St Mirren 2–1 Hearts
Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
2.80
fair 1.91
Draw
3.40
fair 4.33
Away
2.45
fair 4.08
Under 2.5
1.90
fair 2.32
Over 2.5 ✓
1.95
fair 1.76
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
St Mirren
Hearts
11
Shots
9
2
Shots on target
2
5
Corners
4
14
Fouls
9
3
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (30 league matches this season so far).
Result
St Mirren to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.74
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.16
Home / Draw / Away
52%
23%
25%
St MirrenDrawHearts
Under / Over 2.5 goals
43%
57%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
43%
57%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
5%
0
15%
1
23%
2
22%
3
17%
4
18%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8%
2–1 9.7%
1–0 9.3%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
St Mirren
before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.60scored / match
2.00conceded / match
1
2
2
WonDrawnLost
5 played · 8:10
Hearts
before this match, all matches
0.20points / match
0.40scored / match
1.80conceded / match
1
4
WonDrawnLost
5 played · 2:9
St Mirren all matches
all matches Hearts
Per match
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.60
Total goals
2.20
10.40
Shots
12.20
3.40
Shots on target
2.80
14.20
Shots faced
12.40
2.40
Corners
6.80
8.00
Corners against
5.20
13.20
Fouls
13.80
2.80
Yellow cards
2.80
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.00
1.00
1st-half goals conceded
0.80
How often Full Time
20%
Wins
0%
40%
Draws
20%
40%
Losses
80%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
80%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
60%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
60%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
60%
Both teams scored
40%
20%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
Failed to score
60%
How often Half Time
40%
Wins
0%
40%
Draws
60%
20%
Losses
40%
80%
Over 0.5 goals
40%
80%
Over 1.5 goals
20%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren all matches
1
2
L
3
1
W
1
L
2
2
D
2
3
L
3
W
1
3
L
3
L
2
2
D
2
2
D
Hearts all matches
D
3
L
3
W
2
2
D
3
3
D
D
1
3
L
1
3
L
1
L
2
L
St Mirren
before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
1
1
1
WonDrawnLost
3 played · 5:5
Hearts
before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.67scored / match
2.67conceded / match
3
WonDrawnLost
3 played · 2:8
St Mirren at home
away Hearts
Per match
1.67
Goals scored
0.67
1.67
Goals conceded
2.67
3.33
Total goals
3.33
9.33
Shots
10.00
2.00
Shots on target
3.00
15.33
Shots faced
14.33
3.00
Corners
6.67
9.33
Corners against
5.00
12.00
Fouls
13.33
2.33
Yellow cards
3.00
0.67
1st-half goals scored
0.00
1.00
1st-half goals conceded
1.33
How often Full Time
33%
Wins
0%
33%
Draws
0%
33%
Losses
100%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
33%
Over 3.5 goals
67%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
33%
Both teams scored
67%
33%
Clean sheets
0%
33%
Failed to score
33%
How often Half Time
33%
Wins
0%
33%
Draws
33%
33%
Losses
67%
67%
Over 0.5 goals
67%
67%
Over 1.5 goals
33%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
St Mirren at home
2
W
2
W
2
1
W
1
2
L
1
2
L
1
L
2
2
D
3
W
3
L
2
2
D
Hearts away
1
W
5
L
1
2
L
2
1
W
D
3
L
2
2
D
1
3
L
1
3
L
2
L
Last 10 matches before this match
St Mirren all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.09.24 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 31.08.24 | Dundee – St Mirren | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 25.08.24 | St Mirren – Celtic | 0–3 (0–2) | 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.29 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 11.08.24 | Aberdeen – St Mirren | 3–1 (1–1) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 04.08.24 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 18.05.24 | Celtic – St Mirren | 3–2 (2–2) | 1.22 | 5.75 | 13.00 | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| 15.05.24 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 11.05.24 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 04.05.24 | Dundee – St Mirren | 1–3 (0–1) | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.88 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| 28.04.24 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–2 (1–1) | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.36 | 1.58 | 2.30 |
Hearts all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.09.24 | Celtic – Hearts | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.17 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| 01.09.24 | Hearts – Dundee United | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 25.08.24 | Motherwell – Hearts | 3–1 (1–0) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 10.08.24 | Dundee – Hearts | 3–1 (3–0) | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 03.08.24 | Hearts – Rangers | 0–0 (0–0) | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| 18.05.24 | Hearts – Rangers | 3–3 (1–0) | 4.20 | 4.33 | 1.70 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 15.05.24 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 11.05.24 | Hearts – Dundee | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 04.05.24 | Celtic – Hearts | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.22 | 6.50 | 12.00 | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| 27.04.24 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
St Mirren at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.09.24 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (2–1) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 25.08.24 | St Mirren – Celtic | 0–3 (0–2) | 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.29 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 04.08.24 | St Mirren – Hibernian | 3–0 (0–0) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 15.05.24 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 11.05.24 | St Mirren – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.62 |
| 28.04.24 | St Mirren – Rangers | 1–2 (1–1) | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.36 | 1.58 | 2.30 |
| 06.04.24 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 02.03.24 | St Mirren – Aberdeen | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 24.02.24 | St Mirren – St Johnstone | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.25 | 5.25 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 07.02.24 | St Mirren – Dundee | 2–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
Hearts away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.09.24 | Celtic – Hearts | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.17 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| 25.08.24 | Motherwell – Hearts | 3–1 (1–0) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 10.08.24 | Dundee – Hearts | 3–1 (3–0) | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 15.05.24 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 04.05.24 | Celtic – Hearts | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.22 | 6.50 | 12.00 | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| 27.04.24 | Kilmarnock – Hearts | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| 06.04.24 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 16.03.24 | Ross County – Hearts | 2–1 (1–0) | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 24.02.24 | Rangers – Hearts | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.29 | 5.50 | 11.00 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 07.02.24 | St Johnstone – Hearts | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2 3 6
St Mirren winsDrawsHearts wins
11matches
2.36goals / match
36%over 2.5
45%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.05.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 06.04.24SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 23.12.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 23.09.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 13.05.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 2–2 (2–0) | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 08.04.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.01.23SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 07.01.23SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 26.02.22SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| 27.11.21SC0 | Hearts – St Mirren | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.72 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 07.08.21SC0 | St Mirren – Hearts | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
Scotland Premiership table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | +14 | 15 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 | Rangers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 | Dundee United | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Dundee | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | St Mirren | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Ross County | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | Hearts | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Rangers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 | Dundee | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ross County | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Hearts | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 | St Johnstone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 | Rangers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Dundee | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Hibernian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 11 | Ross County | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
| 12 | Hearts | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
St Mirren Hearts
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | St Mirren | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | Dundee | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | Celtic | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | 2 | Aberdeen | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | 3 | Rangers | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | St Johnstone | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | Hibernian | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | Hearts | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 11 | 4 | Dundee United | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | St Mirren | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | Aberdeen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | Dundee | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | St Johnstone | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 7 | 4 | Dundee United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | Hibernian | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | Ross County | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | Hearts | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Motherwell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | Dundee | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | St Mirren | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | Hearts | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 6 | 1 | Celtic | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | Rangers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | Ross County | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | St Johnstone | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | Dundee United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40
