St Mirren 1–1 Hearts
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023
Home
2.88
fair 2.23
Draw ✓
3.30
fair 4.08
Away
2.50
fair 3.26
Under 2.5 ✓
1.95
fair 2.22
Over 2.5
1.90
fair 1.82
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Mirren
Hearts
13
Shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
3
Corners
4
18
Fouls
7
2
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✗ Result missed
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (117 league matches this season so far).
Result
St Mirren to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.74
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
45%
25%
31%
St MirrenDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
45%
55%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
42%
58%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
16%
1
23%
2
22%
3
16%
4
17%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5%
2–1 9.2%
1–0 9%
Statistics 2022/2023, before this match
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.17scored / match
1.39conceded / match
7
5
6
WonDrawnLost
18 played · 21:25
Hearts
before this match, all matches
1.63points / match
1.84scored / match
1.58conceded / match
9
4
6
WonDrawnLost
19 played · 35:30
St Mirren all matches
all matches Hearts
Per match
1.17
Goals scored
1.84
1.39
Goals conceded
1.58
2.56
Total goals
3.42
11.11
Shots
12.32
2.94
Shots on target
4.32
12.39
Shots faced
14.63
5.94
Corners
5.00
5.56
Corners against
5.11
13.83
Fouls
10.16
2.67
Yellow cards
1.47
0.44
1st-half goals scored
0.84
0.61
1st-half goals conceded
0.42
How often Full Time
39%
Wins
47%
28%
Draws
21%
33%
Losses
32%
89%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
72%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
56%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
28%
Over 3.5 goals
47%
11%
Over 4.5 goals
26%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
5%
44%
Both teams scored
63%
33%
Clean sheets
11%
33%
Failed to score
26%
How often Half Time
28%
Wins
47%
44%
Draws
37%
28%
Losses
16%
67%
Over 0.5 goals
74%
28%
Over 1.5 goals
42%
11%
Over 2.5 goals
11%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren all matches
4
L
D
2
1
W
3
L
2
3
L
2
2
D
1
1
D
3
1
W
1
1
D
D
Hearts all matches
2
L
3
4
L
2
1
W
3
2
W
1
L
1
1
D
3
1
W
2
2
D
3
2
W
3
W
St Mirren
before this match, at home
2.10points / match
1.40scored / match
0.70conceded / match
6
3
1
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 14:7
Hearts
before this match, away
1.20points / match
1.30scored / match
1.40conceded / match
3
3
4
WonDrawnLost
10 played · 13:14
St Mirren at home
away Hearts
Per match
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.70
11.90
Shots
10.50
3.10
Shots on target
2.90
11.30
Shots faced
15.20
6.20
Corners
5.00
5.80
Corners against
5.30
13.50
Fouls
10.60
2.60
Yellow cards
1.80
0.50
1st-half goals scored
0.70
0.30
1st-half goals conceded
0.40
How often Full Time
60%
Wins
30%
30%
Draws
30%
10%
Losses
40%
90%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
60%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
20%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
10%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
50%
Both teams scored
50%
40%
Clean sheets
10%
20%
Failed to score
40%
How often Half Time
30%
Wins
40%
60%
Draws
40%
10%
Losses
20%
60%
Over 0.5 goals
70%
20%
Over 1.5 goals
30%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
10%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren at home
1
L
1
W
1
W
2
W
2
1
W
D
2
1
W
2
2
D
1
1
D
3
1
W
Hearts away
1
1
D
2
L
1
L
3
W
2
2
D
2
L
2
1
W
1
L
2
2
D
3
2
W
Last 10 matches before this match
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.01.23 | Kilmarnock – St Mirren | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 28.12.22 | Livingston – St Mirren | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.38 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 24.12.22 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 12.11.22 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–1 (0–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| 09.11.22 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 05.11.22 | Ross County – St Mirren | 3–2 (1–2) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 29.10.22 | Hibernian – St Mirren | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.00 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 22.10.22 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.10.22 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 08.10.22 | Rangers – St Mirren | 4–0 (2–0) | 1.20 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.01.23 | Hearts – Hibernian | 3–0 (2–0) | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 28.12.22 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 2–3 (0–2) | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 24.12.22 | Dundee United – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 17.12.22 | Hearts – Kilmarnock | 3–1 (2–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 12.11.22 | Hearts – Livingston | 1–1 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 09.11.22 | Rangers – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 06.11.22 | Hearts – Motherwell | 3–2 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 30.10.22 | Ross County – Hearts | 1–2 (1–2) | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 22.10.22 | Hearts – Celtic | 3–4 (1–1) | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 16.10.22 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
St Mirren at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.12.22 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 3–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 12.11.22 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–1 (0–0) | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| 09.11.22 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 22.10.22 | St Mirren – Dundee United | 2–1 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 15.10.22 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 01.10.22 | St Mirren – Livingston | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 18.09.22 | St Mirren – Celtic | 2–0 (1–0) | 17.00 | 7.50 | 1.16 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 27.08.22 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 13.08.22 | St Mirren – Ross County | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
| 31.07.22 | St Mirren – Motherwell | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.12.22 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 2–3 (0–2) | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 24.12.22 | Dundee United – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 09.11.22 | Rangers – Hearts | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| 30.10.22 | Ross County – Hearts | 1–2 (1–2) | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 16.10.22 | Aberdeen – Hearts | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 09.10.22 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 18.09.22 | Motherwell – Hearts | 0–3 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 03.09.22 | Livingston – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.20 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 21.08.22 | Celtic – Hearts | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.20 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 07.08.22 | Hibernian – Hearts | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.60 | 2.20 | 1.66 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
3
St Mirren winsDrawsHearts wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 63 | 17 | +46 | 55 |
| 2 | Rangers | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 46 | 20 | +26 | 46 |
| 3 | Hearts | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 30 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 32 | +1 | 26 |
| 5 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Livingston | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 25 |
| 7 | St Johnstone | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 20 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 19 |
| 12 | Ross County | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 16 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 | Celtic | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 7 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 | St Mirren | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 19 |
| 5 | Hearts | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 | Livingston | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Ross County | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
| 12 | Motherwell | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 10 | +25 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 14 |
| 4 | St Johnstone | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
| 5 | Hearts | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Ross County | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 8 |
| 7 | Livingston | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 2 |
St Mirren Hearts
Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 20 | 4 | 16 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 63 | 17 | 55 |
| 2 | 2 | Rangers | 20 | 5 | 15 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 46 | 20 | 46 |
| 3 | 3 | Hearts | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 31 |
| 4 | 4 | Aberdeen | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 26 |
| 5 | 7 | St Johnstone | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 24 |
| 6 | 10 | Motherwell | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 28 | 19 |
| 7 | 8 | Hibernian | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 33 | 23 |
| 8 | 11 | Dundee United | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 33 | 19 |
| 9 | 5 | St Mirren | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 26 |
| 10 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 20 | 10 | 10 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | 6 | Livingston | 19 | 10 | 9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 25 |
| 12 | 12 | Ross County | 20 | 11 | 9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 16 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Rangers | 11 | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | 3 | Hearts | 9 | 1 | 8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 19 |
| 3 | 1 | Celtic | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | 11 | Dundee United | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
| 5 | 4 | Aberdeen | 10 | 4 | 6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | 8 | Hibernian | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | 10 | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | Ross County | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | St Mirren | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 11 | 6 | Livingston | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| 12 | 7 | St Johnstone | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celtic | 11 | 2 | 9 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | 7 | St Johnstone | 10 | 1 | 9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 13 |
| 3 | 2 | Rangers | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 4 | 4 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | St Mirren | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | Motherwell | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | 3 | Hearts | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | Livingston | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | Hibernian | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | Dundee United | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | Ross County | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 8 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51