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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Robinson

QPR 1–0 Stoke

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.65 fair 2.82
Draw 3.20 fair 4.02
Away 2.55 fair 2.52
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Stoke
14 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 6
8 Fouls 13
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (61 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.48
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–2 8.6% 0–1 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.80scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:12
Stoke before this match, all matches
2.40points / match
1.80scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:3
QPR all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.80
2.40 Goals conceded 0.60
4.20 Total goals 2.40
12.80 Shots 11.40
3.80 Shots on target 4.60
16.20 Shots faced 11.00
4.60 Corners 5.40
5.80 Corners against 4.80
10.00 Fouls 10.40
1.20 Yellow cards 2.20
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.40
1.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

40% Wins 80%
20% Draws 0%
40% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 60%
80% Over 2.5 goals 60%
60% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 40%
0% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 40%
0% Draws 40%
40% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 0%
40% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Stoke all matches
QPR before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:2
Stoke before this match, away
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:1
QPR at home away Stoke

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.50
1.00 Goals conceded 0.50
3.00 Total goals 3.00
13.00 Shots 12.00
4.50 Shots on target 5.00
12.00 Shots faced 16.50
3.00 Corners 5.00
3.00 Corners against 6.50
11.50 Fouls 11.00
1.00 Yellow cards 3.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 100%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 100%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Wrexham – QPR 1–3 (0–2) 1.863.504.00 1.93 1.93
30.08.25 QPR – Charlton 3–1 (1–0) 2.853.302.40 2.20 1.67
23.08.25 Coventry – QPR 7–1 (5–0) 1.554.205.50 1.95 1.90
16.08.25 Watford – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 QPR – Preston 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Sunderland – QPR 0–1 (0–1) 1.574.105.25 1.93 1.93
26.04.25 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
21.04.25 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.502.75 2.30 1.62
18.04.25 Preston – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.103.40 2.50 1.53
12.04.25 QPR – Bristol City 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.402.25 2.20 1.67

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Stoke – Birmingham 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.202.35 2.30 1.62
30.08.25 Stoke – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Southampton – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 0–3 (0–1) 3.903.401.95 2.00 1.80
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
25.04.25 Stoke – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–1) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.73
21.04.25 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
18.04.25 Stoke – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.73
12.04.25 Cardiff – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 2.20 1.67

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 QPR – Charlton 3–1 (1–0) 2.853.302.40 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 QPR – Preston 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.203.20 2.30 1.62
26.04.25 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
21.04.25 QPR – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.502.75 2.30 1.62
12.04.25 QPR – Bristol City 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.402.25 2.20 1.67
05.04.25 QPR – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.20 1.67
15.03.25 QPR – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.50 2.00 1.85
01.03.25 QPR – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.40 2.05 1.68
14.02.25 QPR – Derby 4–0 (2–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
04.02.25 QPR – Blackburn 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.102.80 2.30 1.62

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 Southampton – Stoke 1–2 (0–0) 1.733.804.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 0–3 (0–1) 3.903.401.95 2.00 1.80
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
21.04.25 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
12.04.25 Cardiff – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.503.00 2.20 1.67
05.04.25 Preston – Stoke 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.253.00 2.30 1.62
15.03.25 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.60 2.63 1.50
08.03.25 Coventry – Stoke 3–2 (2–0) 1.534.335.50 1.76 1.96
22.02.25 Norwich – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.93 1.93
12.02.25 Bristol City – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.705.00 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsStoke wins
8matches
2.12goals / match
25%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.25E1 Stoke – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 2.253.103.40 2.20 1.67
23.11.24E1 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
14.02.24E1 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
28.11.23E1 QPR – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.30 2.25 1.62
29.04.23E1 Stoke – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.02 1.82
17.09.22E1 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
23.04.22E1 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.00 1.80
05.12.21E1 QPR – Stoke 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.10 2.05 1.80

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
2 Stoke 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
3 Bristol City 5 3 2 0 12 4 +8 11
4 Leicester 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
5 West Brom 6 3 1 2 7 6 +1 10
6 Coventry 5 2 3 0 15 7 +8 9
7 Swansea 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
8 Preston 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
9 Portsmouth 5 2 2 1 4 3 +1 8
10 Norwich 5 2 1 2 7 6 +1 7
11 Birmingham 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 7
12 QPR 5 2 1 2 9 12 -3 7
13 Millwall 5 2 1 2 4 7 -3 7
14 Ipswich 5 1 3 1 9 5 +4 6
15 Southampton 5 1 3 1 6 6 0 6
16 Blackburn 5 2 0 3 5 5 0 6
17 Watford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
18 Charlton 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
19 Derby 5 1 2 2 8 11 -3 5
20 Hull 5 1 2 2 7 11 -4 5
21 Wrexham 5 1 1 3 8 10 -2 4
22 Oxford 5 0 2 3 6 9 -3 2
23 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 3 12 -9 1
24 Sheffield United 5 0 0 5 1 12 -11 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0 4 1 +3 9
2 Preston 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
3 Leicester 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
4 Stoke 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
5 Coventry 3 1 2 0 8 2 +6 5
6 Ipswich 3 1 2 0 8 3 +5 5
7 Swansea 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
8 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
9 QPR 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
10 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
11 Watford 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
12 Southampton 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
13 Charlton 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
14 West Brom 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
15 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
16 Hull 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
17 Oxford 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
18 Derby 2 0 1 1 4 6 -2 1
19 Wrexham 3 0 1 2 5 8 -3 1
20 Norwich 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
21 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
22 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
23 Millwall 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
24 Sheffield Weds 3 0 0 3 0 8 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
2 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
3 Norwich 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
4 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
5 Stoke 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
6 Blackburn 3 2 0 1 4 1 +3 6
7 West Brom 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
8 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0 2 1 +1 5
9 Coventry 2 1 1 0 7 5 +2 4
10 Leicester 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
11 Derby 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
12 Wrexham 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
13 Swansea 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
14 Birmingham 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
15 QPR 3 1 0 2 5 10 -5 3
16 Southampton 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
17 Hull 3 0 2 1 4 6 -2 2
18 Sheffield Weds 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
19 Ipswich 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
20 Preston 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
21 Watford 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
22 Charlton 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
23 Oxford 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
24 Sheffield United 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0

QPR   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
2 12 QPR 5 1 4 1.8 2.4 2 1 2 9 12 7
3 20 Hull 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 2 2 7 11 5
4 21 Wrexham 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 1 1 3 8 10 4
5 23 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 0.6 2.4 0 1 4 3 12 1
6 2 Stoke 5 2 3 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
7 3 Bristol City 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 3 2 0 12 4 11
8 4 Leicester 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
9 6 Coventry 5 2 3 3.0 1.4 2 3 0 15 7 9
10 10 Norwich 5 2 3 1.4 1.2 2 1 2 7 6 7
11 15 Southampton 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 1 3 1 6 6 6
12 19 Derby 5 2 3 1.6 2.2 1 2 2 8 11 5
13 22 Oxford 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 0 2 3 6 9 2
14 5 West Brom 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 3 1 2 7 6 10
15 8 Preston 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
16 13 Millwall 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 1 2 4 7 7
17 14 Ipswich 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 1 9 5 6
18 16 Blackburn 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 3 5 5 6
19 17 Watford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 24 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.2 2.4 0 0 5 1 12 0
21 7 Swansea 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
22 9 Portsmouth 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 2 1 4 3 8
23 11 Birmingham 5 4 1 0.8 1.0 2 1 2 4 5 7
24 18 Charlton 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Wrexham 3 0 3 1.7 2.7 0 1 2 5 8 1
2 8 Preston 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
3 10 Norwich 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
4 14 Ipswich 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 1 2 0 8 3 5
5 15 Southampton 3 1 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
6 17 Watford 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
7 20 Hull 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
8 22 Oxford 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
9 23 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 0.0 2.7 0 0 3 0 8 0
10 1 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 3 0 0 4 1 9
11 2 Stoke 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6
12 3 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
13 4 Leicester 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
14 6 Coventry 3 2 1 2.7 0.7 1 2 0 8 2 5
15 7 Swansea 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
16 9 Portsmouth 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
17 12 QPR 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
18 13 Millwall 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
19 16 Blackburn 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
20 19 Derby 2 1 1 2.0 3.0 0 1 1 4 6 1
21 24 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
22 5 West Brom 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
23 11 Birmingham 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
24 18 Charlton 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
2 12 QPR 3 0 3 1.7 3.3 1 0 2 5 10 3
3 2 Stoke 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
4 3 Bristol City 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7
5 4 Leicester 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
6 5 West Brom 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
7 6 Coventry 2 0 2 3.5 2.5 1 1 0 7 5 4
8 19 Derby 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
9 20 Hull 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 2 1 4 6 2
10 23 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
11 10 Norwich 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
12 11 Birmingham 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
13 13 Millwall 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
14 15 Southampton 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
15 16 Blackburn 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 2 0 1 4 1 6
16 18 Charlton 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
17 21 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
18 22 Oxford 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
19 24 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0
20 7 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
21 8 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
22 9 Portsmouth 3 3 0 0.7 0.3 1 2 0 2 1 5
23 14 Ipswich 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
24 17 Watford 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40