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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 2.13
Draw 5.00 fair 4.04
Away 6.00 fair 3.52
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Villarreal
26 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 0
9 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (74 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.8% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.57points / match
2.29scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 16:8
Villarreal before this match, all matches
2.29points / match
1.86scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:5
Real Madrid all matches all matches Villarreal

Per match

2.29 Goals scored 1.86
1.14 Goals conceded 0.71
3.43 Total goals 2.57
17.57 Shots 16.00
6.43 Shots on target 5.57
10.29 Shots faced 9.43
5.43 Corners 6.00
4.14 Corners against 2.71
9.86 Fouls 11.14
1.71 Yellow cards 2.00
1.43 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

86% Wins 71%
0% Draws 14%
14% Losses 14%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 86%
71% Over 2.5 goals 43%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
29% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 43%
43% Clean sheets 43%
0% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 43%
29% Draws 29%
0% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
57% Over 1.5 goals 29%
29% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Villarreal all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
3.00points / match
1.67scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:1
Villarreal before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:4
Real Madrid at home away Villarreal

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.00
0.33 Goals conceded 1.33
2.00 Total goals 2.33
17.00 Shots 9.33
5.67 Shots on target 3.00
6.33 Shots faced 11.33
5.33 Corners 3.67
2.67 Corners against 4.00
10.67 Fouls 12.33
1.67 Yellow cards 2.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

100% Wins 33%
0% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
67% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
0% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Villarreal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 5–2 (2–2) 3.003.602.30 1.67 2.20
23.09.25 Levante – Real Madrid 1–4 (0–2) 7.505.751.33 1.44 2.75
20.09.25 Real Madrid – Espanol 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00
13.09.25 Sociedad – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–2) 5.004.331.60 1.73 2.10
30.08.25 Real Madrid – Mallorca 2–1 (2–1) 1.187.0015.00 1.57 2.38
24.08.25 Oviedo – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 9.505.501.30 1.73 2.10
19.08.25 Real Madrid – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.2513.00 1.50 2.63
24.05.25 Real Madrid – Sociedad 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.006.50 1.44 2.75
18.05.25 Sevilla – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.53 2.50
14.05.25 Real Madrid – Mallorca 2–1 (0–1) 1.385.257.00 1.57 2.38

Villarreal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Villarreal – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.00 1.85
23.09.25 Sevilla – Villarreal 1–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.98 1.88
20.09.25 Villarreal – Osasuna 2–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.50 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.73 2.10
31.08.25 Celta – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.502.50 1.73 2.10
24.08.25 Villarreal – Girona 5–0 (4–0) 1.534.336.00 1.67 2.20
15.08.25 Villarreal – Oviedo 2–0 (2–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00
25.05.25 Villarreal – Sevilla 4–2 (3–1) 1.485.006.00 1.53 2.50
18.05.25 Barcelona – Villarreal 2–3 (2–1) 1.834.103.75 1.36 3.20
14.05.25 Villarreal – Leganes 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.57 2.38

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Real Madrid – Espanol 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00
30.08.25 Real Madrid – Mallorca 2–1 (2–1) 1.187.0015.00 1.57 2.38
19.08.25 Real Madrid – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.2513.00 1.50 2.63
24.05.25 Real Madrid – Sociedad 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.006.50 1.44 2.75
14.05.25 Real Madrid – Mallorca 2–1 (0–1) 1.385.257.00 1.57 2.38
04.05.25 Real Madrid – Celta 3–2 (2–0) 1.335.757.00 1.36 3.20
20.04.25 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.905.25 1.73 2.10
05.04.25 Real Madrid – Valencia 1–2 (0–1) 1.305.758.50 1.53 2.50
29.03.25 Real Madrid – Leganes 3–2 (1–2) 1.148.0017.00 1.36 3.20
09.03.25 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (2–1) 1.295.759.50 1.53 2.32

Villarreal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.25 Sevilla – Villarreal 1–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.30 1.98 1.88
13.09.25 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.73 2.10
31.08.25 Celta – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.502.50 1.73 2.10
18.05.25 Barcelona – Villarreal 2–3 (2–1) 1.834.103.75 1.36 3.20
10.05.25 Girona – Villarreal 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.802.10 1.57 2.38
23.04.25 Celta – Villarreal 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.80 1.67 2.20
13.04.25 Betis – Villarreal 1–2 (1–1) 2.353.303.10 1.73 2.10
30.03.25 Getafe – Villarreal 1–2 (1–2) 3.253.102.35 2.38 1.57
08.03.25 Alaves – Villarreal 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.252.38 2.00 1.80
22.02.25 Vallecano – Villarreal 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.502.38 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsVillarreal wins
8matches
3.25goals / match
63%over 2.5
63%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–2) 3.103.752.15 1.50 2.63
05.10.24SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.276.258.50 1.33 3.40
19.05.24SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 4–4 (1–4) 3.203.752.05 1.44 2.75
17.12.23SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 4–1 (2–0) 1.296.009.00 1.40 2.88
08.04.23SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–3 (1–1) 1.534.335.75 1.62 2.30
07.01.23SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 3.253.802.05 1.62 2.30
12.02.22SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.80 2.00
25.09.21SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.755.75 1.57 2.37

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 6 1 0 21 5 +16 19
2 Real Madrid 7 6 0 1 16 8 +8 18
3 Villarreal 7 5 1 1 13 5 +8 16
4 Elche 7 3 4 0 10 6 +4 13
5 Ath Bilbao 8 4 1 3 9 9 0 13
6 Ath Madrid 7 3 3 1 14 9 +5 12
7 Betis 7 3 3 1 11 7 +4 12
8 Espanol 7 3 3 1 10 9 +1 12
9 Getafe 8 3 2 3 9 11 -2 11
10 Sevilla 7 3 1 3 11 10 +1 10
11 Osasuna 8 3 1 4 7 8 -1 10
12 Levante 8 2 2 4 13 14 -1 8
13 Alaves 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
14 Valencia 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 8
15 Oviedo 8 2 0 6 4 14 -10 6
16 Girona 8 1 3 4 5 17 -12 6
17 Vallecano 7 1 2 4 7 10 -3 5
18 Celta 7 0 5 2 6 9 -3 5
19 Sociedad 7 1 2 4 7 11 -4 5
20 Mallorca 8 1 2 5 7 13 -6 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Villarreal 4 4 0 0 10 1 +9 12
2 Ath Madrid 4 3 1 0 11 5 +6 10
3 Elche 4 3 1 0 6 2 +4 10
4 Osasuna 4 3 1 0 6 2 +4 10
5 Espanol 4 3 1 0 8 5 +3 10
6 Ath Bilbao 5 3 1 1 7 5 +2 10
7 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 11 1 +10 9
8 Betis 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
9 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 5 1 +4 9
10 Valencia 4 2 1 1 7 3 +4 7
11 Getafe 3 1 2 0 4 2 +2 5
12 Mallorca 4 1 2 1 3 5 -2 5
13 Alaves 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
14 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
15 Girona 5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
16 Celta 4 0 3 1 3 5 -2 3
17 Oviedo 4 1 0 3 2 8 -6 3
18 Vallecano 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
19 Sevilla 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1
20 Levante 3 0 1 2 5 9 -4 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 4 3 1 0 10 4 +6 10
2 Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 11 7 +4 9
3 Sevilla 4 3 0 1 7 4 +3 9
4 Levante 5 2 1 2 8 5 +3 7
5 Getafe 5 2 0 3 5 9 -4 6
6 Villarreal 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
7 Alaves 4 1 1 2 2 3 -1 4
8 Betis 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
9 Elche 3 0 3 0 4 4 0 3
10 Vallecano 4 1 0 3 5 7 -2 3
11 Ath Bilbao 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 3
12 Oviedo 4 1 0 3 2 6 -4 3
13 Ath Madrid 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
14 Celta 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
15 Espanol 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
16 Girona 3 0 2 1 2 7 -5 2
17 Sociedad 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
18 Valencia 4 0 1 3 3 11 -8 1
19 Mallorca 4 0 0 4 4 8 -4 0
20 Osasuna 4 0 0 4 1 6 -5 0

Real Madrid   Villarreal

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 7 1 6 3.0 0.7 6 1 0 21 5 19
2 2 Real Madrid 7 2 5 2.3 1.1 6 0 1 16 8 18
3 10 Sevilla 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 3 1 3 11 10 10
4 12 Levante 8 3 5 1.6 1.8 2 2 4 13 14 8
5 14 Valencia 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 2 2 4 10 14 8
6 8 Espanol 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 3 1 10 9 12
7 9 Getafe 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 3 2 3 9 11 11
8 16 Girona 8 4 4 0.6 2.1 1 3 4 5 17 6
9 19 Sociedad 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 1 2 4 7 11 5
10 20 Mallorca 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 1 2 5 7 13 5
11 3 Villarreal 7 4 3 1.9 0.7 5 1 1 13 5 16
12 5 Ath Bilbao 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 4 1 3 9 9 13
13 6 Ath Madrid 7 4 3 2.0 1.3 3 3 1 14 9 12
14 7 Betis 7 4 3 1.6 1.0 3 3 1 11 7 12
15 15 Oviedo 8 5 3 0.5 1.8 2 0 6 4 14 6
16 4 Elche 7 5 2 1.4 0.9 3 4 0 10 6 13
17 11 Osasuna 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 3 1 4 7 8 10
18 13 Alaves 7 5 2 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
19 17 Vallecano 7 5 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 4 7 10 5
20 18 Celta 7 6 1 0.9 1.3 0 5 2 6 9 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 3 0 3 3.7 0.3 3 0 0 11 1 9
2 8 Espanol 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 1 0 8 5 10
3 10 Sevilla 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1
4 12 Levante 3 0 3 1.7 3.0 0 1 2 5 9 1
5 16 Girona 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 1 1 3 3 10 4
6 3 Villarreal 4 2 2 2.5 0.2 4 0 0 10 1 12
7 5 Ath Bilbao 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 3 1 1 7 5 10
8 6 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 2.8 1.2 3 1 0 11 5 10
9 7 Betis 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
10 13 Alaves 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
11 14 Valencia 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 1 1 7 3 7
12 15 Oviedo 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 1 0 3 2 8 3
13 19 Sociedad 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
14 2 Real Madrid 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 3 0 0 5 1 9
15 4 Elche 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 1 0 6 2 10
16 11 Osasuna 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 1 0 6 2 10
17 20 Mallorca 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 2 1 3 5 5
18 9 Getafe 3 3 0 1.3 0.7 1 2 0 4 2 5
19 17 Vallecano 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
20 18 Celta 4 4 0 0.8 1.2 0 3 1 3 5 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Real Madrid 4 0 4 2.8 1.8 3 0 1 11 7 9
2 9 Getafe 5 1 4 1.0 1.8 2 0 3 5 9 6
3 1 Barcelona 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 3 1 0 10 4 10
4 14 Valencia 4 1 3 0.8 2.8 0 1 3 3 11 1
5 20 Mallorca 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 0 0 4 4 8 0
6 10 Sevilla 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 3 0 1 7 4 9
7 12 Levante 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 1 2 8 5 7
8 17 Vallecano 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 1 0 3 5 7 3
9 19 Sociedad 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
10 3 Villarreal 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4
11 4 Elche 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
12 5 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 0 2 2 4 3
13 6 Ath Madrid 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
14 7 Betis 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 0 3 0 4 4 3
15 8 Espanol 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
16 11 Osasuna 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 0 0 4 1 6 0
17 15 Oviedo 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 3 2 6 3
18 16 Girona 3 2 1 0.7 2.3 0 2 1 2 7 2
19 18 Celta 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
20 13 Alaves 4 4 0 0.5 0.8 1 1 2 2 3 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40