Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal – Spain La Liga, 10 Oct 2026

Match facts

Real Madrid Villarreal

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

1.43 Expected goals (xG) 0.59

9 Corners 3

8 Fouls 13

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (72 league matches this season so far).

Result Real Madrid to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.57

Expected goals 2.10 – 1.30

Home / Draw / Away

56% 21% 23%

Real MadridDrawVillarreal

Under / Over 2.5 goals

34% 66%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

36% 64%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

11% 1

19% 2

22% 3

19% 4

26% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.6% 1–1 9.1% 2–0 7.4%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches

2.14points / match

2.57scored / match

1.14conceded / match

5 2

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 18:8

Villarreal before this match, all matches

1.14points / match

1.86scored / match

1.71conceded / match

2 2 3

WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:12

Real Madrid all matches all matches Villarreal

Per match

2.57 Goals scored 1.86

1.14 Goals conceded 1.71

3.71 Total goals 3.57

2.60 xG created 2.34

1.09 xG allowed 1.27

18.86 Shots 16.00

7.57 Shots on target 6.57

12.71 Shots faced 12.86

6.86 Corners 7.29

4.14 Corners against 3.71

8.43 Fouls 10.71

1.86 Yellow cards 1.57

1.43 1st-half goals scored 1.00

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

71% Wins 29%

0% Draws 29%

29% Losses 43%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

86% Over 1.5 goals 86%

86% Over 2.5 goals 86%

57% Over 3.5 goals 71%

43% Over 4.5 goals 14%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

71% Both teams scored 86%

14% Clean sheets 0%

14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 14%

57% Draws 57%

0% Losses 29%

71% Over 0.5 goals 86%

71% Over 1.5 goals 71%

29% Over 2.5 goals 43%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches

2

W

1

W

4

2

W

2

1

W

4

1

W

4

W

1

L

4

1

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

Villarreal all matches

2

3

L

2

L

5

1

W

2

D

2

D

1

L

2

3

L

1

2

L

3

1

W

3

1

W

Real Madrid before this match, at home

3.00points / match

4.00scored / match

0.67conceded / match

3

WonDrawnLost 3 played · 12:2

Villarreal before this match, away

1.25points / match

1.75scored / match

1.50conceded / match

1 2 1

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:6

Real Madrid at home away Villarreal

Per match

4.00 Goals scored 1.75

0.67 Goals conceded 1.50

4.67 Total goals 3.25

2.72 xG created 2.25

0.83 xG allowed 1.02

21.00 Shots 15.00

10.00 Shots on target 6.50

14.00 Shots faced 12.50

8.00 Corners 7.50

6.00 Corners against 5.00

8.33 Fouls 11.25

1.00 Yellow cards 1.75

2.33 1st-half goals scored 1.00

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 25%

0% Draws 50%

0% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 75%

100% Over 2.5 goals 75%

100% Over 3.5 goals 75%

67% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

67% Both teams scored 75%

33% Clean sheets 0%

0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 25%

33% Draws 50%

0% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 75%

100% Over 1.5 goals 50%

67% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home

1

L

4

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

2

1

W

2

W

4

2

W

4

1

W

4

W

4

1

W

Villarreal away

1

D

1

L

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

2

L

2

D

2

D

1

L

3

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.09.26	Ath Madrid – Real Madrid	2–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.80	1.95	1.44	2.75
15.09.26	Elche – Real Madrid	2–3 (0–2)	12.00	7.50	1.20	1.30	3.50
12.09.26	Real Madrid – Vallecano	4–1 (3–0)	1.13	9.50	19.00	1.29	3.75
04.09.26	Betis – Real Madrid	1–0 (0–0)	7.00	5.25	1.38	1.36	3.20
30.08.26	Real Madrid – Malaga	4–0 (3–0)	1.11	9.00	21.00	1.33	3.40
26.08.26	Real Madrid – Sociedad	4–1 (1–1)	1.30	6.25	8.00	1.44	2.75
22.08.26	Espanol – Real Madrid	1–2 (1–1)	7.00	4.50	1.44	1.73	2.10
23.05.26	Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao	4–2 (2–1)	1.50	4.75	5.75	1.50	2.63
17.05.26	Sevilla – Real Madrid	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.50	2.15	1.73	2.10
14.05.26	Real Madrid – Oviedo	2–0 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.40	3.00

Villarreal all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.09.26	Villarreal – Levante	3–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.75	5.50	1.50	2.63
17.09.26	Malaga – Villarreal	1–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.70	1.95	1.62	2.30
14.09.26	Villarreal – Betis	1–2 (1–2)	1.91	4.00	3.60	1.57	2.38
05.09.26	Villarreal – La Coruna	2–3 (1–1)	1.50	4.20	6.50	1.73	2.10
28.08.26	Alaves – Villarreal	1–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.80	2.00
23.08.26	Ath Madrid – Villarreal	2–2 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.10	1.88	1.98
16.08.26	Santander – Villarreal	2–2 (2–2)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.80	2.00
24.05.26	Villarreal – Ath Madrid	5–1 (4–1)	2.45	3.60	2.75	1.50	2.63
17.05.26	Vallecano – Villarreal	2–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.50	2.63	1.73	2.10
13.05.26	Villarreal – Sevilla	2–3 (2–2)	2.10	3.30	3.60	1.80	2.00

Real Madrid at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.09.26	Real Madrid – Vallecano	4–1 (3–0)	1.13	9.50	19.00	1.29	3.75
30.08.26	Real Madrid – Malaga	4–0 (3–0)	1.11	9.00	21.00	1.33	3.40
26.08.26	Real Madrid – Sociedad	4–1 (1–1)	1.30	6.25	8.00	1.44	2.75
23.05.26	Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao	4–2 (2–1)	1.50	4.75	5.75	1.50	2.63
14.05.26	Real Madrid – Oviedo	2–0 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.40	3.00
21.04.26	Real Madrid – Alaves	2–1 (1–0)	1.22	6.50	12.00	1.40	3.00
10.04.26	Real Madrid – Girona	1–1 (0–0)	1.30	6.00	8.50	1.44	2.75
22.03.26	Real Madrid – Ath Madrid	3–2 (0–1)	1.95	4.00	3.50	1.62	2.30
14.03.26	Real Madrid – Elche	4–1 (2–0)	1.33	5.50	7.50	1.44	2.75
02.03.26	Real Madrid – Getafe	0–1 (0–1)	1.30	5.50	10.00	1.83	2.03

Villarreal away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.09.26	Malaga – Villarreal	1–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.70	1.95	1.62	2.30
28.08.26	Alaves – Villarreal	1–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.80	2.00
23.08.26	Ath Madrid – Villarreal	2–2 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.10	1.88	1.98
16.08.26	Santander – Villarreal	2–2 (2–2)	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.80	2.00
17.05.26	Vallecano – Villarreal	2–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.50	2.63	1.73	2.10
10.05.26	Mallorca – Villarreal	1–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.10
23.04.26	Oviedo – Villarreal	1–1 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.05	1.98	1.88
12.04.26	Ath Bilbao – Villarreal	1–2 (0–2)	2.30	3.50	3.10	1.98	1.88
06.04.26	Girona – Villarreal	1–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.60	2.20	1.67	2.20
13.03.26	Alaves – Villarreal	1–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.91	1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

5 3 2

Real Madrid winsDrawsVillarreal wins

10matches

3.20goals / match

60%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.01.26SP1	Villarreal – Real Madrid	0–2 (0–0)	3.40	3.90	2.00	1.50	2.63
04.10.25SP1	Real Madrid – Villarreal	3–1 (0–0)	1.45	5.00	6.00	1.40	3.00
15.03.25SP1	Villarreal – Real Madrid	1–2 (1–2)	3.10	3.75	2.15	1.50	2.63
05.10.24SP1	Real Madrid – Villarreal	2–0 (1–0)	1.27	6.25	8.50	1.33	3.40
19.05.24SP1	Villarreal – Real Madrid	4–4 (1–4)	3.20	3.75	2.05	1.44	2.75
17.12.23SP1	Real Madrid – Villarreal	4–1 (2–0)	1.29	6.00	9.00	1.40	2.88
08.04.23SP1	Real Madrid – Villarreal	2–3 (1–1)	1.53	4.33	5.75	1.62	2.30
07.01.23SP1	Villarreal – Real Madrid	2–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.80	2.05	1.62	2.30
12.02.22SP1	Villarreal – Real Madrid	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.80	2.00
25.09.21SP1	Real Madrid – Villarreal	0–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.75	5.75	1.57	2.37

Spain La Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	8	0	0	34	7	+27	24
2	Ath Madrid	8	6	1	1	18	8	+10	19
3	Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	8	3	2	3	12	8	+4	11
7	La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Espanol	8	2	2	4	11	11	0	8
12	Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	2	2	4	4	10	-6	8
14	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
15	Celta	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Malaga	8	0	4	4	4	13	-9	4
20	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4

Champions League – league phase
Europa League – league phase
Conference League – play-off round
Relegation to Segunda División

Copa del Rey winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	17	4	+13	12
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	10	3	+7	10
3	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	12	2	+10	9
4	Alaves	5	3	0	2	10	5	+5	9
5	Betis	3	3	0	0	3	0	+3	9
6	Getafe	4	2	2	0	4	2	+2	8
7	Santander	3	2	1	0	7	5	+2	7
8	Vallecano	3	2	1	0	6	4	+2	7
9	Sevilla	4	2	0	2	5	7	-2	6
10	Ath Bilbao	4	1	2	1	5	4	+1	5
11	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	5	4	+1	5
12	Osasuna	4	1	2	1	2	3	-1	5
13	Celta	4	1	1	2	7	5	+2	4
14	Espanol	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4
15	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
16	Levante	2	1	0	1	7	6	+1	3
17	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	6	6	0	3
18	Malaga	4	0	3	1	3	5	-2	3
19	Valencia	4	0	1	3	2	9	-7	1
20	Elche	3	0	0	3	4	11	-7	0

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	17	3	+14	12
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	8	5	+3	9
3	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	5	2	+3	7
4	Betis	4	2	1	1	6	7	-1	7
5	Real Madrid	4	2	0	2	6	6	0	6
6	Sociedad	4	2	0	2	7	9	-2	6
7	Elche	4	1	2	1	7	6	+1	5
8	Villarreal	4	1	2	1	7	6	+1	5
9	La Coruna	3	1	2	0	5	4	+1	5
10	Espanol	4	1	1	2	5	5	0	4
11	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3
12	Celta	3	0	3	0	1	1	0	3
13	Valencia	3	1	0	2	2	4	-2	3
14	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	4	10	-6	3
15	Alaves	3	0	2	1	2	3	-1	2
16	Levante	4	0	2	2	1	6	-5	2
17	Vallecano	4	0	1	3	5	12	-7	1
18	Malaga	4	0	1	3	1	8	-7	1
19	Getafe	4	0	0	4	0	8	-8	0
20	Santander	4	0	0	4	4	16	-12	0

Real Madrid Villarreal

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Barcelona	8	1	7	4.2	0.9	8	0	0	34	7	24
2	2	Ath Madrid	8	1	7	2.2	1.0	6	1	1	18	8	19
3	4	Real Madrid	7	1	6	2.6	1.1	5	0	2	18	8	15
4	9	Villarreal	7	1	6	1.9	1.7	2	2	3	13	12	8
5	16	Santander	7	1	6	1.6	3.0	2	1	4	11	21	7
6	8	Sociedad	7	2	5	1.3	1.9	3	1	3	9	13	10
7	11	Espanol	8	3	5	1.4	1.4	2	2	4	11	11	8
8	12	Vallecano	7	2	5	1.6	2.3	2	2	3	11	16	8
9	18	Elche	7	2	5	1.6	2.4	1	2	4	11	17	5
10	5	Sevilla	7	3	4	1.4	1.3	4	1	2	10	9	13
11	6	Alaves	8	4	4	1.5	1.0	3	2	3	12	8	11
12	17	Levante	6	2	4	1.3	2.0	1	2	3	8	12	5
13	14	Osasuna	7	4	3	0.9	1.9	2	2	3	6	13	8
14	20	Valencia	7	4	3	0.6	1.9	1	1	5	4	13	4
15	3	Betis	7	5	2	1.3	1.0	5	1	1	9	7	16
16	7	La Coruna	7	5	2	1.4	1.1	2	4	1	10	8	10
17	10	Ath Bilbao	6	4	2	1.2	1.0	2	2	2	7	6	8
18	13	Getafe	8	6	2	0.5	1.2	2	2	4	4	10	8
19	15	Celta	7	5	2	1.1	0.9	1	4	2	8	6	7
20	19	Malaga	8	6	2	0.5	1.6	0	4	4	4	13	4

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Barcelona	4	1	3	4.2	1.0	4	0	0	17	4	12
2	2	Ath Madrid	4	1	3	2.5	0.8	3	1	0	10	3	10
3	4	Real Madrid	3	0	3	4.0	0.7	3	0	0	12	2	9
4	5	Sevilla	4	1	3	1.2	1.8	2	0	2	5	7	6
5	6	Alaves	5	2	3	2.0	1.0	3	0	2	10	5	9
6	9	Villarreal	3	0	3	2.0	2.0	1	0	2	6	6	3
7	11	Espanol	4	1	3	1.5	1.5	1	1	2	6	6	4
8	16	Santander	3	0	3	2.3	1.7	2	1	0	7	5	7
9	18	Elche	3	0	3	1.3	3.7	0	0	3	4	11	0
10	8	Sociedad	3	1	2	0.7	1.3	1	1	1	2	4	4
11	10	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	1.2	1.0	1	2	1	5	4	5
12	12	Vallecano	3	1	2	2.0	1.3	2	1	0	6	4	7
13	15	Celta	4	2	2	1.8	1.2	1	1	2	7	5	4
14	17	Levante	2	0	2	3.5	3.0	1	0	1	7	6	3
15	20	Valencia	4	2	2	0.5	2.2	0	1	3	2	9	1
16	7	La Coruna	4	3	1	1.2	1.0	1	2	1	5	4	5
17	19	Malaga	4	3	1	0.8	1.2	0	3	1	3	5	3
18	3	Betis	3	3	0	1.0	0.0	3	0	0	3	0	9
19	13	Getafe	4	4	0	1.0	0.5	2	2	0	4	2	8
20	14	Osasuna	4	4	0	0.5	0.8	1	2	1	2	3	5

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Barcelona	4	0	4	4.2	0.8	4	0	0	17	3	12
2	2	Ath Madrid	4	0	4	2.0	1.2	3	0	1	8	5	9
3	4	Real Madrid	4	1	3	1.5	1.5	2	0	2	6	6	6
4	8	Sociedad	4	1	3	1.8	2.2	2	0	2	7	9	6
5	9	Villarreal	4	1	3	1.8	1.5	1	2	1	7	6	5
6	12	Vallecano	4	1	3	1.2	3.0	0	1	3	5	12	1
7	14	Osasuna	3	0	3	1.3	3.3	1	0	2	4	10	3
8	16	Santander	4	1	3	1.0	4.0	0	0	4	4	16	0
9	3	Betis	4	2	2	1.5	1.8	2	1	1	6	7	7
10	11	Espanol	4	2	2	1.2	1.2	1	1	2	5	5	4
11	13	Getafe	4	2	2	0.0	2.0	0	0	4	0	8	0
12	17	Levante	4	2	2	0.2	1.5	0	2	2	1	6	2
13	18	Elche	4	2	2	1.8	1.5	1	2	1	7	6	5
14	5	Sevilla	3	2	1	1.7	0.7	2	1	0	5	2	7
15	6	Alaves	3	2	1	0.7	1.0	0	2	1	2	3	2
16	7	La Coruna	3	2	1	1.7	1.3	1	2	0	5	4	5
17	19	Malaga	4	3	1	0.2	2.0	0	1	3	1	8	1
18	20	Valencia	3	2	1	0.7	1.3	1	0	2	2	4	3
19	10	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	1.0	1.0	1	0	1	2	2	3
20	15	Celta	3	3	0	0.3	0.3	0	3	0	1	1	3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.