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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

QPR 1–0 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.07
Draw 3.25 fair 3.76
Away 3.40 fair 3.99
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.76
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.31

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Derby
14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 5
13 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (500 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.45 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13% 1–1 12.5% 2–0 9.4%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.36scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 57:55
Derby before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.00scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 42:48
QPR all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.00
1.31 Goals conceded 1.14
2.67 Total goals 2.14
11.62 Shots 10.00
4.24 Shots on target 3.29
12.40 Shots faced 12.29
4.86 Corners 4.45
5.00 Corners against 4.93
10.62 Fouls 9.71
1.95 Yellow cards 2.00
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

40% Wins 31%
21% Draws 31%
38% Losses 38%
98% Over 0.5 goals 88%
79% Over 1.5 goals 64%
55% Over 2.5 goals 40%
24% Over 3.5 goals 17%
10% Over 4.5 goals 5%
2% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 52%
24% Clean sheets 31%
19% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 21%
38% Draws 48%
31% Losses 31%
79% Over 0.5 goals 60%
24% Over 1.5 goals 24%
2% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Derby all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.33scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 28:22
Derby before this match, away
0.57points / match
0.62scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 13:30
QPR at home away Derby

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.62
1.05 Goals conceded 1.43
2.38 Total goals 2.05
13.43 Shots 8.76
4.76 Shots on target 2.52
12.10 Shots faced 12.57
5.57 Corners 4.29
4.67 Corners against 5.05
10.76 Fouls 9.57
1.86 Yellow cards 1.95
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 10%
29% Draws 29%
29% Losses 62%
95% Over 0.5 goals 86%
76% Over 1.5 goals 62%
38% Over 2.5 goals 38%
24% Over 3.5 goals 14%
5% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
48% Both teams scored 48%
38% Clean sheets 19%
19% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 10%
43% Draws 57%
29% Losses 33%
76% Over 0.5 goals 52%
29% Over 1.5 goals 19%
5% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.22 Huddersfield – QPR 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.403.90 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Preston – QPR 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.303.40 2.20 1.66
05.04.22 Sheffield United – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.75 2.00 1.85
02.04.22 QPR – Fulham 0–2 (0–1) 5.003.801.70 1.72 2.10
20.03.22 QPR – Peterboro 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.206.50 1.83 2.02
16.03.22 Nott'm Forest – QPR 3–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.80
13.03.22 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.20 1.66
05.03.22 QPR – Cardiff 1–2 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.20 1.66
26.02.22 Blackburn – QPR 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.10 1.72
23.02.22 QPR – Blackpool 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.80

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.22 Derby – Fulham 2–1 (0–1) 5.754.001.61 1.95 1.90
09.04.22 Swansea – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.66
02.04.22 Derby – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.87 2.50 1.53
19.03.22 Derby – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.102.50 2.30 1.61
15.03.22 Blackburn – Derby 3–1 (0–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
12.03.22 Bournemouth – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.10 1.72
05.03.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.103.75 2.37 1.57
01.03.22 Cardiff – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.37 1.57
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
23.02.22 Derby – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.623.102.87 2.62 1.50

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.22 QPR – Fulham 0–2 (0–1) 5.003.801.70 1.72 2.10
20.03.22 QPR – Peterboro 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.206.50 1.83 2.02
05.03.22 QPR – Cardiff 1–2 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.20 1.66
23.02.22 QPR – Blackpool 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.80
19.02.22 QPR – Hull 1–1 (0–1) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.85
09.02.22 QPR – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.623.202.87 2.20 1.66
29.01.22 QPR – Reading 4–0 (3–0) 1.534.007.00 1.80 2.00
25.01.22 QPR – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
15.01.22 QPR – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.403.502.15 2.10 1.72
27.12.21 QPR – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.45 1.90 1.95

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.04.22 Swansea – Derby 2–1 (2–1) 2.103.303.75 2.20 1.66
15.03.22 Blackburn – Derby 3–1 (0–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
12.03.22 Bournemouth – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.10 1.72
01.03.22 Cardiff – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.37 1.57
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72
02.02.22 Huddersfield – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.61
22.01.22 Nott'm Forest – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.50 2.37 1.57
03.01.22 Reading – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.61
30.12.21 Stoke – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.663.755.50 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsDerby wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.21E1 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 41 25 8 8 95 37 +58 83
2 Bournemouth 40 21 11 8 62 35 +27 74
3 Huddersfield 43 20 13 10 58 45 +13 73
4 Luton 42 19 11 12 60 47 +13 68
5 Nott'm Forest 40 19 10 11 61 37 +24 67
6 Sheffield United 42 18 11 13 54 43 +11 65
7 Blackburn 42 17 12 13 53 44 +9 63
8 Middlesbrough 42 18 9 15 52 44 +8 63
9 Coventry 42 17 11 14 58 53 +5 62
10 Millwall 42 16 14 12 46 41 +5 62
11 West Brom 42 16 12 14 47 41 +6 60
12 QPR 42 17 9 16 57 55 +2 60
13 Preston 42 14 16 12 44 47 -3 58
14 Swansea 41 16 10 15 49 54 -5 58
15 Stoke 42 15 10 17 53 48 +5 55
16 Blackpool 41 14 11 16 45 49 -4 53
17 Derby 42 13 13 16 42 48 -6 52
18 Cardiff 41 14 7 20 48 63 -15 49
19 Bristol City 42 13 9 20 53 73 -20 48
20 Hull 42 13 8 21 36 46 -10 47
21 Reading 42 13 7 22 50 78 -28 46
22 Birmingham 42 11 12 19 45 64 -19 45
23 Peterboro 42 7 10 25 36 83 -47 31
24 Barnsley 41 6 12 23 31 60 -29 30
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 21 12 5 4 36 22 +14 41
2 Fulham 20 12 4 4 46 19 +27 40
3 West Brom 21 11 7 3 29 16 +13 40
4 Derby 21 11 7 3 29 18 +11 40
5 Bournemouth 20 11 6 3 38 20 +18 39
6 Luton 21 11 6 4 35 21 +14 39
7 Millwall 21 11 6 4 27 15 +12 39
8 Huddersfield 21 11 6 4 31 22 +9 39
9 Sheffield United 21 11 5 5 33 15 +18 38
10 Middlesbrough 21 12 2 7 29 20 +9 38
11 Nott'm Forest 21 11 4 6 34 21 +13 37
12 Coventry 21 10 5 6 31 21 +10 35
13 Preston 21 8 10 3 28 23 +5 34
14 QPR 21 9 6 6 28 22 +6 33
15 Swansea 20 9 6 5 26 22 +4 33
16 Blackpool 21 10 3 8 23 23 0 33
17 Stoke 21 9 4 8 28 22 +6 31
18 Bristol City 21 7 7 7 27 28 -1 28
19 Birmingham 21 7 5 9 24 29 -5 26
20 Reading 21 7 4 10 29 39 -10 25
21 Cardiff 21 7 3 11 21 27 -6 24
22 Barnsley 20 5 7 8 17 22 -5 22
23 Peterboro 21 5 7 9 22 32 -10 22
24 Hull 21 6 3 12 18 27 -9 21
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 21 13 4 4 49 18 +31 43
2 Bournemouth 20 10 5 5 24 15 +9 35
3 Huddersfield 22 9 7 6 27 23 +4 34
4 Nott'm Forest 19 8 6 5 27 16 +11 30
5 Luton 21 8 5 8 25 26 -1 29
6 QPR 21 8 3 10 29 33 -4 27
7 Coventry 21 7 6 8 27 32 -5 27
8 Sheffield United 21 7 6 8 21 28 -7 27
9 Hull 21 7 5 9 18 19 -1 26
10 Middlesbrough 21 6 7 8 23 24 -1 25
11 Cardiff 20 7 4 9 27 36 -9 25
12 Swansea 21 7 4 10 23 32 -9 25
13 Stoke 21 6 6 9 25 26 -1 24
14 Preston 21 6 6 9 16 24 -8 24
15 Millwall 21 5 8 8 19 26 -7 23
16 Blackburn 21 5 7 9 17 22 -5 22
17 Reading 21 6 3 12 21 39 -18 21
18 Blackpool 20 4 8 8 22 26 -4 20
19 West Brom 21 5 5 11 18 25 -7 20
20 Bristol City 21 6 2 13 26 45 -19 20
21 Birmingham 21 4 7 10 21 35 -14 19
22 Derby 21 2 6 13 13 30 -17 12
23 Peterboro 21 2 3 16 14 51 -37 9
24 Barnsley 21 1 5 15 14 38 -24 8

QPR   Derby

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Bristol City 42 16 26 1.3 1.7 13 9 20 53 73 48
2 23 Peterboro 42 16 26 0.9 2.0 7 10 25 36 83 31
3 21 Reading 42 17 25 1.2 1.9 13 7 22 50 78 46
4 18 Cardiff 41 17 24 1.2 1.5 14 7 20 48 63 49
5 12 QPR 42 19 23 1.4 1.3 17 9 16 57 55 60
6 1 Fulham 41 19 22 2.3 0.9 25 8 8 95 37 83
7 22 Birmingham 42 20 22 1.1 1.5 11 12 19 45 64 45
8 4 Luton 42 21 21 1.4 1.1 19 11 12 60 47 68
9 14 Swansea 41 20 21 1.2 1.3 16 10 15 49 54 58
10 2 Bournemouth 40 20 20 1.6 0.9 21 11 8 62 35 74
11 9 Coventry 42 22 20 1.4 1.3 17 11 14 58 53 62
12 15 Stoke 42 22 20 1.3 1.1 15 10 17 53 48 55
13 5 Nott'm Forest 40 21 19 1.5 0.9 19 10 11 61 37 67
14 3 Huddersfield 43 25 18 1.3 1.0 20 13 10 58 45 73
15 13 Preston 42 24 18 1.0 1.1 14 16 12 44 47 58
16 6 Sheffield United 42 25 17 1.3 1.0 18 11 13 54 43 65
17 7 Blackburn 42 25 17 1.3 1.0 17 12 13 53 44 63
18 16 Blackpool 41 24 17 1.1 1.2 14 11 16 45 49 53
19 17 Derby 42 25 17 1.0 1.1 13 13 16 42 48 52
20 8 Middlesbrough 42 26 16 1.2 1.0 18 9 15 52 44 63
21 11 West Brom 42 26 16 1.1 1.0 16 12 14 47 41 60
22 10 Millwall 42 28 14 1.1 1.0 16 14 12 46 41 62
23 24 Barnsley 41 27 14 0.8 1.5 6 12 23 31 60 30
24 20 Hull 42 31 11 0.9 1.1 13 8 21 36 46 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 20 6 14 1.9 1.0 11 6 3 38 20 39
2 1 Fulham 20 8 12 2.3 0.9 12 4 4 46 19 40
3 4 Luton 21 9 12 1.7 1.0 11 6 4 35 21 39
4 5 Nott'm Forest 21 9 12 1.6 1.0 11 4 6 34 21 37
5 21 Reading 21 9 12 1.4 1.9 7 4 10 29 39 25
6 22 Birmingham 21 9 12 1.1 1.4 7 5 9 24 29 26
7 23 Peterboro 21 9 12 1.0 1.5 5 7 9 22 32 22
8 7 Blackburn 21 10 11 1.7 1.0 12 5 4 36 22 41
9 19 Bristol City 21 10 11 1.3 1.3 7 7 7 27 28 28
10 9 Coventry 21 11 10 1.5 1.0 10 5 6 31 21 35
11 13 Preston 21 11 10 1.3 1.1 8 10 3 28 23 34
12 14 Swansea 20 10 10 1.3 1.1 9 6 5 26 22 33
13 3 Huddersfield 21 12 9 1.5 1.0 11 6 4 31 22 39
14 15 Stoke 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 9 4 8 28 22 31
15 16 Blackpool 21 12 9 1.1 1.1 10 3 8 23 23 33
16 17 Derby 21 12 9 1.4 0.9 11 7 3 29 18 40
17 18 Cardiff 21 12 9 1.0 1.3 7 3 11 21 27 24
18 6 Sheffield United 21 13 8 1.6 0.7 11 5 5 33 15 38
19 8 Middlesbrough 21 13 8 1.4 1.0 12 2 7 29 20 38
20 11 West Brom 21 13 8 1.4 0.8 11 7 3 29 16 40
21 12 QPR 21 13 8 1.3 1.0 9 6 6 28 22 33
22 20 Hull 21 14 7 0.9 1.3 6 3 12 18 27 21
23 10 Millwall 21 15 6 1.3 0.7 11 6 4 27 15 39
24 24 Barnsley 20 16 4 0.8 1.1 5 7 8 17 22 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 QPR 21 6 15 1.4 1.6 8 3 10 29 33 27
2 18 Cardiff 20 5 15 1.4 1.8 7 4 9 27 36 25
3 19 Bristol City 21 6 15 1.2 2.1 6 2 13 26 45 20
4 23 Peterboro 21 7 14 0.7 2.4 2 3 16 14 51 9
5 21 Reading 21 8 13 1.0 1.9 6 3 12 21 39 21
6 14 Swansea 21 10 11 1.1 1.5 7 4 10 23 32 25
7 15 Stoke 21 10 11 1.2 1.2 6 6 9 25 26 24
8 1 Fulham 21 11 10 2.3 0.9 13 4 4 49 18 43
9 9 Coventry 21 11 10 1.3 1.5 7 6 8 27 32 27
10 22 Birmingham 21 11 10 1.0 1.7 4 7 10 21 35 19
11 24 Barnsley 21 11 10 0.7 1.8 1 5 15 14 38 8
12 3 Huddersfield 22 13 9 1.2 1.0 9 7 6 27 23 34
13 4 Luton 21 12 9 1.2 1.2 8 5 8 25 26 29
14 6 Sheffield United 21 12 9 1.0 1.3 7 6 8 21 28 27
15 8 Middlesbrough 21 13 8 1.1 1.1 6 7 8 23 24 25
16 10 Millwall 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 5 8 8 19 26 23
17 11 West Brom 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 5 5 11 18 25 20
18 13 Preston 21 13 8 0.8 1.1 6 6 9 16 24 24
19 16 Blackpool 20 12 8 1.1 1.3 4 8 8 22 26 20
20 17 Derby 21 13 8 0.6 1.4 2 6 13 13 30 12
21 5 Nott'm Forest 19 12 7 1.4 0.8 8 6 5 27 16 30
22 2 Bournemouth 20 14 6 1.2 0.8 10 5 5 24 15 35
23 7 Blackburn 21 15 6 0.8 1.0 5 7 9 17 22 22
24 20 Hull 21 17 4 0.9 0.9 7 5 9 18 19 26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51