Ayr 1–1 Hamilton – Scotland Championship, 22 Mar 2025

Match facts

Ayr Hamilton

14 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

9 Corners 5

12 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (145 league matches this season so far).

Result Ayr to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.78

Expected goals 2.21 – 1.00

Home / Draw / Away

65% 19% 16%

AyrDrawHamilton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

38% 62%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

22% 5+

Most likely scores

2–0 9.9% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Ayr before this match, all matches

1.86points / match

1.69scored / match

1.00conceded / match

16 6 7

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 49:29

Hamilton before this match, all matches

0.97points / match

1.14scored / match

1.83conceded / match

8 4 17

WonDrawnLost 29 played · 33:53

Ayr all matches all matches Hamilton

Per match

1.69 Goals scored 1.14

1.00 Goals conceded 1.83

2.69 Total goals 2.97

9.86 Shots 8.28

4.66 Shots on target 3.62

6.66 Shots faced 11.14

5.17 Corners 4.69

4.76 Corners against 6.45

11.17 Fouls 12.79

2.03 Yellow cards 1.97

0.86 1st-half goals scored 0.55

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.72

How often Full Time

55% Wins 28%

21% Draws 14%

24% Losses 59%

97% Over 0.5 goals 97%

79% Over 1.5 goals 79%

41% Over 2.5 goals 62%

24% Over 3.5 goals 34%

21% Over 4.5 goals 17%

3% Over 5.5 goals 7%

48% Both teams scored 45%

38% Clean sheets 21%

17% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 21%

31% Draws 52%

28% Losses 28%

72% Over 0.5 goals 55%

41% Over 1.5 goals 41%

21% Over 2.5 goals 28%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ayr all matches

3

W

2

W

2

1

W

2

W

2

D

1

2

L

4

1

W

3

2

W

1

2

L

2

L

Hamilton all matches

3

L

3

L

2

L

2

1

W

2

L

2

L

1

W

2

D

1

2

L

2

L

Ayr before this match, at home

2.29points / match

2.29scored / match

0.93conceded / match

10 2 2

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 32:13

Hamilton before this match, away

0.57points / match

1.07scored / match

2.07conceded / match

2 2 10

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:29

Ayr at home away Hamilton

Per match

2.29 Goals scored 1.07

0.93 Goals conceded 2.07

3.21 Total goals 3.14

12.14 Shots 7.00

5.57 Shots on target 3.07

5.57 Shots faced 12.14

5.00 Corners 4.29

4.64 Corners against 7.14

11.14 Fouls 11.07

1.79 Yellow cards 1.93

1.36 1st-half goals scored 0.57

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

71% Wins 14%

14% Draws 14%

14% Losses 71%

93% Over 0.5 goals 93%

79% Over 1.5 goals 79%

64% Over 2.5 goals 64%

36% Over 3.5 goals 36%

36% Over 4.5 goals 29%

7% Over 5.5 goals 14%

57% Both teams scored 43%

43% Clean sheets 14%

7% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 21%

21% Draws 43%

21% Losses 36%

79% Over 0.5 goals 57%

57% Over 1.5 goals 43%

36% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ayr at home

1

W

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

W

5

2

W

D

3

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

4

1

W

Hamilton away

1

L

4

W

1

5

L

2

3

L

1

L

3

L

2

1

W

2

L

2

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Ayr all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Partick – Ayr	2–0 (2–0)	3.00	3.50	2.05	2.05	1.75
08.03.25	Morton – Ayr	2–1 (0–1)	4.00	3.25	1.85	2.25	1.58
04.03.25	Queens Park – Ayr	2–3 (0–0)	3.20	3.20	2.15	2.10	1.70
01.03.25	Ayr – Airdrie Utd	4–1 (3–0)	1.48	4.75	5.75	1.75	2.05
22.02.25	Ayr – Livingston	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.30	2.80	2.30	1.60
15.02.25	Falkirk – Ayr	2–2 (1–2)	1.90	3.50	3.90	1.88	1.98
01.02.25	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.75	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Ayr – Partick	2–1 (2–0)	1.95	3.30	3.40	2.03	1.83
14.01.25	Dunfermline – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.30	2.63	2.38	3.00	1.36
04.01.25	Ayr – Raith Rvs	3–0 (3–0)	1.83	3.60	3.80	2.30	1.60

Hamilton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Hamilton – Morton	0–2 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	2.88	2.15	1.67
08.03.25	Airdrie Utd – Hamilton	2–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.30	2.70	1.93	1.93
01.03.25	Hamilton – Falkirk	2–2 (2–1)	5.50	4.33	1.55	1.70	2.10
25.02.25	Hamilton – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.10	2.55	2.07	1.69
22.02.25	Raith Rvs – Hamilton	2–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.90	4.50	1.73	2.08
18.02.25	Morton – Hamilton	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.20	2.03	1.83
15.02.25	Queens Park – Hamilton	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.40	3.80	1.73	2.08
01.02.25	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.75	1.88	1.98
28.01.25	Hamilton – Raith Rvs	0–3 (0–3)	2.75	3.10	2.50	2.05	1.75
25.01.25	Livingston – Hamilton	3–0 (2–0)	1.48	4.00	5.50	1.80	2.00

Ayr at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Ayr – Airdrie Utd	4–1 (3–0)	1.48	4.75	5.75	1.75	2.05
22.02.25	Ayr – Livingston	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.30	2.80	2.30	1.60
25.01.25	Ayr – Partick	2–1 (2–0)	1.95	3.30	3.40	2.03	1.83
04.01.25	Ayr – Raith Rvs	3–0 (3–0)	1.83	3.60	3.80	2.30	1.60
28.12.24	Ayr – Morton	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	4.75	2.05	1.75
14.12.24	Ayr – Falkirk	5–2 (3–2)	4.33	3.50	1.70	2.03	1.83
23.11.24	Ayr – Dunfermline	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	3.75	2.15	1.67
16.11.24	Ayr – Queens Park	3–2 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	3.80	2.05	1.75
19.10.24	Ayr – Livingston	1–2 (1–2)	2.30	3.20	2.90	1.98	1.88
28.09.24	Ayr – Morton	1–0 (0–0)	1.60	3.70	4.75	1.90	1.95

Hamilton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Airdrie Utd – Hamilton	2–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.30	2.70	1.93	1.93
22.02.25	Raith Rvs – Hamilton	2–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.90	4.50	1.73	2.08
18.02.25	Morton – Hamilton	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.20	2.03	1.83
15.02.25	Queens Park – Hamilton	1–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.40	3.80	1.73	2.08
25.01.25	Livingston – Hamilton	3–0 (2–0)	1.48	4.00	5.50	1.80	2.00
21.12.24	Falkirk – Hamilton	1–0 (0–0)	1.30	4.75	9.00	1.44	2.63
07.12.24	Dunfermline – Hamilton	3–2 (0–0)	1.83	3.40	4.00	2.03	1.83
16.11.24	Partick – Hamilton	5–1 (2–1)	1.73	3.70	4.75	1.85	2.00
02.11.24	Airdrie Utd – Hamilton	0–4 (0–2)	2.40	3.50	2.55	1.80	2.00
05.10.24	Queens Park – Hamilton	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	3.40	1.75	2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

7 4

Ayr winsDrawsHamilton wins

11matches

2.64goals / match

27%over 2.5

55%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.02.25SC1	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.75	1.75	1.88	1.98
17.08.24SC1	Ayr – Hamilton	3–2 (1–2)	1.60	3.80	5.00	1.67	2.15
03.08.24SC1	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.50	2.15	1.73	2.08
18.03.23SC1	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–2)	3.25	3.40	2.00	1.88	1.98
07.01.23SC1	Ayr – Hamilton	1–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	5.25	1.70	2.10
11.11.22SC1	Hamilton – Ayr	2–3 (0–1)	3.25	3.50	2.00	1.75	2.05
13.08.22SC1	Ayr – Hamilton	2–2 (1–1)	2.05	3.20	3.40	2.20	1.65
01.04.22SC1	Ayr – Hamilton	1–1 (0–1)	2.80	2.87	2.90	2.50	1.50
29.01.22SC1	Hamilton – Ayr	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.70
10.12.21SC1	Ayr – Hamilton	1–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.65
18.09.21SC1	Hamilton – Ayr	0–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.25	3.20	1.95	1.85

Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	29	19	6	4	59	25	+34	63
2	Livingston	29	15	10	4	41	24	+17	55
3	Ayr	29	16	6	7	49	29	+20	54
4	Partick	30	12	9	9	37	33	+4	45
5	Raith Rvs	29	11	5	13	30	36	-6	38
6	Morton	28	9	10	9	32	35	-3	37
7	Queens Park	29	9	6	14	32	37	-5	33
8	Hamilton	29	8	4	17	33	53	-20	28
9	Dunfermline	29	7	6	16	26	37	-11	27
10	Airdrie Utd	29	5	6	18	26	56	-30	21

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	14	10	3	1	29	9	+20	33
2	Ayr	14	10	2	2	32	13	+19	32
3	Livingston	14	9	4	1	22	8	+14	31
4	Partick	16	7	8	1	23	13	+10	29
5	Raith Rvs	15	9	2	4	22	15	+7	29
6	Morton	13	6	4	3	17	11	+6	22
7	Dunfermline	14	6	4	4	19	15	+4	22
8	Hamilton	15	6	2	7	18	24	-6	20
9	Airdrie Utd	15	5	3	7	15	25	-10	18
10	Queens Park	15	5	2	8	15	20	-5	17

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Falkirk	15	9	3	3	30	16	+14	30
2	Livingston	15	6	6	3	19	16	+3	24
3	Ayr	15	6	4	5	17	16	+1	22
4	Queens Park	14	4	4	6	17	17	0	16
5	Partick	14	5	1	8	14	20	-6	16
6	Morton	15	3	6	6	15	24	-9	15
7	Raith Rvs	14	2	3	9	8	21	-13	9
8	Hamilton	14	2	2	10	15	29	-14	8
9	Dunfermline	15	1	2	12	7	22	-15	5
10	Airdrie Utd	14	0	3	11	11	31	-20	3

Ayr Hamilton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Hamilton	29	11	18	1.1	1.8	8	4	17	33	53	28
2	10	Airdrie Utd	29	13	16	0.9	1.9	5	6	18	26	56	21
3	1	Falkirk	29	14	15	2.0	0.9	19	6	4	59	25	63
4	2	Livingston	29	15	14	1.4	0.8	15	10	4	41	24	55
5	7	Queens Park	29	15	14	1.1	1.3	9	6	14	32	37	33
6	3	Ayr	29	17	12	1.7	1.0	16	6	7	49	29	54
7	4	Partick	30	18	12	1.2	1.1	12	9	9	37	33	45
8	6	Morton	28	16	12	1.1	1.2	9	10	9	32	35	37
9	5	Raith Rvs	29	18	11	1.0	1.2	11	5	13	30	36	38
10	9	Dunfermline	29	19	10	0.9	1.3	7	6	16	26	37	27

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ayr	14	5	9	2.3	0.9	10	2	2	32	13	32
2	8	Hamilton	15	6	9	1.2	1.6	6	2	7	18	24	20
3	1	Falkirk	14	6	8	2.1	0.6	10	3	1	29	9	33
4	10	Airdrie Utd	15	7	8	1.0	1.7	5	3	7	15	25	18
5	2	Livingston	14	8	6	1.6	0.6	9	4	1	22	8	31
6	4	Partick	16	10	6	1.4	0.8	7	8	1	23	13	29
7	7	Queens Park	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	5	2	8	15	20	17
8	9	Dunfermline	14	8	6	1.4	1.1	6	4	4	19	15	22
9	5	Raith Rvs	15	10	5	1.5	1.0	9	2	4	22	15	29
10	6	Morton	13	9	4	1.3	0.8	6	4	3	17	11	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Hamilton	14	5	9	1.1	2.1	2	2	10	15	29	8
2	2	Livingston	15	7	8	1.3	1.1	6	6	3	19	16	24
3	6	Morton	15	7	8	1.0	1.6	3	6	6	15	24	15
4	7	Queens Park	14	6	8	1.2	1.2	4	4	6	17	17	16
5	10	Airdrie Utd	14	6	8	0.8	2.2	0	3	11	11	31	3
6	1	Falkirk	15	8	7	2.0	1.1	9	3	3	30	16	30
7	4	Partick	14	8	6	1.0	1.4	5	1	8	14	20	16
8	5	Raith Rvs	14	8	6	0.6	1.5	2	3	9	8	21	9
9	9	Dunfermline	15	11	4	0.5	1.5	1	2	12	7	22	5
10	3	Ayr	15	12	3	1.1	1.1	6	4	5	17	16	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.