Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid – Spain La Liga, 15 Mar 2025

Match facts

Villarreal Real Madrid

23 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 5

11 Corners 4

17 Fouls 3

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (271 league matches this season so far).

Result Real Madrid to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.54

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.65

Home / Draw / Away

38% 23% 39%

VillarrealDrawReal Madrid

Under / Over 2.5 goals

37% 63%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

35% 65%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

20% 2

22% 3

18% 4

23% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.2% 1–2 8.4% 2–1 8.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Villarreal before this match, all matches

1.69points / match

1.85scored / match

1.38conceded / match

12 8 6

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 48:36

Real Madrid before this match, all matches

2.11points / match

2.11scored / match

0.96conceded / match

17 6 4

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 57:26

Villarreal all matches all matches Real Madrid

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 2.11

1.38 Goals conceded 0.96

3.23 Total goals 3.07

14.35 Shots 16.11

4.69 Shots on target 6.30

11.92 Shots faced 9.96

4.81 Corners 5.56

4.31 Corners against 4.19

11.42 Fouls 9.00

2.65 Yellow cards 1.59

0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.93

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

46% Wins 63%

31% Draws 22%

23% Losses 15%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

88% Over 1.5 goals 96%

62% Over 2.5 goals 59%

35% Over 3.5 goals 26%

15% Over 4.5 goals 19%

15% Over 5.5 goals 7%

73% Both teams scored 56%

12% Clean sheets 37%

15% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 52%

35% Draws 37%

27% Losses 11%

88% Over 0.5 goals 70%

38% Over 1.5 goals 30%

19% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal all matches

1

D

5

2

W

1

L

4

W

1

D

5

1

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

1

L

Real Madrid all matches

4

2

W

2

1

W

4

1

W

3

W

1

L

1

D

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

Villarreal before this match, at home

1.67points / match

2.33scored / match

1.58conceded / match

5 5 2

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 28:19

Real Madrid before this match, away

1.64points / match

1.71scored / match

1.00conceded / match

6 5 3

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 24:14

Villarreal at home away Real Madrid

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 1.71

1.58 Goals conceded 1.00

3.92 Total goals 2.71

14.67 Shots 14.93

5.17 Shots on target 5.50

12.67 Shots faced 10.00

4.75 Corners 4.43

4.33 Corners against 4.50

11.33 Fouls 9.29

2.42 Yellow cards 1.64

1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.64

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

42% Wins 43%

42% Draws 36%

17% Losses 21%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 93%

75% Over 2.5 goals 57%

58% Over 3.5 goals 7%

25% Over 4.5 goals 7%

25% Over 5.5 goals 7%

83% Both teams scored 64%

17% Clean sheets 29%

0% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 43%

17% Draws 43%

25% Losses 14%

100% Over 0.5 goals 71%

42% Over 1.5 goals 14%

33% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Villarreal at home

1

5

L

3

1

W

1

D

3

W

2

D

1

2

L

1

D

4

W

5

1

W

1

D

Real Madrid away

2

1

W

3

W

1

2

L

3

W

3

D

2

1

W

3

W

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Villarreal all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Alaves – Villarreal	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.25	2.38	2.00	1.80
22.02.25	Vallecano – Villarreal	0–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.50	2.38	1.80	2.00
15.02.25	Villarreal – Valencia	1–1 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.50	1.73	2.10
08.02.25	Las Palmas – Villarreal	1–2 (0–0)	4.75	3.90	1.70	1.62	2.30
01.02.25	Villarreal – Valladolid	5–1 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	10.00	1.44	2.75
25.01.25	Ath Madrid – Villarreal	1–1 (0–1)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
20.01.25	Villarreal – Mallorca	4–0 (4–0)	1.73	3.50	5.25	2.00	1.80
13.01.25	Sociedad – Villarreal	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.05	1.85
22.12.24	Leganes – Villarreal	2–5 (2–2)	4.20	3.40	1.91	2.03	1.87
18.12.24	Villarreal – Vallecano	1–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.90	2.00

Real Madrid all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.25	Real Madrid – Vallecano	2–1 (2–1)	1.29	5.75	9.50	1.53	2.32
01.03.25	Betis – Real Madrid	2–1 (1–1)	4.33	4.00	1.73	1.53	2.50
23.02.25	Real Madrid – Girona	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	6.25	8.50	1.40	3.00
15.02.25	Osasuna – Real Madrid	1–1 (0–1)	5.75	4.10	1.57	1.57	2.25
08.02.25	Real Madrid – Ath Madrid	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.60	4.20	1.80	2.00
01.02.25	Espanol – Real Madrid	1–0 (0–0)	9.00	5.75	1.30	1.57	2.38
25.01.25	Valladolid – Real Madrid	0–3 (0–1)	10.00	6.00	1.27	1.44	2.75
19.01.25	Real Madrid – Las Palmas	4–1 (3–1)	1.14	7.50	17.00	1.33	3.40
03.01.25	Valencia – Real Madrid	1–2 (1–0)	7.00	4.50	1.42	1.67	2.20
22.12.24	Real Madrid – Sevilla	4–2 (3–1)	1.33	5.50	9.00	1.53	2.50

Villarreal at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Villarreal – Valencia	1–1 (1–0)	1.50	4.50	5.50	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Villarreal – Valladolid	5–1 (1–0)	1.22	7.00	10.00	1.44	2.75
20.01.25	Villarreal – Mallorca	4–0 (4–0)	1.73	3.50	5.25	2.00	1.80
18.12.24	Villarreal – Vallecano	1–1 (1–1)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.90	2.00
15.12.24	Villarreal – Betis	1–2 (0–1)	1.75	3.80	4.33	1.67	2.20
01.12.24	Villarreal – Girona	2–2 (1–0)	1.83	3.70	4.20	1.67	2.20
09.11.24	Villarreal – Alaves	3–0 (1–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.73	2.10
20.10.24	Villarreal – Getafe	1–1 (1–0)	1.67	3.80	5.00	2.00	1.80
30.09.24	Villarreal – Las Palmas	3–1 (1–0)	1.45	4.33	6.50	1.53	2.50
22.09.24	Villarreal – Barcelona	1–5 (1–2)	3.90	3.90	1.85	1.40	3.00

Real Madrid away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Betis – Real Madrid	2–1 (1–1)	4.33	4.00	1.73	1.53	2.50
15.02.25	Osasuna – Real Madrid	1–1 (0–1)	5.75	4.10	1.57	1.57	2.25
01.02.25	Espanol – Real Madrid	1–0 (0–0)	9.00	5.75	1.30	1.57	2.38
25.01.25	Valladolid – Real Madrid	0–3 (0–1)	10.00	6.00	1.27	1.44	2.75
03.01.25	Valencia – Real Madrid	1–2 (1–0)	7.00	4.50	1.42	1.67	2.20
14.12.24	Vallecano – Real Madrid	3–3 (2–2)	6.00	3.80	1.57	1.89	2.01
07.12.24	Girona – Real Madrid	0–3 (0–1)	4.50	3.90	1.73	1.62	2.30
04.12.24	Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid	2–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.30	2.25	1.86	2.04
24.11.24	Leganes – Real Madrid	0–3 (0–1)	7.50	4.50	1.42	1.86	2.04
19.10.24	Celta – Real Madrid	1–2 (0–1)	4.75	4.50	1.60	1.62	2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3 2

Villarreal winsDrawsReal Madrid wins

7matches

3.29goals / match

57%over 2.5

57%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.10.24SP1	Real Madrid – Villarreal	2–0 (1–0)	1.27	6.25	8.50	1.33	3.40
19.05.24SP1	Villarreal – Real Madrid	4–4 (1–4)	3.20	3.75	2.05	1.44	2.75
17.12.23SP1	Real Madrid – Villarreal	4–1 (2–0)	1.29	6.00	9.00	1.40	2.88
08.04.23SP1	Real Madrid – Villarreal	2–3 (1–1)	1.53	4.33	5.75	1.62	2.30
07.01.23SP1	Villarreal – Real Madrid	2–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.80	2.05	1.62	2.30
12.02.22SP1	Villarreal – Real Madrid	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.80	2.00
25.09.21SP1	Real Madrid – Villarreal	0–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.75	5.75	1.57	2.37

Spain La Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	26	18	3	5	71	25	+46	57
2	Real Madrid	27	17	6	4	57	26	+31	57
3	Ath Madrid	27	16	8	3	44	18	+26	56
4	Ath Bilbao	27	13	10	4	45	24	+21	49
5	Villarreal	26	12	8	6	48	36	+12	44
6	Betis	27	11	8	8	35	33	+2	41
7	Mallorca	28	11	7	10	28	34	-6	40
8	Celta	28	11	6	11	41	41	0	39
9	Vallecano	27	9	9	9	29	29	0	36
10	Sevilla	27	9	9	9	32	36	-4	36
11	Sociedad	27	10	4	13	23	28	-5	34
12	Getafe	27	8	9	10	23	22	+1	33
13	Girona	27	9	6	12	35	40	-5	33
14	Osasuna	26	7	12	7	32	37	-5	33
15	Espanol	27	7	7	13	26	39	-13	28
16	Alaves	28	6	9	13	32	42	-10	27
17	Valencia	27	6	9	12	30	45	-15	27
18	Leganes	27	6	9	12	24	40	-16	27
19	Las Palmas	28	6	7	15	32	47	-15	25
20	Valladolid	28	4	4	20	18	63	-45	16

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	13	11	1	1	33	12	+21	34
2	Ath Madrid	14	10	4	0	25	8	+17	34
3	Ath Bilbao	14	8	5	1	27	9	+18	29
4	Celta	14	9	2	3	24	14	+10	29
5	Barcelona	12	9	0	3	33	9	+24	27
6	Betis	14	7	5	2	22	15	+7	26
7	Osasuna	14	6	6	2	25	20	+5	24
8	Espanol	14	6	5	3	18	15	+3	23
9	Mallorca	15	6	5	4	16	16	0	23
10	Valencia	14	6	3	5	20	18	+2	21
11	Villarreal	12	5	5	2	28	19	+9	20
12	Girona	13	6	2	5	24	20	+4	20
13	Sociedad	14	6	2	6	15	14	+1	20
14	Getafe	14	4	7	3	12	9	+3	19
15	Vallecano	13	5	4	4	18	17	+1	19
16	Sevilla	13	5	4	4	12	15	-3	19
17	Leganes	13	5	2	6	13	19	-6	17
18	Alaves	13	4	4	5	11	13	-2	16
19	Las Palmas	14	3	5	6	17	21	-4	14
20	Valladolid	14	3	4	7	8	21	-13	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	14	9	3	2	38	16	+22	30
2	Villarreal	14	7	3	4	20	17	+3	24
3	Real Madrid	14	6	5	3	24	14	+10	23
4	Ath Madrid	13	6	4	3	19	10	+9	22
5	Ath Bilbao	13	5	5	3	18	15	+3	20
6	Sevilla	14	4	5	5	20	21	-1	17
7	Vallecano	14	4	5	5	11	12	-1	17
8	Mallorca	13	5	2	6	12	18	-6	17
9	Betis	13	4	3	6	13	18	-5	15
10	Getafe	13	4	2	7	11	13	-2	14
11	Sociedad	13	4	2	7	8	14	-6	14
12	Girona	14	3	4	7	11	20	-9	13
13	Alaves	15	2	5	8	21	29	-8	11
14	Las Palmas	14	3	2	9	15	26	-11	11
15	Celta	14	2	4	8	17	27	-10	10
16	Leganes	14	1	7	6	11	21	-10	10
17	Osasuna	12	1	6	5	7	17	-10	9
18	Valencia	13	0	6	7	10	27	-17	6
19	Espanol	13	1	2	10	8	24	-16	5
20	Valladolid	14	1	0	13	10	42	-32	3

Villarreal Real Madrid

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Barcelona	26	7	19	2.7	1.0	18	3	5	71	25	57
2	8	Celta	28	11	17	1.5	1.5	11	6	11	41	41	39
3	20	Valladolid	28	11	17	0.6	2.2	4	4	20	18	63	16
4	2	Real Madrid	27	11	16	2.1	1.0	17	6	4	57	26	57
5	5	Villarreal	26	10	16	1.8	1.4	12	8	6	48	36	44
6	13	Girona	27	11	16	1.3	1.5	9	6	12	35	40	33
7	19	Las Palmas	28	12	16	1.1	1.7	6	7	15	32	47	25
8	16	Alaves	28	14	14	1.1	1.5	6	9	13	32	42	27
9	17	Valencia	27	13	14	1.1	1.7	6	9	12	30	45	27
10	6	Betis	27	14	13	1.3	1.2	11	8	8	35	33	41
11	4	Ath Bilbao	27	15	12	1.7	0.9	13	10	4	45	24	49
12	14	Osasuna	26	14	12	1.2	1.4	7	12	7	32	37	33
13	15	Espanol	27	15	12	1.0	1.4	7	7	13	26	39	28
14	7	Mallorca	28	17	11	1.0	1.2	11	7	10	28	34	40
15	9	Vallecano	27	16	11	1.1	1.1	9	9	9	29	29	36
16	3	Ath Madrid	27	17	10	1.6	0.7	16	8	3	44	18	56
17	10	Sevilla	27	17	10	1.2	1.3	9	9	9	32	36	36
18	11	Sociedad	27	17	10	0.9	1.0	10	4	13	23	28	34
19	18	Leganes	27	17	10	0.9	1.5	6	9	12	24	40	27
20	12	Getafe	27	21	6	0.9	0.8	8	9	10	23	22	33

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Girona	13	2	11	1.8	1.5	6	2	5	24	20	20
2	5	Villarreal	12	3	9	2.3	1.6	5	5	2	28	19	20
3	14	Osasuna	14	5	9	1.8	1.4	6	6	2	25	20	24
4	1	Barcelona	12	4	8	2.8	0.8	9	0	3	33	9	27
5	2	Real Madrid	13	5	8	2.5	0.9	11	1	1	33	12	34
6	6	Betis	14	6	8	1.6	1.1	7	5	2	22	15	26
7	8	Celta	14	6	8	1.7	1.0	9	2	3	24	14	29
8	17	Valencia	14	6	8	1.4	1.3	6	3	5	20	18	21
9	9	Vallecano	13	6	7	1.4	1.3	5	4	4	18	17	19
10	19	Las Palmas	14	7	7	1.2	1.5	3	5	6	17	21	14
11	7	Mallorca	15	9	6	1.1	1.1	6	5	4	16	16	23
12	11	Sociedad	14	8	6	1.1	1.0	6	2	6	15	14	20
13	15	Espanol	14	8	6	1.3	1.1	6	5	3	18	15	23
14	18	Leganes	13	7	6	1.0	1.5	5	2	6	13	19	17
15	20	Valladolid	14	8	6	0.6	1.5	3	4	7	8	21	13
16	3	Ath Madrid	14	9	5	1.8	0.6	10	4	0	25	8	34
17	4	Ath Bilbao	14	9	5	1.9	0.6	8	5	1	27	9	29
18	10	Sevilla	13	10	3	0.9	1.2	5	4	4	12	15	19
19	16	Alaves	13	10	3	0.8	1.0	4	4	5	11	13	16
20	12	Getafe	14	12	2	0.9	0.6	4	7	3	12	9	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Barcelona	14	3	11	2.7	1.1	9	3	2	38	16	30
2	16	Alaves	15	4	11	1.4	1.9	2	5	8	21	29	11
3	20	Valladolid	14	3	11	0.7	3.0	1	0	13	10	42	3
4	8	Celta	14	5	9	1.2	1.9	2	4	8	17	27	10
5	19	Las Palmas	14	5	9	1.1	1.9	3	2	9	15	26	11
6	2	Real Madrid	14	6	8	1.7	1.0	6	5	3	24	14	23
7	4	Ath Bilbao	13	6	7	1.4	1.2	5	5	3	18	15	20
8	5	Villarreal	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	7	3	4	20	17	24
9	10	Sevilla	14	7	7	1.4	1.5	4	5	5	20	21	17
10	15	Espanol	13	7	6	0.6	1.8	1	2	10	8	24	5
11	17	Valencia	13	7	6	0.8	2.1	0	6	7	10	27	6
12	3	Ath Madrid	13	8	5	1.5	0.8	6	4	3	19	10	22
13	6	Betis	13	8	5	1.0	1.4	4	3	6	13	18	15
14	7	Mallorca	13	8	5	0.9	1.4	5	2	6	12	18	17
15	13	Girona	14	9	5	0.8	1.4	3	4	7	11	20	13
16	9	Vallecano	14	10	4	0.8	0.9	4	5	5	11	12	17
17	11	Sociedad	13	9	4	0.6	1.1	4	2	7	8	14	14
18	12	Getafe	13	9	4	0.8	1.0	4	2	7	11	13	14
19	18	Leganes	14	10	4	0.8	1.5	1	7	6	11	21	10
20	14	Osasuna	12	9	3	0.6	1.4	1	6	5	7	17	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.