St Mirren 1–0 Hearts
Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
3.90
fair 3.90
Draw
3.50
fair 3.73
Away
1.86
fair 2.10
Under 2.5 ✓
1.80
fair 1.75
Over 2.5
2.05
fair 2.33
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Mirren
Hearts
21
Shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
7
Corners
2
19
Fouls
8
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (143 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.89
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
26%
27%
48%
St MirrenDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
57%
43%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
53%
47%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
9%
0
22%
1
26%
2
21%
3
13%
4
10%
5+
Most likely scores
0–1 13%
1–1 12.6%
0–2 9.3%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
0.87points / match
0.74scored / match
1.35conceded / match
4
8
11
WonDrawnLost
23 played · 17:31
Hearts
before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
1.96scored / match
0.79conceded / match
16
6
2
WonDrawnLost
24 played · 47:19
St Mirren all matches
all matches Hearts
Per match
0.74
Goals scored
1.96
1.35
Goals conceded
0.79
2.09
Total goals
2.75
12.04
Shots
14.71
3.48
Shots on target
5.54
12.83
Shots faced
9.58
5.87
Corners
5.58
5.26
Corners against
4.17
12.30
Fouls
11.29
2.00
Yellow cards
1.88
0.26
1st-half goals scored
0.79
0.39
1st-half goals conceded
0.46
How often Full Time
17%
Wins
67%
35%
Draws
25%
48%
Losses
8%
87%
Over 0.5 goals
96%
65%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
30%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
17%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
4%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
4%
Over 5.5 goals
4%
39%
Both teams scored
46%
26%
Clean sheets
50%
48%
Failed to score
8%
How often Half Time
13%
Wins
46%
65%
Draws
29%
22%
Losses
25%
43%
Over 0.5 goals
83%
17%
Over 1.5 goals
38%
4%
Over 2.5 goals
4%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren all matches
3
3
D
2
W
1
W
D
1
2
L
2
L
2
L
2
L
1
1
D
D
Hearts all matches
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
W
2
1
W
2
3
L
1
W
1
W
2
W
2
2
D
3
W
St Mirren
before this match, at home
1.17points / match
0.58scored / match
0.83conceded / match
3
5
4
WonDrawnLost
12 played · 7:10
Hearts
before this match, away
2.17points / match
1.83scored / match
0.83conceded / match
8
2
2
WonDrawnLost
12 played · 22:10
St Mirren at home
away Hearts
Per match
0.58
Goals scored
1.83
0.83
Goals conceded
0.83
1.42
Total goals
2.67
11.83
Shots
14.33
3.83
Shots on target
5.25
12.50
Shots faced
10.00
5.50
Corners
5.58
4.83
Corners against
4.33
11.92
Fouls
11.92
2.17
Yellow cards
2.08
0.33
1st-half goals scored
0.75
0.17
1st-half goals conceded
0.58
How often Full Time
25%
Wins
67%
42%
Draws
17%
33%
Losses
17%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
92%
42%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
17%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
8%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
17%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
17%
Both teams scored
42%
50%
Clean sheets
50%
58%
Failed to score
17%
How often Half Time
25%
Wins
50%
67%
Draws
17%
8%
Losses
33%
42%
Over 0.5 goals
92%
8%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
8%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren at home
1
W
1
L
2
2
D
3
L
1
L
2
W
1
W
D
2
L
D
Hearts away
2
W
3
W
2
2
D
1
L
D
2
1
W
2
W
2
3
L
1
W
3
W
Last 10 matches before this match
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.01.26 | St Mirren – Dundee | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.71 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 20.01.26 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.82 | 3.40 | 2.32 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 14.01.26 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.41 | 4.10 | 7.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 10.01.26 | St Mirren – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 03.01.26 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.96 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.12.25 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.12.25 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 20.12.25 | St Mirren – Livingston | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.81 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 03.12.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–3 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.01.26 | Dundee United – Hearts | 0–3 (0–2) | 4.33 | 3.60 | 1.76 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 25.01.26 | Hearts – Celtic | 2–2 (0–1) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 14.01.26 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.41 | 4.10 | 7.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 11.01.26 | Dundee – Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 8.00 | 4.10 | 1.42 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 03.01.26 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.27 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 27.12.25 | Hibernian – Hearts | 3–2 (2–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 21.12.25 | Hearts – Rangers | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 13.12.25 | Falkirk – Hearts | 0–2 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.60 | 1.76 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 07.12.25 | Celtic – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 03.12.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.35 | 4.33 | 8.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
St Mirren at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.01.26 | St Mirren – Dundee | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.71 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 10.01.26 | St Mirren – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 27.12.25 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 20.12.25 | St Mirren – Livingston | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.81 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 22.11.25 | St Mirren – Celtic | 0–1 (0–0) | 6.50 | 4.75 | 1.39 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 08.11.25 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.10.25 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 18.10.25 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 0–1 (0–0) | 2.32 | 3.25 | 2.85 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 27.09.25 | St Mirren – Dundee | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.01.26 | Dundee United – Hearts | 0–3 (0–2) | 4.33 | 3.60 | 1.76 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 11.01.26 | Dundee – Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 8.00 | 4.10 | 1.42 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 27.12.25 | Hibernian – Hearts | 3–2 (2–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 13.12.25 | Falkirk – Hearts | 0–2 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.60 | 1.76 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 07.12.25 | Celtic – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 29.11.25 | Motherwell – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 23.11.25 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.81 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.10.25 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 18.10.25 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 13.09.25 | Rangers – Hearts | 0–2 (0–1) | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3 4 9
St Mirren winsDrawsHearts wins
16matches
2.69goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.01.26SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.41 | 4.10 | 7.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 29.10.25SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 26.02.25SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| 19.10.24SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 21.09.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 15.05.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.04.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 23.12.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.09.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 13.05.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.01.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 47 | 19 | +28 | 54 |
| 2 | Celtic | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 23 | +20 | 48 |
| 3 | Rangers | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 37 | 17 | +20 | 48 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 37 | 17 | +20 | 43 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 28 | +10 | 36 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 33 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 28 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 25 |
| 9 | Dundee | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 23 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 20 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 17 |
| 12 | Livingston | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 11 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | Hearts | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 28 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 27 |
| 4 | Rangers | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 25 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +10 | 20 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 7 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 26 |
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 | Celtic | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 20 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 16 |
| 7 | Dundee United | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 12 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 10 | Dundee | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 7 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 12 | Livingston | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 4 |
St Mirren Hearts
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 9 | 15 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 43 | 17 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 24 | 9 | 15 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 50 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | Celtic | 24 | 10 | 14 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 48 |
| 4 | 1 | Hearts | 24 | 11 | 13 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 54 |
| 5 | 5 | Hibernian | 24 | 11 | 13 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 28 | 36 |
| 6 | 6 | Falkirk | 24 | 12 | 12 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 33 |
| 7 | 3 | Rangers | 24 | 13 | 11 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
| 8 | 8 | Dundee United | 23 | 12 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 25 |
| 9 | 9 | Dundee | 24 | 13 | 11 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 37 | 23 |
| 10 | 4 | Motherwell | 24 | 16 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 43 |
| 11 | 7 | Aberdeen | 24 | 16 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | 10 | St Mirren | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 31 | 20 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Celtic | 12 | 4 | 8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | Hearts | 12 | 6 | 6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | 5 | Hibernian | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | 6 | Falkirk | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | 8 | Dundee United | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 13 |
| 8 | 9 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
| 9 | 3 | Rangers | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| 10 | 7 | Aberdeen | 12 | 7 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | 4 | Motherwell | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| 12 | 10 | St Mirren | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 14 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | Hearts | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | 5 | Hibernian | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 | 12 | Livingston | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | Celtic | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | 3 | Rangers | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 23 |
| 7 | 6 | Falkirk | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 16 |
| 8 | 8 | Dundee United | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | Dundee | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | St Mirren | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | Motherwell | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | 7 | Aberdeen | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51
