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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Stoke 1–1 Swansea

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.05 fair 2.68
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 3.87
Away 3.60 fair 2.72
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 1.93 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Swansea
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 3
11 Fouls 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (240 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawSwansea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 9.1% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
0.95scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 19:28
Swansea before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
1.40scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 28:28
Stoke all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 1.40
1.40 Goals conceded 1.40
2.35 Total goals 2.80
11.75 Shots 11.85
3.05 Shots on target 4.15
12.45 Shots faced 14.55
5.95 Corners 5.20
5.20 Corners against 5.40
13.50 Fouls 10.35
2.60 Yellow cards 1.70
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

30% Wins 30%
15% Draws 30%
55% Losses 40%
90% Over 0.5 goals 95%
60% Over 1.5 goals 85%
40% Over 2.5 goals 60%
25% Over 3.5 goals 30%
15% Over 4.5 goals 10%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
35% Both teams scored 70%
25% Clean sheets 20%
50% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 40%
50% Draws 30%
40% Losses 30%
70% Over 0.5 goals 85%
40% Over 1.5 goals 30%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Swansea all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.30points / match
0.90scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 9:12
Swansea before this match, away
1.30points / match
1.60scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:16
Stoke at home away Swansea

Per match

0.90 Goals scored 1.60
1.20 Goals conceded 1.60
2.10 Total goals 3.20
12.60 Shots 11.30
3.10 Shots on target 4.10
10.30 Shots faced 15.10
6.80 Corners 5.00
3.40 Corners against 5.80
15.00 Fouls 9.60
3.00 Yellow cards 1.70
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
10% Draws 10%
50% Losses 50%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 90%
40% Over 2.5 goals 70%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
30% Both teams scored 70%
30% Clean sheets 20%
50% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 50%
60% Draws 10%
30% Losses 40%
50% Over 0.5 goals 90%
30% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Swansea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Stoke – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.254.00 2.25 1.62
02.12.23 Plymouth – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.633.502.60 1.73 2.08
28.11.23 QPR – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.30 2.25 1.62
25.11.23 Stoke – Blackburn 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Coventry – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.05 1.80
04.11.23 Stoke – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–2 (0–2) 1.754.004.33 1.75 2.05
25.10.23 Stoke – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Stoke – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.75 1.75 2.05
07.10.23 Leicester – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.70 2.10

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88
02.12.23 Swansea – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.404.00 1.88 1.98
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
25.11.23 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.202.80 2.00 1.85
11.11.23 Ipswich – Swansea 3–2 (2–1) 1.534.335.50 1.62 2.25
04.11.23 Swansea – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 1.75 2.05
28.10.23 Blackburn – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.60 2.30
24.10.23 Swansea – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.05 1.75
21.10.23 Swansea – Leicester 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.001.75 1.73 2.08
07.10.23 Plymouth – Swansea 1–3 (1–0) 2.403.402.88 1.70 2.10

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Stoke – Sheffield Weds 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.254.00 2.25 1.62
25.11.23 Stoke – Blackburn 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.503.20 1.75 2.05
04.11.23 Stoke – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.70
25.10.23 Stoke – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Stoke – Sunderland 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.75 1.75 2.05
03.10.23 Stoke – Southampton 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.60 1.80 2.00
24.09.23 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95
02.09.23 Stoke – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.73
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
05.08.23 Stoke – Rotherham 4–1 (3–0) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.85

Swansea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Rotherham – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.98 1.88
29.11.23 Leeds – Swansea 3–1 (2–1) 1.365.258.50 1.53 2.40
11.11.23 Ipswich – Swansea 3–2 (2–1) 1.534.335.50 1.62 2.25
28.10.23 Blackburn – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.753.50 1.60 2.30
07.10.23 Plymouth – Swansea 1–3 (1–0) 2.403.402.88 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Millwall – Swansea 0–3 (0–1) 2.103.303.75 2.08 1.73
19.09.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.302.60 2.05 1.80
16.09.23 Cardiff – Swansea 2–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.80 1.95 1.90
26.08.23 Preston – Swansea 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.75 2.20 1.67
12.08.23 West Brom – Swansea 3–2 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsSwansea wins
4matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.23E1 Swansea – Stoke 1–3 (1–2) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.73
31.08.22E1 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
08.02.22E1 Stoke – Swansea 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.37 1.57
17.08.21E1 Swansea – Stoke 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 20 16 1 3 38 12 +26 49
2 Ipswich 20 15 3 2 43 25 +18 48
3 Leeds 20 12 5 3 36 20 +16 41
4 Southampton 20 11 5 4 32 28 +4 38
5 West Brom 20 9 5 6 31 21 +10 32
6 Sunderland 20 9 3 8 31 23 +8 30
7 Cardiff 20 9 3 8 28 23 +5 30
8 Hull 20 8 6 6 29 26 +3 30
9 Preston 20 8 5 7 24 32 -8 29
10 Watford 20 7 7 6 29 24 +5 28
11 Blackburn 20 9 1 10 32 33 -1 28
12 Middlesbrough 20 8 3 9 31 31 0 27
13 Norwich 20 8 3 9 34 36 -2 27
14 Bristol City 20 7 5 8 21 22 -1 26
15 Coventry 20 6 7 7 26 23 +3 25
16 Swansea 20 6 6 8 28 28 0 24
17 Birmingham 20 6 5 9 23 29 -6 23
18 Plymouth 20 6 4 10 31 33 -2 22
19 Millwall 20 5 6 9 21 27 -6 21
20 Stoke 20 6 3 11 19 28 -9 21
21 Huddersfield 20 4 9 7 19 32 -13 21
22 QPR 20 5 4 11 19 30 -11 19
23 Sheffield Weds 20 3 4 13 13 31 -18 13
24 Rotherham 20 2 7 11 18 39 -21 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 10 9 0 1 30 17 +13 27
2 Leicester 10 8 0 2 17 4 +13 24
3 Leeds 10 7 3 0 21 9 +12 24
4 West Brom 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
5 Southampton 10 6 2 2 19 14 +5 20
6 Watford 11 5 4 2 22 11 +11 19
7 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 24 14 +10 19
8 Cardiff 10 6 1 3 16 10 +6 19
9 Birmingham 10 5 4 1 15 9 +6 19
10 Sunderland 10 6 0 4 19 13 +6 18
11 Coventry 10 4 5 1 12 7 +5 17
12 Preston 10 5 2 3 15 17 -2 17
13 Hull 10 4 4 2 15 10 +5 16
14 Middlesbrough 10 5 1 4 11 9 +2 16
15 Norwich 10 5 1 4 13 12 +1 16
16 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 13 12 +1 14
17 Stoke 10 4 1 5 9 12 -3 13
18 Blackburn 10 4 0 6 13 18 -5 12
19 Rotherham 10 2 5 3 14 14 0 11
20 Swansea 10 2 5 3 12 12 0 11
21 Huddersfield 10 2 5 3 9 15 -6 11
22 Sheffield Weds 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
23 QPR 9 2 2 5 10 16 -6 8
24 Millwall 10 2 2 6 8 16 -8 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 10 8 1 1 21 8 +13 25
2 Ipswich 10 6 3 1 13 8 +5 21
3 Southampton 10 5 3 2 13 14 -1 18
4 Leeds 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
5 Blackburn 10 5 1 4 19 15 +4 16
6 Hull 10 4 2 4 14 16 -2 14
7 Millwall 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
8 Swansea 10 4 1 5 16 16 0 13
9 West Brom 10 3 3 4 14 12 +2 12
10 Sunderland 10 3 3 4 12 10 +2 12
11 Bristol City 10 3 3 4 8 10 -2 12
12 Preston 10 3 3 4 9 15 -6 12
13 Cardiff 10 3 2 5 12 13 -1 11
14 Middlesbrough 10 3 2 5 20 22 -2 11
15 Norwich 10 3 2 5 21 24 -3 11
16 QPR 11 3 2 6 9 14 -5 11
17 Huddersfield 10 2 4 4 10 17 -7 10
18 Watford 9 2 3 4 7 13 -6 9
19 Coventry 10 2 2 6 14 16 -2 8
20 Stoke 10 2 2 6 10 16 -6 8
21 Birmingham 10 1 1 8 8 20 -12 4
22 Sheffield Weds 10 1 1 8 5 17 -12 4
23 Plymouth 10 0 3 7 7 19 -12 3
24 Rotherham 10 0 2 8 4 25 -21 2

Stoke   Swansea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Blackburn 20 5 15 1.6 1.6 9 1 10 32 33 28
2 13 Norwich 20 6 14 1.7 1.8 8 3 9 34 36 27
3 18 Plymouth 20 6 14 1.6 1.6 6 4 10 31 33 22
4 6 Sunderland 20 7 13 1.6 1.1 9 3 8 31 23 30
5 2 Ipswich 20 8 12 2.1 1.2 15 3 2 43 25 48
6 4 Southampton 20 8 12 1.6 1.4 11 5 4 32 28 38
7 9 Preston 20 8 12 1.2 1.6 8 5 7 24 32 29
8 16 Swansea 20 8 12 1.4 1.4 6 6 8 28 28 24
9 3 Leeds 20 9 11 1.8 1.0 12 5 3 36 20 41
10 5 West Brom 20 9 11 1.6 1.1 9 5 6 31 21 32
11 8 Hull 20 9 11 1.4 1.3 8 6 6 29 26 30
12 12 Middlesbrough 20 9 11 1.6 1.6 8 3 9 31 31 27
13 24 Rotherham 20 9 11 0.9 1.9 2 7 11 18 39 13
14 1 Leicester 20 10 10 1.9 0.6 16 1 3 38 12 49
15 19 Millwall 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 5 6 9 21 27 21
16 7 Cardiff 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 9 3 8 28 23 30
17 10 Watford 20 11 9 1.4 1.2 7 7 6 29 24 28
18 17 Birmingham 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 23 29 23
19 21 Huddersfield 20 11 9 0.9 1.6 4 9 7 19 32 21
20 22 QPR 20 11 9 0.9 1.5 5 4 11 19 30 19
21 23 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 0.7 1.6 3 4 13 13 31 13
22 15 Coventry 20 12 8 1.3 1.1 6 7 7 26 23 25
23 20 Stoke 20 12 8 0.9 1.4 6 3 11 19 28 21
24 14 Bristol City 20 13 7 1.1 1.1 7 5 8 21 22 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 10 1 9 3.0 1.7 9 0 1 30 17 27
2 6 Sunderland 10 2 8 1.9 1.3 6 0 4 19 13 18
3 9 Preston 10 2 8 1.5 1.7 5 2 3 15 17 17
4 18 Plymouth 10 2 8 2.4 1.4 6 1 3 24 14 19
5 3 Leeds 10 3 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 0 21 9 24
6 11 Blackburn 10 3 7 1.3 1.8 4 0 6 13 18 12
7 4 Southampton 10 4 6 1.9 1.4 6 2 2 19 14 20
8 10 Watford 11 5 6 2.0 1.0 5 4 2 22 11 19
9 19 Millwall 10 4 6 0.8 1.6 2 2 6 8 16 8
10 24 Rotherham 10 4 6 1.4 1.4 2 5 3 14 14 11
11 5 West Brom 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
12 13 Norwich 10 5 5 1.3 1.2 5 1 4 13 12 16
13 16 Swansea 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 2 5 3 12 12 11
14 17 Birmingham 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 5 4 1 15 9 19
15 22 QPR 9 4 5 1.1 1.8 2 2 5 10 16 8
16 1 Leicester 10 6 4 1.7 0.4 8 0 2 17 4 24
17 7 Cardiff 10 6 4 1.6 1.0 6 1 3 16 10 19
18 8 Hull 10 6 4 1.5 1.0 4 4 2 15 10 16
19 14 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 4 2 4 13 12 14
20 20 Stoke 10 6 4 0.9 1.2 4 1 5 9 12 13
21 21 Huddersfield 10 6 4 0.9 1.5 2 5 3 9 15 11
22 23 Sheffield Weds 10 6 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9
23 12 Middlesbrough 10 8 2 1.1 0.9 5 1 4 11 9 16
24 15 Coventry 10 8 2 1.2 0.7 4 5 1 12 7 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Middlesbrough 10 1 9 2.0 2.2 3 2 5 20 22 11
2 13 Norwich 10 1 9 2.1 2.4 3 2 5 21 24 11
3 11 Blackburn 10 2 8 1.9 1.5 5 1 4 19 15 16
4 8 Hull 10 3 7 1.4 1.6 4 2 4 14 16 14
5 16 Swansea 10 3 7 1.6 1.6 4 1 5 16 16 13
6 1 Leicester 10 4 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 1 21 8 25
7 4 Southampton 10 4 6 1.3 1.4 5 3 2 13 14 18
8 5 West Brom 10 4 6 1.4 1.2 3 3 4 14 12 12
9 15 Coventry 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 2 2 6 14 16 8
10 18 Plymouth 10 4 6 0.7 1.9 0 3 7 7 19 3
11 6 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.2 1.0 3 3 4 12 10 12
12 7 Cardiff 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 3 2 5 12 13 11
13 21 Huddersfield 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 4 4 10 17 10
14 23 Sheffield Weds 10 5 5 0.5 1.7 1 1 8 5 17 4
15 24 Rotherham 10 5 5 0.4 2.5 0 2 8 4 25 2
16 3 Leeds 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
17 9 Preston 10 6 4 0.9 1.5 3 3 4 9 15 12
18 17 Birmingham 10 6 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 8 8 20 4
19 19 Millwall 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
20 20 Stoke 10 6 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 6 10 16 8
21 22 QPR 11 7 4 0.8 1.3 3 2 6 9 14 11
22 2 Ipswich 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 6 3 1 13 8 21
23 10 Watford 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 2 3 4 7 13 9
24 14 Bristol City 10 7 3 0.8 1.0 3 3 4 8 10 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06