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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: C Steven

Hearts 4–0 St Mirren

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 2.40
Draw 3.75 fair 4.04
Away 4.20 fair 2.98
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.22
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.82

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Hearts St Mirren
12 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
1 Corners 6
10 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (44 league matches this season so far).
Result Hearts to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 2–1 8.9% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Hearts before this match, all matches
0.25points / match
0.75scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 6:15
St Mirren before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.38scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:14
Hearts all matches all matches St Mirren

Per match

0.75 Goals scored 1.38
1.88 Goals conceded 1.75
2.63 Total goals 3.13
12.75 Shots 11.75
3.38 Shots on target 3.88
12.13 Shots faced 12.63
6.75 Corners 3.25
4.75 Corners against 7.00
12.88 Fouls 12.13
2.75 Yellow cards 2.38
0.25 1st-half goals scored 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 25%
25% Draws 25%
75% Losses 50%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 88%
38% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 63%
13% Clean sheets 13%
38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 38%
50% Draws 38%
50% Losses 25%
63% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 75%
25% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts all matches
St Mirren all matches
Hearts before this match, at home
0.67points / match
0.33scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:2
St Mirren before this match, away
0.33points / match
1.33scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:7
Hearts at home away St Mirren

Per match

0.33 Goals scored 1.33
0.67 Goals conceded 2.33
1.00 Total goals 3.67
17.33 Shots 13.00
4.33 Shots on target 6.67
10.67 Shots faced 11.33
8.33 Corners 3.00
5.33 Corners against 7.00
12.33 Fouls 14.33
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
67% Draws 33%
33% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 67%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 100%
33% Clean sheets 0%
67% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 33%
67% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
33% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 67%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hearts at home
St Mirren away

Last 10 matches before this match

Hearts all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Aberdeen – Hearts 3–2 (1–1) 1.674.004.75 1.88 1.98
28.09.24 Hearts – Ross County 1–1 (0–1) 1.654.004.75 1.85 2.00
21.09.24 St Mirren – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.803.402.45 1.95 1.90
14.09.24 Celtic – Hearts 2–0 (0–0) 1.178.0012.00 1.33 3.40
01.09.24 Hearts – Dundee United 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.904.00 1.67 2.20
25.08.24 Motherwell – Hearts 3–1 (1–0) 2.803.402.40 1.80 2.00
10.08.24 Dundee – Hearts 3–1 (3–0) 3.203.402.20 1.73 2.10
03.08.24 Hearts – Rangers 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.331.57 1.57 2.38
18.05.24 Hearts – Rangers 3–3 (1–0) 4.204.331.70 1.44 2.75
15.05.24 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.63 2.00 1.85

St Mirren all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 St Mirren – Dundee United 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–1 (2–1) 2.383.302.88 2.05 1.80
21.09.24 St Mirren – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.803.402.45 1.95 1.90
14.09.24 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 2–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.10 2.20 1.67
31.08.24 Dundee – St Mirren 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.403.40 2.00 1.85
25.08.24 St Mirren – Celtic 0–3 (0–2) 8.506.001.29 1.50 2.63
11.08.24 Aberdeen – St Mirren 3–1 (1–1) 1.953.503.75 2.10 1.73
04.08.24 St Mirren – Hibernian 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.80 1.98 1.88
18.05.24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–2 (2–2) 1.225.7513.00 1.40 3.00
15.05.24 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.63 2.00 1.85

Hearts at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Hearts – Ross County 1–1 (0–1) 1.654.004.75 1.85 2.00
01.09.24 Hearts – Dundee United 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.904.00 1.67 2.20
03.08.24 Hearts – Rangers 0–0 (0–0) 5.004.331.57 1.57 2.38
18.05.24 Hearts – Rangers 3–3 (1–0) 4.204.331.70 1.44 2.75
11.05.24 Hearts – Dundee 3–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Hearts – Livingston 4–2 (4–2) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.10
30.03.24 Hearts – Kilmarnock 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.03 1.83
03.03.24 Hearts – Celtic 2–0 (1–0) 6.504.331.50 1.57 2.35
28.02.24 Hearts – Hibernian 1–1 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.705.00 2.03 1.83

St Mirren away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–1 (2–1) 2.383.302.88 2.05 1.80
31.08.24 Dundee – St Mirren 2–2 (1–2) 2.103.403.40 2.00 1.85
11.08.24 Aberdeen – St Mirren 3–1 (1–1) 1.953.503.75 2.10 1.73
18.05.24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–2 (2–2) 1.225.7513.00 1.40 3.00
04.05.24 Dundee – St Mirren 1–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 2.00 1.80
13.04.24 Celtic – St Mirren 3–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.44 2.75
30.03.24 Motherwell – St Mirren 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.88 2.20 1.65
16.03.24 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 5–2 (0–2) 2.153.103.75 2.40 1.53
27.02.24 Ross County – St Mirren 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.202.15 2.30 1.60
17.02.24 Livingston – St Mirren 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.40 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Hearts winsDrawsSt Mirren wins
12matches
2.42goals / match
42%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 2–1 (2–1) 2.803.402.45 1.95 1.90
15.05.24SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.63 2.00 1.85
06.04.24SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 1–2 (0–1) 2.883.102.60 2.10 1.70
23.12.23SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.404.20 2.15 1.67
23.09.23SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 2.10 1.73
13.05.23SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 (2–0) 2.633.252.70 2.00 1.85
08.04.23SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.90 1.95
13.01.23SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 1.85 2.00
07.01.23SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 1.90 1.95
26.02.22SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.202.40 2.10 1.72
27.11.21SC0 Hearts – St Mirren 2–0 (0–0) 1.723.755.00 2.00 1.85
07.08.21SC0 St Mirren – Hearts 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.202.37 2.10 1.72

Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 7 0 0 22 1 +21 21
2 Aberdeen 7 7 0 0 15 6 +9 21
3 Rangers 7 5 1 1 12 4 +8 16
4 Motherwell 7 4 1 2 11 8 +3 13
5 Dundee United 7 3 3 1 10 7 +3 12
6 St Mirren 8 2 2 4 11 14 -3 8
7 Ross County 8 1 4 3 8 14 -6 7
8 Dundee 7 1 3 3 12 14 -2 6
9 Kilmarnock 7 1 3 3 9 17 -8 6
10 Hibernian 7 1 2 4 6 11 -5 5
11 St Johnstone 8 1 1 6 8 19 -11 4
12 Hearts 8 0 2 6 6 15 -9 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rangers 4 4 0 0 11 1 +10 12
2 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 10 4 +6 12
3 Celtic 3 3 0 0 9 0 +9 9
4 Motherwell 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
5 St Mirren 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
6 Ross County 5 1 2 2 7 7 0 5
7 Dundee United 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
8 Dundee 4 1 1 2 8 8 0 4
9 Hibernian 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
10 Hearts 3 0 2 1 1 2 -1 2
11 Kilmarnock 3 0 2 1 4 7 -3 2
12 St Johnstone 3 0 0 3 2 10 -8 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 13 1 +12 12
2 Aberdeen 3 3 0 0 5 2 +3 9
3 Dundee United 4 2 2 0 6 4 +2 8
4 Motherwell 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
5 Rangers 3 1 1 1 1 3 -2 4
6 St Johnstone 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 4
7 Kilmarnock 4 1 1 2 5 10 -5 4
8 Dundee 3 0 2 1 4 6 -2 2
9 Ross County 3 0 2 1 1 7 -6 2
10 St Mirren 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1
11 Hibernian 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1
12 Hearts 5 0 0 5 5 13 -8 0

Hearts   St Mirren

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 St Mirren 8 1 7 1.4 1.8 2 2 4 11 14 8
2 4 Motherwell 7 1 6 1.6 1.1 4 1 2 11 8 13
3 8 Dundee 7 1 6 1.7 2.0 1 3 3 12 14 6
4 1 Celtic 7 2 5 3.1 0.1 7 0 0 22 1 21
5 2 Aberdeen 7 2 5 2.1 0.9 7 0 0 15 6 21
6 9 Kilmarnock 7 2 5 1.3 2.4 1 3 3 9 17 6
7 11 St Johnstone 8 3 5 1.0 2.4 1 1 6 8 19 4
8 12 Hearts 8 4 4 0.8 1.9 0 2 6 6 15 2
9 3 Rangers 7 4 3 1.7 0.6 5 1 1 12 4 16
10 7 Ross County 8 5 3 1.0 1.8 1 4 3 8 14 7
11 10 Hibernian 7 4 3 0.9 1.6 1 2 4 6 11 5
12 5 Dundee United 7 5 2 1.4 1.0 3 3 1 10 7 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 St Mirren 5 1 4 1.4 1.4 2 1 2 7 7 7
2 8 Dundee 4 0 4 2.0 2.0 1 1 2 8 8 4
3 2 Aberdeen 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 4 0 0 10 4 12
4 11 St Johnstone 3 0 3 0.7 3.3 0 0 3 2 10 0
5 1 Celtic 3 1 2 3.0 0.0 3 0 0 9 0 9
6 3 Rangers 4 2 2 2.8 0.2 4 0 0 11 1 12
7 4 Motherwell 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
8 7 Ross County 5 3 2 1.4 1.4 1 2 2 7 7 5
9 9 Kilmarnock 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 2 1 4 7 2
10 10 Hibernian 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
11 5 Dundee United 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
12 12 Hearts 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 0 2 1 1 2 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Motherwell 4 0 4 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
2 12 Hearts 5 1 4 1.0 2.6 0 0 5 5 13 0
3 1 Celtic 4 1 3 3.2 0.2 4 0 0 13 1 12
4 6 St Mirren 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1
5 9 Kilmarnock 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 1 1 2 5 10 4
6 2 Aberdeen 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 3 0 0 5 2 9
7 8 Dundee 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 2 1 4 6 2
8 11 St Johnstone 5 3 2 1.2 1.8 1 1 3 6 9 4
9 3 Rangers 3 2 1 0.3 1.0 1 1 1 1 3 4
10 5 Dundee United 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 2 2 0 6 4 8
11 7 Ross County 3 2 1 0.3 2.3 0 2 1 1 7 2
12 10 Hibernian 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38