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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 4–2 Ath Bilbao

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 1.49
Draw 4.75 fair 5.29
Away 5.75 fair 7.26
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Ath Bilbao
13 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 1
6 Fouls 20
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 2.19 – 0.88
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawAth Bilbao
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.1% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.24points / match
1.97scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 73:33
Ath Bilbao before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.11scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 41:54
Real Madrid all matches all matches Ath Bilbao

Per match

1.97 Goals scored 1.11
0.89 Goals conceded 1.46
2.86 Total goals 2.57
17.59 Shots 13.89
6.62 Shots on target 4.57
10.84 Shots faced 9.41
6.41 Corners 5.89
3.73 Corners against 3.89
10.11 Fouls 13.51
1.81 Yellow cards 2.19
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

70% Wins 35%
14% Draws 16%
16% Losses 49%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
86% Over 1.5 goals 73%
54% Over 2.5 goals 46%
24% Over 3.5 goals 19%
16% Over 4.5 goals 16%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
54% Both teams scored 51%
38% Clean sheets 16%
11% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

49% Wins 22%
35% Draws 46%
16% Losses 32%
70% Over 0.5 goals 65%
30% Over 1.5 goals 30%
14% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Ath Bilbao all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
2.56points / match
2.28scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 41:14
Ath Bilbao before this match, away
0.83points / match
1.06scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:33
Real Madrid at home away Ath Bilbao

Per match

2.28 Goals scored 1.06
0.78 Goals conceded 1.83
3.06 Total goals 2.89
19.33 Shots 12.67
7.67 Shots on target 4.17
10.33 Shots faced 11.39
6.72 Corners 5.44
3.11 Corners against 4.11
9.89 Fouls 13.67
2.00 Yellow cards 2.17
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.28 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

83% Wins 22%
6% Draws 17%
11% Losses 61%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
89% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 28%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
56% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 11%
11% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 11%
28% Draws 50%
11% Losses 39%
72% Over 0.5 goals 67%
28% Over 1.5 goals 28%
22% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Ath Bilbao away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26 Sevilla – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.15 1.73 2.10
14.05.26 Real Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
10.05.26 Barcelona – Real Madrid 2–0 (2–0) 1.625.004.33 1.25 4.00
03.05.26 Espanol – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.901.73 1.57 2.38
24.04.26 Betis – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 3.704.201.85 1.50 2.63
21.04.26 Real Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 3.00
10.04.26 Real Madrid – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
04.04.26 Mallorca – Real Madrid 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.331.57 1.67 2.20
22.03.26 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 3–2 (0–1) 1.954.003.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Real Madrid – Elche 4–1 (2–0) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.75

Ath Bilbao all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.26 Ath Bilbao – Celta 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.203.40 2.10 1.73
13.05.26 Espanol – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.20 1.67
10.05.26 Ath Bilbao – Valencia 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.95 1.90
02.05.26 Alaves – Ath Bilbao 2–4 (1–0) 2.703.402.55 2.00 1.80
25.04.26 Ath Madrid – Ath Bilbao 3–2 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.88 1.98
21.04.26 Ath Bilbao – Osasuna 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.404.50 1.98 1.88
12.04.26 Ath Bilbao – Villarreal 1–2 (0–2) 2.303.503.10 1.98 1.88
05.04.26 Getafe – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (1–0) 3.002.882.70 3.20 1.36
22.03.26 Ath Bilbao – Betis 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.91 1.91
14.03.26 Girona – Ath Bilbao 3–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.50 2.00 1.80

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.05.26 Real Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
21.04.26 Real Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 3.00
10.04.26 Real Madrid – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
22.03.26 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 3–2 (0–1) 1.954.003.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Real Madrid – Elche 4–1 (2–0) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.75
02.03.26 Real Madrid – Getafe 0–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.83 2.03
14.02.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (3–1) 1.335.258.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75
17.01.26 Real Madrid – Levante 2–0 (0–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.29 3.75
04.01.26 Real Madrid – Betis 5–1 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.44 2.75

Ath Bilbao away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.05.26 Espanol – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 2.20 1.67
02.05.26 Alaves – Ath Bilbao 2–4 (1–0) 2.703.402.55 2.00 1.80
25.04.26 Ath Madrid – Ath Bilbao 3–2 (0–1) 2.203.603.10 1.88 1.98
05.04.26 Getafe – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (1–0) 3.002.882.70 3.20 1.36
14.03.26 Girona – Ath Bilbao 3–0 (1–0) 2.753.402.50 2.00 1.80
28.02.26 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
15.02.26 Oviedo – Ath Bilbao 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.102.15 2.30 1.62
24.01.26 Sevilla – Ath Bilbao 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.002.63 2.30 1.62
17.01.26 Mallorca – Ath Bilbao 3–2 (2–2) 3.802.902.25 2.50 1.53
03.01.26 Osasuna – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (1–0) 3.002.902.63 2.38 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsAth Bilbao wins
9matches
2.11goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.25SP1 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–2) 4.103.901.80 1.73 2.10
20.04.25SP1 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.905.25 1.73 2.10
04.12.24SP1 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.302.25 1.86 2.04
31.03.24SP1 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (1–0) 1.534.336.00 1.75 2.05
12.08.23SP1 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.87 2.03
04.06.23SP1 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.75 1.62 2.30
22.01.23SP1 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.402.38 1.88 2.02
22.12.21SP1 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–2) 3.403.502.10 2.01 1.89
01.12.21SP1 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.757.00 1.72 2.10

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 37 31 1 5 94 33 +61 94 WWWWLW
2 Real Madrid 37 26 5 6 73 33 +40 83 WDWLWW
3 Villarreal 37 21 6 10 67 45 +22 69 DWWDLL
4 Ath Madrid 37 21 6 10 61 39 +22 69 LWWLWW
5 Betis 37 14 15 8 57 47 +10 57 WDWDWL
6 Celta 37 13 12 12 52 48 +4 51 LLWWLD
7 Getafe 37 14 6 17 31 38 -7 48 WLLDWL
8 Vallecano 37 11 14 12 39 43 -4 47 WDWDDW
9 Valencia 37 12 10 15 43 54 -11 46 DWLWDW
10 Sociedad 37 11 12 14 58 60 -2 45 LDLDDL
11 Espanol 37 12 9 16 42 54 -12 45 LDLLWW
12 Ath Bilbao 37 13 6 18 41 54 -13 45 WLWLLD
13 Alaves 37 11 10 16 43 54 -11 43 LWLDWW
14 Sevilla 37 12 7 18 46 59 -13 43 LLWWWL
15 Osasuna 37 11 9 17 44 49 -5 42 LWLLLL
16 Elche 37 10 12 15 48 56 -8 42 WWLDLW
17 Levante 37 11 9 17 46 59 -13 42 WDLWWW
18 Girona 37 9 13 15 38 54 -16 40 LLLDDL
19 Mallorca 37 10 9 18 44 57 -13 39 DLWDLL
20 Oviedo 37 6 11 20 26 57 -31 29 DLLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 19 19 0 0 57 10 +47 57 WWWWWW
2 Real Madrid 18 15 1 2 41 14 +27 46 LWWDWW
3 Ath Madrid 19 15 1 3 39 17 +22 46 WWLWLW
4 Villarreal 18 14 1 3 43 18 +25 43 WWWWWL
5 Elche 19 9 8 2 30 19 +11 35 DWWWDW
6 Betis 18 9 6 3 32 18 +14 33 DDDDWW
7 Osasuna 19 9 5 5 31 24 +7 32 WDWLLL
8 Vallecano 19 7 10 2 24 15 +9 31 DWWDDW
9 Mallorca 18 8 6 4 28 21 +7 30 LWWWDD
10 Ath Bilbao 19 9 3 7 22 21 +1 30 LWLWLD
11 Sociedad 19 8 5 6 37 31 +6 29 WWDLDL
12 Valencia 18 7 6 5 24 22 +2 27 WWLWLD
13 Alaves 18 7 6 5 24 23 +1 27 DDDWLW
14 Levante 19 7 5 7 26 28 -2 26 DWWWWW
15 Sevilla 19 7 4 8 24 25 -1 25 DLWWWL
16 Espanol 18 7 4 7 20 23 -3 25 DDLDLW
17 Getafe 18 7 3 8 17 16 +1 24 LWWLLW
18 Girona 18 6 5 7 20 26 -6 23 LWWLLD
19 Celta 18 5 5 8 28 28 0 20 WLLLWL
20 Oviedo 19 4 7 8 9 18 -9 19 WWDLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 18 12 1 5 37 23 +14 37 LWWWWL
2 Real Madrid 19 11 4 4 32 19 +13 37 WLDWLW
3 Celta 19 8 7 4 24 20 +4 31 DWLLWD
4 Villarreal 19 7 5 7 24 27 -3 26 DLWDDL
5 Betis 19 5 9 5 25 29 -4 24 LLDWDL
6 Getafe 19 7 3 9 14 22 -8 24 LWLWDL
7 Ath Madrid 18 6 5 7 22 22 0 23 WLLLWW
8 Espanol 19 5 5 9 22 31 -9 20 LDLLLW
9 Valencia 19 5 4 10 19 32 -13 19 LWLDWW
10 Sevilla 18 5 3 10 22 34 -12 18 DLLLLW
11 Girona 19 3 8 8 18 28 -10 17 DLDLDL
12 Sociedad 18 3 7 8 21 29 -8 16 WLLDLD
13 Levante 18 4 4 10 20 31 -11 16 LDLDLW
14 Alaves 19 4 4 11 19 31 -12 16 LWDLDW
15 Vallecano 18 4 4 10 15 28 -13 16 DDLLWD
16 Ath Bilbao 18 4 3 11 19 33 -14 15 DLLLWL
17 Osasuna 18 2 4 12 13 25 -12 10 DLLDLL
18 Oviedo 18 2 4 12 17 39 -22 10 LDLWLL
19 Mallorca 19 2 3 14 16 36 -20 9 DLLWLL
20 Elche 18 1 4 13 18 37 -19 7 LLLWLL

Real Madrid   Ath Bilbao

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Barcelona 37 10 27 2.5 0.9 31 1 5 94 33 94 UUOUUO
2 19 Mallorca 37 14 23 1.2 1.5 10 9 18 44 57 39 UOUUOU
3 10 Sociedad 37 15 22 1.6 1.6 11 12 14 58 60 45 UOUOUO
4 16 Elche 37 15 22 1.3 1.5 10 12 15 48 56 42 OOOUOU
5 3 Villarreal 37 16 21 1.8 1.2 21 6 10 67 45 69 UOOUOU
6 14 Sevilla 37 16 21 1.2 1.6 12 7 18 46 59 43 UOUOOU
7 2 Real Madrid 37 17 20 2.0 0.9 26 5 6 73 33 83 OUUUUU
8 5 Betis 37 18 19 1.5 1.3 14 15 8 57 47 57 OUOOOO
9 11 Espanol 37 18 19 1.1 1.5 12 9 16 42 54 45 UUUOUO
10 15 Osasuna 37 18 19 1.2 1.3 11 9 17 44 49 42 UOOOOO
11 4 Ath Madrid 37 19 18 1.6 1.1 21 6 10 61 39 69 OOUUOU
12 13 Alaves 37 19 18 1.2 1.5 11 10 16 43 54 43 OOOUUU
13 6 Celta 37 20 17 1.4 1.3 13 12 12 52 48 51 UOOUOU
14 12 Ath Bilbao 37 20 17 1.1 1.5 13 6 18 41 54 45 UOOUUU
15 18 Girona 37 20 17 1.0 1.5 9 13 15 38 54 40 OOUUUU
16 17 Levante 37 21 16 1.2 1.6 11 9 17 46 59 42 UUOOOU
17 9 Valencia 37 22 15 1.2 1.5 12 10 15 43 54 46 UOUUUO
18 20 Oviedo 37 23 14 0.7 1.5 6 11 20 26 57 29 UOOUUU
19 8 Vallecano 37 24 13 1.1 1.2 11 14 12 39 43 47 UOUUUU
20 7 Getafe 37 27 10 0.8 1.0 14 6 17 31 38 48 UUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Barcelona 19 4 15 3.0 0.5 19 0 0 57 10 57 OUOUUO
2 10 Sociedad 19 5 14 1.9 1.6 8 5 6 37 31 29 OUOUOO
3 3 Villarreal 18 5 13 2.4 1.0 14 1 3 43 18 43 OOOOOO
4 15 Osasuna 19 7 12 1.6 1.3 9 5 5 31 24 32 UUOOOO
5 2 Real Madrid 18 8 10 2.3 0.8 15 1 2 41 14 46 UOOUOU
6 4 Ath Madrid 19 9 10 2.1 0.9 15 1 3 39 17 46 OUOOUU
7 13 Alaves 18 8 10 1.3 1.3 7 6 5 24 23 27 OUOOOU
8 14 Sevilla 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 7 4 8 24 25 25 UUOUOU
9 16 Elche 19 9 10 1.6 1.0 9 8 2 30 19 35 OOUOUU
10 19 Mallorca 18 8 10 1.6 1.2 8 6 4 28 21 30 UOOOUU
11 5 Betis 18 9 9 1.8 1.0 9 6 3 32 18 33 OUUUOO
12 6 Celta 18 9 9 1.6 1.6 5 5 8 28 28 20 UOOOOO
13 18 Girona 18 9 9 1.1 1.4 6 5 7 20 26 23 OOUOUU
14 11 Espanol 18 10 8 1.1 1.3 7 4 7 20 23 25 OUOUUU
15 12 Ath Bilbao 19 11 8 1.2 1.1 9 3 7 22 21 30 UOOUUU
16 17 Levante 19 11 8 1.4 1.5 7 5 7 26 28 26 UOUUOU
17 9 Valencia 18 12 6 1.3 1.2 7 6 5 24 22 27 UOOOUU
18 8 Vallecano 19 14 5 1.3 0.8 7 10 2 24 15 31 UUUOUU
19 7 Getafe 18 14 4 0.9 0.9 7 3 8 17 16 24 UUUUUO
20 20 Oviedo 19 15 4 0.5 0.9 4 7 8 9 18 19 UUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 19 Mallorca 19 6 13 0.8 1.9 2 3 14 16 36 9 OOOUOU
2 1 Barcelona 18 6 12 2.1 1.3 12 1 5 37 23 37 OUOUOU
3 16 Elche 18 6 12 1.0 2.1 1 4 13 18 37 7 OOUOOO
4 11 Espanol 19 8 11 1.2 1.6 5 5 9 22 31 20 OUOUOO
5 14 Sevilla 18 7 11 1.2 1.9 5 3 10 22 34 18 OOUUOO
6 2 Real Madrid 19 9 10 1.7 1.0 11 4 4 32 19 37 OOUUUU
7 5 Betis 19 9 10 1.3 1.5 5 9 5 25 29 24 UOUOOO
8 20 Oviedo 18 8 10 0.9 2.2 2 4 12 17 39 10 OUOOOU
9 9 Valencia 19 10 9 1.0 1.7 5 4 10 19 32 19 UUUUUO
10 12 Ath Bilbao 18 9 9 1.1 1.8 4 3 11 19 33 15 UOUOOU
11 3 Villarreal 19 11 8 1.3 1.4 7 5 7 24 27 26 UUOUUU
12 4 Ath Madrid 18 10 8 1.2 1.2 6 5 7 22 22 23 UOOOUO
13 6 Celta 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 8 7 4 24 20 31 UOUOUU
14 8 Vallecano 18 10 8 0.8 1.6 4 4 10 15 28 16 UUUOUU
15 10 Sociedad 18 10 8 1.2 1.6 3 7 8 21 29 16 UOOOUU
16 13 Alaves 19 11 8 1.0 1.6 4 4 11 19 31 16 OOOOUU
17 17 Levante 18 10 8 1.1 1.7 4 4 10 20 31 16 OUUUOO
18 18 Girona 19 11 8 0.9 1.5 3 8 8 18 28 17 UUUOUU
19 15 Osasuna 18 11 7 0.7 1.4 2 4 12 13 25 10 UUOOUO
20 7 Getafe 19 13 6 0.7 1.2 7 3 9 14 22 24 UOUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47