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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Dean

Middlesbrough 4–1 Derby

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.61 fair 2.17
Draw 3.80 fair 3.50
Away 5.75 fair 3.94
Under 2.5 1.72 fair 1.58
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Derby
14 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 1
6 Corners 7
13 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (355 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.29 – 0.88
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 14.8% 1–1 13% 0–0 11.5%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.17scored / match
0.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 34:28
Derby before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.03scored / match
1.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 31:31
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.03
0.97 Goals conceded 1.03
2.14 Total goals 2.07
12.03 Shots 9.37
4.45 Shots on target 3.13
10.10 Shots faced 12.53
5.69 Corners 4.03
4.62 Corners against 4.77
10.41 Fouls 9.93
2.31 Yellow cards 1.97
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

45% Wins 30%
24% Draws 40%
31% Losses 30%
93% Over 0.5 goals 83%
76% Over 1.5 goals 63%
31% Over 2.5 goals 40%
10% Over 3.5 goals 17%
3% Over 4.5 goals 3%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 53%
38% Clean sheets 33%
24% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 23%
52% Draws 53%
3% Losses 23%
59% Over 0.5 goals 57%
17% Over 1.5 goals 23%
0% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Derby all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.93points / match
1.40scored / match
0.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 21:13
Derby before this match, away
0.80points / match
0.67scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 10:17
Middlesbrough at home away Derby

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 0.67
0.87 Goals conceded 1.13
2.27 Total goals 1.80
12.80 Shots 9.07
5.27 Shots on target 2.80
9.40 Shots faced 12.80
6.67 Corners 4.27
4.33 Corners against 4.73
10.20 Fouls 9.47
1.53 Yellow cards 1.93
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

60% Wins 13%
13% Draws 40%
27% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 60%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%
7% Over 3.5 goals 7%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 47%
47% Clean sheets 27%
7% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 7%
47% Draws 67%
0% Losses 27%
67% Over 0.5 goals 47%
20% Over 1.5 goals 13%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.22 QPR – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.623.202.87 2.20 1.66
29.01.22 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
24.01.22 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.66
15.01.22 Middlesbrough – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 1.90 1.95
29.12.21 Blackpool – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.80
26.12.21 Middlesbrough – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.203.75 2.20 1.66
18.12.21 Middlesbrough – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.80 2.10 1.72
11.12.21 Stoke – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.20 1.66
04.12.21 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 2.10 1.72
27.11.21 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.623.202.75 2.20 1.66

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.22 Derby – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
02.02.22 Huddersfield – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.61
30.01.22 Derby – Birmingham 2–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.50 1.53
22.01.22 Nott'm Forest – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.50 2.37 1.57
15.01.22 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
03.01.22 Reading – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.61
30.12.21 Stoke – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.663.755.50 2.20 1.66
27.12.21 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.003.30 2.30 1.61
04.12.21 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.01.22 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
15.01.22 Middlesbrough – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.444.507.50 1.90 1.95
26.12.21 Middlesbrough – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.203.75 2.20 1.66
18.12.21 Middlesbrough – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.252.80 2.10 1.72
04.12.21 Middlesbrough – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 2.10 1.72
23.11.21 Middlesbrough – Preston 1–2 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.30 1.61
20.11.21 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.253.80 2.30 1.61
30.10.21 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61
20.10.21 Middlesbrough – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.404.50 2.10 1.72
16.10.21 Middlesbrough – Peterboro 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 1.90 1.90

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.22 Huddersfield – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.61
22.01.22 Nott'm Forest – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.50 2.37 1.57
03.01.22 Reading – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.61
30.12.21 Stoke – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.663.755.50 2.20 1.66
04.12.21 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
24.11.21 Fulham – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.285.5010.00 1.72 2.10
06.11.21 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 1.833.404.75 2.37 1.57
03.11.21 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61
23.10.21 Coventry – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.72
16.10.21 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsDerby wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.08.21E1 Derby – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 29 18 7 4 77 26 +51 61
2 Bournemouth 29 16 7 6 47 25 +22 55
3 Blackburn 31 15 8 8 45 33 +12 53
4 QPR 29 15 7 7 46 33 +13 52
5 Huddersfield 32 13 11 8 40 34 +6 50
6 Nott'm Forest 30 13 7 10 41 31 +10 46
7 Sheffield United 29 13 7 9 39 33 +6 46
8 Middlesbrough 29 13 7 9 34 28 +6 46
9 Luton 29 12 9 8 41 33 +8 45
10 West Brom 30 12 9 9 34 26 +8 45
11 Stoke 29 12 6 11 36 30 +6 42
12 Preston 31 10 12 9 34 35 -1 42
13 Coventry 28 11 8 9 36 32 +4 41
14 Blackpool 30 11 8 11 33 35 -2 41
15 Derby 30 9 12 9 31 31 0 39
16 Millwall 29 9 10 10 29 32 -3 37
17 Bristol City 31 10 7 14 41 55 -14 37
18 Swansea 29 9 8 12 29 38 -9 35
19 Birmingham 31 8 9 14 34 49 -15 33
20 Hull 30 9 5 16 26 35 -9 32
21 Cardiff 29 9 5 15 35 48 -13 32
22 Reading 29 8 4 17 34 57 -23 28
23 Peterboro 28 5 5 18 23 59 -36 20
24 Barnsley 29 2 8 19 18 45 -27 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 16 10 4 2 40 13 +27 34
2 Blackburn 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33
3 West Brom 14 8 5 1 21 8 +13 29
4 QPR 16 8 5 3 23 13 +10 29
5 Middlesbrough 15 9 2 4 21 13 +8 29
6 Huddersfield 16 8 5 3 22 16 +6 29
7 Bournemouth 14 8 3 3 29 15 +14 27
8 Coventry 15 8 3 4 23 14 +9 27
9 Derby 15 7 6 2 21 14 +7 27
10 Luton 15 7 5 3 24 17 +7 26
11 Blackpool 16 8 2 6 16 16 0 26
12 Stoke 15 7 3 5 22 16 +6 24
13 Millwall 14 6 5 3 16 12 +4 23
14 Preston 15 5 8 2 20 17 +3 23
15 Bristol City 16 6 5 5 20 20 0 23
16 Swansea 14 6 4 4 16 13 +3 22
17 Nott'm Forest 15 6 3 6 19 18 +1 21
18 Sheffield United 12 6 2 4 19 11 +8 20
19 Birmingham 15 5 4 6 18 21 -3 19
20 Hull 15 5 3 7 15 17 -2 18
21 Peterboro 13 4 4 5 15 17 -2 16
22 Reading 15 4 4 7 21 31 -10 16
23 Cardiff 14 4 1 9 15 20 -5 13
24 Barnsley 14 2 4 8 8 17 -9 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 15 8 4 3 18 10 +8 28
2 Fulham 13 8 3 2 37 13 +24 27
3 Sheffield United 17 7 5 5 20 22 -2 26
4 Nott'm Forest 15 7 4 4 22 13 +9 25
5 QPR 13 7 2 4 23 20 +3 23
6 Huddersfield 16 5 6 5 18 18 0 21
7 Blackburn 15 5 5 5 14 14 0 20
8 Luton 14 5 4 5 17 16 +1 19
9 Preston 16 5 4 7 14 18 -4 19
10 Cardiff 15 5 4 6 20 28 -8 19
11 Stoke 14 5 3 6 14 14 0 18
12 Middlesbrough 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
13 West Brom 16 4 4 8 13 18 -5 16
14 Blackpool 14 3 6 5 17 19 -2 15
15 Coventry 13 3 5 5 13 18 -5 14
16 Millwall 15 3 5 7 13 20 -7 14
17 Hull 15 4 2 9 11 18 -7 14
18 Birmingham 16 3 5 8 16 28 -12 14
19 Bristol City 15 4 2 9 21 35 -14 14
20 Swansea 15 3 4 8 13 25 -12 13
21 Derby 15 2 6 7 10 17 -7 12
22 Reading 14 4 0 10 13 26 -13 12
23 Barnsley 15 0 4 11 10 28 -18 4
24 Peterboro 15 1 1 13 8 42 -34 4

Middlesbrough   Derby

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Bristol City 31 11 20 1.3 1.8 10 7 14 41 55 37
2 23 Peterboro 28 10 18 0.8 2.1 5 5 18 23 59 20
3 1 Fulham 29 12 17 2.7 0.9 18 7 4 77 26 61
4 19 Birmingham 31 14 17 1.1 1.6 8 9 14 34 49 33
5 21 Cardiff 29 12 17 1.2 1.7 9 5 15 35 48 32
6 22 Reading 29 12 17 1.2 2.0 8 4 17 34 57 28
7 4 QPR 29 13 16 1.6 1.1 15 7 7 46 33 52
8 2 Bournemouth 29 14 15 1.6 0.9 16 7 6 47 25 55
9 6 Nott'm Forest 30 15 15 1.4 1.0 13 7 10 41 31 46
10 3 Blackburn 31 17 14 1.5 1.1 15 8 8 45 33 53
11 9 Luton 29 15 14 1.4 1.1 12 9 8 41 33 45
12 12 Preston 31 17 14 1.1 1.1 10 12 9 34 35 42
13 18 Swansea 29 15 14 1.0 1.3 9 8 12 29 38 35
14 7 Sheffield United 29 16 13 1.3 1.1 13 7 9 39 33 46
15 13 Coventry 28 15 13 1.3 1.1 11 8 9 36 32 41
16 5 Huddersfield 32 20 12 1.2 1.1 13 11 8 40 34 50
17 11 Stoke 29 17 12 1.2 1.0 12 6 11 36 30 42
18 14 Blackpool 30 18 12 1.1 1.2 11 8 11 33 35 41
19 15 Derby 30 18 12 1.0 1.0 9 12 9 31 31 39
20 24 Barnsley 29 17 12 0.6 1.6 2 8 19 18 45 14
21 10 West Brom 30 19 11 1.1 0.9 12 9 9 34 26 45
22 16 Millwall 29 19 10 1.0 1.1 9 10 10 29 32 37
23 8 Middlesbrough 29 20 9 1.2 1.0 13 7 9 34 28 46
24 20 Hull 30 22 8 0.9 1.2 9 5 16 26 35 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Bournemouth 14 2 12 2.1 1.1 8 3 3 29 15 27
2 3 Blackburn 16 6 10 1.9 1.2 10 3 3 31 19 33
3 19 Birmingham 15 5 10 1.2 1.4 5 4 6 18 21 19
4 1 Fulham 16 7 9 2.5 0.8 10 4 2 40 13 34
5 6 Nott'm Forest 15 6 9 1.3 1.2 6 3 6 19 18 21
6 9 Luton 15 6 9 1.6 1.1 7 5 3 24 17 26
7 13 Coventry 15 7 8 1.5 0.9 8 3 4 23 14 27
8 22 Reading 15 7 8 1.4 2.1 4 4 7 21 31 16
9 11 Stoke 15 8 7 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 22 16 24
10 12 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 5 8 2 20 17 23
11 15 Derby 15 8 7 1.4 0.9 7 6 2 21 14 27
12 17 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 6 5 5 20 20 23
13 21 Cardiff 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 4 1 9 15 20 13
14 23 Peterboro 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 4 4 5 15 17 16
15 14 Blackpool 16 10 6 1.0 1.0 8 2 6 16 16 26
16 18 Swansea 14 8 6 1.1 0.9 6 4 4 16 13 22
17 4 QPR 16 11 5 1.4 0.8 8 5 3 23 13 29
18 5 Huddersfield 16 11 5 1.4 1.0 8 5 3 22 16 29
19 7 Sheffield United 12 7 5 1.6 0.9 6 2 4 19 11 20
20 8 Middlesbrough 15 10 5 1.4 0.9 9 2 4 21 13 29
21 10 West Brom 14 9 5 1.5 0.6 8 5 1 21 8 29
22 20 Hull 15 10 5 1.0 1.1 5 3 7 15 17 18
23 16 Millwall 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 6 5 3 16 12 23
24 24 Barnsley 14 11 3 0.6 1.2 2 4 8 8 17 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Bristol City 15 2 13 1.4 2.3 4 2 9 21 35 14
2 4 QPR 13 2 11 1.8 1.5 7 2 4 23 20 23
3 23 Peterboro 15 4 11 0.5 2.8 1 1 13 8 42 4
4 21 Cardiff 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 5 4 6 20 28 19
5 22 Reading 14 5 9 0.9 1.9 4 0 10 13 26 12
6 24 Barnsley 15 6 9 0.7 1.9 0 4 11 10 28 4
7 1 Fulham 13 5 8 2.8 1.0 8 3 2 37 13 27
8 7 Sheffield United 17 9 8 1.2 1.3 7 5 5 20 22 26
9 18 Swansea 15 7 8 0.9 1.7 3 4 8 13 25 13
10 5 Huddersfield 16 9 7 1.1 1.1 5 6 5 18 18 21
11 12 Preston 16 9 7 0.9 1.1 5 4 7 14 18 19
12 19 Birmingham 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 3 5 8 16 28 14
13 6 Nott'm Forest 15 9 6 1.5 0.9 7 4 4 22 13 25
14 10 West Brom 16 10 6 0.8 1.1 4 4 8 13 18 16
15 14 Blackpool 14 8 6 1.2 1.4 3 6 5 17 19 15
16 16 Millwall 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 3 5 7 13 20 14
17 9 Luton 14 9 5 1.2 1.1 5 4 5 17 16 19
18 11 Stoke 14 9 5 1.0 1.0 5 3 6 14 14 18
19 13 Coventry 13 8 5 1.0 1.4 3 5 5 13 18 14
20 15 Derby 15 10 5 0.7 1.1 2 6 7 10 17 12
21 3 Blackburn 15 11 4 0.9 0.9 5 5 5 14 14 20
22 8 Middlesbrough 14 10 4 0.9 1.1 4 5 5 13 15 17
23 2 Bournemouth 15 12 3 1.2 0.7 8 4 3 18 10 28
24 20 Hull 15 12 3 0.7 1.2 4 2 9 11 18 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51