.93

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (1–1) 1.793.504.50 2.00 1.80
30.08.25 Sheffield Weds – Swansea 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.302.20 2.20 1.67
23.08.25 Swansea – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 2.003.303.70 2.20 1.67
16.08.25 Swansea – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.202.63 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.98 1.88
03.05.25 Swansea – Oxford 3–3 (1–1) 1.624.004.75 1.95 1.90
26.04.25 Millwall – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57
21.04.25 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.502.75 2.30 1.62
18.04.25 Swansea – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.303.00 2.20 1.67
12.04.25 Sunderland – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.604.75 2.10 1.73

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 Birmingham – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.93 1.93
08.08.25 Birmingham – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.302.90 2.10 1.73
27.04.25E2 Birmingham – Mansfield 4–0 (2–0) 1.504.105.75 1.73 2.08
18.04.25E2 Birmingham – Crawley Town 0–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.53 2.40
05.04.25E2 Birmingham – Barnsley 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.007.50 1.60 2.30
29.03.25E2 Birmingham – Shrewsbury 4–1 (1–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.73 2.08
11.03.25E2 Birmingham – Stevenage 2–1 (1–0) 1.533.806.25 2.20 1.65
08.03.25E2 Birmingham – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.503.806.50 2.08 1.73
01.03.25E2 Birmingham – Wycombe 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.605.25 2.07 1.69
25.02.25E2 Birmingham – Leyton Orient 2–0 (0–0) 1.603.705.50 2.10 1.67

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Sheffield Weds – Swansea 0–2 (0–0) 3.253.302.20 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.98 1.88
26.04.25 Millwall – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57
21.04.25 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.502.75 2.30 1.62
12.04.25 Sunderland – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.604.75 2.10 1.73
29.03.25 Leeds – Swansea 2–2 (1–0) 1.226.0012.00 1.73 2.10
12.03.25 Watford – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.68
04.03.25 Preston – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.10 2.30 1.62
15.02.25 Stoke – Swansea 3–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.88 2.10 1.73
09.02.25 Bristol City – Swansea 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.504.10 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsSwansea wins
6matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24E1 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00
05.08.23E1 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93
04.02.23E1 Swansea – Birmingham 3–4 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
08.11.22E1 Birmingham – Swansea 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.252.70 2.20 1.66
19.03.22E1 Swansea – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 2.02 1.83
23.10.21E1 Birmingham – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.50 1.53

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
2 Stoke 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
3 Bristol City 5 3 2 0 12 4 +8 11
4 Leicester 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
5 West Brom 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
6 Coventry 5 2 3 0 15 7 +8 9
7 Swansea 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
8 Preston 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
9 Portsmouth 5 2 2 1 4 3 +1 8
10 Norwich 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
11 Birmingham 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
12 QPR 5 2 1 2 9 12 -3 7
13 Millwall 5 2 1 2 4 7 -3 7
14 Ipswich 5 1 3 1 9 5 +4 6
15 Southampton 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
16 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 5 5 0 6
17 Watford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
18 Charlton 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
19 Derby 5 1 2 2 8 11 -3 5
20 Hull 5 1 2 2 7 11 -4 5
21 Wrexham 5 1 1 3 8 10 -2 4
22 Oxford 5 0 2 3 6 9 -3 2
23 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 3 12 -9 1
24 Sheffield United 5 0 0 5 1 12 -11 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0 4 1 +3 9
2 Preston 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
3 Leicester 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
4 Stoke 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
5 Coventry 3 1 2 0 8 2 +6 5
6 Ipswich 3 1 2 0 8 3 +5 5
7 Swansea 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
8 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
9 QPR 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
10 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
11 Watford 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
12 Southampton 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
13 Charlton 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
14 West Brom 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
15 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
16 Hull 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
17 Oxford 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
18 Derby 2 0 1 1 4 6 -2 1
19 Wrexham 3 0 1 2 5 8 -3 1
20 Norwich 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
21 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
22 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
23 Millwall 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
24 Sheffield Weds 3 0 0 3 0 8 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
2 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
3 Norwich 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
4 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
5 Stoke 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
6 Blackburn 3 2 0 1 4 1 +3 6
7 West Brom 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
8 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0 2 1 +1 5
9 Coventry 2 1 1 0 7 5 +2 4
10 Leicester 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
11 Derby 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
12 Wrexham 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
13 Swansea 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
14 Birmingham 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
15 QPR 3 1 0 2 5 10 -5 3
16 Southampton 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
17 Hull 3 0 2 1 4 6 -2 2
18 Sheffield Weds 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
19 Ipswich 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
20 Preston 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
21 Watford 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
22 Charlton 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
23 Oxford 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
24 Sheffield United 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0

Birmingham   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
2 12 QPR 5 1 4 1.8 2.4 2 1 2 9 12 7
3 20 Hull 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 2 2 7 11 5
4 21 Wrexham 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 1 1 3 8 10 4
5 23 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 0.6 2.4 0 1 4 3 12 1
6 2 Stoke 5 2 3 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
7 3 Bristol City 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 3 2 0 12 4 11
8 4 Leicester 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
9 6 Coventry 5 2 3 3.0 1.4 2 3 0 15 7 9
10 10 Norwich 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
11 15 Southampton 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
12 19 Derby 5 2 3 1.6 2.2 1 2 2 8 11 5
13 22 Oxford 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 0 2 3 6 9 2
14 5 West Brom 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
15 8 Preston 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
16 13 Millwall 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 1 2 4 7 7
17 14 Ipswich 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 1 9 5 6
18 16 Blackburn 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 3 5 5 6
19 17 Watford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 24 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.2 2.4 0 0 5 1 12 0
21 7 Swansea 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
22 9 Portsmouth 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 2 1 4 3 8
23 11 Birmingham 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
24 18 Charlton 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Wrexham 3 0 3 1.7 2.7 0 1 2 5 8 1
2 8 Preston 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
3 10 Norwich 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
4 14 Ipswich 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 1 2 0 8 3 5
5 15 Southampton 3 1 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
6 17 Watford 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
7 20 Hull 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
8 22 Oxford 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
9 23 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 0.0 2.7 0 0 3 0 8 0
10 1 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 3 0 0 4 1 9
11 2 Stoke 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
12 3 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
13 4 Leicester 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
14 6 Coventry 3 2 1 2.7 0.7 1 2 0 8 2 5
15 7 Swansea 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
16 9 Portsmouth 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
17 12 QPR 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
18 13 Millwall 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
19 16 Blackburn 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
20 19 Derby 2 1 1 2.0 3.0 0 1 1 4 6 1
21 24 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
22 5 West Brom 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
23 11 Birmingham 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
24 18 Charlton 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
2 12 QPR 3 0 3 1.7 3.3 1 0 2 5 10 3
3 2 Stoke 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
4 3 Bristol City 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7
5 4 Leicester 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
6 5 West Brom 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
7 6 Coventry 2 0 2 3.5 2.5 1 1 0 7 5 4
8 19 Derby 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
9 20 Hull 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 2 1 4 6 2
10 23 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
11 10 Norwich 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
12 11 Birmingham 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
13 13 Millwall 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
14 15 Southampton 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
15 16 Blackburn 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 0 1 4 1 6
16 18 Charlton 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
17 21 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
18 22 Oxford 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
19 24 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0
20 7 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
21 8 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
22 9 Portsmouth 3 3 0 0.7 0.3 1 2 0 2 1 5
23 14 Ipswich 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
24 17 Watford 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51