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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Villarreal 2–1 Real Madrid

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 3.25 fair 2.83
Draw 3.80 fair 3.84
Away 2.05 fair 2.59
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Villarreal Real Madrid
17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 5
13 Fouls 6
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (152 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
VillarrealDrawReal Madrid
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 0–1 9.6% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Villarreal before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.13scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:11
Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.53points / match
2.33scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 35:14
Villarreal all matches all matches Real Madrid

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 2.33
0.73 Goals conceded 0.93
1.87 Total goals 3.27
11.67 Shots 17.53
4.87 Shots on target 5.87
12.87 Shots faced 11.07
5.33 Corners 5.87
4.80 Corners against 3.67
12.13 Fouls 9.80
2.20 Yellow cards 1.60
0.27 1st-half goals scored 1.07
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

47% Wins 80%
20% Draws 13%
33% Losses 7%
87% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 93%
33% Over 2.5 goals 73%
7% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
20% Both teams scored 80%
47% Clean sheets 20%
47% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 53%
53% Draws 40%
33% Losses 7%
53% Over 0.5 goals 87%
20% Over 1.5 goals 47%
7% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal all matches
Real Madrid all matches
Villarreal before this match, at home
2.17points / match
1.83scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:5
Real Madrid before this match, away
2.63points / match
2.38scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 19:7
Villarreal at home away Real Madrid

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 2.38
0.83 Goals conceded 0.88
2.67 Total goals 3.25
13.50 Shots 16.75
6.83 Shots on target 6.50
11.33 Shots faced 12.50
6.67 Corners 5.63
3.33 Corners against 5.00
12.50 Fouls 9.38
2.17 Yellow cards 1.38
0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.13
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

67% Wins 88%
17% Draws 0%
17% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 75%
17% Over 3.5 goals 38%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 63%
33% Clean sheets 38%
17% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 50%
17% Draws 38%
50% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal at home
Real Madrid away

Last 10 matches before this match

Villarreal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.12.22 Villarreal – Valencia 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.404.20 1.92 1.98
09.11.22 Espanol – Villarreal 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.202.37 2.10 1.72
06.11.22 Villarreal – Mallorca 0–2 (0–1) 1.574.005.75 2.10 1.72
30.10.22 Ath Bilbao – Villarreal 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.00 1.90
23.10.22 Villarreal – Almeria 2–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 1.72 2.10
20.10.22 Barcelona – Villarreal 3–0 (3–0) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
17.10.22 Villarreal – Osasuna 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.206.00 1.89 2.01
09.10.22 Sociedad – Villarreal 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.402.75 2.06 1.84
01.10.22 Cadiz – Villarreal 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.001.57 2.05 1.85
18.09.22 Villarreal – Sevilla 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.93 1.97

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.22 Valladolid – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.751.45 1.57 2.38
10.11.22 Real Madrid – Cadiz 2–1 (1–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.44 2.75
07.11.22 Vallecano – Real Madrid 3–2 (2–2) 4.754.201.65 1.72 2.10
30.10.22 Real Madrid – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 1.206.5013.00 1.44 2.75
22.10.22 Real Madrid – Sevilla 3–1 (1–0) 1.364.758.50 1.57 2.37
19.10.22 Elche – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 8.505.751.30 1.50 2.62
16.10.22 Real Madrid – Barcelona 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.57 2.37
08.10.22 Getafe – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 6.504.501.50 1.80 2.00
02.10.22 Real Madrid – Osasuna 1–1 (1–0) 1.305.509.50 1.61 2.30
18.09.22 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.94 1.96

Villarreal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.12.22 Villarreal – Valencia 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.404.20 1.92 1.98
06.11.22 Villarreal – Mallorca 0–2 (0–1) 1.574.005.75 2.10 1.72
23.10.22 Villarreal – Almeria 2–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 1.72 2.10
17.10.22 Villarreal – Osasuna 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.206.00 1.89 2.01
18.09.22 Villarreal – Sevilla 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.93 1.97
04.09.22 Villarreal – Elche 4–0 (2–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.72 2.10
15.05.22 Villarreal – Sociedad 1–2 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.93 1.97
08.05.22 Villarreal – Sevilla 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
19.04.22 Villarreal – Valencia 2–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.72 2.10
09.04.22 Villarreal – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.99 1.91

Real Madrid away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.22 Valladolid – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 6.504.751.45 1.57 2.38
07.11.22 Vallecano – Real Madrid 3–2 (2–2) 4.754.201.65 1.72 2.10
19.10.22 Elche – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 8.505.751.30 1.50 2.62
08.10.22 Getafe – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 6.504.501.50 1.80 2.00
18.09.22 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 1.94 1.96
28.08.22 Espanol – Real Madrid 1–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.45 1.61 2.30
20.08.22 Celta – Real Madrid 1–4 (1–2) 4.504.201.66 1.66 2.20
14.08.22 Almeria – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–0) 7.505.001.40 1.57 2.37
15.05.22 Cadiz – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.302.20 1.93 1.97
08.05.22 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.50 1.95 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Villarreal winsDrawsReal Madrid wins
2matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.22SP1 Villarreal – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.80 2.00
25.09.21SP1 Real Madrid – Villarreal 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.755.75 1.57 2.37

Spain La Liga table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 15 12 2 1 34 6 +28 38 WWWWWD
2 Real Madrid 15 12 2 1 35 14 +21 38 WWDLWW
3 Sociedad 15 9 2 4 21 17 +4 29 WLLDWW
4 Ath Madrid 15 8 3 4 23 14 +9 27 DWLDLW
5 Ath Bilbao 15 7 4 4 24 14 +10 25 DLWLWD
6 Betis 15 7 4 4 17 12 +5 25 DLWDLD
7 Villarreal 15 7 3 5 17 11 +6 24 LWLLWW
8 Vallecano 15 6 5 4 22 18 +4 23 DWWWDD
9 Osasuna 15 7 2 6 16 16 0 23 WDWWLL
10 Valencia 16 5 4 7 23 18 +5 19 LLDWLL
11 Mallorca 15 5 4 6 13 15 -2 19 LWDWWL
12 Girona 15 4 5 6 22 24 -2 17 LDDWWD
13 Almeria 15 5 2 8 17 23 -6 17 WLWLWD
14 Getafe 15 4 5 6 14 20 -6 17 DDWDLW
15 Valladolid 15 5 2 8 13 23 -10 17 WWLWLL
16 Celta 16 4 4 8 16 27 -11 16 DLLDDW
17 Cadiz 16 3 6 7 11 27 -16 15 LWDLDW
18 Espanol 15 2 7 6 17 23 -6 13 LDDDLD
19 Sevilla 15 2 6 7 14 23 -9 12 DLLDLD
20 Elche 16 0 4 12 10 34 -24 4 DLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Barcelona 8 6 2 0 18 1 +17 20 WWWWWD
2 Real Madrid 7 5 2 0 16 7 +9 17 WDWWDW
3 Betis 8 5 2 1 12 5 +7 17 WWWLDD
4 Ath Bilbao 8 5 1 2 12 4 +8 16 LWWLWW
5 Almeria 7 5 0 2 13 8 +5 15 WLWWWW
6 Osasuna 8 5 0 3 11 8 +3 15 WLLWWL
7 Vallecano 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14 WWDWWD
8 Sociedad 8 4 2 2 9 9 0 14 WWWLDW
9 Valencia 9 4 1 4 15 8 +7 13 WDLLWL
10 Villarreal 6 4 1 1 11 5 +6 13 WDWWLW
11 Valladolid 8 4 1 3 8 8 0 13 LDWWWL
12 Girona 8 3 3 2 14 13 +1 12 WLDDWD
13 Ath Madrid 7 3 2 2 11 8 +3 11 WLWDDW
14 Celta 8 2 3 3 11 12 -1 9 WWLDLD
15 Getafe 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9 WLLDDW
16 Mallorca 7 2 2 3 5 6 -1 8 DWLLDW
17 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 6 14 -8 7 LDDDWD
18 Espanol 7 1 2 4 8 13 -5 5 LLDWDL
19 Sevilla 7 0 3 4 4 11 -7 3 LLDDLL
20 Elche 8 0 2 6 4 14 -10 2 LDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Real Madrid 8 7 0 1 19 7 +12 21 WWWWLW
2 Barcelona 7 6 0 1 16 5 +11 18 WWWLWW
3 Ath Madrid 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16 DWWWLL
4 Sociedad 7 5 0 2 12 8 +4 15 WLWWLW
5 Villarreal 9 3 2 4 6 6 0 11 LDLLLW
6 Mallorca 8 3 2 3 8 9 -1 11 LDLWWL
7 Ath Bilbao 7 2 3 2 12 10 +2 9 WDDLLD
8 Vallecano 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9 LLLDWD
9 Sevilla 8 2 3 3 10 12 -2 9 WDWLDD
10 Espanol 8 1 5 2 9 10 -1 8 LDLDDD
11 Betis 7 2 2 3 5 7 -2 8 LLDDWL
12 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 5 8 -3 8 WDLDWL
13 Getafe 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8 LWDDWL
14 Cadiz 8 2 2 4 5 13 -8 8 WDLDLW
15 Celta 8 2 1 5 5 15 -10 7 LLLLDW
16 Valencia 7 1 3 3 8 10 -2 6 LDWDDL
17 Girona 7 1 2 4 8 11 -3 5 DLLLDW
18 Valladolid 7 1 1 5 5 15 -10 4 LLWLLL
19 Almeria 8 0 2 6 4 15 -11 2 LLLLLD
20 Elche 8 0 2 6 6 20 -14 2 LLDDLL

Villarreal   Real Madrid

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Real Madrid 15 4 11 2.3 0.9 12 2 1 35 14 38 OOUOOU
2 20 Elche 16 6 10 0.6 2.1 0 4 12 10 34 4 OUOOUU
3 1 Barcelona 15 6 9 2.3 0.4 12 2 1 34 6 38 OOUUOU
4 10 Valencia 16 7 9 1.4 1.1 5 4 7 23 18 19 OUUOOU
5 12 Girona 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 4 5 6 22 24 17 OUUOOO
6 16 Celta 16 7 9 1.0 1.7 4 4 8 16 27 16 UOOUUU
7 5 Ath Bilbao 15 7 8 1.6 0.9 7 4 4 24 14 25 OOUOOU
8 8 Vallecano 15 7 8 1.5 1.2 6 5 4 22 18 23 UOUOUO
9 13 Almeria 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 5 2 8 17 23 17 OOOUUU
10 6 Betis 15 8 7 1.1 0.8 7 4 4 17 12 25 UOUUOU
11 15 Valladolid 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 5 2 8 13 23 17 OUUOOU
12 17 Cadiz 16 9 7 0.7 1.7 3 6 7 11 27 15 OOUOUU
13 18 Espanol 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 2 7 6 17 23 13 UOUUUU
14 3 Sociedad 15 9 6 1.4 1.1 9 2 4 21 17 29 UUUUOU
15 4 Ath Madrid 15 9 6 1.5 0.9 8 3 4 23 14 27 UOOUUU
16 14 Getafe 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 4 5 6 14 20 17 OUUUUU
17 19 Sevilla 15 9 6 0.9 1.5 2 6 7 14 23 12 UOUUOU
18 7 Villarreal 15 10 5 1.1 0.7 7 3 5 17 11 24 OOUUUO
19 9 Osasuna 15 10 5 1.1 1.1 7 2 6 16 16 23 UUUOOU
20 11 Mallorca 15 12 3 0.9 1.0 5 4 6 13 15 19 UOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Real Madrid 7 2 5 2.3 1.0 5 2 0 16 7 17 OUOOUO
2 10 Valencia 9 4 5 1.7 0.9 4 1 4 15 8 13 OOOUOU
3 12 Girona 8 3 5 1.8 1.6 3 3 2 14 13 12 OOUUOO
4 13 Almeria 7 2 5 1.9 1.1 5 0 2 13 8 15 OUOOOU
5 16 Celta 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 2 3 3 11 12 9 OUOUOU
6 1 Barcelona 8 4 4 2.2 0.1 6 2 0 18 1 20 OUOOUU
7 6 Betis 8 4 4 1.5 0.6 5 2 1 12 5 17 UOOOUU
8 8 Vallecano 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14 OOUOOU
9 9 Osasuna 8 4 4 1.4 1.0 5 0 3 11 8 15 OUOUUO
10 14 Getafe 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9 OOUOUU
11 17 Cadiz 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 1 4 3 6 14 7 OUOUOU
12 18 Espanol 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 1 2 4 8 13 5 OOOUOU
13 4 Ath Madrid 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 2 2 11 8 11 OOOUUU
14 5 Ath Bilbao 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 5 1 2 12 4 16 UOOUUO
15 7 Villarreal 6 3 3 1.8 0.8 4 1 1 11 5 13 OUUOUO
16 15 Valladolid 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 4 1 3 8 8 13 UUOUOU
17 20 Elche 8 5 3 0.5 1.8 0 2 6 4 14 2 OUOUOU
18 3 Sociedad 8 6 2 1.1 1.1 4 2 2 9 9 14 OUUUUU
19 19 Sevilla 7 5 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 4 4 11 3 OUUUUO
20 11 Mallorca 7 6 1 0.7 0.9 2 2 3 5 6 8 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 20 Elche 8 1 7 0.8 2.5 0 2 6 6 20 2 OOOOOU
2 2 Real Madrid 8 2 6 2.4 0.9 7 0 1 19 7 21 OOUOOU
3 1 Barcelona 7 2 5 2.3 0.7 6 0 1 16 5 18 OOUOUO
4 5 Ath Bilbao 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 2 3 2 12 10 9 OUOOOU
5 3 Sociedad 7 3 4 1.7 1.1 5 0 2 12 8 15 UOOOUO
6 8 Vallecano 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 3 3 10 11 9 OOOUUO
7 10 Valencia 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 1 3 3 8 10 6 OOOUUO
8 12 Girona 7 3 4 1.1 1.6 1 2 4 8 11 5 UOOOUO
9 15 Valladolid 7 3 4 0.7 2.1 1 1 5 5 15 4 OOOUUO
10 16 Celta 8 4 4 0.6 1.9 2 1 5 5 15 7 OUOOUU
11 19 Sevilla 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 2 3 3 10 12 9 OUUOUU
12 4 Ath Madrid 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16 UUUOOU
13 6 Betis 7 4 3 0.7 1.0 2 2 3 5 7 8 OUUUUO
14 13 Almeria 8 5 3 0.5 1.9 0 2 6 4 15 2 UOOOUU
15 17 Cadiz 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 2 2 4 5 13 8 UUOUOU
16 18 Espanol 8 5 3 1.1 1.2 1 5 2 9 10 8 OOUUUU
17 7 Villarreal 9 7 2 0.7 0.7 3 2 4 6 6 11 UUUOUU
18 11 Mallorca 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 3 8 9 11 OUUOUU
19 14 Getafe 7 5 2 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8 OUUUUU
20 9 Osasuna 7 6 1 0.7 1.1 2 2 3 5 8 8 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47