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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: L Smith

Derby 0–1 Preston

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.30 fair 2.55
Draw 3.10 fair 3.94
Away ✓ 3.10 fair 2.82
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 2.75 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Preston
7 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 4
10 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (64 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawPreston
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 8.9% 2–1 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.60scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:11
Preston before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:5
Derby all matches all matches Preston

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.20
2.20 Goals conceded 1.00
3.80 Total goals 2.20
7.00 Shots 9.40
2.20 Shots on target 2.40
15.80 Shots faced 13.20
3.20 Corners 4.00
6.80 Corners against 5.00
13.40 Fouls 10.80
3.20 Yellow cards 2.80
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

20% Wins 40%
40% Draws 40%
40% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
60% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 60%
60% Draws 0%
40% Losses 40%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 0%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Preston all matches
Derby before this match, at home
0.50points / match
2.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:6
Preston before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:2
Derby at home away Preston

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.50
3.00 Goals conceded 1.00
5.00 Total goals 1.50
9.00 Shots 12.00
3.00 Shots on target 2.50
15.50 Shots faced 11.50
5.00 Corners 4.00
5.00 Corners against 5.50
14.50 Fouls 8.00
2.50 Yellow cards 2.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
50% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Preston away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 West Brom – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.713.504.75 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
26.04.25 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.003.25 2.63 1.50
21.04.25 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
18.04.25 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
12.04.25 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.63 1.50

Preston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Portsmouth – Preston 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Preston – Ipswich 1–0 (1–0) 3.703.402.05 2.10 1.73
16.08.25 Preston – Leicester 2–1 (1–0) 3.603.302.05 2.10 1.73
09.08.25 QPR – Preston 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Bristol City – Preston 2–2 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88
26.04.25 Preston – Plymouth 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 2.03 1.83
21.04.25 Hull – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.254.00 2.20 1.67
18.04.25 Preston – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.103.40 2.50 1.53
12.04.25 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
18.04.25 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
08.04.25 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
02.04.25 Derby – Preston 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.75 1.44
11.03.25 Derby – Coventry 2–0 (1–0) 3.403.202.20 2.32 1.53
08.03.25 Derby – Blackburn 2–1 (2–1) 2.703.002.75 2.38 1.57
22.02.25 Derby – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.502.903.25 3.00 1.40
11.02.25 Derby – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.75 1.44

Preston away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Portsmouth – Preston 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.10 1.73
09.08.25 QPR – Preston 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Bristol City – Preston 2–2 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88
21.04.25 Hull – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 1.953.254.00 2.20 1.67
12.04.25 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20
02.04.25 Derby – Preston 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.75 1.44
11.03.25 Sunderland – Preston 1–1 (0–0) 1.653.705.50 2.32 1.53
08.03.25 Sheffield United – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.105.00 2.10 1.73
22.02.25 Coventry – Preston 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.604.75 2.10 1.73
11.02.25 Norwich – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 1.753.504.75 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsPreston wins
4matches
1.25goals / match
0%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.25E1 Derby – Preston 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.60 2.75 1.44
23.11.24E1 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
02.04.22E1 Derby – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.87 2.50 1.53
16.10.21E1 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
2 Stoke 6 4 0 2 9 4 +5 12
3 Bristol City 5 3 2 0 12 4 +8 11
4 Leicester 6 3 2 1 8 5 +3 11
5 Coventry 6 2 4 0 15 7 +8 10
6 West Brom 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
7 Birmingham 6 3 1 2 5 5 0 10
8 QPR 6 3 1 2 10 12 -2 10
9 Preston 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
10 Swansea 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8
11 Portsmouth 5 2 2 1 4 3 +1 8
12 Norwich 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
13 Millwall 5 2 1 2 4 7 -3 7
14 Ipswich 5 1 3 1 9 5 +4 6
15 Southampton 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
16 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 5 5 0 6
17 Watford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
18 Charlton 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
19 Derby 5 1 2 2 8 11 -3 5
20 Hull 5 1 2 2 7 11 -4 5
21 Wrexham 5 1 1 3 8 10 -2 4
22 Oxford 5 0 2 3 6 9 -3 2
23 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 3 12 -9 1
24 Sheffield United 5 0 0 5 1 12 -11 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0 4 1 +3 9
2 QPR 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
3 Leicester 3 2 1 0 4 1 +3 7
4 Preston 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
5 Birmingham 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7
6 Stoke 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
7 Coventry 3 1 2 0 8 2 +6 5
8 Ipswich 3 1 2 0 8 3 +5 5
9 Swansea 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
10 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
11 Watford 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
12 Southampton 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
13 Charlton 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
14 West Brom 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
15 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
16 Hull 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
17 Oxford 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
18 Derby 2 0 1 1 4 6 -2 1
19 Wrexham 3 0 1 2 5 8 -3 1
20 Norwich 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
21 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
22 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
23 Millwall 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
24 Sheffield Weds 3 0 0 3 0 8 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
2 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
3 Norwich 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
4 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
5 Stoke 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
6 Blackburn 3 2 0 1 4 1 +3 6
7 West Brom 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
8 Coventry 3 1 2 0 7 5 +2 5
9 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0 2 1 +1 5
10 Leicester 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
11 Derby 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
12 Wrexham 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
13 Swansea 3 1 0 2 2 2 0 3
14 Birmingham 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
15 QPR 3 1 0 2 5 10 -5 3
16 Southampton 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
17 Hull 3 0 2 1 4 6 -2 2
18 Sheffield Weds 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
19 Ipswich 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
20 Preston 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
21 Watford 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
22 Charlton 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
23 Oxford 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
24 Sheffield United 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0

Derby   Preston

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
2 8 QPR 6 2 4 1.7 2.0 3 1 2 10 12 10
3 20 Hull 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 2 2 7 11 5
4 21 Wrexham 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 1 1 3 8 10 4
5 23 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 0.6 2.4 0 1 4 3 12 1
6 2 Stoke 6 3 3 1.5 0.7 4 0 2 9 4 12
7 3 Bristol City 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 3 2 0 12 4 11
8 4 Leicester 6 3 3 1.3 0.8 3 2 1 8 5 11
9 5 Coventry 6 3 3 2.5 1.2 2 4 0 15 7 10
10 12 Norwich 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
11 15 Southampton 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
12 19 Derby 5 2 3 1.6 2.2 1 2 2 8 11 5
13 22 Oxford 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 0 2 3 6 9 2
14 6 West Brom 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
15 9 Preston 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
16 13 Millwall 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 1 2 4 7 7
17 14 Ipswich 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 1 9 5 6
18 16 Blackburn 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 3 5 5 6
19 17 Watford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 24 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.2 2.4 0 0 5 1 12 0
21 7 Birmingham 6 5 1 0.8 0.8 3 1 2 5 5 10
22 10 Swansea 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8
23 11 Portsmouth 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 2 1 4 3 8
24 18 Charlton 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Wrexham 3 0 3 1.7 2.7 0 1 2 5 8 1
2 9 Preston 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
3 12 Norwich 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
4 14 Ipswich 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 1 2 0 8 3 5
5 15 Southampton 3 1 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
6 17 Watford 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
7 20 Hull 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
8 22 Oxford 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
9 23 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 0.0 2.7 0 0 3 0 8 0
10 1 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 3 0 0 4 1 9
11 2 Stoke 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
12 3 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
13 4 Leicester 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 1 0 4 1 7
14 5 Coventry 3 2 1 2.7 0.7 1 2 0 8 2 5
15 8 QPR 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
16 10 Swansea 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
17 11 Portsmouth 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
18 13 Millwall 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
19 16 Blackburn 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
20 19 Derby 2 1 1 2.0 3.0 0 1 1 4 6 1
21 24 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
22 6 West Brom 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
23 7 Birmingham 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7
24 18 Charlton 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
2 8 QPR 3 0 3 1.7 3.3 1 0 2 5 10 3
3 2 Stoke 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
4 3 Bristol City 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7
5 4 Leicester 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
6 5 Coventry 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 1 2 0 7 5 5
7 6 West Brom 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
8 19 Derby 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
9 20 Hull 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 2 1 4 6 2
10 23 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
11 7 Birmingham 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
12 12 Norwich 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
13 13 Millwall 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
14 15 Southampton 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
15 16 Blackburn 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 0 1 4 1 6
16 18 Charlton 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
17 21 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
18 22 Oxford 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
19 24 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0
20 9 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
21 10 Swansea 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 0 2 2 2 3
22 11 Portsmouth 3 3 0 0.7 0.3 1 2 0 2 1 5
23 14 Ipswich 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
24 17 Watford 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51