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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Allison

Leeds 3–1 Swansea

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 2.04
Draw 5.25 fair 4.15
Away 8.50 fair 3.73
Under 2.5 2.40 fair 2.20
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.84

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Swansea
18 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 5
12 Fouls 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (210 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.18
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 9.6% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.65scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:17
Swansea before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.41scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 24:23
Leeds all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 1.41
1.00 Goals conceded 1.35
2.65 Total goals 2.76
16.24 Shots 10.94
5.29 Shots on target 3.94
9.24 Shots faced 15.35
6.00 Corners 4.06
4.53 Corners against 5.59
9.76 Fouls 10.35
1.47 Yellow cards 1.71
0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

53% Wins 29%
29% Draws 29%
18% Losses 41%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
65% Over 1.5 goals 82%
53% Over 2.5 goals 59%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
18% Over 4.5 goals 12%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 65%
35% Clean sheets 24%
24% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 41%
53% Draws 35%
18% Losses 24%
59% Over 0.5 goals 82%
47% Over 1.5 goals 29%
18% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Swansea all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.25points / match
1.88scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 15:6
Swansea before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.63scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:12
Leeds at home away Swansea

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded 1.50
2.63 Total goals 3.13
18.13 Shots 10.50
5.75 Shots on target 3.75
6.63 Shots faced 15.75
6.75 Corners 4.25
2.63 Corners against 5.75
9.38 Fouls 9.50
1.25 Yellow cards 1.63
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

63% Wins 38%
38% Draws 13%
0% Losses 50%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 88%
63% Over 2.5 goals 63%
25% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 63%
38% Clean sheets 25%
13% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 50%
50% Draws 13%
13% Losses 38%
63% Over 0.5 goals 88%
50% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.23 Rotherham – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 7.505.001.36 1.67 2.15
11.11.23 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10
03.11.23 Leicester – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.603.25 1.67 2.15
28.10.23 Leeds – Huddersfield 4–1 (4–0) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.25
25.10.23 Stoke – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Norwich – Leeds 2–3 (2–0) 3.003.502.25 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Leeds – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
04.10.23 Leeds – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.60 2.30
30.09.23 Southampton – Leeds 3–1 (3–0) 3.003.502.30 1.60 2.30
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.202.80 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Ipswich – Swansea 3–2 (2–1) 1.534.335.50 1.62 2.25
04.11.23 Swansea – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Blackburn – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Swansea – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Swansea – Leicester 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.001.75 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Plymouth – Swansea 1–3 (1–0) 2.403.402.88 1.70 2.10
04.10.23 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.903.302.45 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Millwall – Swansea 0–3 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.08 1.73
23.09.23 Swansea – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.03 1.83

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Leeds – Plymouth 2–1 (2–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.36 3.10
28.10.23 Leeds – Huddersfield 4–1 (4–0) 1.364.759.00 1.62 2.25
07.10.23 Leeds – Bristol City 2–1 (1–1) 1.574.205.75 1.70 2.10
04.10.23 Leeds – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.60 2.30
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Leeds – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 1.67 2.20
18.08.23 Leeds – West Brom 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
06.08.23 Leeds – Cardiff 2–2 (0–2) 1.404.508.50 1.67 2.20
28.05.23E0 Leeds – Tottenham 1–4 (0–1) 2.753.802.30 1.50 2.63
13.05.23E0 Leeds – Newcastle 2–2 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Ipswich – Swansea 3–2 (2–1) 1.534.335.50 1.62 2.25
28.10.23 Blackburn – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.60 2.30
07.10.23 Plymouth – Swansea 1–3 (1–0) 2.403.402.88 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Millwall – Swansea 0–3 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.08 1.73
19.09.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Preston – Swansea 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.20 1.67
12.08.23 West Brom – Swansea 3–2 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 1.95 1.90
29.04.23 Hull – Swansea 1–1 (1–1) 3.803.601.95 1.85 2.00
22.04.23 Norwich – Swansea 0–3 (0–2) 2.003.403.75 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 17 14 0 3 31 10 +21 42
2 Ipswich 17 12 3 2 36 23 +13 39
3 West Brom 18 9 5 4 29 17 +12 32
4 Leeds 17 9 5 3 28 17 +11 32
5 Southampton 17 9 4 4 28 27 +1 31
6 Hull 18 8 6 4 28 22 +6 30
7 Preston 18 8 4 6 24 30 -6 28
8 Cardiff 18 8 3 7 27 21 +6 27
9 Middlesbrough 18 8 3 7 29 26 +3 27
10 Sunderland 17 8 2 7 27 19 +8 26
11 Blackburn 17 8 1 8 27 26 +1 25
12 Bristol City 17 7 4 6 19 18 +1 25
13 Watford 18 6 6 6 26 22 +4 24
14 Norwich 18 7 2 9 32 35 -3 23
15 Coventry 18 5 7 6 23 21 +2 22
16 Birmingham 17 6 4 7 21 23 -2 22
17 Stoke 18 6 3 9 18 25 -7 21
18 Swansea 17 5 5 7 24 23 +1 20
19 Millwall 17 5 5 7 19 22 -3 20
20 Plymouth 18 5 4 9 29 28 +1 19
21 Huddersfield 17 3 7 7 15 29 -14 16
22 QPR 18 3 4 11 15 30 -15 13
23 Rotherham 18 2 6 10 17 37 -20 12
24 Sheffield Weds 17 1 3 13 8 29 -21 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 8 7 0 1 25 15 +10 21
2 Leicester 9 7 0 2 13 4 +9 21
3 West Brom 9 6 2 1 16 7 +9 20
4 Watford 10 5 3 2 21 10 +11 18
5 Leeds 8 5 3 0 15 6 +9 18
6 Birmingham 9 5 3 1 15 9 +6 18
7 Preston 9 5 2 2 15 15 0 17
8 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 22 13 +9 16
9 Hull 9 4 4 1 14 8 +6 16
10 Cardiff 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
11 Middlesbrough 9 5 1 3 11 7 +4 16
12 Sunderland 8 5 0 3 16 10 +6 15
13 Norwich 9 5 0 4 13 12 +1 15
14 Coventry 9 3 5 1 10 7 +3 14
15 Southampton 8 4 2 2 16 14 +2 14
16 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12 10 +2 14
17 Stoke 9 4 1 4 9 11 -2 13
18 Rotherham 9 2 5 2 13 12 +1 11
19 Swansea 9 2 4 3 11 11 0 10
20 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 8 14 -6 10
21 Blackburn 8 3 0 5 9 14 -5 9
22 Millwall 9 2 1 6 7 15 -8 7
23 QPR 8 1 2 5 8 16 -8 5
24 Sheffield Weds 8 1 2 5 4 12 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 8 7 0 1 18 6 +12 21
2 Ipswich 9 5 3 1 11 8 +3 18
3 Southampton 9 5 2 2 12 13 -1 17
4 Blackburn 9 5 1 3 18 12 +6 16
5 Leeds 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
6 Hull 9 4 2 3 14 14 0 14
7 Millwall 8 3 4 1 12 7 +5 13
8 West Brom 9 3 3 3 13 10 +3 12
9 Sunderland 9 3 2 4 11 9 +2 11
10 Cardiff 9 3 2 4 12 11 +1 11
11 Middlesbrough 9 3 2 4 18 19 -1 11
12 Bristol City 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
13 Preston 9 3 2 4 9 15 -6 11
14 Swansea 8 3 1 4 13 12 +1 10
15 Coventry 9 2 2 5 13 14 -1 8
16 Norwich 9 2 2 5 19 23 -4 8
17 Stoke 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
18 QPR 10 2 2 6 7 14 -7 8
19 Watford 8 1 3 4 5 12 -7 6
20 Huddersfield 8 1 3 4 7 15 -8 6
21 Birmingham 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
22 Plymouth 9 0 3 6 7 15 -8 3
23 Sheffield Weds 9 0 1 8 4 17 -13 1
24 Rotherham 9 0 1 8 4 25 -21 1

Leeds   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Blackburn 17 4 13 1.6 1.5 8 1 8 27 26 25
2 14 Norwich 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 7 2 9 32 35 23
3 5 Southampton 17 5 12 1.6 1.6 9 4 4 28 27 31
4 7 Preston 18 6 12 1.3 1.7 8 4 6 24 30 28
5 20 Plymouth 18 6 12 1.6 1.6 5 4 9 29 28 19
6 10 Sunderland 17 6 11 1.6 1.1 8 2 7 27 19 26
7 2 Ipswich 17 7 10 2.1 1.4 12 3 2 36 23 39
8 6 Hull 18 8 10 1.6 1.2 8 6 4 28 22 30
9 9 Middlesbrough 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 8 3 7 29 26 27
10 18 Swansea 17 7 10 1.4 1.4 5 5 7 24 23 20
11 23 Rotherham 18 8 10 0.9 2.1 2 6 10 17 37 12
12 3 West Brom 18 9 9 1.6 0.9 9 5 4 29 17 32
13 4 Leeds 17 8 9 1.6 1.0 9 5 3 28 17 32
14 8 Cardiff 18 9 9 1.5 1.2 8 3 7 27 21 27
15 19 Millwall 17 8 9 1.1 1.3 5 5 7 19 22 20
16 22 QPR 18 9 9 0.8 1.7 3 4 11 15 30 13
17 1 Leicester 17 9 8 1.8 0.6 14 0 3 31 10 42
18 13 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 6 6 6 26 22 24
19 16 Birmingham 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 7 21 23 22
20 21 Huddersfield 17 9 8 0.9 1.7 3 7 7 15 29 16
21 24 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 0.5 1.7 1 3 13 8 29 6
22 15 Coventry 18 11 7 1.3 1.2 5 7 6 23 21 22
23 17 Stoke 18 11 7 1.0 1.4 6 3 9 18 25 21
24 12 Bristol City 17 11 6 1.1 1.1 7 4 6 19 18 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Preston 9 1 8 1.7 1.7 5 2 2 15 15 17
2 2 Ipswich 8 1 7 3.1 1.9 7 0 1 25 15 21
3 20 Plymouth 9 2 7 2.4 1.4 5 1 3 22 13 16
4 5 Southampton 8 2 6 2.0 1.8 4 2 2 16 14 14
5 10 Sunderland 8 2 6 2.0 1.2 5 0 3 16 10 15
6 11 Blackburn 8 2 6 1.1 1.8 3 0 5 9 14 9
7 13 Watford 10 4 6 2.1 1.0 5 3 2 21 10 18
8 19 Millwall 9 3 6 0.8 1.7 2 1 6 7 15 7
9 4 Leeds 8 3 5 1.9 0.8 5 3 0 15 6 18
10 14 Norwich 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 5 0 4 13 12 15
11 16 Birmingham 9 4 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 1 15 9 18
12 18 Swansea 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 4 3 11 11 10
13 22 QPR 8 3 5 1.0 2.0 1 2 5 8 16 5
14 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 1.4 1.3 2 5 2 13 12 11
15 3 West Brom 9 5 4 1.8 0.8 6 2 1 16 7 20
16 8 Cardiff 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
17 17 Stoke 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 4 1 4 9 11 13
18 21 Huddersfield 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 4 3 8 14 10
19 1 Leicester 9 6 3 1.4 0.4 7 0 2 13 4 21
20 6 Hull 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 4 4 1 14 8 16
21 12 Bristol City 9 6 3 1.3 1.1 4 2 3 12 10 14
22 24 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 1 2 5 4 12 5
23 9 Middlesbrough 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 5 1 3 11 7 16
24 15 Coventry 9 7 2 1.1 0.8 3 5 1 10 7 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Middlesbrough 9 1 8 2.0 2.1 3 2 4 18 19 11
2 14 Norwich 9 1 8 2.1 2.6 2 2 5 19 23 8
3 6 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.6 4 2 3 14 14 14
4 11 Blackburn 9 2 7 2.0 1.3 5 1 3 18 12 16
5 5 Southampton 9 3 6 1.3 1.4 5 2 2 12 13 17
6 1 Leicester 8 3 5 2.2 0.8 7 0 1 18 6 21
7 3 West Brom 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 3 3 3 13 10 12
8 8 Cardiff 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 2 4 12 11 11
9 10 Sunderland 9 4 5 1.2 1.0 3 2 4 11 9 11
10 15 Coventry 9 4 5 1.4 1.6 2 2 5 13 14 8
11 18 Swansea 8 3 5 1.6 1.5 3 1 4 13 12 10
12 20 Plymouth 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 0 3 6 7 15 3
13 23 Rotherham 9 4 5 0.4 2.8 0 1 8 4 25 1
14 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.4 1.9 0 1 8 4 17 1
15 4 Leeds 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
16 7 Preston 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 3 2 4 9 15 11
17 21 Huddersfield 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 1 3 4 7 15 6
18 22 QPR 10 6 4 0.7 1.4 2 2 6 7 14 8
19 2 Ipswich 9 6 3 1.2 0.9 5 3 1 11 8 18
20 12 Bristol City 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
21 16 Birmingham 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
22 17 Stoke 9 6 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
23 19 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 3 4 1 12 7 13
24 13 Watford 8 6 2 0.6 1.5 1 3 4 5 12 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06