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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Eltringham

Derby 1–0 Preston

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.62 fair 2.32
Draw 3.10 fair 3.47
Away 2.87 fair 3.57
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.59
Over 2.5 2.50 fair 2.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Preston
22 Shots 12
13 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 5
10 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (457 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.77
Expected goals 1.24 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawPreston
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14% 1–1 13.2% 0–0 11.3%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
0.97scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 38:45
Preston before this match, all matches
1.34points / match
1.05scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 40:44
Derby all matches all matches Preston

Per match

0.97 Goals scored 1.05
1.15 Goals conceded 1.16
2.13 Total goals 2.21
9.85 Shots 10.66
3.03 Shots on target 3.50
12.13 Shots faced 11.39
4.38 Corners 4.76
4.90 Corners against 4.92
9.77 Fouls 11.74
1.97 Yellow cards 1.92
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.34
0.49 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

28% Wins 32%
33% Draws 39%
38% Losses 29%
87% Over 0.5 goals 82%
64% Over 1.5 goals 66%
38% Over 2.5 goals 45%
18% Over 3.5 goals 21%
5% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
51% Both teams scored 53%
31% Clean sheets 32%
31% Failed to score 34%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 16%
49% Draws 58%
28% Losses 26%
59% Over 0.5 goals 55%
23% Over 1.5 goals 29%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Preston all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.79points / match
1.37scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 26:17
Preston before this match, away
1.20points / match
0.80scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 16:23
Derby at home away Preston

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 0.80
0.89 Goals conceded 1.15
2.26 Total goals 1.95
10.95 Shots 8.70
3.58 Shots on target 2.75
11.53 Shots faced 10.95
4.47 Corners 4.80
4.63 Corners against 4.60
9.95 Fouls 12.00
1.95 Yellow cards 2.10
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.15
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

47% Wins 30%
37% Draws 30%
16% Losses 40%
89% Over 0.5 goals 80%
68% Over 1.5 goals 55%
42% Over 2.5 goals 40%
21% Over 3.5 goals 15%
5% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
58% Both teams scored 35%
42% Clean sheets 35%
11% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 5%
37% Draws 70%
26% Losses 25%
68% Over 0.5 goals 40%
32% Over 1.5 goals 20%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Preston away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.22 Derby – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.102.50 2.30 1.61
15.03.22 Blackburn – Derby 3–1 (0–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
12.03.22 Bournemouth – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 2.10 1.72
05.03.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.103.75 2.37 1.57
01.03.22 Cardiff – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.37 1.57
26.02.22 Luton – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.66
23.02.22 Derby – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.623.102.87 2.62 1.50
19.02.22 Derby – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.72
12.02.22 Middlesbrough – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 1.613.805.75 2.10 1.72
08.02.22 Derby – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57

Preston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.22 Luton – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 2.253.103.50 2.50 1.53
12.03.22 Cardiff – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.62 1.50
05.03.22 Preston – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.403.252.25 2.10 1.72
26.02.22 Coventry – Preston 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.304.20 2.20 1.66
22.02.22 Preston – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.252.70 2.30 1.61
19.02.22 Preston – Reading 2–3 (0–2) 1.723.605.00 2.10 1.77
12.02.22 Peterboro – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 2.00 1.80
09.02.22 Preston – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.70 2.20 1.66
05.02.22 Hull – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.30 1.61
01.02.22 Millwall – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.50 1.53

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.03.22 Derby – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.102.50 2.30 1.61
05.03.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.103.75 2.37 1.57
23.02.22 Derby – Millwall 1–2 (0–2) 2.623.102.87 2.62 1.50
19.02.22 Derby – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.72
08.02.22 Derby – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
30.01.22 Derby – Birmingham 2–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.50 1.53
15.01.22 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
27.12.21 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.003.30 2.30 1.61
29.11.21 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80

Preston away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.22 Luton – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 2.253.103.50 2.50 1.53
12.03.22 Cardiff – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.203.00 2.62 1.50
26.02.22 Coventry – Preston 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.304.20 2.20 1.66
12.02.22 Peterboro – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.502.05 2.00 1.80
05.02.22 Hull – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.30 1.61
01.02.22 Millwall – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.50 1.53
26.01.22 West Brom – Preston 0–2 (0–1) 1.613.756.00 2.05 1.80
22.01.22 Swansea – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.66
03.01.22 Stoke – Preston 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.61
04.12.21 Blackburn – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsPreston wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.21E1 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 37 23 8 6 90 32 +58 77
2 Bournemouth 36 20 9 7 59 31 +28 69
3 Huddersfield 40 18 12 10 52 43 +9 66
4 Luton 38 18 9 11 56 42 +14 63
5 Nott'm Forest 37 17 10 10 57 36 +21 61
6 Sheffield United 38 17 10 11 52 40 +12 61
7 Blackburn 39 17 10 12 49 39 +10 61
8 Middlesbrough 37 17 8 12 48 40 +8 59
9 QPR 38 17 8 13 54 48 +6 59
10 Millwall 38 15 12 11 39 36 +3 57
11 Coventry 38 15 10 13 49 46 +3 55
12 West Brom 38 14 12 12 42 36 +6 54
13 Blackpool 38 14 10 14 43 45 -2 52
14 Preston 38 12 15 11 40 44 -4 51
15 Stoke 38 13 10 15 48 44 +4 49
16 Swansea 37 13 9 15 41 52 -11 48
17 Derby 39 11 13 15 38 45 -7 46
18 Cardiff 38 13 7 18 45 56 -11 46
19 Bristol City 39 12 8 19 49 69 -20 44
20 Birmingham 39 10 12 17 42 58 -16 42
21 Hull 40 11 8 21 33 45 -12 41
22 Reading 38 11 6 21 44 73 -29 39
23 Barnsley 38 6 10 22 28 54 -26 28
24 Peterboro 38 6 8 24 32 76 -44 26
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 19 12 4 3 45 16 +29 40
2 Blackburn 20 12 4 4 35 21 +14 40
3 Middlesbrough 18 12 2 4 29 16 +13 38
4 Millwall 19 10 6 3 23 13 +10 36
5 Bournemouth 18 10 5 3 35 18 +17 35
6 Luton 19 10 5 4 32 19 +13 35
7 Huddersfield 19 10 5 4 27 20 +7 35
8 Sheffield United 18 10 4 4 31 13 +18 34
9 West Brom 18 9 7 2 24 12 +12 34
10 Coventry 20 10 4 6 29 19 +10 34
11 Derby 19 9 7 3 26 17 +9 34
12 QPR 20 9 6 5 28 20 +8 33
13 Blackpool 21 10 3 8 23 23 0 33
14 Nott'm Forest 19 9 4 6 30 21 +9 31
15 Swansea 18 8 5 5 23 20 +3 29
16 Stoke 19 8 4 7 27 21 +6 28
17 Preston 18 6 9 3 24 21 +3 27
18 Bristol City 20 7 6 7 26 27 -1 27
19 Cardiff 20 7 3 10 21 23 -2 24
20 Birmingham 19 6 5 8 21 25 -4 23
21 Reading 19 6 4 9 26 36 -10 22
22 Barnsley 19 5 6 8 16 21 -5 21
23 Peterboro 18 4 6 8 19 26 -7 18
24 Hull 20 5 3 12 16 26 -10 18
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 18 11 4 3 45 16 +29 37
2 Bournemouth 18 10 4 4 24 13 +11 34
3 Huddersfield 21 8 7 6 25 23 +2 31
4 Nott'm Forest 18 8 6 4 27 15 +12 30
5 Luton 19 8 4 7 24 23 +1 28
6 Sheffield United 20 7 6 7 21 27 -6 27
7 QPR 18 8 2 8 26 28 -2 26
8 Preston 20 6 6 8 16 23 -7 24
9 Hull 20 6 5 9 17 19 -2 23
10 Cardiff 18 6 4 8 24 33 -9 22
11 Stoke 19 5 6 8 21 23 -2 21
12 Blackburn 19 5 6 8 14 18 -4 21
13 Middlesbrough 19 5 6 8 19 24 -5 21
14 Coventry 18 5 6 7 20 27 -7 21
15 Millwall 19 5 6 8 16 23 -7 21
16 West Brom 20 5 5 10 18 24 -6 20
17 Blackpool 17 4 7 6 20 22 -2 19
18 Birmingham 20 4 7 9 21 33 -12 19
19 Swansea 19 5 4 10 18 32 -14 19
20 Bristol City 19 5 2 12 23 42 -19 17
21 Reading 19 5 2 12 18 37 -19 17
22 Derby 20 2 6 12 12 28 -16 12
23 Peterboro 20 2 2 16 13 50 -37 8
24 Barnsley 19 1 4 14 12 33 -21 7

Derby   Preston

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Bristol City 39 14 25 1.3 1.8 12 8 19 49 69 44
2 24 Peterboro 38 14 24 0.8 2.0 6 8 24 32 76 26
3 22 Reading 38 16 22 1.2 1.9 11 6 21 44 73 39
4 9 QPR 38 17 21 1.4 1.3 17 8 13 54 48 59
5 18 Cardiff 38 17 21 1.2 1.5 13 7 18 45 56 46
6 20 Birmingham 39 18 21 1.1 1.5 10 12 17 42 58 42
7 1 Fulham 37 17 20 2.4 0.9 23 8 6 90 32 77
8 4 Luton 38 18 20 1.5 1.1 18 9 11 56 42 63
9 2 Bournemouth 36 17 19 1.6 0.9 20 9 7 59 31 69
10 5 Nott'm Forest 37 18 19 1.5 1.0 17 10 10 57 36 61
11 16 Swansea 37 18 19 1.1 1.4 13 9 15 41 52 48
12 15 Stoke 38 20 18 1.3 1.2 13 10 15 48 44 49
13 3 Huddersfield 40 23 17 1.3 1.1 18 12 10 52 43 66
14 11 Coventry 38 21 17 1.3 1.2 15 10 13 49 46 55
15 14 Preston 38 21 17 1.1 1.2 12 15 11 40 44 51
16 6 Sheffield United 38 22 16 1.4 1.1 17 10 11 52 40 61
17 13 Blackpool 38 22 16 1.1 1.2 14 10 14 43 45 52
18 7 Blackburn 39 24 15 1.3 1.0 17 10 12 49 39 61
19 8 Middlesbrough 37 22 15 1.3 1.1 17 8 12 48 40 59
20 17 Derby 39 24 15 1.0 1.2 11 13 15 38 45 46
21 12 West Brom 38 24 14 1.1 0.9 14 12 12 42 36 54
22 23 Barnsley 38 25 13 0.7 1.4 6 10 22 28 54 28
23 10 Millwall 38 26 12 1.0 0.9 15 12 11 39 36 57
24 21 Hull 40 30 10 0.8 1.1 11 8 21 33 45 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 18 5 13 1.9 1.0 10 5 3 35 18 35
2 5 Nott'm Forest 19 7 12 1.6 1.1 9 4 6 30 21 31
3 1 Fulham 19 8 11 2.4 0.8 12 4 3 45 16 40
4 4 Luton 19 8 11 1.7 1.0 10 5 4 32 19 35
5 7 Blackburn 20 9 11 1.8 1.1 12 4 4 35 21 40
6 19 Bristol City 20 9 11 1.3 1.4 7 6 7 26 27 27
7 20 Birmingham 19 8 11 1.1 1.3 6 5 8 21 25 23
8 22 Reading 19 9 10 1.4 1.9 6 4 9 26 36 22
9 24 Peterboro 18 8 10 1.1 1.4 4 6 8 19 26 18
10 11 Coventry 20 11 9 1.4 0.9 10 4 6 29 19 34
11 13 Blackpool 21 12 9 1.1 1.1 10 3 8 23 23 33
12 14 Preston 18 9 9 1.3 1.2 6 9 3 24 21 27
13 15 Stoke 19 10 9 1.4 1.1 8 4 7 27 21 28
14 16 Swansea 18 9 9 1.3 1.1 8 5 5 23 20 29
15 3 Huddersfield 19 11 8 1.4 1.1 10 5 4 27 20 35
16 8 Middlesbrough 18 10 8 1.6 0.9 12 2 4 29 16 38
17 9 QPR 20 12 8 1.4 1.0 9 6 5 28 20 33
18 17 Derby 19 11 8 1.4 0.9 9 7 3 26 17 34
19 18 Cardiff 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 7 3 10 21 23 24
20 6 Sheffield United 18 11 7 1.7 0.7 10 4 4 31 13 34
21 12 West Brom 18 12 6 1.3 0.7 9 7 2 24 12 34
22 21 Hull 20 14 6 0.8 1.3 5 3 12 16 26 18
23 10 Millwall 19 14 5 1.2 0.7 10 6 3 23 13 36
24 23 Barnsley 19 15 4 0.8 1.1 5 6 8 16 21 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Bristol City 19 5 14 1.2 2.2 5 2 12 23 42 17
2 24 Peterboro 20 6 14 0.7 2.5 2 2 16 13 50 8
3 9 QPR 18 5 13 1.4 1.6 8 2 8 26 28 26
4 18 Cardiff 18 5 13 1.3 1.8 6 4 8 24 33 22
5 22 Reading 19 7 12 0.9 1.9 5 2 12 18 37 17
6 16 Swansea 19 9 10 0.9 1.7 5 4 10 18 32 19
7 20 Birmingham 20 10 10 1.1 1.6 4 7 9 21 33 19
8 1 Fulham 18 9 9 2.5 0.9 11 4 3 45 16 37
9 3 Huddersfield 21 12 9 1.2 1.1 8 7 6 25 23 31
10 4 Luton 19 10 9 1.3 1.2 8 4 7 24 23 28
11 6 Sheffield United 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 7 6 7 21 27 27
12 15 Stoke 19 10 9 1.1 1.2 5 6 8 21 23 21
13 23 Barnsley 19 10 9 0.6 1.7 1 4 14 12 33 7
14 11 Coventry 18 10 8 1.1 1.5 5 6 7 20 27 21
15 12 West Brom 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 5 5 10 18 24 20
16 14 Preston 20 12 8 0.8 1.1 6 6 8 16 23 24
17 5 Nott'm Forest 18 11 7 1.5 0.8 8 6 4 27 15 30
18 8 Middlesbrough 19 12 7 1.0 1.3 5 6 8 19 24 21
19 10 Millwall 19 12 7 0.8 1.2 5 6 8 16 23 21
20 13 Blackpool 17 10 7 1.2 1.3 4 7 6 20 22 19
21 17 Derby 20 13 7 0.6 1.4 2 6 12 12 28 12
22 2 Bournemouth 18 12 6 1.3 0.7 10 4 4 24 13 34
23 7 Blackburn 19 15 4 0.7 0.9 5 6 8 14 18 21
24 21 Hull 20 16 4 0.8 0.9 6 5 9 17 19 23

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51