Hearts 2–0 St Mirren
Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026
Home ✓
1.41
fair 1.59
Draw
4.10
fair 4.71
Away
7.50
fair 6.27
Under 2.5 ✓
1.98
fair 2.15
Over 2.5
1.88
fair 1.87
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Hearts
St Mirren
14
Shots
14
7
Shots on target
2
3
Corners
5
7
Fouls
12
0
Yellow cards
1
1
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (129 league matches this season so far).
Result
Hearts to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.99
Expected goals
1.95 – 0.87
Home / Draw / Away
63%
21%
16%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
47%
54%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
50%
50%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
17%
1
24%
2
22%
3
16%
4
16%
5+
Most likely scores
1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
Statistics 2025/2026, before this match
Hearts
before this match, all matches
2.24points / match
1.90scored / match
0.81conceded / match
14
5
2
WonDrawnLost
21 played · 40:17
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
0.80scored / match
1.40conceded / match
4
6
10
WonDrawnLost
20 played · 16:28
Hearts all matches
all matches St Mirren
Per match
1.90
Goals scored
0.80
0.81
Goals conceded
1.40
2.71
Total goals
2.20
14.33
Shots
12.10
5.05
Shots on target
3.55
9.71
Shots faced
12.95
5.86
Corners
6.05
4.43
Corners against
5.45
11.43
Fouls
12.25
1.95
Yellow cards
2.10
0.81
1st-half goals scored
0.30
0.48
1st-half goals conceded
0.45
How often Full Time
67%
Wins
20%
24%
Draws
30%
10%
Losses
50%
95%
Over 0.5 goals
90%
76%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
52%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
29%
Over 3.5 goals
20%
14%
Over 4.5 goals
5%
5%
Over 5.5 goals
5%
48%
Both teams scored
40%
48%
Clean sheets
25%
10%
Failed to score
45%
How often Half Time
48%
Wins
15%
29%
Draws
60%
24%
Losses
25%
86%
Over 0.5 goals
50%
38%
Over 1.5 goals
20%
5%
Over 2.5 goals
5%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts all matches
1
1
D
1
L
D
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
W
2
1
W
2
3
L
1
W
1
W
St Mirren all matches
3
L
1
L
1
3
L
3
3
D
2
W
1
W
D
1
2
L
2
L
2
L
Hearts
before this match, at home
2.40points / match
2.10scored / match
0.70conceded / match
7
3
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 21:7
St Mirren
before this match, away
0.56points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
1
2
6
WonDrawnLost
9 played · 9:18
Hearts at home
away St Mirren
Per match
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
3.00
15.10
Shots
12.22
5.50
Shots on target
3.00
8.70
Shots faced
13.33
6.20
Corners
6.67
4.10
Corners against
6.33
10.80
Fouls
12.67
1.70
Yellow cards
1.78
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.22
0.30
1st-half goals conceded
0.78
How often Full Time
70%
Wins
11%
30%
Draws
22%
0%
Losses
67%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
30%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
10%
Over 4.5 goals
11%
10%
Over 5.5 goals
11%
50%
Both teams scored
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
33%
How often Half Time
50%
Wins
0%
40%
Draws
56%
10%
Losses
44%
80%
Over 0.5 goals
56%
50%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
11%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Hearts at home
2
W
3
3
D
3
W
1
W
3
1
W
4
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
2
1
W
1
W
St Mirren away
1
1
D
1
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
L
1
3
L
1
3
L
3
3
D
1
2
L
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.01.26 | Dundee – Hearts | 0–1 (0–1) | 8.00 | 4.10 | 1.42 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 03.01.26 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.27 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 27.12.25 | Hibernian – Hearts | 3–2 (2–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 21.12.25 | Hearts – Rangers | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 13.12.25 | Falkirk – Hearts | 0–2 (0–1) | 4.33 | 3.60 | 1.76 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 07.12.25 | Celtic – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 03.12.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.35 | 4.33 | 8.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 29.11.25 | Motherwell – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 23.11.25 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.81 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 09.11.25 | Hearts – Dundee United | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.37 | 4.50 | 7.50 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.01.26 | St Mirren – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| 03.01.26 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.96 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.12.25 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.12.25 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| 20.12.25 | St Mirren – Livingston | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.81 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 06.12.25 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 03.12.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–3 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.11.25 | Dundee – St Mirren | 3–1 (2–1) | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 22.11.25 | St Mirren – Celtic | 0–1 (0–0) | 6.50 | 4.75 | 1.39 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 08.11.25 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
Hearts at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.01.26 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.27 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 21.12.25 | Hearts – Rangers | 2–1 (2–0) | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 03.12.25 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.35 | 4.33 | 8.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 09.11.25 | Hearts – Dundee United | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.37 | 4.50 | 7.50 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 01.11.25 | Hearts – Dundee | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.25 | 5.25 | 10.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 26.10.25 | Hearts – Celtic | 3–1 (1–1) | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 04.10.25 | Hearts – Hibernian | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.76 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.09.25 | Hearts – Falkirk | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 23.08.25 | Hearts – Motherwell | 3–3 (0–1) | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.25 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 04.08.25 | Hearts – Aberdeen | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
St Mirren away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.01.26 | Motherwell – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.96 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 30.12.25 | Rangers – St Mirren | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 03.12.25 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–3 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.11.25 | Dundee – St Mirren | 3–1 (2–1) | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 25.10.25 | Dundee United – St Mirren | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 04.10.25 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 13.09.25 | Falkirk – St Mirren | 1–2 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 31.08.25 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 03.08.25 | Celtic – St Mirren | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.17 | 6.50 | 17.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 17.05.25 | Celtic – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.25 | 7.00 | 8.50 | 1.30 | 3.50 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
8 4 3
Hearts winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
15matches
2.73goals / match
53%over 2.5
53%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.25SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.79 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 26.02.25SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| 19.10.24SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 4–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 21.09.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–1 (2–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 15.05.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.04.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 23.12.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.09.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 13.05.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.01.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2025/2026, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 17 | +23 | 47 |
| 2 | Rangers | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34 | 17 | +17 | 44 |
| 3 | Celtic | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 21 | +17 | 41 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31 | 17 | +14 | 37 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 24 | +13 | 35 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 30 |
| 7 | Dundee United | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Dundee | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 22 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 14 |
| 12 | Livingston | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 10 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 8 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 | Hearts | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 7 | +14 | 24 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 | Rangers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +10 | 19 |
| 6 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Livingston | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 6 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 | Celtic | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Dundee United | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Dundee | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 6 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
| 12 | Livingston | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
Hearts St Mirren
Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | Livingston | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 10 |
| 2 | 3 | Celtic | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 41 |
| 3 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 9 | 13 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 39 | 14 |
| 4 | 5 | Hibernian | 22 | 10 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 35 |
| 5 | 1 | Hearts | 21 | 10 | 11 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | 6 | Falkirk | 21 | 10 | 11 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | 2 | Rangers | 22 | 12 | 10 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34 | 17 | 44 |
| 8 | 7 | Dundee United | 22 | 12 | 10 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 34 | 25 |
| 9 | 9 | Dundee | 22 | 12 | 10 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 34 | 22 |
| 10 | 4 | Motherwell | 22 | 15 | 7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 37 |
| 11 | 10 | St Mirren | 20 | 13 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 18 |
| 12 | 8 | Aberdeen | 22 | 16 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 28 | 25 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Celtic | 11 | 3 | 8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | 12 | Livingston | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | Hibernian | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | 9 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
| 5 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | Hearts | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | 6 | Falkirk | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 8 | 7 | Dundee United | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 22 |
| 10 | 8 | Aberdeen | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | Motherwell | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 24 |
| 12 | 10 | St Mirren | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | Hearts | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | 5 | Hibernian | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | 6 | Falkirk | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | 12 | Livingston | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | Celtic | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | 7 | Dundee United | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | St Mirren | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | Motherwell | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | Dundee | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | Aberdeen | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
