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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Villarreal 5–1 Ath Madrid

Full time · half time 4–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.45 fair 2.01
Draw 3.60 fair 4.26
Away 2.75 fair 3.75
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Villarreal Ath Madrid
14 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 9
3 Fouls 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (379 league matches this season so far).
Result Villarreal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.75 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
VillarrealDrawAth Madrid
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Villarreal before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
1.81scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 67:45
Ath Madrid before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
1.65scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 61:39
Villarreal all matches all matches Ath Madrid

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.65
1.22 Goals conceded 1.05
3.03 Total goals 2.70
11.92 Shots 13.22
4.43 Shots on target 5.11
12.89 Shots faced 11.57
4.16 Corners 6.41
4.78 Corners against 4.27
12.19 Fouls 11.16
2.11 Yellow cards 2.11
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.49

How often Full Time

57% Wins 57%
16% Draws 16%
27% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
92% Over 1.5 goals 73%
57% Over 2.5 goals 49%
35% Over 3.5 goals 24%
16% Over 4.5 goals 19%
3% Over 5.5 goals 5%
62% Both teams scored 51%
22% Clean sheets 38%
16% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

49% Wins 32%
27% Draws 57%
24% Losses 11%
81% Over 0.5 goals 70%
38% Over 1.5 goals 41%
16% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal all matches
Ath Madrid all matches
Villarreal before this match, at home
2.39points / match
2.39scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 43:18
Ath Madrid before this match, away
1.28points / match
1.22scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 22:22
Villarreal at home away Ath Madrid

Per match

2.39 Goals scored 1.22
1.00 Goals conceded 1.22
3.39 Total goals 2.44
14.56 Shots 10.89
5.72 Shots on target 3.89
11.11 Shots faced 13.50
5.39 Corners 4.94
4.39 Corners against 4.78
12.22 Fouls 12.28
1.67 Yellow cards 2.33
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

78% Wins 33%
6% Draws 28%
17% Losses 39%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
94% Over 1.5 goals 78%
72% Over 2.5 goals 44%
44% Over 3.5 goals 17%
22% Over 4.5 goals 11%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
61% Both teams scored 56%
28% Clean sheets 33%
11% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 33%
28% Draws 56%
11% Losses 11%
83% Over 0.5 goals 61%
50% Over 1.5 goals 39%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal at home
Ath Madrid away

Last 10 matches before this match

Villarreal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26 Vallecano – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.63 1.73 2.10
13.05.26 Villarreal – Sevilla 2–3 (2–2) 2.103.303.60 1.80 2.00
10.05.26 Mallorca – Villarreal 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Villarreal – Levante 5–1 (1–0) 1.704.334.33 1.57 2.38
26.04.26 Villarreal – Celta 2–1 (2–0) 2.053.403.70 1.83 2.03
23.04.26 Oviedo – Villarreal 1–1 (0–1) 3.603.402.05 1.98 1.88
12.04.26 Ath Bilbao – Villarreal 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.503.10 1.98 1.88
06.04.26 Girona – Villarreal 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.602.20 1.67 2.20
20.03.26 Villarreal – Sociedad 3–1 (3–0) 1.913.703.90 1.73 2.10
13.03.26 Alaves – Villarreal 1–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 1.91 1.91

Ath Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26 Ath Madrid – Girona 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.604.50 1.73 2.10
12.05.26 Osasuna – Ath Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.63 1.73 2.10
09.05.26 Ath Madrid – Celta 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Valencia – Ath Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.904.00 1.83 2.03
25.04.26 Ath Madrid – Ath Bilbao 3–2 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.88 1.98
22.04.26 Elche – Ath Madrid 3–2 (2–2) 2.553.802.45 1.67 2.20
11.04.26 Sevilla – Ath Madrid 2–1 (2–1) 2.703.102.80 2.10 1.73
04.04.26 Ath Madrid – Barcelona 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.802.15 1.44 2.75
22.03.26 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 3–2 (0–1) 1.954.003.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Ath Madrid – Getafe 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.50 2.38 1.57

Villarreal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.26 Villarreal – Sevilla 2–3 (2–2) 2.103.303.60 1.80 2.00
02.05.26 Villarreal – Levante 5–1 (1–0) 1.704.334.33 1.57 2.38
26.04.26 Villarreal – Celta 2–1 (2–0) 2.053.403.70 1.83 2.03
20.03.26 Villarreal – Sociedad 3–1 (3–0) 1.913.703.90 1.73 2.10
08.03.26 Villarreal – Elche 2–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.38
22.02.26 Villarreal – Valencia 2–1 (2–1) 1.704.004.50 1.80 2.00
09.02.26 Villarreal – Espanol 4–1 (2–0) 1.704.334.33 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Villarreal – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.902.00 1.50 2.63
10.01.26 Villarreal – Alaves 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.337.00 1.88 1.98
21.12.25 Villarreal – Barcelona 0–2 (0–1) 3.404.751.83 1.29 3.75

Ath Madrid away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.26 Osasuna – Ath Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.63 1.73 2.10
02.05.26 Valencia – Ath Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 1.803.904.00 1.83 2.03
22.04.26 Elche – Ath Madrid 3–2 (2–2) 2.553.802.45 1.67 2.20
11.04.26 Sevilla – Ath Madrid 2–1 (2–1) 2.703.102.80 2.10 1.73
22.03.26 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 3–2 (0–1) 1.954.003.50 1.62 2.30
28.02.26 Oviedo – Ath Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.753.601.67 2.00 1.80
15.02.26 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 3–0 (2–0) 4.203.301.83 2.10 1.73
31.01.26 Levante – Ath Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.001.62 1.73 2.10
04.01.26 Sociedad – Ath Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 3.903.601.91 2.00 1.80
21.12.25 Girona – Ath Madrid 0–3 (0–2) 5.004.001.67 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Villarreal winsDrawsAth Madrid wins
9matches
3.22goals / match
67%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25SP1 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.73 2.10
25.01.25SP1 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 1–1 (0–1) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
19.08.24SP1 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 2–2 (2–2) 3.303.702.10 1.73 2.10
01.04.24SP1 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.752.25 1.57 2.35
12.11.23SP1 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.50 2.50
04.06.23SP1 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.57 2.38
21.08.22SP1 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 0–2 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.05 1.85
09.01.22SP1 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 2–2 (1–1) 2.803.202.62 2.10 1.72
29.08.21SP1 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.405.25 2.20 1.66

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95 36 +59 94 WWWLWL
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77 35 +42 86 DWLWWW
3 Villarreal 37 21 6 10 67 45 +22 69 DWWDLL
4 Ath Madrid 37 21 6 10 61 39 +22 69 LWWLWW
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59 48 +11 60 DWDWLW
6 Celta 38 14 12 12 53 48 +5 54 LWWLDW
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32 38 -6 51 LLDWLW
8 Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41 44 -3 50 DWDDWW
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46 55 -9 49 WLWDWW
10 Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59 61 -2 46 DLDDLD
11 Espanol 38 12 10 16 43 55 -12 46 DLLWWD
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43 58 -15 45 LWLLDL
13 Elche 38 10 13 15 49 57 -8 43 WLDLWD
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44 56 -12 43 WLDWWL
15 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46 60 -14 43 LWWWLL
16 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44 50 -6 42 WLLLLL
17 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47 57 -10 42 LWDLLW
18 Levante 38 11 9 18 47 61 -14 42 DLWWWL
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39 55 -16 41 LLDDLD
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26 60 -34 29 LLDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 19 19 0 0 57 10 +47 57 WWWWWW
2 Real Madrid 19 16 1 2 45 16 +29 49 WWDWWW
3 Ath Madrid 19 15 1 3 39 17 +22 46 WWLWLW
4 Villarreal 18 14 1 3 43 18 +25 43 WWWWWL
5 Betis 19 10 6 3 34 19 +15 36 DDDWWW
6 Elche 19 9 8 2 30 19 +11 35 DWWWDW
7 Mallorca 19 9 6 4 31 21 +10 33 WWWDDW
8 Osasuna 19 9 5 5 31 24 +7 32 WDWLLL
9 Vallecano 19 7 10 2 24 15 +9 31 DWWDDW
10 Valencia 19 8 6 5 27 23 +4 30 WLWLDW
11 Ath Bilbao 19 9 3 7 22 21 +1 30 LWLWLD
12 Sociedad 19 8 5 6 37 31 +6 29 WWDLDL
13 Getafe 19 8 3 8 18 16 +2 27 WWLLWW
14 Alaves 19 7 6 6 25 25 0 27 DDWLWL
15 Levante 19 7 5 7 26 28 -2 26 DWWWWW
16 Espanol 19 7 5 7 21 24 -3 26 DLDLWD
17 Sevilla 19 7 4 8 24 25 -1 25 DLWWWL
18 Girona 19 6 6 7 21 27 -6 24 WWLLDD
19 Celta 19 6 5 8 29 28 +1 23 LLLWLW
20 Oviedo 19 4 7 8 9 18 -9 19 WWDLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Real Madrid 19 11 4 4 32 19 +13 37 WLDWLW
2 Barcelona 19 12 1 6 38 26 +12 37 WWWWLL
3 Celta 19 8 7 4 24 20 +4 31 DWLLWD
4 Villarreal 19 7 5 7 24 27 -3 26 DLWDDL
5 Betis 19 5 9 5 25 29 -4 24 LLDWDL
6 Getafe 19 7 3 9 14 22 -8 24 LWLWDL
7 Ath Madrid 18 6 5 7 22 22 0 23 WLLLWW
8 Espanol 19 5 5 9 22 31 -9 20 LDLLLW
9 Vallecano 19 5 4 10 17 29 -12 19 DLLWDW
10 Valencia 19 5 4 10 19 32 -13 19 LWLDWW
11 Sevilla 19 5 3 11 22 35 -13 18 LLLLWL
12 Sociedad 19 3 8 8 22 30 -8 17 LLDLDD
13 Girona 19 3 8 8 18 28 -10 17 DLDLDL
14 Levante 19 4 4 11 21 33 -12 16 DLDLWL
15 Alaves 19 4 4 11 19 31 -12 16 LWDLDW
16 Ath Bilbao 19 4 3 12 21 37 -16 15 LLLWLL
17 Osasuna 19 2 4 13 13 26 -13 10 LLDLLL
18 Oviedo 19 2 4 13 17 42 -25 10 DLWLLL
19 Mallorca 19 2 3 14 16 36 -20 9 DLLWLL
20 Elche 19 1 5 13 19 38 -19 8 LLWLLD

Villarreal   Ath Madrid

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Barcelona 38 10 28 2.5 0.9 31 1 6 95 36 94 UOUUOO
2 17 Mallorca 38 14 24 1.2 1.5 11 9 18 47 57 42 OUUOUO
3 10 Sociedad 38 16 22 1.6 1.6 11 13 14 59 61 46 OUOUOU
4 13 Elche 38 16 22 1.3 1.5 10 13 15 49 57 43 OOUOUU
5 2 Real Madrid 38 17 21 2.0 0.9 27 5 6 77 35 86 UUUUUO
6 3 Villarreal 37 16 21 1.8 1.2 21 6 10 67 45 69 UOOUOU
7 15 Sevilla 38 17 21 1.2 1.6 12 7 19 46 60 43 OUOOUU
8 5 Betis 38 18 20 1.6 1.3 15 15 8 59 48 60 UOOOOO
9 11 Espanol 38 19 19 1.1 1.4 12 10 16 43 55 46 UUOUOU
10 14 Alaves 38 19 19 1.2 1.5 11 10 17 44 56 43 OOUUUO
11 16 Osasuna 38 19 19 1.2 1.3 11 9 18 44 50 42 OOOOOU
12 4 Ath Madrid 37 19 18 1.6 1.1 21 6 10 61 39 69 OOUUOU
13 12 Ath Bilbao 38 20 18 1.1 1.5 13 6 19 43 58 45 OOUUUO
14 6 Celta 38 21 17 1.4 1.3 14 12 12 53 48 54 OOUOUU
15 18 Levante 38 21 17 1.2 1.6 11 9 18 47 61 42 UOOOUO
16 19 Girona 38 21 17 1.0 1.4 9 14 15 39 55 41 OUUUUU
17 9 Valencia 38 22 16 1.2 1.4 13 10 15 46 55 49 OUUUOO
18 20 Oviedo 38 23 15 0.7 1.6 6 11 21 26 60 29 OOUUUO
19 8 Vallecano 38 24 14 1.1 1.2 12 14 12 41 44 50 OUUUUO
20 7 Getafe 38 28 10 0.8 1.0 15 6 17 32 38 51 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Barcelona 19 4 15 3.0 0.5 19 0 0 57 10 57 OUOUUO
2 10 Sociedad 19 5 14 1.9 1.6 8 5 6 37 31 29 OUOUOO
3 3 Villarreal 18 5 13 2.4 1.0 14 1 3 43 18 43 OOOOOO
4 16 Osasuna 19 7 12 1.6 1.3 9 5 5 31 24 32 UUOOOO
5 2 Real Madrid 19 8 11 2.4 0.8 16 1 2 45 16 49 OOUOUO
6 14 Alaves 19 8 11 1.3 1.3 7 6 6 25 25 27 UOOOUO
7 17 Mallorca 19 8 11 1.6 1.1 9 6 4 31 21 33 OOOUUO
8 4 Ath Madrid 19 9 10 2.1 0.9 15 1 3 39 17 46 OUOOUU
9 5 Betis 19 9 10 1.8 1.0 10 6 3 34 19 36 UUUOOO
10 13 Elche 19 9 10 1.6 1.0 9 8 2 30 19 35 OOUOUU
11 15 Sevilla 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 7 4 8 24 25 25 UUOUOU
12 6 Celta 19 10 9 1.5 1.5 6 5 8 29 28 23 OOOOOU
13 19 Girona 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 6 6 7 21 27 24 OUOUUU
14 11 Espanol 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 7 5 7 21 24 26 UOUUUU
15 12 Ath Bilbao 19 11 8 1.2 1.1 9 3 7 22 21 30 UOOUUU
16 18 Levante 19 11 8 1.4 1.5 7 5 7 26 28 26 UOUUOU
17 9 Valencia 19 12 7 1.4 1.2 8 6 5 27 23 30 OOOUUO
18 8 Vallecano 19 14 5 1.3 0.8 7 10 2 24 15 31 UUUOUU
19 7 Getafe 19 15 4 0.9 0.8 8 3 8 18 16 27 UUUUOU
20 20 Oviedo 19 15 4 0.5 0.9 4 7 8 9 18 19 UUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Barcelona 19 6 13 2.0 1.4 12 1 6 38 26 37 UOUOUO
2 17 Mallorca 19 6 13 0.8 1.9 2 3 14 16 36 9 OOOUOU
3 13 Elche 19 7 12 1.0 2.0 1 5 13 19 38 8 OUOOOU
4 11 Espanol 19 8 11 1.2 1.6 5 5 9 22 31 20 OUOUOO
5 15 Sevilla 19 8 11 1.2 1.8 5 3 11 22 35 18 OUUOOU
6 20 Oviedo 19 8 11 0.9 2.2 2 4 13 17 42 10 UOOOUO
7 2 Real Madrid 19 9 10 1.7 1.0 11 4 4 32 19 37 OOUUUU
8 5 Betis 19 9 10 1.3 1.5 5 9 5 25 29 24 UOUOOO
9 12 Ath Bilbao 19 9 10 1.1 1.9 4 3 12 21 37 15 OUOOUO
10 8 Vallecano 19 10 9 0.9 1.5 5 4 10 17 29 19 UUOUUO
11 9 Valencia 19 10 9 1.0 1.7 5 4 10 19 32 19 UUUUUO
12 18 Levante 19 10 9 1.1 1.7 4 4 11 21 33 16 UUUOOO
13 3 Villarreal 19 11 8 1.3 1.4 7 5 7 24 27 26 UUOUUU
14 4 Ath Madrid 18 10 8 1.2 1.2 6 5 7 22 22 23 UOOOUO
15 6 Celta 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 8 7 4 24 20 31 UOUOUU
16 10 Sociedad 19 11 8 1.2 1.6 3 8 8 22 30 17 OOOUUU
17 14 Alaves 19 11 8 1.0 1.6 4 4 11 19 31 16 OOOOUU
18 19 Girona 19 11 8 0.9 1.5 3 8 8 18 28 17 UUUOUU
19 16 Osasuna 19 12 7 0.7 1.4 2 4 13 13 26 10 UOOUOU
20 7 Getafe 19 13 6 0.7 1.2 7 3 9 14 22 24 UOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10