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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: M MacDermid

Hearts 0–2 St Mirren

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.10 fair 1.77
Draw 3.50 fair 4.65
Away ✓ 3.50 fair 4.55
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.60
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hearts St Mirren
16 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 8
11 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (181 league matches this season so far).
Result Hearts to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.67
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.8% 1–1 9.8% 2–0 8.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Hearts before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.67scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 50:45
St Mirren before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.13scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 34:42
Hearts all matches all matches St Mirren

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded 1.40
3.17 Total goals 2.53
11.63 Shots 12.07
4.13 Shots on target 3.37
14.40 Shots faced 11.63
5.17 Corners 5.37
5.07 Corners against 5.33
10.33 Fouls 13.10
1.63 Yellow cards 2.23
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 37%
20% Draws 27%
37% Losses 37%
97% Over 0.5 goals 93%
87% Over 1.5 goals 70%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
40% Over 3.5 goals 27%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
53% Both teams scored 47%
20% Clean sheets 30%
30% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 33%
30% Draws 37%
30% Losses 30%
80% Over 0.5 goals 70%
43% Over 1.5 goals 27%
17% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts all matches
St Mirren all matches
Hearts before this match, at home
2.21points / match
2.43scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 34:20
St Mirren before this match, away
0.71points / match
0.93scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 13:28
Hearts at home away St Mirren

Per match

2.43 Goals scored 0.93
1.43 Goals conceded 2.00
3.86 Total goals 2.93
13.57 Shots 12.71
5.57 Shots on target 3.36
14.21 Shots faced 12.14
5.14 Corners 5.07
5.29 Corners against 4.71
10.00 Fouls 12.86
1.36 Yellow cards 2.36
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

71% Wins 14%
7% Draws 29%
21% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 86%
86% Over 2.5 goals 64%
57% Over 3.5 goals 36%
36% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 14%
14% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 14%
21% Draws 29%
21% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
50% Over 1.5 goals 36%
14% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts at home
St Mirren away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hearts all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23 Kilmarnock – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.903.502.38 1.90 1.95
18.03.23 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–0 (3–0) 2.553.302.80 1.85 2.00
08.03.23 Celtic – Hearts 3–1 (1–1) 1.188.0013.00 1.33 3.40
04.03.23 Hearts – St Johnstone 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.93 1.93
19.02.23 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.402.30 1.98 1.88
04.02.23 Hearts – Dundee United 3–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.25 1.73 2.10
01.02.23 Hearts – Rangers 0–3 (0–2) 5.754.331.55 1.62 2.30
29.01.23 Livingston – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.98 1.88
18.01.23 Hearts – Aberdeen 5–0 (4–0) 2.153.403.40 1.85 2.00
13.01.23 Hearts – St Mirren 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.85 2.00

St Mirren all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.23 St Mirren – Livingston 3–0 (3–0) 2.053.303.75 2.30 1.62
18.03.23 Dundee United – St Mirren 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 2.10 1.73
05.03.23 St Mirren – Celtic 1–5 (1–0) 13.006.001.22 1.57 2.38
25.02.23 St Johnstone – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.102.63 2.38 1.57
18.02.23 St Mirren – Ross County 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.304.20 2.00 1.80
15.02.23 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.203.00 2.20 1.67
04.02.23 St Mirren – Hibernian 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.60 2.10 1.73
01.02.23 Aberdeen – St Mirren 1–3 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
28.01.23 St Mirren – Motherwell 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.67
18.01.23 Celtic – St Mirren 4–0 (2–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.36 3.20

Hearts at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.23 Hearts – St Johnstone 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.93 1.93
04.02.23 Hearts – Dundee United 3–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.25 1.73 2.10
01.02.23 Hearts – Rangers 0–3 (0–2) 5.754.331.55 1.62 2.30
18.01.23 Hearts – Aberdeen 5–0 (4–0) 2.153.403.40 1.85 2.00
13.01.23 Hearts – St Mirren 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.85 2.00
02.01.23 Hearts – Hibernian 3–0 (2–0) 2.153.503.30 1.73 2.10
17.12.22 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.98 1.88
12.11.22 Hearts – Livingston 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.00 1.85
06.11.22 Hearts – Motherwell 3–2 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
22.10.22 Hearts – Celtic 3–4 (1–1) 9.505.501.30 1.50 2.62

St Mirren away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.03.23 Dundee United – St Mirren 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 2.10 1.73
25.02.23 St Johnstone – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.102.63 2.38 1.57
15.02.23 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.203.00 2.20 1.67
01.02.23 Aberdeen – St Mirren 1–3 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
18.01.23 Celtic – St Mirren 4–0 (2–0) 1.119.0021.00 1.36 3.20
13.01.23 Hearts – St Mirren 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.85 2.00
02.01.23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 2.20 1.67
28.12.22 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 2.20 1.67
05.11.22 Ross County – St Mirren 3–2 (1–2) 3.103.202.45 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Hibernian – St Mirren 3–0 (1–0) 1.723.605.00 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hearts winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
20%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.23SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.85 2.00
07.01.23SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 1.90 1.95
26.02.22SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.202.40 2.10 1.72
27.11.21SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 2–0 (0–0) 1.723.755.00 2.00 1.85
07.08.21SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.202.37 2.10 1.72

Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 31 29 1 1 98 23 +75 88
2 Rangers 31 24 4 3 76 30 +46 76
3 Hearts 30 13 6 11 50 45 +5 45
4 Aberdeen 30 14 2 14 47 52 -5 44
5 St Mirren 30 11 8 11 34 42 -8 41
6 Hibernian 30 12 4 14 46 49 -3 40
7 Livingston 30 11 6 13 31 47 -16 39
8 Motherwell 30 9 6 15 39 45 -6 33
9 St Johnstone 30 9 5 16 33 49 -16 32
10 Kilmarnock 30 7 7 16 26 52 -26 28
11 Ross County 30 6 6 18 25 45 -20 24
12 Dundee United 30 5 7 18 30 56 -26 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 16 16 0 0 50 11 +39 48
2 Rangers 15 13 2 0 39 9 +30 41
3 Aberdeen 15 10 1 4 34 14 +20 31
4 Hearts 14 10 1 3 34 20 +14 31
5 St Mirren 16 9 4 3 21 14 +7 31
6 Kilmarnock 15 7 5 3 20 20 0 26
7 Livingston 16 7 4 5 17 20 -3 25
8 Hibernian 15 7 3 5 28 21 +7 24
9 Ross County 16 4 3 9 17 26 -9 15
10 Dundee United 15 4 2 9 18 28 -10 14
11 St Johnstone 14 3 3 8 14 20 -6 12
12 Motherwell 14 3 3 8 16 24 -8 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 15 13 1 1 48 12 +36 40
2 Rangers 16 11 2 3 37 21 +16 35
3 Motherwell 16 6 3 7 23 21 +2 21
4 St Johnstone 16 6 2 8 19 29 -10 20
5 Hibernian 15 5 1 9 18 28 -10 16
6 Hearts 16 3 5 8 16 25 -9 14
7 Livingston 14 4 2 8 14 27 -13 14
8 Aberdeen 15 4 1 10 13 38 -25 13
9 St Mirren 14 2 4 8 13 28 -15 10
10 Ross County 14 2 3 9 8 19 -11 9
11 Dundee United 15 1 5 9 12 28 -16 8
12 Kilmarnock 15 0 2 13 6 32 -26 2

Hearts   St Mirren

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 31 7 24 3.2 0.7 29 1 1 98 23 88
2 2 Rangers 31 8 23 2.5 1.0 24 4 3 76 30 76
3 3 Hearts 30 10 20 1.7 1.5 13 6 11 50 45 45
4 4 Aberdeen 30 10 20 1.6 1.7 14 2 14 47 52 44
5 6 Hibernian 30 12 18 1.5 1.6 12 4 14 46 49 40
6 8 Motherwell 30 13 17 1.3 1.5 9 6 15 39 45 33
7 9 St Johnstone 30 13 17 1.1 1.6 9 5 16 33 49 32
8 7 Livingston 30 14 16 1.0 1.6 11 6 13 31 47 39
9 12 Dundee United 30 14 16 1.0 1.9 5 7 18 30 56 22
10 5 St Mirren 30 15 15 1.1 1.4 11 8 11 34 42 41
11 10 Kilmarnock 30 15 15 0.9 1.7 7 7 16 26 52 28
12 11 Ross County 30 17 13 0.8 1.5 6 6 18 25 45 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 16 3 13 3.1 0.7 16 0 0 50 11 48
2 3 Hearts 14 2 12 2.4 1.4 10 1 3 34 20 31
3 2 Rangers 15 5 10 2.6 0.6 13 2 0 39 9 41
4 6 Hibernian 15 5 10 1.9 1.4 7 3 5 28 21 24
5 4 Aberdeen 15 6 9 2.3 0.9 10 1 4 34 14 31
6 8 Motherwell 14 5 9 1.1 1.7 3 3 8 16 24 12
7 12 Dundee United 15 6 9 1.2 1.9 4 2 9 18 28 14
8 7 Livingston 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 7 4 5 17 20 25
9 10 Kilmarnock 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 7 5 3 20 20 26
10 11 Ross County 16 9 7 1.1 1.6 4 3 9 17 26 15
11 5 St Mirren 16 10 6 1.3 0.9 9 4 3 21 14 31
12 9 St Johnstone 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 3 3 8 14 20 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Rangers 16 3 13 2.3 1.3 11 2 3 37 21 35
2 1 Celtic 15 4 11 3.2 0.8 13 1 1 48 12 40
3 4 Aberdeen 15 4 11 0.9 2.5 4 1 10 13 38 13
4 9 St Johnstone 16 5 11 1.2 1.8 6 2 8 19 29 20
5 5 St Mirren 14 5 9 0.9 2.0 2 4 8 13 28 10
6 3 Hearts 16 8 8 1.0 1.6 3 5 8 16 25 14
7 6 Hibernian 15 7 8 1.2 1.9 5 1 9 18 28 16
8 7 Livingston 14 6 8 1.0 1.9 4 2 8 14 27 14
9 8 Motherwell 16 8 8 1.4 1.3 6 3 7 23 21 21
10 10 Kilmarnock 15 8 7 0.4 2.1 0 2 13 6 32 2
11 12 Dundee United 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 1 5 9 12 28 8
12 11 Ross County 14 8 6 0.6 1.4 2 3 9 8 19 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51