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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

QPR 1–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.60 fair 2.62
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 3.68
Away 2.70 fair 2.89
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.81
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 2.24

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Stoke
23 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
10 Corners 4
9 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (184 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 1.27 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 10.8% 0–1 10.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.80scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 12:25
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.20scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 18:19
QPR all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.20
1.67 Goals conceded 1.27
2.47 Total goals 2.47
12.40 Shots 11.13
4.07 Shots on target 3.87
12.87 Shots faced 15.73
5.87 Corners 5.33
6.33 Corners against 6.00
9.73 Fouls 11.40
1.53 Yellow cards 2.47
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

7% Wins 33%
47% Draws 27%
47% Losses 40%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
87% Over 1.5 goals 73%
40% Over 2.5 goals 40%
27% Over 3.5 goals 20%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
67% Both teams scored 47%
13% Clean sheets 27%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 27%
60% Draws 47%
40% Losses 27%
67% Over 0.5 goals 60%
47% Over 1.5 goals 27%
7% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Stoke all matches
QPR before this match, at home
0.50points / match
0.88scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:15
Stoke before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.43scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 3:8
QPR at home away Stoke

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 0.43
1.88 Goals conceded 1.14
2.75 Total goals 1.57
15.50 Shots 10.00
5.75 Shots on target 3.71
10.38 Shots faced 20.29
7.13 Corners 4.57
4.88 Corners against 6.00
9.50 Fouls 13.00
1.25 Yellow cards 3.00
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.13 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

0% Wins 29%
50% Draws 14%
50% Losses 57%
88% Over 0.5 goals 86%
88% Over 1.5 goals 57%
50% Over 2.5 goals 14%
38% Over 3.5 goals 0%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
88% Both teams scored 0%
13% Clean sheets 43%
13% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
63% Draws 71%
38% Losses 29%
88% Over 0.5 goals 29%
75% Over 1.5 goals 0%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 QPR – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
22.10.24 QPR – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.38 1.85 2.00
19.10.24 QPR – Portsmouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 1.90 1.95
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 QPR – Hull 1–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Blackburn – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Stoke – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
06.11.24 Blackburn – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
26.10.24 Sheffield United – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Stoke – Bristol City 2–2 (2–0) 2.383.402.90 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.402.63 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88
02.10.24 Stoke – Portsmouth 6–1 (3–1) 1.803.604.33 1.85 2.00
28.09.24 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
20.09.24 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.24 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 QPR – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 QPR – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.38 1.85 2.00
19.10.24 QPR – Portsmouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 QPR – Hull 1–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
24.08.24 QPR – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.804.75 1.83 2.03
10.08.24 QPR – West Brom 1–3 (1–1) 2.453.302.80 2.25 1.62
26.04.24 QPR – Leeds 4–0 (2–0) 5.004.501.57 1.67 2.20
20.04.24 QPR – Preston 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.50 2.20 1.67

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.24 Blackburn – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Sheffield United – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88
28.09.24 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88
31.08.24 Plymouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
27.04.24 Southampton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.334.00 1.53 2.50
13.04.24 Sheffield Weds – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.102.88 2.10 1.73
10.04.24 Swansea – Stoke 3–0 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.03 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsStoke wins
6matches
1.83goals / match
17%over 2.5
17%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.02.24E1 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
28.11.23E1 QPR – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.30 2.25 1.62
29.04.23E1 Stoke – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.02 1.82
17.09.22E1 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
23.04.22E1 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.00 1.80
05.12.21E1 QPR – Stoke 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.10 2.05 1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 16 10 4 2 21 9 +12 34
2 Sunderland 15 9 4 2 25 11 +14 31
3 Burnley 16 8 6 2 19 6 +13 30
4 Leeds 15 8 5 2 24 9 +15 29
5 Watford 16 8 2 6 25 24 +1 26
6 West Brom 15 6 7 2 16 9 +7 25
7 Middlesbrough 15 7 3 5 23 17 +6 24
8 Millwall 15 6 5 4 18 13 +5 23
9 Blackburn 15 6 4 5 19 17 +2 22
10 Bristol City 16 5 7 4 20 20 0 22
11 Swansea 15 5 4 6 11 10 +1 19
12 Derby 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
13 Stoke 15 5 4 6 18 19 -1 19
14 Sheffield Weds 16 5 4 7 18 26 -8 19
15 Norwich 15 4 6 5 23 22 +1 18
16 Coventry 16 4 5 7 22 23 -1 17
17 Oxford 15 4 5 6 17 18 -1 17
18 Plymouth 16 4 5 7 17 28 -11 17
19 Cardiff 16 4 4 8 15 24 -9 16
20 Hull 15 3 6 6 16 20 -4 15
21 Preston 15 3 6 6 15 23 -8 15
22 Luton 15 4 3 8 17 26 -9 15
23 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 16 28 -12 12
24 QPR 15 1 7 7 12 25 -13 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 8 6 1 1 17 5 +12 19
2 Watford 7 6 1 0 12 4 +8 19
3 Sheffield United 7 6 1 0 10 2 +8 19
4 Sunderland 7 5 2 0 14 4 +10 17
5 Millwall 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
6 Blackburn 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16
7 Burnley 7 4 3 0 10 2 +8 15
8 Oxford 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15
9 Plymouth 8 4 3 1 15 11 +4 15
10 Derby 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14
11 Middlesbrough 8 4 2 2 12 9 +3 14
12 Stoke 8 3 3 2 15 11 +4 12
13 Swansea 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12
14 Cardiff 8 4 0 4 11 10 +1 12
15 Preston 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
16 Sheffield Weds 9 3 3 3 13 14 -1 12
17 Luton 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
18 Norwich 7 2 4 1 15 10 +5 10
19 Coventry 8 3 1 4 14 13 +1 10
20 West Brom 7 2 4 1 2 1 +1 10
21 Bristol City 8 2 4 2 9 9 0 10
22 Hull 8 1 4 3 8 9 -1 7
23 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
24 QPR 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 8 4 3 1 14 8 +6 15
2 Burnley 9 4 3 2 9 4 +5 15
3 Sheffield United 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
4 Sunderland 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14
5 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 11 11 0 12
6 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
7 Leeds 7 2 4 1 7 4 +3 10
8 Hull 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Norwich 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
10 Millwall 7 1 4 2 6 7 -1 7
11 Coventry 8 1 4 3 8 10 -2 7
12 Swansea 8 2 1 5 4 7 -3 7
13 Stoke 7 2 1 4 3 8 -5 7
14 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
15 Sheffield Weds 7 2 1 4 5 12 -7 7
16 Blackburn 7 1 3 3 7 10 -3 6
17 QPR 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
18 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
19 Derby 8 1 2 5 8 14 -6 5
20 Luton 7 1 1 5 5 14 -9 4
21 Cardiff 8 0 4 4 4 14 -10 4
22 Preston 7 0 3 4 7 16 -9 3
23 Oxford 7 0 2 5 7 13 -6 2
24 Plymouth 8 0 2 6 2 17 -15 2

QPR   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 16 5 11 1.6 1.5 8 2 6 25 24 26
2 16 Coventry 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 4 5 7 22 23 17
3 22 Luton 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 4 3 8 17 26 15
4 23 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.1 1.9 2 6 7 16 28 12
5 14 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 5 4 7 18 26 19
6 18 Plymouth 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 4 5 7 17 28 17
7 21 Preston 15 7 8 1.0 1.5 3 6 6 15 23 15
8 2 Sunderland 15 8 7 1.7 0.7 9 4 2 25 11 31
9 9 Blackburn 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 4 5 19 17 22
10 10 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 5 7 4 20 20 22
11 15 Norwich 15 8 7 1.5 1.5 4 6 5 23 22 18
12 7 Middlesbrough 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 23 17 24
13 12 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
14 13 Stoke 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 4 6 18 19 19
15 17 Oxford 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 6 17 18 17
16 24 QPR 15 9 6 0.8 1.7 1 7 7 12 25 10
17 4 Leeds 15 10 5 1.6 0.6 8 5 2 24 9 29
18 6 West Brom 15 10 5 1.1 0.6 6 7 2 16 9 25
19 19 Cardiff 16 11 5 0.9 1.5 4 4 8 15 24 16
20 20 Hull 15 10 5 1.1 1.3 3 6 6 16 20 15
21 8 Millwall 15 11 4 1.2 0.9 6 5 4 18 13 23
22 1 Sheffield United 16 13 3 1.3 0.6 10 4 2 21 9 34
23 3 Burnley 16 13 3 1.2 0.4 8 6 2 19 6 30
24 11 Swansea 15 12 3 0.7 0.7 5 4 6 11 10 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 3 1 4 14 13 10
2 22 Luton 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
3 13 Stoke 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 3 3 2 15 11 12
4 18 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 3 1 15 11 15
5 4 Leeds 8 4 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 1 17 5 19
6 5 Watford 7 3 4 1.7 0.6 6 1 0 12 4 19
7 15 Norwich 7 3 4 2.1 1.4 2 4 1 15 10 10
8 23 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
9 24 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4
10 2 Sunderland 7 4 3 2.0 0.6 5 2 0 14 4 17
11 7 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 4 2 2 12 9 14
12 8 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
13 9 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16
14 10 Bristol City 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 2 9 9 10
15 14 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 1.4 1.6 3 3 3 13 14 12
16 19 Cardiff 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 4 0 4 11 10 12
17 21 Preston 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
18 3 Burnley 7 5 2 1.4 0.3 4 3 0 10 2 15
19 12 Derby 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14
20 17 Oxford 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15
21 20 Hull 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 1 4 3 8 9 7
22 1 Sheffield United 7 6 1 1.4 0.3 6 1 0 10 2 19
23 11 Swansea 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12
24 6 West Brom 7 7 0 0.3 0.1 2 4 1 2 1 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 6 West Brom 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 4 3 1 14 8 15
3 14 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 0.7 1.7 2 1 4 5 12 7
4 21 Preston 7 2 5 1.0 2.3 0 3 4 7 16 3
5 23 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
6 2 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.4 0.9 4 2 2 11 7 14
7 9 Blackburn 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 1 3 3 7 10 6
8 10 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 3 3 2 11 11 12
9 12 Derby 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 5 8 14 5
10 17 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 0 2 5 7 13 2
11 7 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
12 15 Norwich 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
13 16 Coventry 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 1 4 3 8 10 7
14 18 Plymouth 8 5 3 0.2 2.1 0 2 6 2 17 2
15 20 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
16 22 Luton 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 1 1 5 5 14 4
17 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
18 11 Swansea 8 6 2 0.5 0.9 2 1 5 4 7 7
19 19 Cardiff 8 6 2 0.5 1.8 0 4 4 4 14 4
20 24 QPR 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
21 3 Burnley 9 8 1 1.0 0.4 4 3 2 9 4 15
22 4 Leeds 7 6 1 1.0 0.6 2 4 1 7 4 10
23 8 Millwall 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 1 4 2 6 7 7
24 13 Stoke 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 2 1 4 3 8 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51